Jeppa’s Juniors – Round 8

I’m back ladies and gentlemen but it’s looking pretty dire on the ‘junior’ front. Poor output from our rooks in Round 8 and not much fresh meat on the horizon has us in a pickle in the lead up to the byes. Plenty are suggesting to offload topped out rooks such as Otten and Hampton but both have the Round 13 bye and I reckon they’ll come in handy for Rounds 11 and 12. My advice would be to trade rooks with the Round 11 bye first like Williamson and Barrett then look to others.

Those That Matter

There wasn’t much to cheer about from those rooks we depend on. Dan Butler, 38 (Fwd. $291,000, -65 be AF. $261,100, -17 be DT), James Parsons, 41 (Fwd. $229,000, 32 be AF. $194,600, 41 be DT), Tom Williamson, 42 (Def. $278,000, 47 be AF. $261,100, 56 be DT), Andy Otten, 49 (Def/Fwd. $377,000, 63 be AF. Def. $373,100, 81 be DT), Curtly Hampton, 52 (Def/Mid. $347,000, 78 be AF. Def. $322,600, 83 be DT) and Jake Barrett, 55 (Fwd/Mid. $303,000, 30 be AF. Mid. $291,300, 39 be DT) were collectively mediocre causing high blood pressure amongst coaches. Otten and Hampton should bounce back against Brisbane this week if they manage to hold their spots.

Owners were ‘kissed’ in the best way possible on Sunday however when Nic Newman (Def. $360,000, 1 be AF. $326,600, -18 be DT) came in as a late inclusion for the Swans and what followed was something spectacular. Playing to make a point, he racked up a whopping 35 possessions, 11 marks, 4 tackles and 135 Fantasy points. Amen Fantasy gods, Amen! I dare you drop him now Horse.

Not as amazing as Newman but still deserves a mention is Caleb Marchbank (Def. $411,000, 59 be AF. $132,400, 70 be DT) who keeps doing the job scoring 82 Fantasy points this Round. Interestingly, a Beams-less Lions meant Jarrod Berry (Def/Mid. $251,000, 16 be AF. $238,100, 7 be DT) spent more time in the middle and he had a PB of 71 Fantasy points as a result. Without Rocky but Beams likely to replace him, it should mean more time in the middle for Berry.

David Myers (Mid. $213,000, 19 be AF. $136,400, -28 be DT) is stepping up his output slowly but surely. 63 Fantasy points last weekend isn’t setting the world on fire but keep in mind it was only from 64% time on ground. I maintain that Myers is a must have so if you don’t own him, trade him in immediately because he’s about to go BANG!

Daniel Lloyd (Fwd. $165,000, 6 be AF. $125,300 DT) looked solid in a half forward role for the Giants amassing 17 possessions, 2 marks, 2 tackles, 1 goal and 61 Fantasy points. Expect improvement from Lloyd and he’ll likely receive an increased role with Greene returning but Coniglio and Sam Reid out. I brought him in last week and he’ll sit my midfield until the Round 13 bye. Don’t ignore him, he can play! Lukas Webb (Fwd/Mid. $258,000, 17 be AF. $236,000 DT) was prominent with 86 Fantasy points against West Coast and Beveridge always rewards his players in form. Still at his price, Webb’s job security is too risky to consider so close to the byes.

James Stewart (Fwd. $241,000, 22 be AF. $178,200 DT) got his chance to show the Essendon faithful his worth and it’s fair to day he exceeded expectations. 73 Fantasy points from 3 goals, 10 possessions, 3 marks and 4 tackles is a great first outing and he’ll hold his spot in the short term. Standing tall alongside Daniher and Hooker with Orazio, Tippa and Green at the drop of the ball…the Essendon forward line looks solid so here’s hoping he can kick a few more goals and continue to have an impact. His price tag is hard to take at this point though.

Kurt Mutimer, 59 (Mid. $191,000, 7 be AF. $167,100, -13 be DT) is playing his role forward of centre but Jamie Cripps is due back this week or next. Mutimer’s disposal isn’t the cleanest and thus I don’t see another role for him if maybe he and Cripps were to co-exist. Current owners pray, non-owners avoid. Fellow Eagle Fraser McInnes (Def/Fwd. $258,000, 27 be AF. $145,300 DT) came into the 22 for versatility. Playing in the ruck and up forward, he laced out a few kicks inside forward 50 and proved his worth to Adam Simpson. 74 Fantasy points from 11 touches, 4 marks, 15 hit-outs, 5 tackles is tempting but unfortunately, I’d say McInnes has one or two weeks left at AFL level before being replaced by Drew Petrie. If the byes weren’t so close then I’d suggest taking the punt on him.

Ed Vicker-Willis (Def. $218,000, 13 be AF. $193,800, 13 be DT) and Lewis Melican (Def. $222,000, 27 be AF. $197,400, 9 be DT) are slow burns and it’s not recommended that the non-owners bring them in now. It’s an obvious hold for those coaches that have them on their defensive benches.

KEEP YOUR EYE ON

Hugh Greenwood (Mid/Fwd. $150,000, 29 be AF. $125,300 DT) – I’m still bitter about him leaving the Perth Wildcats high and dry a couple of seasons back (could have had two NBL championship rings buddy) but Greenwood has become Fantasy relevant. Consistent form in the SANFL has seen him average 24 possessions, 1 goal and an impressive 107 Fantasy points per game. I reckon Greenwood comes in for fellow junior Curtly Hampton and his competitive nature will see him do quite well. He’s cheap as chips and has dual position status so here’s hoping he can have an impact at AFL level.

Matt Scharenberg (Def. $234,000, 45 be AF. $197,500 DT) – Racking up 34 disposals in the VFL two weeks running has to put you in favour for a senior call up. The former No. 6 draft pick has had his fair share of injury problems but after a solid block of games in the magoos it’s now time for him to make a name for himself in the seniors. With plenty of plus 6’s and not many tackles, I expect Scharenberg to average around 65 Fantasy points per game so with such a high price tag you might want to wait a week before trading him in. 

Harry Perryman (Def/Mid. $224,000, 43 be AF. $161,300 DT) – Ball magnet Perryman is super close to a call up. 39 possessions, 7 marks, 3 tackles, 1 goal and 141 Fantasy points in the NEAFL last week has pretty much been his norm. We all know the amount of talent the Giants have on their list so Perryman’s job security would never be assured and having a lessor role in the seniors will likely mean that he peaks at around 70 Fantasy points per game.

TOP 5 LISTS

Considering price, scoring potential and job security, here’s my Top 5 rookie options for Round 9:

Fantasy

1   David Myers

2   Daniel Lloyd

3   Hugh Greenwood (if named)

4   James Stewart

5   Matt Scharenberg (if named)

Dreamteam

1   David Myers

2   Daniel Lloyd

3   James Stewart

4   Zac Fisher

5   Matt Scharenberg (if named)

TWITTER Q&A

I’d say McInnes holds his spot this week after an impressive display but Petrie will come in soon enough.

SPP and Butler.

Not enough quality rooks but you could go Lloyd and Greenwood.

Absolutely not, he’s just warming up.

Newman. He’s here to stay.

I doubt Ross the Boss changes the winning formula. Hopefully Ryan plays next week.

1. Hannan 2. Williamson 3. Barrett 4. Butler 5. Otten 6. Hampton

Myers is a priority. Fixing bench rooks is a concern also but after you pick up Myers.

 

Feel free to ask me a question below and don’t forget to add me on Twitter @JeppaDT for all things Fantasy and more. Happy trading!

80 Comments

  • Mate, I think some of the prices are wrong

  • Welcome back and congrats Jeppa! Girl or boy?

  • Congratulations and great to have the real Jeppa back. Your stand ins did you proud though.
    Going Rocky to Zerrett, leaves me one trade with just $46k left.
    Can you think of anything brilliant to do with the likes of Newmann, Balic, or Milera? One of Otten or Hampton might get dropped anyway.
    Otherwise, your thoughts on Sloane to Gaff?

  • does DT Talk have a father-son rule ? Maybe Jeppa junior can be bestowed the duty of choosing ‘rookie of the round’ – like the bacon cup but for rookies

  • Who is primed to come into the Hawthorn line up with their injury problems?

    • thats what i wanna know – got to be a cheap DEF rookie amoungst them

      • The defensive rook to have a look at if he’s named is Harry Morrison. Stringing together some good games in the two’s. He’s a real chance, but they might go with any of Duryea, Brand, or Heatherly ahead of him, as all have AFL experience (but none have Fantasy relevance).

  • Just wondering why you would trade SPP out over Hampton? If SPP can be held this week his BE is fairly low and can cover the byes. Hampton will lose cash, especially if held till after his bye.

    • I think the logic is the Adelaide boys this week have Brisbane so should up their scoring. They also have the late bye. With the port/gc byes scoring players are important.

      That said, I’ve personally still got Houston and will try and keep SPP (along with Ablett). They will be handy to have on the bench and I’d take their 50-70 over an unproven $150k rook during the bye rounds. Keeping Hampton and Otten given they play Brisbane this week and have the late bye. Luxury trades aren’t a thing at the moment but if that changes then I’ll upgrade/downgrade the likes of them.

      Rocky is the first trade to sort out and with the left over cash I can sort out a value-less non-player like Hibberd or Polson while getting bye structure right.

      • Yeah I’m holding SPP. Traded Hampton out. Thinking he will be dropped for Greenwood anyway. Otten might struggle if Lever is out and he has to play defence again

  • Thoughts on durdin as a FWD downgrade?

    • terrible

      • Could you please elaborate? I thought he did ok in his first two?

        • 29 in his last game mate

        • I’m done with NM rookies. Preuss can’t squeeze in, EVW doesn’t score, Hibberd had a horrible debut, and Wagner burnt me last year. I just don’t see any security in any of them.

          • im holding preussy – NM are stuffed if goldy is injured, and pressy will play. plus he is simply cash in the bank (on the bench). no rush to trade him, and saving his $ for later rounds

          • Preuss on the bench is losing twice.

            Its cash that is not scoring points, and its cash that is not increasing in value.

          • I’m holding Preussy for a little bit longer as well until I desperately need the cash

          • Pruess is a tricky one. If he’s not named by R11 – I’ll need him to cover Stef – I’ll probably trade him out for Ryder so I have 2 rucks through the byes. Then I can move Ryder forward and get another 150k ruck back in.

            Since R1 my rucks have been Stef, Jacobs, Pruess, Cameron.

            Hear what you’re saying Stoo, but it costs a dead trade to cash in.

          • Dead trade depends on when you trade out and who you get in.

            Worked for me two rounds ago but wouldn’t have suited everyone. Preuss to Soldo covered Nank, and gave me the cash to upgrade Beams to Rocky.

  • Welcome back Jeppa and congrats on the new addition to the family!
    Appreciate your ongoing analysis and advice on the rookie situation.

  • Hi Jeppa! Congrats on your baby girl!

    Quick question: Perryman worth the extra coin over someone like Lloyd? Thinking DPP will be useful with the coming byes. Or stick with Hampton to Lloyd and pocket the extra $$ for next round?

  • Welcome back and congrats jeppa! Looking for peoples thoughts-like many others, I am suffering from “Rockpig-itis” this week and will be begrudgingly turning him into titch/zerrett but what is more crucial for my 2nd trade:
    1) touk miller > Heeney; OR
    2) bringing in Myers

    Thinking that heeney will be in my top 6 fwds and wont be this cheap again (top 6 sub 500k!) Vs keep cash generation happening with one of the few rooks likely to play bulk games??

    At this point probably leaning 1)…

  • Does anyone know if rhys matheson from the lions will get a run.
    Possible chance as rocky and beams are out

  • Do u reckon O’Connor (Geelong) will hold his spot?

  • Trading Rockliff to merrett and
    Riewvolt to heeney with 235k for the byes? Thoughts?
    Was going to upgrade this week but rocky ruined my plans. This trade mares my byes very good.

  • Jeppa,
    Not really junior related. It is a bit.
    What’s better Rocky to Titch and Eddy to Lloyd 69k or Rock to Hanners and SPP to Parker? 0k
    1st trade gives me only one mid in rnd 13. 2nd one doesn’t give me Titch which I think is a must have.
    Thoughts please.

    • Without Rocky for almost a month I think one of Titch or Zerrett is an absolute must. I’m looking to upgrade one of my other fallen premiums who aren’t scoring well to one of the sydney boys

  • Perryman will play. http://www.afl.com.au/news/2017-05-17/top-gws-draft-pick-harry-perryman-to-make-debut-against-tigers
    Hampton to Perryman makes sense; they have the same bye and the Giants are down on numbers.
    For the next trade should I:
    Barrett to Myers or LLoyd?
    OR
    Pickett to Myers or LLoyd?

    • pickett out if Barrett is named, even if he only scores 55 again he will go up in price, even if both are named, picketts highest score is lower than barretts lowest score of the year.

  • Pickett to Myers. Carlton has a tough draw moving forward and Myers has more job security than Lloyd. After a few games under his belt he’ll probably start scoring more consistently as well now that he’s had a bit of a run.

    • agreed. but id take myers lloyd perryman in that order

      • That makes sense. BUT I need a defender rookie. Maybe Luke Ryan might play.

        Scharenberg maybe?

        • Not as much cash to be made but McInnes has some DPP flexibility. Just not too sure about job security. But Sharenberg could also be a good option. I’m hoping Ryan gets a run in the next few weeks. Will be a handy downgrade option

          • i need a defender rookie too – slim picking. crossing fingers for a greenhorn hawk to emerge

  • Not sure whether to get two long term premium selections or get rid of some of my maxed out rookies.

    At this stage going Rocky + Ryder —> Merrett + Grundy (also helps with my byes as I’m very R11 heavy). Other option is Rocky + Butler –> Merrett + D Lloyd (via DPP with Nank in my ruck). Would mean I stick with Ryder for a while…

    Thoughts appreciated

    • have a look at McEvoy – 5 tons on the trott and low BE

    • At least Ryder will see you through your byes and you could upgrade to Grundy after his bye. Butler is pretty much maxed out and they’re playing GWS over there this week so I doubt he’s going to make you much coin. Lloyd should at least get a few games and make you some cash

  • Great article jep, good to have you back.

    Thoughts on these trades?

    Rocky – JPK (gives me cash to go)
    Hampton/Williamson – Heeney

    or

    Rocky – Merrett
    do a downgrade

    • Hey Stevo, in the same boat but am going option 2 at this stage. As much as I want Heeney in (& thankfully got him in RDT last week), I think I’m going to leave him until after his bye now even though will be paying the extra $. Disappointing as he was my 1st picked in pre-season but just gotta get Zerrett & like his Rd 13 bye.

      Nice article too thanks Jep & congrats on the arrival of Madison. GWS Lloyd in for me this week.

  • Is Houston a chance to play through the byes?
    Trading in Lloyd and can trade Brett Eddy or Houston, Eddy doesn’t seem likely so thought might carry Houston another round if he’s a chance as don’t need the cash this round.

    • In short highly doubt Eddy will play over byes. Houston likely will not place round 10 barring injuries (as they smashed GC). At best Houston is a 50/50 best case scenario. If you don’t need the case too badly you could cut Eddy this week and Houston next

  • Congrats on your very own junior, Jepp, awesome news

  • Hey Jep… Lloyd’s a mid, not a fwd unfortunately. Wish he was, then I could get him and Titch but only one mid DPP in my team.

  • any word on Tim Mohr? he used to be a regular defender for GWS, albeit a low scorer – now priced at $150k

  • 1. Butler + Hampton > Titch + FWD Rook under $200K (Greenwood?) + 50K
    2. Butler + WHE > Yeo + Lloyd + $62K
    3. Butler + WHE > Roberton + Lloyd + $76K

    Don’t care about scores in the byes, prepping team for finals.

    I’m thinking 1, but without Greenwood there might not be a playing rook under $200K.

    Any help please?

    • 1 if someone is named. Otherwise whichever you prefer out of yeo and roberton. Is that daniel lloyd?

  • Yeah, D. Lloyd. I can’t pick between Yeo and Roberton – both seeming to have breakout years. Actually, this is probably Yeo’s third breakout year, so maybe I should choose Robbo.

  • Jeppa do we play Newman or Marchbank this week?

  • Downgrade Balic to cover Touk Miller or trade Touk?

  • hep on who to cull first out of SPP, HAMPTON, OTTEN? i am aware that spp has the bye and could be useful after his bye, but if i turn him into heeney this week, i can downgrade hampton and upgrade otten to a wingard after his bye, suggestions??

  • Rocky-

    Mitchell or Merrett??

  • Will Soldo be back soon?

  • Congrats Jep :) Do we trade Otten WHE or GHS first? cheers

  • Hi Jeppa, don’t know if you’re still checking this for updates, but if you could find some time between nappy changes to give your opinions on Shai Bolton suiting up this W/E, that would be awesome. The R12 bye makes him very tempting to select blind anyway.

  • Greenwood vs Lloyd.

    If I pick Greenwood it means I will avoid a donut in my forward line however I’m really looking for some job security in the coming weeks. Who has the better job security?

  • Jeppas Junior for round 9 ? due today no ?

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