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Trade Talk

Roy’s Trade and Rolling 22 Talk – Rd. 15

Roy has the trade advice you need following the bye rounds.

  • Roy

Get them in:

Jack Macrae (MID, $726,000)
The loss of Libba has injected Macrae back into the middle and his scores reflect that two thumping weeks. He backed up last weeks 140 with a season high 180, a far cry from what we saw in the two weeks leading up to his bye where he scored 77 and 69 where he also managed just one 100 point game in a six week stretch. He is cheap considering form and has a break even of just 55.

Caleb Daniel (DEF/FWD, $667,000)
The running defender had a two game slump back in rounds six and seven when he could only manage a score in the 60s. Well that seems a long time ago as he hasn’t dropped under triple figures since then and is coming off a score of 135. He is a bargain with a break even of 63 and has the bonus of low ownership at just 14%.

Luke Parker (MID, $755,000)
The star Swan flicked a switch in round five and hasn’t looked back. Since then he has dropped under 100 on just two occasions and one of those was 99. He has hit triple figures in his last five games and that includes scores of 131 and his most recent 157. He faces the Suns this week with a five game average of 124 and my favourite stat is his low ownership of just 2%.

Patrick Naish (DEF, $245,000)
The young Tiger has made a great start to his career and is the pick of the downgrades this week. He is averaging 74 and has a break even of -13 with favourable match ups against the Saints and Suns in the next two weeks. Having good emergencies and cash cows are worth paying up for in the run home if you miss them at their basement price.

Dan Hannebery (MID, $455,000)
Made his long awaited debut for the Saints and it was certainly worth the wait as he smashed out 103 despite playing low time on ground, which you would think will increase by the week. He increased by $21K but is still great value with a BE of just 41. It is a viable move for cash starved coaches trying to get a rookie out of their midfield.

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You… Get the Chop

James Sicily (DEF, $611,000)
Alistair Clarkson has decided to experiment with the Sic Dawg up forward and we all know how that ends. If we are talking emojis, its the vomit sick over the hang loose sick before the Dawg. Now I think you should actually hold because there is no way they can play him forward again, it’s horrendous. He has a BE of 131 and will be a nice bargain once he bottoms out and settles in down back.

My Trades

At this stage my trades O Baker to Snelling and Duurs to Laird.

Rolling 22 Proudly Sponsored By The Epic Pig Hat (Less than 50 remain)

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Current update.

Defenders

   Last
Week
2019
Avg
Change

D1

Jake Lloyd
Sydney Swans, DEF
109114

D2

Lachie Whitfield
GWS Giants, DEF/MID
DNP117

D3

Bachar Houli
Richmond, DEF
DNP108

D4

Rory Laird
Adelaide, DEF
DNP99

D5

Caleb Daniel
Western Bulldogs, DEF/FWD
13598

D6

Shannon Hurn
West Coast, DEF
6196

In the mix: Crisp, Stewart

Midfielders

   Last
Week
2019
Avg
Change

M1

Josh Kelly
GWS Giants, MID
DNP122

M2

Tim Taranto
GWS Giants, MID
DNP117

M3

Andrew Gaff
West Coast, MID
92113

M5

Mitch Duncan
Geelong, MID
116113

M4

Brad Crouch
Adelaide, MID
DNP111

M6

Adam Treloar
Collingwood, MID
128113

M7

Jack Macrae
Western Bulldogs, MID
180110

M8

Stephen Coniglio
GWS Giants, MID
DNP108

In the mix: Merrett, Fiorini, Yeo, Henderson

Rucks

   Last
Week
2019
Avg
Change

R1

Brodie Grundy
Collingwood, RUC
168123

R2

Max Gawn
Melbourne, RUC
129115

In the mix:  Fat doughnut

Forwards

   Last
Week
2019
Avg
Change

F1

Travis Boak
Port Adelaide, MID/FWD
121113

F2

Josh Dunkley
Western Bulldogs, MID/FWD
118102

F4

Patrick Dangerfield
Geelong, MID/FWD
110107

F3

Tim Kelly
Geelong, MID/FWD
71102

F5

Jack Billings
St Kilda, MID/FWD
11399

F6

Dustin Martin
Richmond, DEF/FWD
DNP95

In the mix: Ziebell, Marshall

23 Comments

23 Comments

  1. Avatar

    Jack

    June 25, 2019 at 6:11 pm

    Is James Rose a viable downgrade option for fwd?

  2. Avatar

    Andy

    June 25, 2019 at 6:18 pm

    I think getting Hannebery is a waste of time. He could be another Liba.

    • Avatar

      Dallas

      June 25, 2019 at 7:01 pm

      Who knows? He’s unlikely to get tagged. Has a low BE. Came out firing from low ToG in a game that the Saints got blown out in. Lots of reasons to like him as a high risk/high reward option at M8 if you aren’t in a position to upgrade to a premo there yet.

    • Avatar

      Sir Fartypants

      June 25, 2019 at 10:33 pm

      Libba was a success, what are you talking about? He was always a mid price stepping stone and did his job!

      • Avatar

        The Cricket

        June 26, 2019 at 5:33 pm

        +1

      • Avatar

        Andy

        June 26, 2019 at 5:37 pm

        True, Libba made $125,000, and he started off with scores of 87, 106, 119, 108, and finished with 103, 97, and 36 (injured). But it’s the scores in the middle of 72, 57, 39!, 83, and 63 that killed me.
        Other rookies made $200,000 and $300,000.

    • Avatar

      Seamus

      June 26, 2019 at 5:45 pm

      Hannebury is awesome if you have a topped out rookie with not much cash to get a full premo. Hannebury will gain 100k+ if he averages even 80 so hes pretty safe imo

  3. Avatar

    Brad

    June 25, 2019 at 6:30 pm

    Would you chop Cripps OR Brayshaw first (to get Macrae)?

    • Avatar

      Pendles4Brownlow

      June 25, 2019 at 9:25 pm

      Cripps aint making money any time soon and has been scoring poorly, so I would get Cripps out

  4. Avatar

    The Boss

    June 25, 2019 at 6:51 pm

    If anyone watched the saints game you could clearly see Hanners imposed himself as a leader on the ground. He looks fit and will get more minutes.

    Vs the tigers this week? Pencil in another 100+ score.

    A proven DTer.

  5. Avatar

    Non-premium

    June 25, 2019 at 7:44 pm

    Billings not premium enough for top 6 forward

  6. Avatar

    Tarn

    June 25, 2019 at 8:52 pm

    How can Whitfield be in the rolling if he is injured?

    • Avatar

      The Cricket

      June 26, 2019 at 5:35 pm

      +1

  7. Avatar

    Plugger

    June 25, 2019 at 9:13 pm

    Bit tough on Billings judging him not premium enough.
    He has 6 hundreds from 13 games.
    Two unacceptable scores in the 60’s, yes, but one against Carlton where he was played forward, and the other against Port where he was on field under viral duress in Shanghai.
    By comparison, Dunkley also has 2 scores in the 60’s and 6 hundreds and T.Kelly has 7 hundreds and 2 50’s, Martin has 6 hundreds and 2×60 or less scores – and a lower average than Billings). The remainder of Billings scores (as also with Dunkley and T.Kelly and Martin) are fair ware, along with the 6 hundreds for a premo, I would think. Billings has the 5th highest season average, as a forward, and the 5th highest average over last three rounds.
    He is premo enough, surely; no need to claim more than that of him.

    • Avatar

      The Wizard

      June 25, 2019 at 9:32 pm

      A well researched comment sir.

    • Avatar

      Sir Fartypants

      June 25, 2019 at 10:38 pm

      I agree, however the recent form of both Dunkley and dusty is much improved from the beginning of the year. This rolling 22 is just a snapshot at this particular time.

      Plus Billings is in there at 5 which feels about right.

  8. Avatar

    The Cheeses

    June 26, 2019 at 6:27 am

    I hate being swayed by just one article, could use a little help –
    Was going to get Josh Kelly & Lipinski but am now thinking Daniel & Macrae
    any thoughts appreciated.

    • Avatar

      Adam

      June 26, 2019 at 9:10 pm

      Kelly might be wearing a Clarke Glove this week, so maybe not the best time to bring him in?!?
      I’d be buying McRae low and riding him higher

  9. Avatar

    Alan J

    June 26, 2019 at 7:57 am

    Man.. I was going to hold Sicily (reluctantly) for another week, but second guessing whether to burn my 2nd trade on him given his role change, or stick with cashing in Setterfield..

    1. Sicily (74 last 3) to Burton (95 last 3)
    2. Cash in Setterfield (bench spot) and hold Sicily

    • Avatar

      Adam

      June 26, 2019 at 9:07 pm

      2. Sicily is no longer a Premium if he is playing forward. And a BE of 131 will see him drop a fair bit of he plays there again.

  10. Avatar

    Adam

    June 26, 2019 at 9:09 pm

    1. Upgrade S.Ross to Parker
    Or
    2.Duursma to Laird

    I feel like #2 is the more responsible option, but tempted by Parker’s next 3 games

  11. Avatar

    Marcus

    June 27, 2019 at 9:53 am

    I’m bringing Ebert in. A bit of a sneaky In

    • Avatar

      Adam

      June 27, 2019 at 11:12 am

      Bad timing, even if he scores 100 this week he will drop around $20-30k

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