Welcome back you bloody legends.
It’s another round and it’s time to hunt down another ripper captain. My confidence is high after the three top scorers for the round sat inside my top 5.
This week, I’ve once again been crunching the numbers and it’s straight forward again.
The confidence I have in my four is huge. Anyone one of those guys should be wicked for you with a huge score next to their name after lock-out.
— Calvin (@CalvinDT) May 15, 2019
Last week, my #1 captain option was awesome. Brodie Grundy pumped out exactly what I thought he would and posted a very nice 149… but finds himself outside of my top 10 this week.
He did score 135 against the Saints (Tom Hickey) last year, but this year they have been rather restrictive towards ruckman. Not a single ruckman has scored 100+ against them this year and Max Gawn’s 97, was the best for the season so far.
Grundy will break that trend though based on his form alone, but it’s a stat that has me looking elsewhere this round.
On the other hand, it should be a little easier for Max Gawn despite playing over in the West. This year against West Coast, Stanley (110) and Grundy (122) have found the scoring rather easy. Last year, Max played the Eagles twice but was up against his nemesis Lycett who held him to 78 and 111. He’ll only be against Vardy this Friday night and will find this a walk in the park.
$50k MONEYBALL ALERT: Max Gawn (RUC, $9,700) is a must-have on Friday night. Not only is he the only ‘real’ option, his record suggests he is set for a big night and sits firm in my top 10 players for the week. Click to play!
PIG TO FEAST
The Gold Coast Suns… yes pig, it’s your turn.
The Suns are the easiest team for midfielders to score against and they have given up the second most points to all players in the last three weeks. Last week, Oliver (161), Jones (114) and Harmes (112) all top scored for the Demons and remember the week before when Yeo (148), Gaff (144), Shuey (128) and Redden (120) all went bananas as well.
Tom Rockliff has played the Suns 14 times over his career at an average of 120 (if we excluded the game he scored 0 when he got injured). He scored 106 on them last year and before that he posted 123 and 127.
The other thing I like here is the fact that the game is at home. At the new Sty in 2018, Rocky has averaged 126.
Why not throw Travis Boak in there too as the highest scoring player for the year. He had 113 last year against these guys and over his career, he has only scored over 150 twice, and both times were against the Suns.
He averages 122 at home this year and will be awesome, just like our beloved pig.
GIANTS SCORES COMING
Surely Lachie Whitfield plays this week, and when he does, he’ll march straight back into my top 10.
It couldn’t get much easier for him meeting Carlton at home, a team he scored 118 and 125 against in his last two meetings.
Carlton sit as the easiest team to score on at the moment which also means that Stephen Coniglio should have a day out as well. However, he sat forward 34% of the game last week and only attended eight centre bounces. He scored 144 on the Blues last year, but what will his role be?
Over the last three weeks, Carlton have given up the most 120+ scores and 14×100+ scores which also indicates that Josh Kelly who had 115 last week will also be huge. He scored 153 on the Blues last year and I’m even tipping Tim Taranto to also go 120+. He’s averaging 110 in his last three, he will go smack-down on these guys in the final game of the round.
WHAT ABOUT THE OTHERS…
Andrew Gaff v Melbourne @ Optus Stadium – Returns home where he has scored 144, 115 and 134 this year. Had 101 on the Demons last year when they were much better than they are now.
Rory Sloane v Brisbane @ the GABBA – Copped a tag from Berry last year (72pts) and is coming off 130 from round 8.
Adam Treloar v St Kilda @ the MCG – 96 last year, was the third time he didn’t score 100+ on the Saints in as many games. The best midfielder score against the Saints this year was Oliver with 114. No one else has scored higher against them. But still… Treloar will be fine.
Lachie Neale v Adelaide @ the GABBA – 101 last year on the Crows, but only averaging 94 in his last three this year.
Elliott Yeo v Melbourne @ Optus Stadium – 97 and 146 are his last two scores and he had 91 and 130 on these guys last year.
Matt Crouch v Brisbane @ the GABBA – Will he even fly I’m tipping no. Had 121 on the Lions last year.
Patrick Dramafield v Bulldogs @ the GMHBA – 91% time on ground last week and played through the middle. He smashes the Dogs and has scored 100, 156, 135, 143, 110 and 110 in his last six against them. Should be top 5, but my trust levels are low with him at the moment.
Angus Brayshaw v West Coast @ Optus Stadium – 76 v the Suns last week, he’s forgotten how to football.
Mitch Duncan v Bulldogs @ the GMHBA – #1 man based on form over the last three weeks at an average of 131. Scored 111 and 169 in his last two against the Dogs with that 169 a career-high.
Clayton Oliver v West Coast @ Optus Stadium – Round-high 161 last week but could attract a Hutchings tag here. He avoided it last year and only managed 92 and 75. Eagles are the hardest team for midfielders to score against too. Be careful with this one.
Dayne Zorko v Adelaide @ the GABBA – 134 and 136 are his last two scores. Beasting it!
Nat Fyfe v Essendon @ Marvel Stadium – Likes Marvel where he has averaged 116 in his last four, and scored 123 on the Bombers last year.
Tim Kelly v Bulldogs @ the GMHBA – On fire! 141 last week and even had 119 on the Dogs last year, his second-best score for that year.
Jaeger O’Meara v Richmond @ the MCG – No tag coming this week as his scores have been smashed in recent weeks because of this. Richmond are mega easy as well, giving up the second most points to midfielders. Had 73 and 93 on the Tigers last year. Not a captain, but a hold if you own him.
Jack Macrae v Geelong @ the GMHBA – Geelong are the hardest to score on over the last three weeks and as if Macrae needs that. Didn’t play the Cats last year, but before that he had 80 and 70. Have mercy!
Dusty Martin v Hawthorn @ the MCG – 110 and 67 against Hawthorn last year.
Josh Dunkley v Geelong @ the GMHBA – Geelong are a lot tougher than what he has been playing against where he scored 127 and 145. Running hot though.
Zach Merrett v Fremantle @ Marvel Stadium – Last year Zach was tagged by Banfield and scored 112 and 78* (coming back from concussion). Before that he had 144, 124 and 121 on the Dockers who are one of his favourites to play against. 136 last week and has scores of 143 and 99 at Marvel this year. He’ll be massive again!