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The Friday Scramble

The Friday Scramble: Round 22

One week now until the big one and hopefully you are all set and ready to go for your Prelim Final. And if you didn’t make it then keep going to get the best overall rank that you can! Get organised for lockout with Dunny’s Scramble.

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FridayScrambleOne week now until the big one and hopefully you are all set and ready to go for your Prelim Final.  And if you didn’t make it then keep going to get the best overall rank that you can!  This is probably one of the most difficult weeks of the season tactically in the limited forms of the game.  We also have the issues of injuries, restings and matchups to consider, all of these things are sent to test us and prove to us that no matter what we all think at the start of the season and no matter how prepared we are, that anything can happen and this game will always throw up a twist that you weren’t expecting!

Finals Trading Tactics

Obviously this won’t all relate to AFL Fantasy, but I will address trading in that game shortly.  However, the main concern here is the limited forms of the game and what I think you should be doing this week with your trades depending on how many you have left.

4 Trades: Bloody go for it!  No point leaving them on the table.  Do whatever it is that you need to do to improve your lineup.
3 Trades: Do what you need to here.  But if you can get away with only using one trade then that is the way to go.  If you need to use two to cover donuts, then that is a no brainer, do it.  But if you can sideways an under-performer using cash and one trade then do it.  Guys I would consider for this treatment would be Daniel Rich or Sam Kerridge.

2 Trades:  If you need to them for donuts then go ahead.  Similarly if you don’t think you can get the win without upgrading someone then it is a no brainer to make that trade.  But, if you have the lineup to get the win, then it may be prudent to hold the trades in case there are outs next week and your opponent doesn’t have any trades left.

1 Trade: Hold if you can, but make the trade if you must.

In AFL Fantasy, use your trades obviously, if you have absolutely nothing that you need to do, you may want to trade down a couple of your bench players so that you have a ton of cash next week to make any changes necessary.

At the end of the day, you need to trade the best way you can to get the win in your Prelim Final.  If you can conserve a trade in RDT and SC then it is the best plan of attack, but, don’t save it if it will cost you the win.

Selection Table

A fairly uneventful night at the selection table, just what we want on Prelim Final week to be honest.

For those that still have Connor Menadue he is actually back.  But seriously as if you are going to play him!

Taylor Adams is out for the rest of the season with an ankle injury.  We already knew that Wingard would be out and is out for the rest of the season.  But in that same game we see the predicted return of Sam Jacobs.  Well done if you held him, but if you did he could actually be a fairly unique player.  Speaking of comebacks, Kurt Tippett is back.  This is really only relevant in draft leagues if you kept him as I doubt anyone playing salary cap games and has made it to the Prelim week still has him in their side.

Whilst we are on Draft games, Mackie is back in for the cats, it is on an extended bench, so we may still see some outs, I am concerned as to who will be left out.  My gut feel is that it might be Bartel, but who knows.  Just keep an eye on this throughout the day.

#AskDunny

Well I didn’t ask for questions, but a couple of you sent some through anyway that I thought were good.

In this case with only the two trades left I would only do one.  I would trade Adams to Bontempelli.  This is a bit of a no brainer given Adams is out for the rest of the year.  As for Zaka, he is a risk but I would like to keep one trade up my sleeve for next week.  But, if your opponent doesn’t have someone that you can equate to the sort of score you think Zaka will get then that is what makes it difficult.  He faces the Dogs this week who I am not sure would need to tag him, then they have Carlton who he scored a 98 on earlier in the year.

I assume you are going to do some fancy shuffling to be able to bring in either Houli or Franklin for Adams.  I wouldn’t be looking at Smith.  Of the other two, they both have pretty good runs with St Kilda and Sydney for Houli and North and Richmond for Buddy.  For me it comes down to which line you have the weakest link on.  Given a choice I think I would go with Houli at this point as I am always more nervous about key forwards.

Now, in relation to the Grundy for Stef, I can understand doing that if you are in AFL Fantasy and have nothing else to do.  However, if you are in a limited trade version of the game I would certainly hold Stef if you have less than three trades left.

Things To Remember

  • Captain Choice can win or lose you a final (it certainly cost me one last week).
  • Make sure you check your team before lockout to ensure you have set everything the way you want (see my error in the above point).
  • No tomorrows so put it all out there this week (kinda obvious hey?)
  • Don’t forget to just enjoy the footy, whilst it is stressful for us in Prelims, there is still some great games to be watched.

Best of luck to you all, it is a massive week for our Fantasy teams and we need to make sure we get the job done.  Double and Triple check your teams as you prepare for this week.  You can’t afford to stuff it up this week!!  Hopefully I will see you all back here next week as we prepare for our Grand Finals!
Cheers
Dunny (@pkd73)

MB-SAT-CHAMP-$5K-no-teams

83 Comments

83 Comments

  1. Avatar

    mfawcett

    August 19, 2016 at 6:30 am

    Great work as per usual Dunny. Our long term league is a week ahead and having the GF this week which we do every year instead of next week when there seems to be more premos rested. Works out pretty well. On that note trade Bartel up to Docherty or do something with Steven instead, maybe Hanners or Parker? Cheers

  2. Avatar

    nkthegunner12

    August 19, 2016 at 7:03 am

    Bartel to Boyd OR Stef to Grundy OR I.Smith to Riewoldt?

  3. Avatar

    Andy

    August 19, 2016 at 7:05 am

    Man down – Suckling in defense. Foils my mid upgrade plan. Got kerridge on bench who will downgrade for cash. Who to get out of HOuli, Enright and Simpson?? thinking enright looks best against bombers. Got all other premos of course.

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      Andy

      August 19, 2016 at 7:29 am

      Other option is Boyd, so best out of Boyd, Houli, Enright and Simpson??

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    Ryan

    August 19, 2016 at 7:33 am

    After trades I’ll end up with one of these scenarios, which is best lads?

    1. Grundy , Titch, Bartel and Clayton as back cover

    2. Goldy, Titch and Hodge no back cover

    3. Stef, Parker, Bartel and Clayton as cover

    4. Stef, Titch and Boyd/Hodge with Clayton as cover

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      Tigers

      August 19, 2016 at 8:47 am

      Option 2 looks the best to me

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    Pinky Legend

    August 19, 2016 at 7:38 am

    Who is the best mid or forward under 530k

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      ryan

      August 19, 2016 at 7:49 am

      Best mid under 530k for me would be Neale,i also like how consistent lewis is too and has a favourable last two games. Best forward wouldceither be Zorko or Riewoldt for that price,would favour Zorko just.can you help above? Cheers

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    Tigers

    August 19, 2016 at 8:22 am

    Treloar, Bont or Coniglio?

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      Ryan

      August 19, 2016 at 8:39 am

      Treloar for me. Should go big against the Suns and had just been so consistent all year, only twice dropping below 90. Can you help above? Cheers

  7. Avatar

    Nathan W

    August 19, 2016 at 9:00 am

    Decide for me pls.

    R.Gray to Dahlaus and B.Crouch to Hodge
    or
    Hams downgrade to 125K and B.Crouch to the Bont/JPK

    Worried that Gray has put the cue in the rack. thoughts?

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      Mudman

      August 19, 2016 at 6:59 pm

      I’m holding Gray. Could go big in the showdown

  8. Avatar

    normy

    August 19, 2016 at 9:01 am

    Would you upgrade wells or stevens the rest of the team is good ?

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      Lumma

      August 19, 2016 at 9:08 am

      Wells definitely worth upgrading. I am stuck between getting rid of Hunter/Steven. Both out of form, but Steven with a juicier run home.

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        Mudman

        August 19, 2016 at 7:00 pm

        Holding Steven & Hunter due to both having very favourable run home.
        Stay the course, mate!

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    Tom

    August 19, 2016 at 9:35 am

    the bont and dahlhaus or jpk and gray

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      Thomas

      August 19, 2016 at 9:45 am

      Bont and Dahl, as they play Essendon and Freo in their next two.

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    Tom

    August 19, 2016 at 9:38 am

    the bont v cogs

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      the man

      August 19, 2016 at 10:43 am

      both very good options, but it would have to be the bont (essondon and freo his next 2)

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    Alan

    August 19, 2016 at 9:39 am

    The Bont and Nic Nat?
    Or Pendles/Cripps and Sauce Jacobs?

  12. Avatar

    Thomas

    August 19, 2016 at 9:44 am

    Should I trade Suckling (D7) to Hodge and play him over another defender? If I don’t upgrade/downgrade, I won’t have any cover.
    My current defence is: Shaw, Laird, Simmo, Doch, Vince, JJ (Suckling, Hammelmann)

  13. Avatar

    the internet

    August 19, 2016 at 10:31 am

    Quality article all season long Dunny. Cheers!

    Not sure I agreed with your limited trades sentiments though. If you have four, you need to use two as there will always be areas that need attention or repair. Also if you have 4 trades left at this time of year then I would argue there would be definitely areas of weakness in your team. There are only 2 rounds of DT to go, why would you want to have trades left (you can only use 2 next week)? Personally, for me I’m using my final trade & Jack Steven is going (as he’s been costing me hard the last 3 weeks) & I need to win this final. I have quality cover on all lines & am very comfortable with this decision. You have to back your gut. This year should be different to previous seasons with the pre-finals bye & less resting occurring. I would say at this time of year, you cannot afford to leave a stone unturned: it could be costly. For me, I won’t be conservative

  14. Fooz

    Fooz

    August 19, 2016 at 10:42 am

    trying to get cover on every line… at the mo, still waiting on Sunday teams (e.g. Menegola, and Hammelman – – yes all bench stuff)

    Richmond seems to have been shuffling through their rookie DEFs this year: Drummond, Castagna, Broad etc – each with a few games each. Looks like it’s Elton’s turn.
    Brisbane is trialling everyone, but Clayton, even tho he’s listed as a D/M is described by the Lions as a “lead up forward” with time in the mids…

    So – Options

    1) $117K + Reid + Drummond -> Dahlhaus + Clayton + $7K
    2) $117K + Reid + Drummond -> Dahlhaus + Elton + $7K
    or
    3) $117K + Reid + Menegola -> Dahlhaus + Long + $81K for GF issues

    thoughts?

  15. Avatar

    0161MannyOnTheMap

    August 19, 2016 at 10:45 am

    is jordan lewis a good option to bring in this week. Decent record against west coast and the pies?

    • Fooz

      Fooz

      August 19, 2016 at 12:12 pm

      I’d say yes – as he’ll have a nice long break after tonight before the pies game.

  16. Avatar

    boyOhboy

    August 19, 2016 at 10:46 am

    The bont or trelor?

  17. Avatar

    Sam

    August 19, 2016 at 10:59 am

    JJ-Boydy or Steven – The Bont

    • Avatar

      Mudman

      August 19, 2016 at 7:02 pm

      I’m finding Bont irresistible

  18. Avatar

    hummzilla

    August 19, 2016 at 11:13 am

    Is Johansson to hoili a good trade? I can’t decide who to side trade this week or I’ll have to double down. All areas are full of premos.

    Back: boyd laird vince shaw Simpson johan.

    Mid: danger rocky t mitch selwood hunter lewis sloan stevens

    Forward: merrett zorko dusty dalhaus gray montag.

    Anyone see who would be a good side trade. Gray maybe? Please help a brother someone cheers

  19. Avatar

    Tracca

    August 19, 2016 at 11:46 am

    Aaron Hall or Zorko?

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      A Person

      August 19, 2016 at 2:09 pm

      Should of had Zorko already but thats ok.
      But out of them now still probably Zorko actually

  20. Avatar

    thebopper58

    August 19, 2016 at 11:50 am

    At least Bartel is an early out
    Is being managed the same as being dropped????
    You’ve been a DT champion over the years Jimmy but do yourself a favor and retire!!!
    The game has gone past you with the past weeks efforts!!!
    It would such a sad scenario if you contiued to become a fringe player
    With Thurlow back next year that’s what you’ll become!!!
    Thanks for many years service over your career – all those +6’s were stocked standard every game!!

    • Avatar

      A Person

      August 19, 2016 at 2:06 pm

      Do you actually watch footy?
      Also ‘being managed’ means he gets a rest for the week. Definetly not dropped

  21. Avatar

    Will

    August 19, 2016 at 12:07 pm

    Boyd v Hodge v Houli v Enright?

    Currently leaning towards Hodge due to his record against West Coast

    • Avatar

      Mudman

      August 19, 2016 at 7:04 pm

      Hodge for me with the games really meaning something for the Hawks

  22. Avatar

    Hunter

    August 19, 2016 at 12:08 pm

    Sloane to Treloar a crazy move?
    Not liking Sloane’s record in the showdown.

    • Fooz

      Fooz

      August 19, 2016 at 12:19 pm

      Yes – but – at this time of year, with only 4 trades left, PODs can either make us or break us.

  23. Avatar

    josh

    August 19, 2016 at 12:27 pm

    does bartel have to go?
    ive still got clay smith as my last rookie

    but thinking bartel –> Houli or laird

    • Avatar

      A Person

      August 19, 2016 at 2:03 pm

      Yes. Get rid of him. Its do or die now

  24. Avatar

    MATTO

    August 19, 2016 at 12:31 pm

    AF-

    Is it worth downgrading Wright to Moore (he will be playing on field), and upgrading Naismith to Gawn?

  25. Fooz

    Fooz

    August 19, 2016 at 12:32 pm

    Did Bartel get replaced by anyone in the squad of 25?

  26. Avatar

    Daniel

    August 19, 2016 at 12:36 pm

    Clay Smith -> Hall or

    Martin -> Gawn

    I would think Smith is good for about 60-70, anything more is a bonus, Martin maybe 60-80 with Smith in the side, Hall probably about 100 – 110, Gawn against Phillips and Kruz in current form could easy go 120+

    Either upgrade could be worth between 40 to 60+ points.

    Can anyone post the AF expected scores for the four?

    • Avatar

      Diesel

      August 19, 2016 at 1:50 pm

      C.Smith – 70
      Hall – 100
      Martin – 65
      Gawn – 110

      • Avatar

        A Person

        August 19, 2016 at 2:02 pm

        Pretty much agree.

      • Avatar

        Mudman

        August 19, 2016 at 7:07 pm

        Martin solo ruck = 85-110

    • Avatar

      Mudman

      August 19, 2016 at 7:05 pm

      Archie Smith out so Stef Martin solo ruck. Hold!

  27. Avatar

    Cavier

    August 19, 2016 at 12:46 pm

    S.Jacobs vs Mumford vs NicNat vs Goldstein

    Only care about this week. Must win.

    • Fooz

      Fooz

      August 19, 2016 at 1:00 pm

      this week. Mummy

      • Avatar

        Cavier

        August 19, 2016 at 1:13 pm

        Good call.
        Although my gut is telling me Jacobs will have a big one against Trengove/Lobbe.
        Looked his record he usually fires up the derby.

        Mummy against Griffin is tasty too.

  28. Avatar

    Diesel

    August 19, 2016 at 12:55 pm

    Who is Port’s tagger? Besides K.Mitchell.

  29. Avatar

    Spiller

    August 19, 2016 at 1:10 pm

    1. Gray to Reiwolt/Hall

    Or

    2. Steven to Bont

  30. Avatar

    tom.4

    August 19, 2016 at 1:14 pm

    who out of treloar, bont or Kennedy ?

    • Avatar

      Spiller

      August 19, 2016 at 1:23 pm

      I think Bont’s next two opponents put him in front

  31. Avatar

    BW28

    August 19, 2016 at 1:27 pm

    Hi guys, need to trade out Bartel.. Not sure who I should go for.. Boyd, docherty or hodge even.. (Already have simmo, shaw, laird, Houli and vince) I would have gone Boyd but worried he might get rested against freo at domain next week. What do you guys think?

  32. Avatar

    dave

    August 19, 2016 at 1:37 pm

    Should I go Bartel ->Houli and Stef ->Grundy, or
    Bartel -> JJ/Hodge and Ellis -> Bont?

    Cheers

    • Avatar

      Peter Thomas

      August 19, 2016 at 3:13 pm

      Second with Hodge

      • Avatar

        Mudman

        August 19, 2016 at 7:08 pm

        +1

  33. Avatar

    Welvin

    August 19, 2016 at 1:58 pm

    Go with which one?

    A) Adams -> Bont
    Suckling -> Dahlhaus

    B) Adams -> Treloar
    Suckling -> Dahlhaus

    C) Adams -> Gibbs
    Suckling -> Dahl

    D) Adams -> Gibbs
    Suckling -> Lyons

    E) Adams -> Sidebottom/someone similar price
    Suckling -> Hall

    Cheers

    • Avatar

      Peter Thomas

      August 19, 2016 at 2:37 pm

      A

      • Avatar

        Mudman

        August 19, 2016 at 7:09 pm

        +1 (easily)

  34. Avatar

    Corey

    August 19, 2016 at 2:02 pm

    Bont and gaff vs smitchell and pendles ????

  35. Avatar

    Corey

    August 19, 2016 at 2:09 pm

    Option A ^^

  36. Avatar

    Rodge

    August 19, 2016 at 2:21 pm

    Bont & jj or houli & s.mitchell???

    • Avatar

      Chris

      August 19, 2016 at 2:33 pm

      Houli and Sitch for me man. I see Sitch going 120+ against both the Eagles and Pies and I’d rather Houli than JJ. Could you help below? Thanks man

  37. Avatar

    Chris

    August 19, 2016 at 2:31 pm

    Goldy and Clayton as back cover
    Or
    Stef and no back cover?

    Worth the risk people? Goldy will likely score 30-40 more than Stef but a late out could hurt too

    • Avatar

      Peter Thomas

      August 19, 2016 at 2:36 pm

      At this time of the year it’s all about the players on the field. Go for gold.

    • Avatar

      Mudman

      August 19, 2016 at 7:11 pm

      Disagree Goldy will easily out score Stef Martin as solo ruck. Stef good for 90

  38. Avatar

    Andy

    August 19, 2016 at 2:34 pm

    Hodge or Houli for Bartel?

    • Avatar

      Peter Thomas

      August 19, 2016 at 2:35 pm

      Hodge

  39. Avatar

    Peter Thomas

    August 19, 2016 at 2:34 pm

    So Suckling has thrown his pickle into the jar and has really derailed my trade plans.

    Original trades:
    Mathieson to 125K
    Wingard to Zorko

    Suckling said no, so now I have this question. What do I do? –
    Suckling to Aish and Wingard to Josh J. Kennedy (2k left)
    OR
    Suckling to 125K mid (via Hodge) and Wingard to Zorko/Riewoldt/Hall/Montagna and play Menegola on field?

    Please help, it will be appreciated.

    • Avatar

      Peter Thomas

      August 19, 2016 at 3:15 pm

      Please

      Suckling to Aish and Wingard to Josh J. Kennedy (2k left)
      OR
      Suckling to 125K mid (via Hodge) and Wingard to Zorko/Riewoldt/Hall/Montagna and play Menegola on field?

      • Avatar

        Pong

        August 19, 2016 at 3:21 pm

        Zorko & Menegola

        • Avatar

          Peter Thomas

          August 19, 2016 at 3:26 pm

          Thanks mate

  40. Avatar

    nkthegunner12

    August 19, 2016 at 2:37 pm

    Trade in Boyd, Kelly or Houli?

    • Avatar

      Peter Thomas

      August 19, 2016 at 3:00 pm

      Boyd, Houli, Kelly in that order IMO

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