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Deck of Dream Team

Lance ‘Buddy’ Franklin – Deck of Dream Team 2013

Now known for being the undisputed record holder for the highest point-scoring game in Dream Team history, Buddy’s 204 points against North Melbourne in round 10 was a spectacle to watch. McRath looks at Lance Franklin and his Dream Team worth next year.

dec18_franklinNameLance Franklin
Club
Hawthorn
Position
Forward
Assistant Coach 2013 Price
$521,300
Bye Round:
11
2012 Average
101.3
2012 Games Played
16
Predicted Average: 
102

Why should I pick him?

Now known for being the undisputed record holder for the highest point-scoring game in Dream Team history, Buddy’s 204 points against North Melbourne in round 10 was a spectacle to watch, especially if he was in your forward line – even more so if you had him as captain. Such a sight we may never see again.

Lance Franklin is the biggest drawcard in the AFL. Hawks (and non-Hawks) fans from far and wide come to Hawthorn games purely to see a ‘Buddy Masterclass’. He is surely the AFL’s main asset right now and that tag is well justified. Now, as he brings fans through the gates, he demands the attention of Dream Team Coaches from around the world, imploring you to have him as one of your first picked each year.

His scoring power as a forward is unparalleled (scores of 130, 118, 114, 204, 122 and 128) with a total of 7 H&A scores of 100+ this season (including his double tonne). Buddy has also shown he rarely has a quiet game, with only 1 x score below 70 in 2012 (67 against Sydney in R22). Now whilst a lot of his points come from marks and goals, he will pretty much guarantee you 80+ points a game – even when he doesn’t kick a bag. He does this by drifting up the field to help get his team into the game. His upside is massive and many will jump on simply because they do not want to miss out when he goes on a rampage (ala R10 this year).

If he’s still on the park and you don’t have him in your team by the end of the MBR’s there is something seriously wrong with you as his finishes to the year are traditionally very good. Besides, it’s not Colin Sylvia we’re talking about here – its Buddy!

Why shouldn’t I pick him?

In Franklin’s 8 year career he has only ever played 1 x full season. The last 3 years alone he has missed 14 home and away games. Whilst he is always in the top-scoring forwards in DT, when it comes to overall points scored in the season, he often lets his coaches down by missing games due to suspension and being rested (admittedly not his fault). With challenging games against several finalists to start the year, he could very well lash out when under pressure.

Buddy Sling Tackle

Another of Buddy’s downfalls in recent years has been his habit of racking up free kicks against. With 47 total including finals (39 in H&A), he had the 4th highest average of FA in the entire AFL in 2012 (2.5 per game). This equates to 8 points alone per match, which is often the difference between a solid 100+ score and a mediocre 90-odd.

Now, as to the argument of not starting him with the plan of picking him up later, this should make for some interesting reading: his average points scored between R1-8 over the past three years have been 88 (2010), 97 (2011) and 96 (2012) to start those seasons. With games against ‘bogey sides’ the Cats (76 in 2012), Eagles (76), Freo (81) and Giants (72) in the first 8 games of 2013, he could easily have a quiet start to the year. Taking into consideration the other teams he plays in those 8 games (Pies – 130, North – 204 and Crows – 118), he could average 108 to start the year. But it goes down to a projected 92 when you remove the 204 v North – 10 points below his expected average… ouch.

Can you live with Buddy ‘dicking himself’ out of 12 points regularly simply because of free againsts? Are you okay with him missing around 3-5 games during the season when he could’ve been smacking out hundreds? Will you be happy if he has a rough start to the year, whilst the likes of Rocky and Daisy are flying? If you can answer yes to these three questions, then there’s not much stopping you from locking in Buddy as your #1 FWD in 2013.

Deck of DT Rating

KING – as an overall DT player, the only thing I believe holding back Buddy is his discipline resulting in missed games and FKA’s. If he can clean up his game a bit and play a full season, he will be the most picked player by the end of 2013. As a forward, he deserves an ACE tag for his scoring potential alone. But until he can show that he’s ready to clean up his game, he’s not a ‘lock’ by any means – especially with all the juicy DPP options in the forwards this year. Start with him or pick him up later – either way, Buddy must be in your team at some stage in 2013 if you’re serious about DT.

 

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Who loves a number? McRath loves a number! Not only does he crunch the numbers for his own team, he is an integral member of the DT Talk team across the season providing heaps of great content! Follow him on Twitter: @McRathDT.

24 Comments

24 Comments

  1. Avatar

    Shorty

    December 18, 2012 at 8:04 am

    I’m not starting him but will be one of my first upgrade targets come Rnd 8

  2. Avatar

    James

    December 18, 2012 at 8:05 am

    You gotta love buddy
    Im a north supporter and was at the match he kicked 13, showed his potential dt scoring range
    Lock for me

  3. Avatar

    3rdMonkey

    December 18, 2012 at 8:06 am

    Nice write-up McRath! Will be an interesting one for sure. I’m looking to get him in after R7 at this stage, often has lower games vs WCE, Freo & Geel as you say. He did atone for his R22 score against Sydney by having a big GF though, so maybe Sydney have become his bunnies? Will also be nervous not having him vs Nth in R5, but surely he won’t score 200 again… will he?

    NB: He only played half a game v GWS from memory (did his hammy) so I’d count his 72 as a big score ;)

  4. Avatar

    Pettiger

    December 18, 2012 at 8:21 am

    Nice one McRath.

    I love Buddy but I don’t think I will be starting with him this year. I’m going with picking premiums who played 22 games last year. 16 rounds is not enough.

  5. Avatar

    Big Feller

    December 18, 2012 at 8:46 am

    Great to see you back McRath!
    At this stage I probably won’t be starting with him but he is definitely my first planned upgrade.
    A great article that will have many divided!

  6. Avatar

    joseph

    December 18, 2012 at 9:16 am

    I doubt i’ll be starting with him, will upgrade to him ASAP. His early draw is tough so will upgrade after, If you take away his 204 he averaged 94…

    • Avatar

      Shane

      December 18, 2012 at 8:46 pm

      Thats such a pointless thing to say IF he didnt score 204, but he DID so your comment means nothing

      • Avatar

        stew42

        December 21, 2012 at 12:17 pm

        Well it indicates that if he doesn’t score 200 (fairly likely), then chances are he won’t ton up. I’d say that’s relevant.

  7. Avatar

    Justin

    December 18, 2012 at 9:27 am

    Lock for a top 6 forward but other options offer more value so I won’t be starting with him.

  8. Avatar

    Genghis Khan

    December 18, 2012 at 9:32 am

    Unsure at this stage. Between him and the magician…

  9. Avatar

    joseph

    December 18, 2012 at 9:39 am

    RIP Dreamteam, Magic Number to low…

    • Avatar

      Chris

      December 18, 2012 at 12:54 pm

      For a relative newbie what is the magic number and why is it relevant? Cheers

      • Avatar

        Dream on!

        December 18, 2012 at 1:56 pm

        There’s an article about it that’s just been put up. Lucky you.

    • Avatar

      JungleMuffin

      December 18, 2012 at 2:26 pm

      I’m not sure if you understand how the magic number works joseph.

  10. Avatar

    Kevin

    December 18, 2012 at 11:06 am

    Great write up!! I’m loving that fact that Buddy is going to be a POD in my side.
    Catch me if you can boys!!!
    Btw Buddy is in the best shape he has been at this time of the year!!
    Ohh forgot to say he will spend more time in the midfield this season!!! Haha

  11. Maverick86

    Maverick86

    December 18, 2012 at 12:20 pm

    I reckon I’ll leave him out to start and hopefully grab him a bit cheaper later

    Will be jumping on other premos like Daisy and Rocky

    Now that prices are being posted, can anyone tell me how to access Assistant Coach? I can’t find it on AFL website

    • Avatar

      tumtum

      December 18, 2012 at 12:39 pm

      assuming you had assistant coach throughout 2012, it’ll launch some time later today. i guess we’ll see it on the site then.

      • Maverick86

        Maverick86

        December 18, 2012 at 1:52 pm

        cheers. I didn’t have assistant coach in 2012, so does that mean I can’t purchase it yet?

        • Avatar

          Green Ninja

          December 19, 2012 at 12:47 pm

          You cannot

  12. Avatar

    JungleMuffin

    December 18, 2012 at 2:21 pm

    My first picked player every single season, even ahead of GAJ/Swan.

    Will be no different next year. Get around him fellas.

  13. Avatar

    GrandOldFlag

    December 18, 2012 at 2:27 pm

    Still not sure. Guess I will have to play with the team picker and see if he fits or will be a first upgrade

  14. Avatar

    Sambones

    December 19, 2012 at 12:32 pm

    Forward line doesn’t look right without him there, locked for me

  15. Avatar

    Mad__5kills

    December 21, 2012 at 9:58 am

    Lance Franklin is an Ace, absolutely no question about it.

  16. Avatar

    Kudos

    December 22, 2012 at 7:53 pm

    This guy is a superstar of the comp, blows games apart, I’m struggling to understand his non-selection by some.

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