Jeppa’s Juniors – Round 15

Round 15 was a much-needed morale boost for many Fantasy coaches. Plenty of premos performed but some failed. Ultimately, no team is perfect. Remember to stay disciplined, continue to cash in where appropriate and upgrade to the keeper premiums.

A couple of supreme rooks are must haves for every team this week. Quality youngsters in Witherden and Darcy need to be at the top of your list for their scoring potential and job security. Outsiders like Cox and Karpany may also suit a few in the short term.

Those That Matter

Alex Witherden (Def/Mid. $264,000, -6 be AF. $125,300, -103 be DT) has arrived. Playing well beyond his years, the second gamer was one of the Lions best players in their big win over Essendon. Cool under pressure and a sure thing with the ball in hand, Witherden’s stat line read 29 possessions, 8 marks, 1 tackle and 96 Fantasy points at the final siren. I have no doubt that his name will be synonymous to AFL Fantasy for many years to come. A must have for all coached right now so put him first on your priority list. Gun!

Big fella Sean Darcy (Ruc. $251,000, -28 be AF. $125,300, -124 be DT) is making some waves scoring 114 Fantasy points in just his second AFL match. All 111 kilos of him are pretty useful at the stoppages and he proved against the Saints that he can also take a grab and kick a goal. With Sandi gone for the year, Darcy will play a major role but don’t be surprised if it’s alongside Jon Griffin. Coaches need to remember that Darcy is just 19 years old and he will tire quickly if he doesn’t get some help. Assuming Darcy does share the ruck load, it means he scores around 70 Fantasy points per game which isn’t enough as an R2. I’m chasing Bryce Gibbs this week so I may still take the punt by trading Stefan Martin. No matter the scenario, Darcy is a required player for all Fantasy and Dreamteam coaches.

Malcolm Karpany (Fwd/Mid. $238,000, -7 be AF. $246,000, -11 be DT) had a breakout game against the Dogs and he may force Eagles champ LeCras, the bloke he replaced, to East Perth. I’ve never recommended Karpany in the past because of his job security concerns and I’m still sceptical because it’s likely he’ll be dropped after just one bad game for Lecca or Partington. Karpany’s 17 possession, 3 goal and 95 Fantasy point performance against the Dogs last Saturday will lock him in for this week at least. If he was say $180k then I probably would have taken the punt but he’s bench cover for me so it’s not worth the risk.

Brennan Cox’s (Def/Fwd. $208,000, 2 be AF. $168,500, -42 be DT) flexibility is keeping him in Freo’s 22. Primarily a key defender, Cox came into the seniors to fill a void up forward and as well as taking contested marks, he’s been pinch hitting in the ruck also. Against the Saints he racked up 13 possessions, 6 marks, 2 hitouts, 2 tackles, 1 goal and 67 Fantasy points. If he didn’t cop a corkie in the third term he would have scored a plenty more I reckon. Now that he’s proven himself, I have Cox in my sights. His dual position status as a defender/forward will come in handy when it’s time to trade.

Young tagger Declan Mountford (Mid. $236,000, -1 be AF. $218,200, -13 be DT) had the best game of his short career. Brad Scott must rate the kid if he gave him the run with job on maestro Gary Ablett! Chasing Gary meant Mountford finished with a whopping 10 tackles to go with 17 possessions, 3 marks and 90 Fantasy points. I wouldn’t think this kind of performance would be a regular thing from Mountford (scored 44 in Round 14) and I wouldn’t start him on your field as a result. Owners should enjoy the short-term cash earnings. Non-owners should avoid him.

After his first game in two years, Josh Thomas (Fwd/Mid. $288,000, 33 be AF. $207,000 DT) becomes relevant in Dreamteam. The midfielder is pricey but he can rack up the possessions on the outside with Treloar, Adams, Pendles, etc feeding it to him. He had 21 touches and 80 Fantasy points against the Hawks but I wouldn’t spend the extra in Fantasy with Witherden and Darcy available. As a dual position forward/mid, I am seriously looking at Thomas as back up for Dreamteam. Matthew White 93 (Fwd/Mid. $329,000, 23 be AF. $274,600, -25 be DT) is another worthy of Dreamteam selection. Not for me at that price though given there are guarantees with his job security. Might suit a few.

Luke Ryan 77 (Def. $232,000, 4 be AF. $215,200, -2 be DT) and Aaron Black 66 (Fwd. $290,000, 21 be AF. $245,900, -2 be DT) both performed admirabily and it appears they’ll hold their spot in the seniors. Well done to those patient owners that held Black.

Geelong’s Wylie Buzza (Ruc/Fwd. $165,000, 9 be AF. $132,400 DT) was a late inclusion for Menzel against the Giants and he definitely played his role. Playing as a pure forward, Buzz kicked 2 goals and laid an impressive 7 tackles for 59 Fantasy points but there’s no job security here so don’t trade him in if you’re going to be dependent on his scores.

Other than Nic Newman 116 (Def. $504,000, 77 be AF. $496,600, 82 be DT), I’d be trading the likes of Sam Powell-Pepper 90 (Mid. $408,000, 53 be AF. $403,600, 42 be DT), Hugh Greenwood 66 (Mid/Fwd. $363,000, 36 be AF. $341,600, 2 be DT) and Caleb Marchbank 44 (Def. $398,000, 105 be AF. $382,100, 110 be DT) to fill a premo spot. It’s definitely the time and these rooks have done their jobs.

The sub 50 club in Round 15 includes Sam Simpson 47 (Fwd. $159,000, 16 be AF. $109,300 DT), Mitchell Hibberd 43 (Def/Mid. $155,000, 20 be AF. $132,400, 7be DT), Jonathon Beech 39 (Fwd. $211,000, 20 be AF. $168,500, 7 be DT), Tyson Stengle 38 (Fwd. $155,000, 22 be AF. $128,500 DT), Zach Guthrie 37 (Def. $154,000, 21 be AF. $109,300 DT) and Ciaran Sheehan 33 (Def. $152,000, 24 be AF. $125,300 DT). You could pick Hibberd as a throw away bench spot given his dual position status.

KEEP YOUR EYE ON

Don’t ask me to pronounce his name but Ryan Nyhuis (Def. $150,000, 29 be AF. $125,300 DT) is in line to make his debut for Freo. The lad from the Northern Territory is a smart defender that can lock down anyone. He’s kept the best WAFL players at bay and was BOG on the weekend after racking up 25 kicks, 5 handballs, 6 marks, 4 tackles and 120 Fantasy points. It’s hard to know who Nyhuis comes in for but it could well be Sandi if Ross backs in Darcy as a sole ruck. Nyhuis won’t have great job security so tread carefully.

The previously mentioned Jay Kennedy-Harris (Fwd. $195,000, 23 be AF. $184,500, 32 be DT) is a decent chance to come in for the suspended Tom Bugg or the injured Jack Viney. The 3rd year player had another outstanding VFL match on the weekend with 25 possessions, 8 tackles, 1 goal and 107 Fantasy points. C’mon Goodwin, give him another go!

David Myers (Mid. $284,000, 56 be AF. $261,100, 54 be DT), Brett Eddy (Fwd. $179,000, 17 be AF. $139,000, -26 be DT) and James Cousins (Mid. $215,000, 17 be AF. $160,200, -11 be DT) are all in line for an AFL recall after recent hot form in the reserves.

 

TOP 5 LISTS

Considering price, scoring potential and job security, here’s my Top 5 rookie options for Round 16:

Fantasy

1   Alex Witherden

2   Sean Darcy

3   Brennan Cox

4   Malcolm Karpany

5   Jay Kennedy-Harris (if named)

Dreamteam

1   Alex Witherden

2   Sean Darcy

3   Brennan Cox

4   Josh Thomas

5   Malcolm Karpany

 

TWITTER Q&A

Absolutely not. I’m thinking of doing it myself to land Bryce Gibbs.

Yes. Don’t hesitate.

Offload Ainsworth mate.

Based on his stats, yes you’re correct however, Richardson has stated that he’s very unlikely to play at the highest level this season.

Nope. I’m getting him this week.

Will be back at some point soon. Hold.

Yep. They’re both must haves.

115 Comments

  • Keep an eye for Jack Graham and Ryan Garthwaite from the Tigers.

  • I know you’re the pro, but I’m not sure it’s “definitely the time” to trade Greenwood. The kid scored 122 a game ago, and still has a BE of 36. There’s surely another week or two in him.

    • “If you can get him to a premo” is the condition to trade Greenwood. Same goes with SPP. They are scoring well, but they won’t reach the consistent heights of a Titch, Zorko, Sidey, Pendles or Dusty.

  • JKH is suspended – club imposed for having too many froths

    • My understanding was it was suspended from senior selection and was one game and served last week but happy to be corrected

    • The suspension was for last week’s game against Sydney. He is eligible – and most likely going to – to be selected this week, as a result of Bugg and Viney’s long-term absences.

  • Thanks Jeppa. Great to have some positive rookie news at last.
    Was planning to go to Parker & Menegola for Scooter and Dahlhaus, but everyone is shouting Darcy at me. Should I instead put Nank out for Darcy and the cash grab? It will mean having Buzz at F7 and keeping an underperforming Dahlhaus (or Scooter if named).

    • Oh, and Greenwood at F6.

      • Wait for teams
        Those seem decent trades but is it worth getting menegola for Dahl? I feel they both average in 90s, and you spend money.
        With Darcy you at least lock in a cash boost, and hopefully don’t lose much on points if r2, and just pure cash if you trade from your Ruck bench.

      • Why not push nank to forwards n trade someone else.. jus a thought :)

    • Look to upgrade Greenwood mate by cashing in on one of these rooks

      • Jeppa
        Would you consider “splitting the atom” with Greenwood to create 2 strong money making rooks from 1 strong money making rook?
        Greenwood (or R Gray!) + Cousins is really the only way to get Darcy (R2 with Ryder moved to F5/6) and Witherden (at M9) this week.
        Greenwood would be F7 if I keep him.
        Burton & Darcy would be only onfield rooks.

  • Already downgrading Nank to Darcy, should I go SPP to witherden or a gun mid like Zorko/Martin?

  • This is my favourite weekly article. Thanks Jeppa. Thumbs up.

  • Is it worth trading Parsons (dpp) to Darcy and bringing Buzza to fwd line. A little hesitant coz that leaves CBrown and Buzza as my back up forwards. And I can see Buzza not playing again after this week.

    Will Brown (Coll) get another run? Or has he had his time?

    • I’m in a similar boat:
      Parsons should get a bit more of a price rise (BE still 40) so will hold another week or two.
      Brown not playing so goes for me this week. Getting Karpany for him most likely.

      If Brown is named then parsons probably goes for me instead.

    • Buzza kicked a couple of goals and otherwise competed very well. I see Black getting dropped before him.

    • Brown has DPP so you could move him to the midfield a week later if someone new comes along but thats unliekly.

      My fwd bench is Brown and Polson! Haha

  • Do you get a tom Mitchell
    If I do so it can get my midfield absolutely premium, or do I save the 70k and get a Zorko, Pendlebury, Sidebottom, Kelly

    If I save the 70 k it can get me
    Greenwood – To any forward next week

    If I get titch it will leave me $508k for a forward next week

    Thoughts and opinions please!! :) thanks guys

    • Zorko and Sidey are the only two I would be considering of those. Titch is a weekly captain option so you need to consider that.
      Also the forwards are hopeless this year – if you could any of them which would it be? And do you trust that person more than a sub 508 guy? If so then go for it. Otherwise just get premo mids who actually perform!

      • With $508k
        Still leaves me with
        Isaac smith, nick Riewoldt, travis boak so options are still there

        Thanks mate, I’m getting Titch!

        Leaves my midfield with
        Tom Mitchell, tom Rockliff, Patrick Dangerfield, Zach Merrett, josh Kennedy, Taylor Adams, Dustin Martin ( mountford, Hubbard )

        • Excellent midfield but I think you should consider moving T.Adams to defence mate. He’s holding up a spot for another midfield premo especially with the unreliable crop of defenders we have this year.

  • should i double downgrade for darcy and witherdren or just grab darcy and upgrade barrett to jake lloyd who plays GC in sydney

  • Begley for Essendon is good choice? Or should I go Nank to forward and get Darcy, then upgrade Sloane (dropped 85K and hates a tag!) to get Gibbs, Ablett or Josh Kelly as mid 8?

  • Nank or Stef for Darcy?

  • DEF: Docherty, Adams, Newnes, Laird, Marchbank, Witherden (Scharenberg, Ryan)
    MID: Mitchell, Dangerfield, Merrett, Rockliff, Treloar, Hannebery, Lloyd, Powell-Pepper (Cousins, Mountford)
    RUCK: Grundy, Martin (Cameron, Buzza)
    FWD: Yeo, Heeney, Macrae, Dahlhaus, Nankervis, Greenwood (Lloyd, Polson)

    Cash: $125k

    Looking to trade Marchbank to a mid via Lloyd and then do a downgrade somewhere thoughts on what to do? Cheers, would also be nice to get Darcy in if possible.

    • Big call but trade SPP bring lloyd to mid bench field mountford swing buzzard to ya fwd bench and grab Darcy

      • Not sure I trust Mountford on field, what about this big call going Martin to Darcy and Marchbank (via Lloyd) to Ablett?

        • Martin will go well this week at home to the cats mountford will go alright playing pure mid as a tagger means he’s led to the footy alot and he loves a man cuddle too probs ave same as spp over rest of year spp has had some very average games too

        • Dusty Martin over ablett for me

        • Do that. I don’t trust Stef personally

  • I did same trade but with Barrett as I don’t have spp

  • Stef- Darcy and hanners- Gibbs? Thoughts or should I trade Barrett instead

  • Worth trading darcy Cameron to buzza and swinging ryder forward to get butler on the bench and feilding darcy in R2?

    • Can you dump Butler? No more cash gains.
      Buzza won’t play for long I don’t reckon. Wait for teams.

  • with no cash this week is it worth going greenwood-witherden for m8 which then allows me to get darcy at R3??

  • Need help with trades this week. Have 16k in the bank!
    Suggestions welcome
    Thinking of going Scharenberg – M.Hibberd and Barrett – Walters. What are people’s thoughts?

    Doch, Laird, Shaw, Adams, Newman Scharenberg,(Witherden,Ryan)

    Rocky,Danger,Merrett,Tmich,Ablett,Hanners,JPK, Sidey( Mountford, Cunico)

    Martin, Jacobs( King, Cameron)

    Macrae, Buddy, Volt, Gray,Greenwood, Barrett(JKH, Beech)

    • If Stephen Hill comes back in, Walters will lose his midfield time. Beware.

      • That’s true, what should I look at doing then? Is Darcy a must trade in this week??

        • I’ve brought in Lambert for Barrett. I’m just taking risks now to climb up (hopefully) the rankings. My other trade was Stef to Darcy. I need the cash to get Doch ASAP

  • Have Witherdan, can’t get Darcy.

    Guess Hibberd is the one to get in for T.Williamson then?

  • Barrett to Witherden and Greenwood to Sheed/Yeo good trades?

  • Hey Jeppa great write up. Interesting thoughts on Karpany.
    Thoughts on Hawks kids getting another game – Cousins and Miles?

  • Jeppa – what chances Joel Smith and Taia Miles coming back soon?

    • Joel Smith done for the year I’m pretty sure… stuffed his ankle on his road to recovery. Don’t know about Miles.

    • Miles is a chance to return, 2nd best in the magoos on the weekend.. It’s just whether Hawks opt to change a winning side.. Hope he does though, has been rotting on my bench for many weeks.

      • +1.
        Hey Angry – do you mean Tim Smith? He might be a chance to get back soon from his shoulder… hopefully get more than his 18 in R1.

  • Who are the best mids to get out of:

    Martin
    Sidebottom
    Zorko
    Pendles
    Parker
    Ablett

    Will get 2 next week for Scooter and Greenwood!

  • How are you getting witherdon, darcy and gibbs jeppa… you got 3 trades mate?

  • Greenwood to Gibbs or Sloane to Gibbs (Greenwood to JPK next week)? Is Sloane due for a big one vs Dogs or will he stink again?

  • Can anyone shed any light on their recommendations for his upgrade and why?
    I am tossing up between: Heeney,Macrae,Billings and Menegola… I have a budget of $615K…
    I am honestly tossing up between menegola and macrae, if you compared both their next month-
    the selwoods coming back and the bulldogs not hitting their straps but macrae has still been consistent, they are both consistent but I think that macrae will benefit from the bulldogs run and should lift their form… what do you guys think?

    Cheers lads!

  • Anyone else probably skipping on Witherden & Darcy? Just thinking they’ll need to play and score similarly for the next 5 or so games for it to be worth spending the extra $100k over a Buzza, Guthrie, Hibberd, or new $150k rook if named. This is assuming they’ll be D7/R3 of course.

    • I’ve gone double upgrade this week as I already had a bunch of dosh to splash around… last thing I need is $1m in the bank. Every $500k sitting idle is about 100 points you don’t get.

    • Already got Witherden but I’m skipping on Darcy. I have Grundy and Kruez in the rucks and I dont see the point in so much coin sitting at R3. By the time he has made enough to be worth it the season will almost be over.

  • Worth trading out rocky for a luke parker? some cash generation with a BE of 62 for parker. planning to do march bank for darcy and then field darcy at r2.

    This leaves me with 227k in the bank.

    greenwood to ablett becomes the priority next week. i already have witherden at d6.

  • Darcy not worth it as R2? My Rucks are Grundy and Stef and obviously the one to cash in would be stef? or not worth the risk playing darcy at R2? just stick with stef?

  • Is it worth getting Dusty in this week instead of Parker?
    Parker is great value at the moment and Dusty will probably stay around the same price for a few weeks.

    • At $5621 per point, Parker’s not really great value unless you plan on selling him again later. If you’re gonna do that though, why get Parker and not a proper cash cow? Don’t really understand the logic…

      • parker could easily go 110-115 for the rest of the year i feel. proven premo mid. so he’s huge value and could be more reliable on the run home

        • In his last 14 games he’s gone over 100 three times. Find me a higher priced mid with a worse record…

      • I will back Parker to average over 100 for the rest of the season. With every game treated like a final for the swans, I think he will tear it up. Got to remember I am bringing him in for his future scores, not his past scores. He’s averaging 110 in his last 4 games. So for me, he is great value and I’m bringing him in as a keeper. Got 2 premo spots left in my midfield. Dusty is probably the last piece of the puzzle.

        • It’s anyone guess.
          Hanners turned a corner just before byes and looked like back to his best too…
          Dusty has only disappointed once this year and that was due to a broken cheek the week before. Has a nice run home too.

          • Yep and that’s why I plan to get him in the next few weeks. The question is not Parker or Dusty but who first.

          • Dusty. Parker’s too much of a risk. All signs pointed to a good season for him but in 11 of this year’s 14 games he dished up turds. Not for me.

      • I’m grabbing him to hold up my M8 spot either as a keeper depending on how he scores or as my last stepping stone to the über premiums. In the position for luxury trades now so why not

  • Do these trades sound alright

    Berry-witherden (M7)
    Roo- Parker via greenwood dpp
    4K remaining

    I’m not sure if it is stupid to get witherden if he will just be on the bench and is going roo to Parker also a bit reactionary. I do think Parker is back though and he has bottomed out

  • Who is the best rookie to field out of mountford witherden ryan and greenwood. I will be fielding one of them.

  • What’s everyone’s thoughts on josh Thomas?

  • 1. Cameron for Darcy (keeping Stef just in case).

    2. Downgrade of Barrett to whoever looks best after the teams are named.
    Will give me the cash to do an upgrade next week.

  • When are you gonna give up on JKH jep!? Lol not throwing shade as ive been an owner for 2 weeks now. Hopefully he gets a chance soon!

  • Tom Doedee a chance to debut? or Keiren Collins? both 150k defenders could be good downgrades this week

  • trade newman? im up to luxary trades and the only other player on my field not a premo is witherden. So i can trade newman > Dusty and move Witherden back as my D6. Good idea?

  • I’m tempted to get move on S. Selwood and bring in Parker. J. Selwood is also another one I’m considering for Scooter. Who would be the better option? I’m still keeping the faith in Sloane. I think Karpany will come in for Lloyd this week.

    • Jelwood 175BE so wait 2 weeks
      Parker could be a great pick up and go 110 for rest of year for a bargain price

      Personally I would get rid of Sloane first though. May get the odd 130 but a lot of teams will close him down

  • Greenwood to Macrae vs Menegola?

  • Ali Fahour makes Bugg seem okay.

  • Josh Thomas or Cox for fantasy

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