Jeppa’s Juniors – Round 16

At this stage of the game it’s about the dollars. Generating cash has been extremely difficult all season but it’s around this time of year where a few fresh faces gain opportunities for teams that can’t make finals. You need to be bringing in the cheap rooks, take some risks and start to throw away your D8, M10 and F8 positions.

Those That Matter

It took him a while to get going but David Myers (Mid. $307,000, 32 be AF. $284,200, 17 be DT) is finally hitting his straps. Looking far more confident, his second and third efforts were noticeable and he finished with 31 possessions and 103 Fantasy points against the Pies. He’s perfect back up for your midfield.

Sean Darcy 82 (Ruc. $303,000, -10 be AF. $224,500, -71 be DT) and Alex Witherden 82 (Def/Mid. $305,000, 2 be AF. $214,400, -58 be DT) are the new kids on the block absolutely kicking butt on the field. Many coaches are sleeping easy knowing these youngsters are in their starting 22. At this stage of the game, I wouldn’t recommend that the non-owners spend $300k+ on either Darcy or Witherden unless you’re looking at trading Stefan Martin to the big Freo youngster.

Luke Ryan 88 (Def. $272,000, 1 be AF. $258,400, -21 be DT) and Mitchell Hibberd 87 (Def/Mid. $187,000, -8 be AF. $170,900, -34 be DT) are both looking super confident for their respective sides. It was easily the best game they’ve played to date but I’d only back in Ryan as a starting defender. Hibberd is still raw and will be up and down but Ryan has maturity on his side and he’ll get plenty of touches against my Eagles this Sunday. Hibberd is still cheap enough to trade in and the non-owners should look to utilise his dual position status…it will come in handy!

Don’t get too excited by Ryan Nyhuis (Def. $168,000, 2 be AF. $125,300 DT) in a Fantasy sense. Sure, he kicked 4 goals on debut but that only equated to 67 Fantasy points. His role was to lock down Robbie Tarrant and not so much to win the footy. If Ross the Boss played him as a defender (his natural position) then I’d endorse him heavier but I reckon he averages less than 60 from this point forward. With all that said, Nyhuis will come into my Fantasy team this week as a throw away D8.

Daniel Nielson (Def. $160,000, 14 be AF. $132,400 DT) did a great job in defence against Freo keeping Shane Kersten pretty quiet. Scoring only 49 Fantasy points is about par for key defenders but I can see him staying in the seniors for the rest of the season. Neilson is perfect for your D8 position in Fantasy. Another cheaper defender to consider is Joel Smith 27 (Def. $150,000, 46 be AF. $125,300, 25 be DT). He couldn’t get going last weekend in his return game since Round 1 but the talent is there. Put Smith on your watchlist.

Notable mentions to Matt Scharenberg 71 (Def. $295,000, 30 be AF. $264,600, 9 be DT), Josh Thomas 66 (Fwd/Mid. $304,000, 33 be AF. $207,000, -30 be DT), Declan Mountford 66 (Mid. $268,000, 11 be AF. $255,800, -13 be DT) and Brennan Cox 51 (Def/Fwd. $231,000, 13 be AF. $213,200, 1 be DT). All four players did their jobs and should hold their spot in the seniors this week. A popular pick who is likely to get dropped this week is Wylie Buzza (Ruc/Fwd. $177,000, 15 be AF. $132,400, -19 be DT). The big fella was imposing but wasn’t as clean as he needed to be up forward, amassing just 9 possessions and 34 Fantasy points.

Joe Atley (Mid. $192,000, 28 be AF. $125,300 DT) failed to make an impression debut for the Power with only 14 touches and 44 Fantasy points. He’ll make way for Broadbent or Aaron Young this week. Avoid.

KEEP YOUR EYE ON

If Kennedy-Harris can’t get a game then maybe Corey Maynard (Fwd/Mid. $150,000, 29 be AF. $109,300 DT) will. Funnily enough, Maynard has been in my Dreamteam before…NBL Dreamteam that is. The former Townsville Crocodile has swapped basketball for footy and his transition has been seamless, much like Hugh Greenwood. In his last three VFL games he’s averaged an impressive 27 possessions, 4 marks, 9 tackles and 112 Fantasy points. It’s hard to break into the Dees 22 but I reckon Maynard would add some punch inside with Viney out injured. Cheap as chips and he’s a dual position mid / forward.

Recently promoted North rookie Cameron Zurhaar (Fwd. $150,000, 29 be AF. $121,300 DT) is a chance to make his debut this weekend. Powerful and explosive, Zurhaar is an impact player that won’t win a whole lot of the footy but you’ll definitely notice him. Don’t expect huge scores from Zurhaar but he’s a pretty good candidate for your F8 spot given the Kangas are playing the kids.

Hugh Greenwood (Mid/Fwd. $363,000, 36 be AF. $341,600, 3 be DT) owners should know that he was rested last weekend and is set to re-join the seniors this week. Who knows what a refreshed Greenwood will provide.

TOP 5 LISTS

Considering price, scoring potential and job security, here’s my Top 5 rookie options for Round 17:

Fantasy

1   Mitchell Hibberd

2   Sean Darcy (for Stefan Martin only)

3   Ryan Nyhuis

4   Corey Maynard (if named)

5   Daniel Nielson

Dreamteam

1   Alex Witherden

2   Sean Darcy

3   Mitch Hibberd

4   Josh Thomas

5   Ryan Nyhuis

TWITTER Q&A

 Both will play in the Derby but they’re both on thin ice.

He was close a month ago and I’m very surprised he didn’t game last weekend with all the Dees outs. Bottom line is JKH is out of favour.

I’m trading Mountford (BE of 11) this week because I’m desperate to had another promo to my midfield. Premo’s are priority.

Witherden all the way!

Get Doch and field Mountford!

Billy Frampton might get a game if injuries hit Port.

 

60 Comments

  • Who’s more likely to play any more games beech or cousins?

    • Lean towards Cousins with Hawks in a mini rebuild

    • Hard to see Beech getting another game… pushed hard for senior selection and when it eventually came he blew his chance. No impact in the games he played, so unless there’s a run of injuries or someone like Tex needs a rest, he’ll be chilling on yer pine.

      Hopefully Cousins comes back in soon… not really sure why they dropped him as he looked pretty good.

  • Thanks for the best article of the week, Jeppa.

    I’m planning to trade out SPP and Nank (or maybe Stef) for Zorko plus a sub-$200k forward. If JKH, Maynard & Zurhaar don’t come up, what do you think of Tyson Stengle?

  • What to do with Hannebry? Seemed to get his scoring back on track and now its slipped right back down again!

    • Complete your team first then sideways trade to another premo

        • I’m in the same position this week, but I think I want to trade him up to Zorko…
          How about if only fielding Newman, Witherden, Darcy, WHE this week as “non premos”?
          Then going Mountford to J.Selwood next week? Will only have Newman, Darcy and WHE onfield then.

  • zjones and watson to parker and jselwood with 167k left

    or

    zjones and watson to zorko and jselwood with 65k left

    1 or 2 guys

  • Hi Jeppa,

    Thoughts on Begley as a downgrade and is Freeman close to debut for Saints?

    • Richardson said 3 or 4 weeks ago that Freeman probably won’t get a game this year, that given his history they will give him 2017 in the magoos to build up his strength.

    • Begley probably wont come in for the Bombers this week after their good win over the Pies but he will play at some point this season.

      The Saints are mad if they dont pick Freeman. He’s being killing it for a month in the VFL. A form sump by a couple and he’ll play.

  • Worth dumping Greenwood for a Rook if it means I can upgrade Roberton to The Doch??

    Greenwood is on my bench atm with Newnes as M8 and Sheed as F6

    • Or keep Greenwood as bench cover for late out (like JPK last week) and downgrade Loyd to a Rook and bring in Kade?

    • Doch is a must if you want to move up

    • Greenwood expected change is $21k with a BE of 36. Like Jeppa said hard to predict what he can do with a week of rest but I’d only expect significant coin coming in probably this week and next. Depends on your overall structure, but I’d forego 30-40k for Doc, absolutely.

    • Absolutely

  • Hi Jeppa

    Thoughts on my team?
    What two changes do you recommend this week?

    Def
    
Docherty Adams Laird Lloyd Newnes Ryan(Guthrie Willis )
    Mid
    Merrett Dangerfield, tom Mitchell, Rocky JPK Murphy Gaff Mountford (Miles cousins )
    Rucks

    Grundy Gawn ( Cameron Simpson )
    Forward

    Yeo Macrae Dahlhaus Heeney Menegola Buzza (Deluca Pickett )

    • Mountford to Zorko and Buzza to Stevens

    • You desperately need some decent cash cow bench cover otherwise you will run out of both money and on-field players. Swap a couple of those donuts for Hibberd and, say, Nyhuis or, if you have the cash reserves, Darcy. It looks like you have had too many sideways trades in the past.

    • You desperately need to improve your F6, M8 and your non-existent bench cover. I’d trade in a combination of Hibberd, J. Thomas and Witherden for non playing guys

  • Would Michael Hurley be a reliable Defender to have in your Fantasy team?

    • Yes, but averaging 90s. For $1k more you could get Laird. For $1k less you could get Lloyd. For $26k more you could get Montagna. For $28k more you could get Simmo. They’re all averaging over 100, except Lloyd who would be had it not been for his 2.

  • Buzza is an absolute disgrace. Geelong scores 25 goals and he can barely can get involved. Fk off

  • Is willum drew close for port? Named on the extended bench last week. Is he a chance?

  • Ay cheap downgrade options coming up in the ruck? Want to downgrade Preuss but the only option seems to be Buzza who you’re not too confident it seems in keeping his spot?

  • Newman is still my D6 ….. downgrade to witherden to use cash in the midfield?

  • Finally JKH out of the top 5. Career average of 42 points after 25 games. Not fantasy relevant

  • Thoughts on Thomas in Fantasy? Yes he’s expensive but has a fantasy history and could be a nice F6 until finals.

  • Is everyone that has Rocky sticking with him? I’m looking at Rock to Jelwood to free up some cash to get Doch next week. Thoughts?

  • G’day fellas. Thoughts on these trades would be much appreciated:

    Toby Nankervis > Sean Darcy
    Scott Selwood > Joel Selwood

    Leaves me $343K to ‘complete’ my forward-line next week.

    • Look good though why have you kept Scooter until now when he might be back?

      Juicy $$ chest for next week though!
      I did similar last week and hoping to go bang bang to get Macrae and Kreuzer this week!

      • Cheers, mate. I kept Scooter on the assumption that he was going to play against Brisbane last week. Unfortunately he did not and, as a result of the carnage last Thursday night, I had to attend to other aspects of my team.

        Next week, I’m looking to go from Hugh Greenwood and Malcolm Karpany to Sam Menegola and Jack Steele/Koby Stevens.

  • How to these trades sound

    Oliver>Zorko
    Berry>Mitch Hibberd as D8/M10
    33k left

    • Seems fine provided you’ve otherwise completed your team!? Oliver to Zorko is luxurious.

      If it’s d8/m10 you could just go a 150k player instead of Hibberd.

  • Do I win this trade in my draft league?

    I receive toby mclean but i give away touk miller?

  • Great article again mate. What’s your thoughts on these trades guys, Jacobs – Kruezer and Stef – Darcy? Leaves me $313k for next week. Already have Hibberd, witherden, Ryan and Myers.
    Thank you in advance.

  • This week I can get rid of Scooter and Greenwood and pick up Zorko and Jelwood (or Parker but thinking Joel)

    Is it worth waiting a week for Selwood and keeping Greenwood this week. Greenwood’s break even of 2 means he’ll go up more cashola and selwood BE of 130 means he could go down just a little and then pick him up next week generating more mula?

    Thoughts?? or just get Jelwood now and set / forget ?!

  • Newman to Doch or Newnes to Doch? Means Im leaving Greenwood at F6 this week.

    • Exact problem I’ve got, at the moment I’m leaning towards Newman to dock.
      Only reason for me is Newman has gone up 300 odd k, but you havnt made that money until you trade.
      Hope that makes sense

  • Who to start Darcy or Greenwood??

  • Who will score more this week:

    Greenwood or Witherden (who gets the on field spot?)

  • Greenwood or Witherden (who gets the on field spot?)

  • Trade Roberton to Simpson ??

    If I do it this round i could save myself 50k (Simpson will go up and Roberton will go down)

    But will Simpson outscore Roberton enough this week and for the rest of the year for it to be worth it??

  • Hi Jepp,
    Just read your tweet that this will be your last year of Jeppas Juniors.
    Your articles, especially preseason thoughts etc were always so valuable. Seeing available rookies is easy but you were almost 100% with your reasonsing and understanding behind which ones will go big and be keepers.

    I hope the article gets continued next year, but it will be big shoes to fill as we rely on it alot.
    Maybe in 6 years of not writing anymore you might be inducted into the DT Website Hall of Fame with Tbettas Bullets.

  • Jeppa,
    Just read that you’re discontinuing your Juniors. Absolutely gutted to hear it. Your analysis is the most important in the field, and there have been plenty of times deep into the season where you’ve helped me out of a tight spot. Even today I’ve been refreshing my twitter feed, waiting for your revised top 5 in order to make my trades.
    Thank you so much for all your hard work, and your generosity in sharing it over the last few years.
    All the best for the future.
    ps. Maybe just top 5 tweets on Fridays?

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