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Deck of Dream Team

Marc Murphy – Deck of DT 2017

Priced at 80, Roy says you don’t even have to think about locking in Marc Murphy.

  • Roy

Image result for marc murphyName: Marc Murphy
Team: Carlton Blues
Position: Mid
AFL Fantasy: $482,000
Bye Round:  11
2016 Average: 80
2016 Games Played: 10
Predicted Average: 97

Click here for DT Live profile.

Why should I pick him?

It is easy to forget that Murphy is a Fantasy star, so ignore his cheap price which tarnishes his ability and listen up:

He has averaged over 100 during four seasons including 111 which put him in the elite premium category for that season.

He has averaged over 96 in seven of his 11 seasons.

He has played 20 or more games in seven of his 11 seasons.

Before injury struck last year, Murph  wasn’t setting the world on fire but he was doing enough to warrant selection at this year’s price tag. After opening the season with a thumping 126, he had a couple of injury concerns which caused some score fluctuations before scoring back to back 100’s in rounds five and six. Following that he had scores of 85, 91 and 91 before his season ended with injury on just 15.

Assuming Murphy is good to go, those high end scores of 90+ are what we can expect this year because despite being very easy to forget… He is very good, not to mention he is the club captain of a young and improving team that requires him to have a big influence through the midfield.

Speaking of his influence through the midfield, that is still vital from the Blues perspective but the emergence of Patrick Cripps takes some of the opposition focus off him which is great news as he has been prone to disappointing scores against a hard tag.

Although it was way back in 2011, Murphy had a whopping 15 scores over 110 including a six week stretch during the middle of the season where he scored 121, 145, 117, 128, 129 and 120… Massive.

Image result for marc murphy

Why shouldn’t I pick him?

The only reason not to pick Murphy is if he if he doesn’t fit within your structure. Although he has been a Fantasy superstar in the past, many coaches have him placed clearly in that mid-priced category and are not willing to take the risk.

Although historically he has shown great durability over the years, the pattern over the last four years of 21, 20, 19 and ten is a downward trend, yet far from concerning in my book given the first three are all acceptable. This is a reflection that I am struggling to find any reasons not to pick him.

Deck of DT Rating.

Queen– I have really leaned toward starting with Murphy after writing this as I think he has huge upside for his starting price and it comes with very limited risk. He is coming off his lowest and only average of 80 or below in the last nine years and there is no way he is not bouncing back with a 15 point minimum improvement. I am about to log in and make room for him.

Who is the best pick from the Blues midfield?

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22 Comments

22 Comments

  1. Brendon

    January 25, 2017 at 8:12 am

    Good buy for his price and will make 100k. However I’m going with 5 premo mids and won’t have the cash for a mid priced player in the midfield, so he doesn’t fit my structure

  2. CrozaN.

    January 25, 2017 at 8:27 am

    97 is a pretty low expected average for Murphy IMO. I honestly think under Bolten he will be good for a 100-110 average this year.

    Look at what Bolten has done to some of the players in terms of their output:

    K.Simpson +16 to his previous years average
    Docherty + 19 to his previous years average
    Gibbs + 24 to his previous years average
    Ed Curnow + 23 to his previous years average

    Just to name a few as you can see Carlton’s game has become alot more fantasy friendly and we know what Murphy is capable of when Carlton play like that.

    One to monitor over the NAB

  3. Tigers

    January 25, 2017 at 9:18 am

    Too injury prone for my liking, pass

  4. Euman

    Euman

    January 25, 2017 at 9:55 am

    It’s him or Hepple for my structure

    • tom

      January 25, 2017 at 9:55 pm

      exactly the same for me

  5. Matt

    January 25, 2017 at 10:12 am

    I’d squeeze him in if I could, but I just don’t have the room. I’ve already got Hep D in there and I’m not downgrading there, and finding the cash to upgrade to him is difficult

  6. Grovers Guns

    January 25, 2017 at 10:38 am

    Him and SSelwood in my team till round 4/5 for some cash/decent scores and easy trade to OMeara and Danger

  7. Euman

    Euman

    January 25, 2017 at 10:57 am

    Murphy 482k v Hepple 548k thoughts?

    • Roger

      January 25, 2017 at 12:25 pm

      Heppell as you know he will most likely play the entire year.

      • Euman

        Euman

        January 26, 2017 at 11:42 am

        Agree Hepple fit not injured was suspended he’s only 26 ish

  8. Roger

    January 25, 2017 at 11:18 am

    Strongly considering but doesn’t fit my structure atm as I’ve gone 5 big premium mids.

  9. King Fisha

    January 25, 2017 at 11:21 am

    Ever since Dangerfield or Hodge broke his shoulder. Can’t remember who. He hasn’t been the same. He winces evertime he’s about to get tackled now. And Calvin pointed it out aswell. Very on the fence with Marc. Can see the upside but what if murphy turns out to still be a pussy.
    Sorry for language

    • Roger

      January 25, 2017 at 12:24 pm

      It was Hodge

      • Bean

        January 25, 2017 at 9:31 pm

        It was Dangerfield. Round 8 2012.

    • Bandicoot

      January 25, 2017 at 8:27 pm

      totally agree. T’is the only issue I have in selecting him. Same reasoning applying to Ablett atm.

  10. Kirk Mackintosh

    January 25, 2017 at 11:40 am

    Between him and Hep and i like Heps durability

    • Euman

      Euman

      January 25, 2017 at 1:14 pm

      Cheers Hepple only one out of Beams and Murphy who was not actually injured

  11. Bristow

    January 25, 2017 at 11:45 am

    Either him or beams

  12. poopy pants

    January 25, 2017 at 1:39 pm

    beams over Murphy, clearly.

  13. PowerAde

    January 25, 2017 at 4:10 pm

    locked

  14. Fooz

    Fooz

    January 25, 2017 at 4:33 pm

    I’m also waiting to see Liam Shiels’ role this year… as long as he’s not tagging.

  15. stoo

    January 26, 2017 at 4:44 pm

    Never.

    Not logical but he cost me a massive cash prize in the GF maybe 4 years ago.

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