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Robbie Gray – Deck of DT 2019

With Wingard gone does Robbie find his way back into the Power midfield rotations?

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Name: Robbie Gray
Team:
Port Adelaide
Position: MID/FWD
Price: $612,000
Bye round: 12
2018 average: 84.3
2018 games played: 21
Predicted average: 95
Draft range: 25-50 (top tier forward)

Click here for 2019 Fantasy prices.

Why should I pick him?

Robbie spent a lot of time up forward last season as a permanent forward. This didn’t really suit his ability to score. However, with Wingard moving to the Hawks this will open up some time in the midfield for the very dangerous Gray. The last two seasons he has played far more as a forward than anything else and has had averages of 81 and 84. In the three previous seasons to that he was more of a midfield player and averaged 96, 96 and 97. Look for him to regain that role this season and hence increase his average back up to those mid to high 90’s.

Gray can go big. No doubt about it. His 2018 season included four 110+ scores (three of them were in his first four games of the year). Like team-mate Wines he was down on his goal kicking last season and was one goal down from previous years per game. And when playing as a permanent forward that is what he needed for his points. If he can get more midfield time he won’t need those goals to get his points as he finds space and the ball in the centre square.

Put simply, he is a midfielder who is available as a forward and is arguably underpriced by at least 7 points per game if not 10. Any time you can get a forward that is going to average 90+ but is priced under 85 then he provides great value.

Why shouldn’t I pick him?

The way that Kenny has used Gray in the past two seasons as a permanent small forward has really hurt his scoring potential. The concern is that he remains there and doesn’t pick up some of the midfield slack left by Wingard leaving. You could argue that with his ‘small forward in crime’ Wingard no longer there he may be required to remain in that role for season 2019. The Power do have players that didn’t have a high Time On Ground like Rocky and Wines who could now spend more time in the midfield which could leave Gray out of the middle still in 2019.

I mentioned that he did have four 110+ scores last season but he also had 8 scores that were sub 80 (one of these was a 25 which occurred in a game where he was injured early). This is the problem that we see when he does play that pure forward role, he does struggle to score. When he is in the middle he gets a lot of give and go handball/kick combos for 5 points but as a pure forward this just doesn’t happen.

Fitting him in to your starting side at his price is the tricky bit. If you feel that you must have two or all three of Devon, Danger and Dunkley then that makes it hard to justify another $600k+ player up forward. Particularly with the question marks over how he is going to be used.

 


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Deck of DT Rating.

KING – Anytime you can pick a forward that is likely to score over 90 for a price of 83 then you just pick them and don’t look back.  Robbie is a gun and I have no doubt that his role will change and he will see himself back in that midfield again this year. This should see him back at 95 which would have put him as the 6th highest averaging forward last season. When you look at the other players around his price point up forward there just aren’t any with the same level of class that he has.

What does Robbie Gray average in 2019?

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14 Comments

14 Comments

  1. Avatar

    Flosbly

    January 12, 2019 at 8:34 am

    Dunnys huge port wank train continues…

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      Dunny

      January 13, 2019 at 11:15 am

      Thanks for the support Flosbly, Would you prefer if I wrote about teams and players I know much less about?

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        MrUbiquitous

        January 14, 2019 at 12:28 pm

        The knowledge and insight you bring to Port players is awesome Dunny. Pay him no attention. This was a great read; love your work.

  2. Avatar

    Kingzy1Kenobi (@gorilladz)

    January 12, 2019 at 10:11 am

    There is definitely a spot at f4 for an under priced forward. But who is the best pick? Kelly, Wingard, billing’s, gray all around the same price.

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      peterthomas25

      January 12, 2019 at 10:21 am

      They’re all decent picks. Although I think people are overestimating T. Kelly’s predicted output just a bit, and the other’s all have history of burning coaches. But all should average 85 and over with Gray having the potential to push triple figures if playing sole mid the entire year. But that’s unlikely.

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    peterthomas25

    January 12, 2019 at 10:13 am

    On my ‘never again list’. Not because of his ability, but because of that mid/fwd continual switching role. I have no doubt he’ll play as a mid a few games this year and absolutely dominant. People will get him in, then Hinkley will be like, “we can’t have that. Robbie, you’re playing forward for the rest of the year. ”

    Bevo and Hinkley are dangerous coaches to pick mids from.

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      Dunny

      January 13, 2019 at 11:06 am

      Unfortunately that is my main concern with him, i just don’t know if his role will be consistent throughout the year..

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    Johnny Lawrence

    January 12, 2019 at 10:44 am

    Yes you can’t trust Ken with Robbie so it is a big No for me.

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    Sam Menegola

    January 12, 2019 at 11:23 am

    From the great mans words (mark jacko Jackson) dunny is nothing but a toilet trained false alarmer. Could almost consider him as a bot. I’m sure the next article will be Tom Rockliff predicting 120 this year. But I’m hoping Sam Menegola comes back into the frame with a breakout season of 120+ backing up a solid and top 2 forward status

    • Euman

      Euman

      January 12, 2019 at 12:53 pm

      I am Menegola TM

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      Dunny

      January 13, 2019 at 11:09 am

      Wow, thanks for the kind words there Sam. Would you care to share your thoughts on Robbie Gray then and what his potential scoring and role will be this season? More than happy for a contrary argument to my thoughts.

  6. Avatar

    Dick Ponting

    January 12, 2019 at 6:10 pm

    Gray is inconsistent. He will not average more than 90 per game.

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    Kambo

    January 13, 2019 at 6:39 pm

    We are all here to gather our own information for our own teams at the end of the day, not a place to be rude against people of the community who sweat into their article/s to just provide an insight for you.
    I definitely see the value and upside towards what Gray could do in a consistent role in the midfield, but for me i’m waiting it out and will pay up for him during the season if proven to ‘have the role’. Appreciate what you do for the DTT community, keep being a legend Dunny!!

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      Dunny

      January 13, 2019 at 9:01 pm

      Thanks for your kind words Kambo, appreciate it mate.
      I think your approach for Robbie is a good one. If he has that role and does well across the first couple of weeks then I will be looking to jump on as will a lot of other coaches.
      In SC and RDT where we get that two week wait before price changes, that is a good time to look at bringing him in if that role eventuates.

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