Fry’s Forgotten Few – Round 20

Four points… That is what separated me from finals action this season as I lost my final league matchup by a solitary tackle, pushing me into Richmond’s usual seat at 9th. JPK, J.Selwood, Yeo, Laird’s failures with just seven scores of 100+ sums up my season in 2017. FFS.

With my focus now on the rest of you lucky bastards who are in a final, the Forgotten Few over the next few weeks will be structured a little bit differently. I’ll be looking at players not only with low ownership but by taking a large number of things into account, such as: their risk of being rested, their form and how tough their upcoming opponents are via Cal’s Scale of Hardness. Every little advantage you can get over your potential finals opponent will be required to deliver premiership glory, so let’s get stuck in!

POD’S

DEFENCE 

Top Choices: Hibberd (Demons), Hunt (Demons), McDonald (Roos)

Next Up: Biggs (Bulldogs), Scilly (Hawks), Crisp (Magpies)

It’s tough to call Hibberd a POD with 12% ownership, but considering his numbers he is under owned. Currently the 2nd best defender based on a 3 round average, I purchased Hibberd last week and was not disappointed. His fellow teammate Jayden Hunt has shown he isn’t a flash in the pan with 93 last week to back up his two consecutive scores of 111 and the consistent Luke McDonald with a five round average over 95 definitely deserves consideration.

Biggs, Sicily and Crisp are all potential Draft smokies who could be worth taking a gamble on if you are chasing a replacement for Connor Blakely. I rank Crisp at the top of the bunch, but there is a high chance that he would have been snapped up already, therefore I’ve got Biggs second.

MIDFIELD

Top Choices: M.Crouch (Crows), Cotchin (Tigers), Ross (Saints)

Next Up: Jones (Demons), Dunstan (Saints), Sheils (Hawks)

Remember that Adelaide does have the toughest run home, but Matt Crouch has only dipped below 100 once since the byes and that was with a 99. The Tigers have a much easier run and Cotchin is hitting his stride at the right time (105.7 in his last three) and you already know about how undervalued Seb Ross from St Kilda has been all year.

If you are lucky enough to find Nathan Jones on your scrap heap in Draft then stop reading and add him NOW! If you aren’t so lucky maybe the in-form Sheils who has gone at 96.8 since his bye. If he isn’t available either then Dunstan going 107 and 116 since his return is worth keeping your eye on.

Image result for matt crouch

RUCK

Top Choices: Gawn (Demons), McEvoy (Hawks)

Next Up: Simpson (Giants), Goldstein (Roos)

I myself will be jumping on the Max Gawn train this week (pending the rumours that Darcy is out) and won’t look back. McEvoy’s form and solid fixtures might mean he is an option but proceed with caution.

Want a downgrade option or you need someone to score for you in Draft? Dawson Simpson (98) starred in his Giants debut and is a viable option. Todd Goldstein continues to do the right thing and push for a recall to the big boys league and is also worth considering given North’s run home.

FORWARD

Top Choices: R.Gray (Power), Smith (Hawks), Taylor (Lions)

Next Up: Wells (Magpies), Higgins (Roos), Lester (Lions)

Robbie Gray is the value pick of the comp in my eyes and is on top of most people trade target list. With reliable forward options hard to come by he and Isaac Smith are both serious value for money and could help swing Finals results in your favour. Lewis Taylor isn’t a name thrown around in AFL Fantasy circles too often but after going 93, 88 and 109 he is on many peoples radar.

The chance that Daniel Wells and Shaun Higgins are available in Draft is small, but still, if they are there then they deserve a spot in your team. Wells is a wild card but could win you a final if he produces a game like last week and Higgins’ numbers (101.5 in his last four) speak for themselves. If Lewis Taylor is the unspoken Lion then Ryan Lester is barely an afterthought. Keep your eye on the yo-yo Lion who has both 100’s and 30’s on his resume in recent times.


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The Three Big Questions Of Round 20

Do We Trade Or Hold Danger?

Easily the most popular question of the week revolves around Geelong star and one the most expensive players in the competition, Patrick Dangerfield. With all the carnage that seems to be on its way, I will be holding Danger as trading injury ridden players (JPK) takes priority over a one-week suspension. Make your decisions depending on your own situation though, with elimination final teams opting to trade and top four finals teams likely to hold.

Are The Taggers Here To Stay?

Robertson, Hutchings, Selwood. These three are just a few of the ‘run with’ players that have ruined premo’s scores in the past few weeks. It doesn’t bode well for teams who are coming up against potential taggers in the near future, with our Fantasy team praying our premiums can dodge a bullet. I don’t know about you but I swear there haven’t been as many taggers running amok in recent times and I’m praying they aren’t back to stay.

How Much Should We Overreact To Luke Ryan’s Form?

I was one of the owners who decided to cash in on Ryan’s growth when he was dropped a few weeks ago, so I wasn’t able to benefit from his 138 on the weekend. The owners that did though are dancing in the streets and are toying with the idea of playing him on the field and further benching Jake Lloyd or trading out Blakely and fielding the other Docker defender. With Gold Coast at home this week he should once again score well, but don’t expect Ryan to churn out too many more of these ridiculous scores with a tough end to the season coming up for Freo.

Image result for patrick dangerfield

Back From The Dead

Despite the lack of big names back in the team, there were still plenty of decent scores by most. Most…but not all.

Coniglio, Giants (104) – Responded from a long injury layoff with a ton. Could prove to be a finals MVP if he keeps his form up.

Mackie, Cats (103) – After a few weeks off Mackie reeled off his 3rd ton of the year. Then again it was raining 100’s for Geelong, so don’t expect this output weekly.

Mitchell, Eagles (101) – Hopefully, with a step into the coaches box on the horizon, Mitchell can go out with a bang.

Ziebell, Roos (96) – Not exactly a stellar showing after his week off.

Miles, Tigers (95) – His top score of the season in just his 4th match. Keep an eye on him.

Pittard, Power (91) – A large number of owners (especially in Draft) will rejoice with Pittard’s return.

Houli, Tigers (82) – I tabbed Houli as one of the must get trade targets last week. Did my reputation wonders last week. Cheers Bachar 🖕.

Cameron, Giants (67) – An injury to the Giants forward will hurt a few Draft owners.

Marchbank, Blues (31) – A one-time popular rook had risen in price by nearly $200K before his dismal score on the weekend.

Got a question that needs answering? Feel free to leave a comment below or message me on Twitter @_alexfry6) and I’ll get back to you!

Peace 

43 Comments

  • DEF: Docherty, TAdams, Laird, Hibberd, Lloyd*, Newnes (LRyan, Willis*)

    MID: Titchell, Danger*, Dusty, Zerrett, MMurphy, Hannebery, Jelwood, Witherden (HGreenwood, CGlass)

    RUC: Grundy, Darcy* (Buzza, Cameron*)

    FWD: Macrae, Menegola, Heeney, Sheed, Dahlhaus, Hoskin-Elliott (LYoung, Beech*)

    *Potential or Guaranteed Out

    $246k remaining

    Elimination finals this week but leaning towards holding Danger and playing Ryan or Greenwood in his place, plus cutting Hannebery after the past frustrating month since I got him.

    (TRADE 1)
    Hannebery for Beams

    (TRADE 2)
    Darcy to Gawn
    OR
    WHE/Newnes/Greenwood to Sidebottom/Treloar

    Thoughts?
    Thanks

    • If you’re going to hold Danger then getting Hanners for Beams is a good move. That being said if Darcy is out I like the looks of the second trade and would recommend Greenwood>Sidebottom.

      Good luck!

  • What are these Darcy rumours?

    • There is nothing confirmed, but there are stories on the Twittersphere and across the league that Darcy is going to be put on ice for the rest of the year to avoid any potential injuries. I’m praying that they are just whispers, but Thursday night will tell us the truth!

  • Treloar or beams or Sidebottom

  • Is Beams shoulder any cause for concern?? Thinking about trading him for danger but think there might be better options

    • I’m a bit 50/50 on getting Beams for the same reason, who else are you considering? What MID’s don’t you + how much $$$ do you have?

  • Luke Ryan will play Blakely’s role for the rest of the year. And considering how much time the ball is in freos defence would not be at all surprised if he continues to rack them up. Am going to field both him and witheden this week and use the Blakely cash elsewhere.

    • Wise move. I don’t know if we can expect these huge 100’s out of him, but he will be good for a 70/80 at least

    • I’ve put Blakely on the pine and Ryan on the field to see if he gets the role or not. If he scores well, I will be downgrading Blaklely, but if Ryan scores average I will upgrade Blakely to Doch.

    • Surely a Sheridan or someone of that sort comes in though.Ryan will be good for low to mid 80s, but not 100+ imo.

  • What do you think of Zaharakis Fry?? I’m bringing him in this week
    Trades are: Danger to Zorko, K.Lambert to Zaha

    • Team Now:
      Def: Adams,Simpson,Hurley,Laird,Witherden,L.Ryan (Blakely,Z.Guthrie)
      Mids: Titch,Zorko,Dusty,Zerrett,Zaharakis,Treloar,Beams,Rocky (Mountford,Cousins)
      Rucks: Grundy,Darcy (Buzza,Cameron)
      Fwds: Sidey,MAcrae,Dahl,Yeo,Heeney,Greenwood (Young,Fisher)
      Cash left $43k
      I DPP Sidey to Fwd to trade Lambert to Zaha

      • They sound like pretty fantastic trades! The Dons do have Adelaide next week, but it’s likely they will be ruthless for the rest of the season with a finals spot up for grabs. The fact that you are able to get rid of Lambert is an added bonus!

  • With many planning to trade Danger out, how many are thinking of bringing him straight back in the following week? Hope you save some coin for that.

    • Don’t plan on bringing him back in with so many injuries at the moment, premos being rested and what not. I have more than enough players to upgrade and/or get rid of, I just can’t manage to fit him into one of my two precious trades for the week

    • I think if we get rid of Danger you are parting ways with him for the rest of the season. Considering the $$$ he is worth and the fact that there are so many moves that you can execute with that extra dough means it would be REALLY tough to bring him back in

  • Dammit why did Witts have to get injured?? Another out for me on top of Danger with JPK, Darcy and Rockliff all potential outs.

    Witts to Gawn or someone else?? Cash is no issue for me

    • Ruined what was a great season so far!! I’m dreading Thursday night. With a low BE and favourable fixture Gawn seems like the pick from here on out. Although it’s hard to ignore either Grundy or Stef

    • Yeah, in RDT I have Kreuzer, Witts and Darcy as my rucks, all touted as being out this week. In mids I have Danger and JPK. In defence I have Lloyd and up forward I’ve got Greene.

      First week of finals looks like being basically a walkover for my opponent. Thank fk I’m not still in Eliminator!

  • Hey, I’ve got the danger Blakely double. Pick two: zorko, Duncan, crouches, Ross, cog, Kelly, zaharakis, Gibbs.

    At this stage I’m going zorko and cog. Thoughts?.

    • Zorko easy number one, I need to see another week from Cog, but given his price, he or Zaka are the ones to go

  • DEF: Doch, Adams, Laird, Burton, Witherden, Lloyd (Ryan, Rice)
    MID: Danger, Titch, Zerrett, Dusty, Rocky, Jelwood, Fyfe Greenwood (Hibberd, Pickett)
    RUCK: Martin, Darcy (Cameron, Soldo)
    FWD: Macrae, Heeney, Hill, Menegola, Dahlhaus, Thomas (Black, Miles)

    TRADES
    1. Josh Thomas to Luke Partington
    2. Hugh Greenwood to Dayne Beams

    • Given the fact that they will be playing on your field, lock in the 2nd trade every day of the week

      • Nah Fry, team looks like this after trades:

        DEF: Doch, Adams, Laird, Lloyd, Witherden, Ryan (Hibberd, Rice)
        MID: Titch, Danger, Zerrett, Dusty, Rocky, Jelwood, Beams, Fyfe (Partington, Miles)
        RUCK: Martin, Darcy (Soldo, Cameron)
        FWD: Macrae, Hill, Heeney, Menegola, Dahlhaus, Burton (Black, Pickett)

        +$253K to upgrade Burton to Sidey and also upgrade Darcy to either Gawn or another underpriced ruck

        • Right, I’m with you now.
          I think it’s smart to chop Burton at this point, even though he does have a cushy run coming up.
          Depends a bit on teams though, if Darcy’s out then he will become Max Gawn for me too.

          I think the smartest thing to do is just look at your weakest players on the field (that is unless there are forced trades because of injury or suspension). Trading out the likes of Greenwood, Thomas and Burton are probably the moves you need to look at making. Then again team selection could throw it all into flux.

          • Yeah I understand, Sidey’s price might go down a bit more with a BE of 127 and a 18% chance of achieving it. Burton has done his job, but has begun scoring low 80’s, high 70s

          • Yeah I understand, Sidey’s price might go down a bit more with a BE of 127 and a 18% chance of achieving it. Burton has done his job, but has begun scoring low 80’s, high 70s and needs to be moved on

          • Yeah I understand, Sidey’s price might go down a bit more with a BE of 127 and a 18% chance of achieving it. Burton has done his job, but has begun scoring low 80’s, high 70s and needs to be moved on. I’m doing some bench downgrades to build up my war chest to finish the season strongly.

          • Sorry bout the repeats, web browser causing issues.

          • I can see the temptation on waiting for Sidey. However, we might be met with another slew of outs next week, therefore I think it’s wise to pull the trigger on the trade for him now.

  • Thanks for the great write up Fry you legend!

  • Thoughts on danger to dusty.
    Jpk to glass and swing glass into defence for witherden and then field Ryan in defence. So essentially witherden will take jpk spot in midfield. Will leave me with 521k in the bank for next week and a projected score of 2188 this round

    • Love it!! As a Dusty owner for the past month, I can vouch for him. May have a tough time against the Hawks, but I have a hunch he can go BIG for the rest of the year

  • Getting rid of Blakely and JPK this wee and holding Danger. Which two mids should I get out of Beams, Treloar, B Crouch (already have Matt), Duncan, Zaharakis, Kelly and Ross?

  • Thoughts on Gray’s scoring potential once Wingard comes back in a week or two??

    • I think it will likely go down with Gray moving back to the FWD line, although I still think he can put 85’s and the likes from here on out as they gun for a top four spot

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