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Calvin's Captains

Calvin’s Captains – Rd. 23

It’s Prelim Finals time and it’s time to turn to the Irish Pirate to find out who we should have as our DT captains for this week. Get in there and check out the best DT captains write up in the land before he gets drunk and changes it.

Arrgggg welcome my scaly wagging seamen! Check out my work from last week.

LAST WEEKS TOP 5

Dane Swan 119
Scott Pendlebury 94
Matthew Boyd 123
Scott Thompson 151
Gary Ablett 142

Solid effort really. Would have been great if Ablett and Thomo were higher up the list but overall we must always be happy if our captain cracks the 110 mark. This week we are after something massive from our captains to get us over the line with just 2 weeks to go.

For Just 2.7% of my Audience

The other 97.3% of you who aren’t Brent Stanton owners… skip forward to the next part cause this is only directed at the 2.7% of DT coaches who own Brent Stanton, a guy who should kill Port this week. Stants has averaged 124 over the last 5 weeks and has previous scores of 102 and 122 Vs the Power. He averages 126 at Etihad in his last 3 games there and is coming off a massive 153pts in his very last game under the roof. If you are a lucky owner, consider him this week as your opponent will most likely not have him.

When to Risk it?

Do you go against the flow and pick a captain that your opponent will not?

This is a question I often get asked through twitter town (@CalvinDT) and I always answer the same way… Will you beat your opponent this week if you match their captain and is your team better? If the answer is… “No, I have no chance of winning” then go against the grain and pick a ‘roughie’ to go against their ‘Swan’. DT is a funny game, if Swan tweaks an ankle after 20secs (heaven forbid) then you’re back in with a chance. But as I know… predicting injuries are tough, so just pick your best dude and see how the weekend rolls out… or be bold bald!

After a baldman to be your captain this week then consider these two guns. Scott Thompson had an amazing 51d last week against the Suns for 151pts and has a CRAZY GOOD record against his opponent this week in Richmond. With previous scores of 122, 121, 124, 115 and 129 in his last 5 against them he must be on your radar this week. His highest score is just 104 at AAMI in his last 4 games there but this doesn’t bother me too much. Richmond suck and Thomo is on fire and has a record to match it.

Then we have the other bald nut… Gary Ablett. He had 142pts last week against the Crows and averages 122 in his last 3 games this year. He scored 124 in his last game against the Demons and has 4×100+ scores on them in his last 5 games against them. Ablett has not played at the MCG this year but loves the big stage. In 2010, he averaged 132 there as a Cat and I’m tipping him to carve Melbourne to bits!

Swanny at the Playground

Yep, this week our beloved Dane Swan travels to Paterson Playground and with 131 and 158 there in his last 2 games… things might just get nasty. As we all know, the big fella has been in ripping form recently with a lowest score of just 118 in his last 5 games this year and carries a record against the Dockers that has DT coaches extra excited this week. With previous scores of 131, 158, 72, 122 and 150 you see what I mean. Even with that yucky 72 in there, he still averages 127 over this 5 game period. Crowley is still tagging for the Dockers but failing to do the job on our stars like he has done in the past. Daniel Wells had 115pts on him last week and therefore he’s not even an issue of concern. Last week in that game, the Kangaroos had 7×100+ scores on Freo and I’m thinking all the arrows are pointing at Swanny this week with a few pointing towards the 150+ mark as well!

Ok… Very Quickly

Matthew Boyd – Had 119 on the Hawks earlier this year and had 121 and 154 before that and after averaging 121 in his last 3 games this year, he looks very promising.
Dean Cox – Had just 86 and 52 on Brisbane in 2010 and this week against the inform Leuenberger he might find it difficult.
Nick Dal Santo – Had 31d (120) on the Roos in Rd. 15 this year and is going for his 10th straight 100+ this week and his 6th straight 100+ at Etihad. Should be good, but for some reason I have a bad feeling. That might bite me…
Sam Mitchell – Has a low of just 110 at the MCG in his last 6 games there and was one of 10 Hawks who had 100+ on the Bulldogs in Rd. 10 this year. Scored 128 and 112 on them in 2010 and after averaging 118 in his last 3 this year, he should be on your radar for sure.
Scott Pendlebury – His 117 on the Dockers in his last game was his highest and only 100+ score on them in his career of 5 games. Had 94 last week, averaging 107 in his last 3 for 2011. Not overly impressive.
Joel Selwood – 92, 111 and 107 are his last 3 scores Vs the Swans but is back at Skilled Stadium where he has had his 2 biggest scores for 2011 in his last 2 games (135, 178). Look out!

82 Comments

82 Comments

  1. Avatar

    SomaliPirates

    August 24, 2011 at 4:30 pm

    FIRST!!
    HAHAHAHA
    PS: LUV YOU CALVIN :D :D

    • Avatar

      SomaliPirates

      August 24, 2011 at 4:49 pm

      calvin, on a more serious note, should i trade out S. Pendlebury and bring in S.Thompson of Adelaide? i have no money left in the bank and i got 4 trades left. What do you think? Anyone?

      • Avatar

        Pettiger

        August 24, 2011 at 5:46 pm

        Why? Pendles has the higher average. You would only do this if you are certain he is being rested.

      • Avatar

        44chappo

        August 24, 2011 at 5:48 pm

        Do you expect him to answer you after commenting “first”? I rest my case…

        • Avatar

          Pettiger

          August 24, 2011 at 5:50 pm

          I’ll take back my 3 vote now.

          • Avatar

            crazymofo

            August 24, 2011 at 6:22 pm

            Thompson is a good replacement for Pendles but just make sure that pendles is going to be rested this week before you click the button.

  2. Avatar

    cranker

    August 24, 2011 at 4:32 pm

    Scotty Thompson so tempting… might be the difference this week.

    • Avatar

      Pettiger

      August 24, 2011 at 5:49 pm

      It is, isn’t it? I have Gablett too. But I’m playing it safe and going Swannie.

      • feathertopDT

        feathertopDT

        August 24, 2011 at 7:58 pm

        Same i got Swan, Ablett, Boyd and a few other captain choices but just go Swan and everything will be alright

  3. Avatar

    buddy4pm

    August 24, 2011 at 4:33 pm

    Completely off topic, but according to DT analyser, 1.76% of ” trades ins” are for Sylvia ? Go figure.

    • Avatar

      cranker

      August 24, 2011 at 4:40 pm

      Sunday night/Monday traders chasing his last score before the MRP handed out the ban?

      • Avatar

        buddy4pm

        August 24, 2011 at 4:42 pm

        Must be …. there are some nuff nuffs playing this game.

        • feathertopDT

          feathertopDT

          August 24, 2011 at 8:26 pm

          happened the week Enright was rested to 5% of teams traded him in

          • Avatar

            SlightHawk

            August 24, 2011 at 8:41 pm

            Feath type at me again brah

  4. Avatar

    Mateyman

    August 24, 2011 at 4:35 pm

    Abletts guernsey is really weird

    • Avatar

      Mateyman

      August 24, 2011 at 4:36 pm

      In the above photo

      • Avatar

        Dredge Dragline

        August 24, 2011 at 5:05 pm

        A photoshop fail by Frank Maiorana.

      • Avatar

        Smithy

        August 24, 2011 at 5:05 pm

        That’d be because that photo is of him playing for the Cats. Calvin just superimposed the GC jumper.

        • Slappers

          Slappers

          August 24, 2011 at 5:10 pm

          epic fail

      • Avatar

        ManZzZoid

        August 24, 2011 at 6:34 pm

        He looks like a fat bald bastard with a beer gut!

      • Avatar

        Brappinalong

        August 24, 2011 at 7:11 pm

        Traps the size of Mt Everest!!

        • Avatar

          ManZzZoid

          August 24, 2011 at 7:32 pm

          Infact he looks like Gladstone Small….and please tell me you know who that is, coz Calvin’s butchered him to a complete replica!

          • Avatar

            Brappinalong

            August 24, 2011 at 7:40 pm

            lol, yeah spot on :) (minus skin colour)

  5. Avatar

    teperg

    August 24, 2011 at 4:37 pm

    swan ablett mitchel
    falling towards ablett

  6. Avatar

    whale

    August 24, 2011 at 4:44 pm

    Got Swan, Ablett, Mitchell, Thompson, Boyd….

  7. Avatar

    Hill End

    August 24, 2011 at 4:55 pm

    Hey Calvin, great write and like always through out the year top stuff.

    I am concerned on the resting of 3 of the above 5 (excl. Ablett / Thompson) during the game as the top 3 teams should win and win comfortably which may see these players – Swan, Selwood, Mitchell (and others) benched at half or 3 quarter time.

    If we cast our mind back to round 22 last year Geelong v WCE when we saw Ablett, Chapman, Bartel and Stevie J – 3 of these guys had less than 25 posessions sitting on the bech for the last qaurter, could this happen again if not this week but possibly next week.

    Therefore I think safer bet is look at the teams who need a win as captain – Saints, Sydeny, Essesdon or Roos

    Thoughts???

    • Avatar

      Chuck Norris

      August 24, 2011 at 5:09 pm

      Swan should be alright as he had the rest from his trip to Arizona but I am worried that guys like Mitchell and Pendles will get rested

    • Avatar

      Bazza_01

      August 24, 2011 at 5:52 pm

      I can see where ur coming from with the back a captain from a team needing a win but… from the 4 teams u listed that need a win who would u really wanna back as captain.. Saints= Monty (not having his best year, wouldn’t trust him and been a bit inconsistent), Goddard (ask SlightHawk about this one :P.. but he also has had a few lower scores and I don’t think you’d be as confident in him being almost locked to bust out a 120 as u would Swan or GAJ).. So Dal is the only real option. Swans = the only real swans people have are Goodes and O’Keefe but u wouldn’t captain O’Keefe ever really and Goodes has the odd bad one and although needing a win they face a trip to skilled. So no great options there.. Essendon = Not that many have essendon players anyway with bye next week and all so Stanton would be only real option but as Vin mentioned only 2.7% have him. So a good option for the very few that do. And North Melbourne = Who are u gonna put the C on infront of Swan or GAJ just because North need a win to make finals.. Swallow?? Not for me.

      • Avatar

        GrainFedBeef

        August 24, 2011 at 7:28 pm

        yeah, i think Swannie will be sitting on the bench for the 4th quarter. All those who put the capt on him will be cursing they only picked up 150 points from him. Whose his competition going to be in the midfield? Mundy, Pav, Broughton out. Expect Lower to run free as well.

        Sandi – to Swan – GOAL!

  8. Avatar

    jim cowski

    August 24, 2011 at 5:04 pm

    Swan (C)- shows no signs of slowing down. will beat the dockers on his own

    Stanton (VC)- essendon will smash port, this guy will benefit

    too easy. thankyou calvin

  9. Avatar

    Smithy

    August 24, 2011 at 5:12 pm

    Nice write up Calvin… And cheers for the early upload on the site!!!

    Swan it is for me. Safe bet and I can’t see my opponent’s choosing differently.

    Only thing that worries me is that by choosing Swannie I’m running the risk of the curse of the Friday Night Captain ruining my weekend.

    • Avatar

      44chappo

      August 24, 2011 at 5:51 pm

      ohhhhhh nooooo the curse.

      • Avatar

        Bazza_01

        August 24, 2011 at 5:55 pm

        haha :P where was the curse the other week when Swan belted out a 130 odd against St Kilda??

        • Avatar

          44chappo

          August 24, 2011 at 6:14 pm

          oohhh noo arrrgggg itssss the curse again, save me from the curseeeeeeeee

          • Avatar

            SlightHawk

            August 24, 2011 at 6:26 pm

            cool story bro

      • Avatar

        44chappo

        August 24, 2011 at 8:19 pm

        oohh nooo, it’s the firday night curse. RUNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNN.

    • Avatar

      Albert Lloyd

      August 24, 2011 at 6:51 pm

      SWAN IS IMMUNE FROM FRIDAY NIGHT CURSE

  10. Avatar

    Albert Lloyd

    August 24, 2011 at 6:42 pm

    Jesus, Thompson must be the biggest monster in the league these days (physique wise).

    Swan just pipping Gaz for mine.

    • Avatar

      Brappinalong

      August 24, 2011 at 7:12 pm

      His a friggin unit and a half

    • Avatar

      Sully23

      August 24, 2011 at 7:32 pm

      He’s got massive guns!

      • Avatar

        Phil Ken Sebben

        August 24, 2011 at 8:13 pm

        Chris Tarrant would tend to disagree :D

        • Avatar

          Sully23

          August 24, 2011 at 10:38 pm

          Yeah but he looks wierd. Thommo just looks like he’d smash ya.

        • Avatar

          PurpleArmy

          August 25, 2011 at 9:51 pm

          Tarrants all triceps, thommos all guns

  11. Avatar

    johnny37

    August 24, 2011 at 7:19 pm

    serious help needed! 2 trades left 200k spare
    who should i trade out and for who
    zac smith-sandalands/macvoy
    sylvia-pre much anyone mid or foward
    jroo- fyfe/lecras/cloke
    wat do i do!!

    • Avatar

      grant17

      August 24, 2011 at 7:26 pm

      who are your reserves in each position?

      • Avatar

        johnny37

        August 24, 2011 at 7:28 pm

        fwd reserves:howe, lynch richardson
        mid reserves: i smith,mzungu,callinan
        i can dpp sylvia to mids

        • Avatar

          grant17

          August 24, 2011 at 7:52 pm

          U could do smith to sandi and Sylvia to someone like fyfe. Or if u want to save the trade I would go smith to sandi and use Mzungu to cover Sylvia. That would get u the most extra points

          • Avatar

            johnny37

            August 24, 2011 at 8:25 pm

            cheers but wat bout jroo, he doesnt score sht all….

          • Avatar

            James

            August 24, 2011 at 10:48 pm

            At least Jack Riewoldt will be playing and can cover, whereas Sylvia can not with his two week suspension.

  12. Avatar

    James

    August 24, 2011 at 7:24 pm

    Finally going to bring in my favourite player in the league – Scotty Thompson. Won’t put the captain on him however, just to be safe.

  13. Avatar

    grant17

    August 24, 2011 at 7:25 pm

    Hey guys and girls I am playing Tom Harley this week and am not sure if I should stick with Swan as captain or go for a roughie with Scotty Thompson or Gary Ablett.

    Me vs Him (at this stage)

    Adcock vs Birchall
    Beau Waters vs Greg Broughton
    Enright vs Suckling
    Scotty Thompson vs Cotchin
    Cox vs Sandilands
    Bailey/ Lobbe/ Smith vs Petrie
    Chapman vs Stevie J
    Goodes vs Krakouer

    Do you reckon I can beat him with both of our captains the same (Swanny) or should I risk it and go for S Thompson or Ablett?

    • Avatar

      GrainFedBeef

      August 24, 2011 at 7:30 pm

      Broughton not playing

  14. Avatar

    Sully23

    August 24, 2011 at 7:36 pm

    Great to see Thommo in the top 5 again Vin. Not sure who to go now out of Swan, Thommo and Gaz :S

  15. feathertopDT

    feathertopDT

    August 24, 2011 at 7:55 pm

    Hi guys i dont normally do this but you no desperate times call for desperate measures

    My backline is Gibbs, Goddard, Deledio, Birchall, Fisher, Stanley, Heppell (Lower, L. Thompson, Howard)

    I’m trading Lower I can afford Suckling or anyone under him who should i get?

    • Avatar

      Skooper

      August 24, 2011 at 8:31 pm

      Hey Feathertop, I think your only real options are Suckling or Gram

    • Avatar

      SlightHawk

      August 24, 2011 at 8:42 pm

      Hi feath, your only real option is to….. type at me brah

      • feathertopDT

        feathertopDT

        August 25, 2011 at 6:22 pm

        I’ll type at ya on D-S on Friday brah

  16. Avatar

    Skooper

    August 24, 2011 at 8:11 pm

    Nice write up Calvin, Im going Swan…but only cos Id rather be with him than against him.

    Quick Assistant Coach Conundrum – I have Gibbs swapped for Buckley, now Gibbs is on my mids bench with Swan, Pendles, Ablett, Thompson, Boyd and Bartel on field. Now if I choose to trade Bartel to Mitchell, my projected score moves up to 2214 from 2197. Now, heres where it gets weird, if I trade Gibbs to Mitchell, my projected goes up to 2310! Swan is Capt so no issue there.

    By trading Gibbs over Bartel for Mitchell I stand to gain over 110 points, Bartels projected is 96 and Mitchells is 113. That should give me a difference of 17 points at best, not 96. Im not sure how a benched player trade could rise a projected score by nearly 100 points unless I had a player on field with a bye, which I dont. Any ideas or did I break it?

    • Avatar

      Beav5510

      August 25, 2011 at 1:38 pm

      This is because Gibbs is projected for 0 because of the bye mate

      • Avatar

        Skooper

        August 25, 2011 at 4:36 pm

        Not sure how a benched player can add over 100 points to your projected unless he takes the place of another player who is on 0. My midfield is set with all playing and projected 96-131, all good to go. Gibbs on 0 on the bench and if I trade him to Mitchell, my projected goes up by an extra 96 on what it should be. Whos spot does he take to increase that much? My lowest is Bartel at 96. Which means Mitchell would have to be predicted at 192, which he’s not. Im so confused…

  17. Avatar

    mtooler

    August 24, 2011 at 8:14 pm

    A bit of sad news, McVeigh’s daughter has recently passed away.
    http://www.afl.com.au/news/newsarticle/tabid/208/newsid/121847/default.aspx

  18. Avatar

    R2-DT

    August 24, 2011 at 9:03 pm

    Sadly your information is of no use to me this week Calvin, as I lost out last week by 5 points.

    However can someone give me an idea of when the Finals fixture comes out, or have any way of knowing who is playing what night? Wanna head over to Melbourne for the weekend but is all based around when the Hawks are playing.

    Thanks in advance.

    • Avatar

      Willow

      August 24, 2011 at 9:18 pm

      From what ive heard, Cats will probably play Hawks on the Friday night.

      • Avatar

        R2-DT

        August 24, 2011 at 9:45 pm

        Thats what i heard just want to confirm it.

        Thanks though

  19. Avatar

    Reprobates

    August 24, 2011 at 9:04 pm

    Puts us into perspective…thoughts to the McVeigh family.

  20. Avatar

    Reprobates

    August 24, 2011 at 9:09 pm

    As for our teams…very much in the lap of the Gods now no matter what you do, see who is playing/not..go with the gut with those bench players…I have Hopkins on my bench…but he has a bye!

  21. Avatar

    Pavlich29

    August 24, 2011 at 9:36 pm

    I know its a little off-topic but I need to trade Judd and Gibbs who should I trade them for? I can get anyone for them, am thinking…….

    Gibbs > Suckling/Enright (already have Goddard, Deledio, Fisher, S.Martin, and Adcock)

    Judd > Rockliff/Shiels (already have Swan, Pendles, Boyd, Redden and Mitchell)

    Thoughts?

    • Avatar

      James

      August 24, 2011 at 10:47 pm

      I think you should go Suckling and Ablett. I know you didn’t shortlist Gazza, but Shiels may need a rest after a taxing season (Rd 24 is the perfect time) and Rockliff has to play Sydney at the SCG (not ideal). However if you’re really dead set on either of those two, Rockliff is probably best.

  22. Avatar

    Randomdent

    August 24, 2011 at 9:43 pm

    I’ve had Stants since round 1. his last 8 or so weeeks have been epic.

    Have a ‘C’ for a reward, buddy.

    I had a special trade for you next week, but with Pav out for the rest of the year, looks like you’ll be a 24 round keeper.

    Thanks bud.

    • Avatar

      TheColonel

      August 24, 2011 at 9:53 pm

      he can’t hear you

      • Avatar

        44chappo

        August 24, 2011 at 10:35 pm

        Yes he can. Stanton is a regular contributor to this site and his input is well recieved in the dt talk community.

  23. Avatar

    westy711

    August 25, 2011 at 7:06 am

    Rockliff??? Stevie J at Skilled???

    • Avatar

      Birdy

      August 25, 2011 at 8:35 am

      dunno about rocky but stevie has had some good results against the swans recently, could be a good unique pick

  24. Avatar

    orbs

    August 25, 2011 at 8:52 am

    Sorry this is off topic. But i have heard that next year the league comp will be expanded to 18. Is this correct or just rumour??

  25. Avatar

    choices

    August 25, 2011 at 9:59 am

    Who are the heavy taggers from Melbourne?

    • Avatar

      PurpleArmy

      August 25, 2011 at 9:54 pm

      ive seen Bartam, Mckenzie and maybe Cale Morton tag in the past…..no real big names

  26. HereIam86

    HereIam86

    August 25, 2011 at 7:06 pm

    I’m going with Swannie Freo has alot of it’s top players out Swannie will rack it up.

  27. Avatar

    dools

    August 25, 2011 at 8:58 pm

    I have no choice but to go a roughy this week as I’m in 2 prelims and having to wear a donut in defence and have been running a skeleton team for about 3 weeks since I used up my last trade. Really hard to pick out of tommo, sammy or boyd, not really considering pendles. bottomline is if I go swan I’m already gone.

  28. Avatar

    magpies01

    August 25, 2011 at 9:53 pm

    What does everyone think of these trades –

    Pavlich -> ROK
    Sylvia -> Harvey

    Leaves me with 1 trade and only Heppell to trade. Also leaves me with $60,000 in the bank. Have Gibbs and Judd resting on the bench with Gu and Poo covering.

    Thoughts?

  29. Avatar

    guffy72

    August 26, 2011 at 5:24 pm

    No one concerned Swannie starting on the bench?
    If the game’s over at half time, he’ll get subbed if he doesn’t start as sub?

    • Avatar

      The x Factor

      August 26, 2011 at 6:00 pm

      always starts on bench buddy

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