Jeppa’s Juniors – Round 12

I can’t remember a season where the rooks have been so dire. Plenty of our quality youngsters have the Round 13 bye and there’s no obvious picks this week. If you’re like me, you’re struggling to field 18 players so a cheap rook is ever so important. There are a few guys around the mark that you need to take note of and hopefully a couple suit up in unlucky Round 13.

Those That Matter

A personal best from Jake Barrett (Mid/Fwd. $381,000, 34 be AF. Mid. $375,000, 19 be DT) came at a great time. Full of confidence, Barrett looks more than comfortable at AFL level and he enjoyed being part of a Lions victory by contributing 24 possessions, 5 marks, 3 tackles, 2 goals and 102 Fantasy points. It’s an obvious hold. Caleb Marchbank (Def. $429,000, 72 be AF. $417,500, 57 be DT) keeps dominating in the air and in Fantasy scoring an impressive 87. A big part of me now wishes I held Marchbank. If you’re a betting man, put a pineapple on him at $6.50 for the Rising Star award (gamble responsibly). Nic Newman’s (Def. $462,000, 69 be AF. $456,900, 91 be DT) post bye performance was an excellent one scoring 84 Fantasy points. Seriously, what a cashcow!

Notable mention to James Stewart (Fwd. $301,000, 36 be AF. $265,700, 25 be DT) for his efforts on the weekend. A season high 85 Fantasy points would have been pretty bloody handy for the 2.9% that own him. Sammy Powell-Pepper (Mid. $359,000, 57 be AF. $342,600, 42 be DT) had just 3 Fantasy points to half time but obviously got a gee-up at the main break and finished with a 76. You’ve got to hold SPP this week but he goes for me in Dreamteam leading up to Round 14.

McKenzie Willis (Def/Mid. $187,000, 21 be AF. $221,400, 19 be DT) did enough to hold his spot in the Suns 22 but I doubt it gets better than 52 Fantasy points. Willis is a stopper and not looking to win a whole lot in the footy so buyer beware. He’s not for me but with few options available you should still consider him. Fellow Sun, Ben Ainsworth (Fwd/Mid. $310,000, 32 be AF. $256,400, 10 be DT) is still relevant in Dreamteam. 73 Fantasy points against the Hawks on Saturday was a solid effort and given his talents, the Suns will want to get as many games into him this season as possible. With a price tag a bit over $300k, I wouldn’t take the punt on Ainsworth in Fantasy because his role could well see him score low 60’s from here on in.

Callum Brown (Fwd. $188,000, 25 be AF. $125,300 DT) had a red-hot dip against the Dees. Often going in head first into contests, Brown didn’t get huge stats on debut and scored just 47 Fantasy points but like Luke Ryan, I expect plenty of improvement. The non-owners need to put him on the watchlist for Round 14.

 

Jonathon Beech (Fwd. $171,000, 1 be AF. $125,300 DT) was active in his first AFL game scoring 72 Fantasy points and now Don Pyke has got something to think about. Mitch McGovern will come back into the Crows 22 but who for…Otten or Beech? Naturally we all want Otten to be dropped and given his recent time up forward it looks like Otten will get the chop. Pray to the Fantasy gods that Beech will be playing in Round 14.

Brennan Cox (Def/Fwd. $167,000, 37 be AF. $125,300 DT) had a subdued debut. A defender forced forward by Ross Lyon left him completely lost and he only touched it 7 times for 23 Fantasy points. Avoid the young talls as a rule of thumb. Cox has the week off anyway.

From the crop of fattened up rooks with the Round 13 bye, we are looking to trade Andy Otten 48 (Def/Fwd. $376,000, 89 be AF. Def. $371,800, 118 be DT), David Myers 39 (Mid. $284,000, 57 be AF. $261,100, 54 be DT), Daniel Lloyd 29 (Mid/Fwd. $219,000, 29 be AF. Mid. $190,100, 12 be DT) and Will Hoskin-Elliott 71 (Fwd/Mid. $288,000, 22 be AF. Fwd. $405,700, 66 be DT). I still think Hugh Greenwood 49 (Mid/Fwd. $288,000, 22 be AF. $247,700, -6 be DT) has plenty to offer and there’s improvement left in James Cousins 38 (Mid. $215,000, 18 be AF. $160,200, -11 be DT).

Luke Ryan 72 (Def. $177,000, -1 be AF. $125,300, -39 be DT) and Matthew Scharenberg 68 (Def. $275,000, 30 be AF. $235,900, 9 be DT) also have the Round 13 bye but they’ve got plenty more cash to earn so hold both. Ryan looked 10-fold better than he did on debut…let’s hope that continues.

KEEP YOUR EYE ON

Jay Kennedy-Harris (Fwd. $195,000, 23 be AF. $184,500, 33 be DT) was kept on ice in the VFL on the weekend in case he was needed for the Queen Birthday match. He scored 61 Fantasy points from half a game which follows his 144 Fantasy points the week prior. Thomas Bugg should be in the firing line at selection so here’s hoping the in-form JKH gets picked and redeems his earlier season form.

Remember Mitchell Hibberd (Def/Mid. $150,000, 33 be AF. $132,400 DT)? Hibberd had an excellent preseason, played in Round 1 but failed dismally scoring 24 Fantasy points and was subsequently dropped the next week never to be mentioned again until now. He’s been averaging 24 possessions and 95 Fantasy points in his last 3 VFL games and could be a viable option to replace injured ‘junior’ Ed Vickers-Willis although I’m not so sure cause they’re quite different players. There’s no doubting that trading in Hibberd is risky given no assured job security but this is what happens when there’s slim pickings available.

 

Alex Witherden (Def/Mid. $206,000, 40 be AF. $125,300 DT) would be a welcome addition to the Lions senior side. Witherden plays like a young Brendan Goddard and in his last NEAFL game he racked up 19 kicks, 6 handballs, 9 marks, 3 tackles and 105 Fantasy points. Witherden is pricey in Fantasy but the options are few and far between. Consider…he’s a serious talent.

Willem Drew (Fwd/Mid. $186,000, 36 be AF. $125,300 DT) has been kicking butt in the SANFL in recent weeks and he’s in the mix to play this weekend after Port’s embarrassing display against the Bombers in Round 12. Fortunately, Ken Hinkley has always rewarded effort and Drew won’t die wondering. Note that Drew has only averaged 73 Fantasy points in the SANFL this season but he’s cheap as chips 

Please avoid Tom Cole (Def. $216,000, 42 be AF. $223,000 DT). He has no job security at West Coast and wont score over 50 Fantasy points per game.

TOP 5 LISTS

Considering price, scoring potential and job security, here’s my Top 5 rookie options for Round 13:

Fantasy

1   Jay Kennedy-Harris (if named)

2   Alex Witherden (if named)

3   Mitchell Hibberd (if named)

4   Willem Drew (if named)

5   Mackenzie Willis

Dreamteam

1   Jay Kennedy-Harris (if named)

2   Ben Ainsworth

3   Mackenzie Willis

4   Luke Ryan (has the bye)

5   Lukas Webb (if named)

TWITTER Q&A

Too much of a risk. We don’t know who will make way for McGovern.

Absolutely. Trade them out, cash in and don’t hesitate.

I still think JKH is a good chance this week.

Word is that he needs to work on a few elements of his game before being considered. If he doesn’t get injured then he should be playing AFL in a couple of weeks.

No doubt in my mind.

Definitely pick someone up who is playing this week.

Unfortunately not. His VFL form has dropped off.

Sean Darcy ($176,000) or Wylie Buzza.

61 Comments

  • If Kennedy-Harris gets a game this week, I can see him being one of the most traded rookies since Barlow 2010. Would save alot of cash and abit of carnage. But can we?…

  • Thanks for all your hard work Jeppa!

  • Think Darcy is 170k odd

  • Hey Jeppa.

    How far away is Luke Partington?

  • c.brown or JKH ? thanks again Jep

  • Thanks Jeppa for a great summary. While it’s thin pickings, there’s some good options listed for us to consider both this week & in the weeks ahead – much appreciated.

  • D.Lloyd or Myers out?
    C.Brown or JHK in?

    I have 20 on feild already so byes dont matter for this trade

    thanks

  • Is it worth trading out Fyfe for Scooter Selwood. Im doing DT so trades are like gold, but would it be worth doing the swap?

    Will Fyfe come good at the end of the year or can you see them averaging something very similar?

    • Fyfe will improve but his is injured and not a full time mid at the moment
      He should get back to mid 90’s
      Scooter will get a min of 100

      Got for it. I got Scooter after his first game back and don’t regret it

  • Thanks Jeppa for advice in a terrible week.

    I need to downgrade to a rookie so I can get Beams and Heeney.
    The only ones that have stuck out are Beech and Brown (both R13 byes) and I already have 18 solid players for this week.

    Which is the better one to get this week?
    I don’t trust JKH and not convinced on any rookies playing this week.
    Unless someone jumps out of the box this week, I will be getting the other next week to afford Yeo

    • You’ve gotta go Brown before Beech. No idea whether Beech will be dropped for McGovern or not. Brown better JS.

      • Need to rethink everything now with Steele out only giving me 17.
        If I trade Steele rather than Wlater I can get Ablett instead of Beams or Yeo instead of Heeney – which one is best?

        Thinking of taking Brown (cash permitting) over Beech and just playing 17

    • Both Beech and Brown have their JS issues mate. It would be a big risk but probably Brown.

  • Need help with trades this week. Have only 12k in the bank!
    Suggestions welcome.

    Doch, Laird, Shaw, Adams, Newman Scharenberg,( EVW, Ryan)

    Rocky,Danger,Merrett,Tmich,Sloane,Hanners,JPK, Scooter( Myers, Lloyd)

    Martin, Jacobs( King, Cameron)

    Macrae, Buddy, Steele, Nank,Greenwood, Barrett(JKH, Cunico)

    • Wait for teams, but EVW’s gotta go, same with Lloyd (to Cousins?). Then you’ll have some dosh to upgrade say Sloane to Dusty or Newman to Lloyd.

      • Lloyd to Cousins only makes $4K. I’m currently tossing up which one to keep and which one to move on. Currently Lloyd goes for me over Cousins, even despite his DPP.

        • Ah, sorry… admit I didn’t look at prices at all before posting. Maybe Myers instead? Shouldn’t need 2 benchies post-byes anyway.

  • Thanks Jeppa, As always appreciate your fine analysis of the rookie situation.

  • Really hard choices for Jeppa this week. Tough gig.

    (if named)

    sounds like my team name for next year.

  • Good read Jeppa!

    I can currently complete one of my lines being Def or Midfield

    Trades Option:
    1) Marchbank -> Docherty (complete Def)
    OR
    2) SPP -> Zorko/ Dusty etc (complete midfield with scooter M8)

    • March 79.4 > Doch 119.3 = +39.9 points

      SPP 67 > Zorko 119 = +52 points
      SPP 67 > Dusty 116.7 = +49.7 points

      Go one of the SPP trades. Toss a coin. Zorko much more unique so I’d go with him.

        • Cheers mate great way to look at the trades!

          However with recent news of Steele being out im going to go Steele -> Doc to field 18 this week! Next week SPP and Marchbank will become whoever performs better out of Zorko and Dusty this week (not a fair comparison but itll do for now)

    • SPP to Zork

  • Great article as always
    Can i ask why David Ciningham never gets a mention? is he not considered a rook? 94 and 74 in the last 2 and 3 game average of 73.

    • Price – too expensive to be considered a rookie

      • He’s $311k, yet Marchbank and Newman are way over $400k and open the article…

        • “rookies” have to start the year under 250k. They remain rookies no matter how much they go up in price. Cunningham start at just over 250k so it technically classed as a mid pricer not a rookie.
          But yeah I agree, Cunners is a good option. Good JS, good scoring, just gotta be willing to spend the money for him! (Straight swap for Bowes for me)

  • Thoughts on these trades. EVW-M.Hibberd( if named) Myers- Willis. Really stuck on the 3rd trade, I’m trying to field 18 this week but I don’t think it will happen haha

    Need help with trades this week. Have only 12k in the bank!
    Suggestions welcome.

    Doch, Laird, Shaw, Adams, Newman Scharenberg,( EVW, Ryan)

    Rocky,Danger,Merrett,Tmich,Sloane,Hanners,JPK, Scooter( Myers, Lloyd)

    Martin, Jacobs( King, Cameron)

    Macrae, Buddy, Steele, Nank,Greenwood, Barrett(JKH, Cunico)

  • Preuss > Buzza
    Myers > Scooter

    Yay or Nay?

    Or hold on to the trades?!

  • Jack Steele had been dropped this week and replacement is luke Dunstan

  • Great article jep.

    Would you go Mckenzie or Brown if both named? I’m assuming Mckenzie as you had him 5th but was just wondering as I may have to get one

  • Bloody hell I traded JKH out a few weeks ago & now he is probably the best rookie option available.

  • Alex Witherden looks like a good prospect if named.

  • If someone like atley or hibberd gets named, do I trade Stewart (ess) or greenwood to free up some cash to upgrade Fyfe and whe?

  • How good would it be if Hibberd and Polson get a game this week and bring me up to 18?
    Also do I trade Sloane to Scooter for the Cash or JPK?

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