Jeppa’s Juniors – Round 14

What a difference a week makes! We were cursing the performances of our rooks in Round 13 and they must have heard us because almost all of them exceeded expectations last week. Popular ‘juniors’ Connor Menadue 103, Josh Smith 96, Tom Ruggles 96, Lincoln McCarthy 85, Ciaran Byrne 82, Mitch McGovern 81 and Sam Collins 81 turned in on for their owners and the timing couldn’t have been more perfect. A few newcomers dominated also…

THOSE THAT MATTER

Screen Shot 2016-06-29 at 1.16.26 AMTom Phillips (Fwd/Mid. $179,000, -27 be AF. $121,300, -86 be DT) – Whether it is a premo or a rook, we look for players that can rack up possessions, take plenty of marks, tackle AND hit the scoreboard. Against Freo last Friday night, Phillips showed that he can impact all stat lines after finishing with 19 possessions, 6 marks, 3 tackles, 1 goal and 92 Fantasy points. Fantasy Freako tells us that he had a game high 11 score involvements too, which will please Bucks. My initial concern with Phillips was his job security but I reckon he’s good for the next three weeks at least. Trade him in if you don’t own him already!

Eric Hipwood (Def/Fwd. $201,000, 18 be AF. $166,300, -13 be DT) – This key forward has got some skills! For a player in his first season, Hipwood is awesome in the air and I’m quite envious of his raking left foot. These traits don’t necessarily equate to a heap of Fantasy points but given Brisbane’s current position, they need to blood their youth. Hipwood’s not for me but he may suit a few after his Round 15 bye. Will average just under 60.

Rhys Mathieson (Mid. $223,000, -10 be AF. $187,500, -44 be DT) – After his overdue return to the seniors, Mathieson proved to be one of Brisbane’s best last weekend. Playing mainly through the midfield, he racked up 24 touches, 3 marks, 7 tackles, and 96 Fantasy points. Personally, I didn’t think Mathieson was a standout but he was definitely serviceable. The Lions have the Suns, Giants, Bombers and Port post bye so you definitely want him in your team now if it suits or for Round 16.

Aaron Francis (Def/Mid. $221,000, 44 be AF. $202,300 DT) – Francis is a highly rated youngster who can be a match winner when called upon. Essendon would be silly not to blood games into young him this season and the big appeal for Fantasy coaches is his dual position defender/mid status. Given his price, I think it’s wise to see what he produces at AFL level on debut before jumping on board.

Will Hams (Fwd. $232,000, 2 be AF. $199,800, -25 be DT) – Is well rested and ready for a second assault on the AFL. Hams has averaged 72 Fantasy points per game in his three games this season and it will be blue skies against West Coast on Thursday night who traditionally leak a lot of points. I expect him to continue his forward, midfield role and if you’re a non-owner and don’t mind spending the extra then seriously consider this hardworking youngster.

Nathan Broad (Def. $138,000, 2 be AF. $121,300 DT) – If you’re thing about brining in Broad this week, think again. The West Aussie was a late in for the Tigers last Saturday and he didn’t do enough to hold his spot in my opinion. Even if Broad somehow gets named this week, I’d still avoid him unless you’re happy to bring in as a throw away D8 but it’s a bit early for that.

Screen Shot 2016-06-29 at 1.52.06 AM

Clay Smith (Fwd/Mid. $176,000, 35 be AF. $233,800 DT) – Making a return from a knee reconstruction, Smith is killing it in the VFL. From his first two games in over a year, this young toughnut has averaged 31 touches, 4.5 marks, 6.5 tackles, 116 Fantasy points and more importantly been one of the best players for his side. The Dogs 22 is tough to break into at the minute but Beveridge has always rewarded good form and Smith wont die wondering. No word of a lie, he could be one of the cashcows of the season. Keep a close eye on him and note his dual position status.

Jonathan Marsh (Def. $226,000, 8 be AF. $204,000, -24 be DT) – There’s a bit of hype surrounding Marsh after his 81 Fantasy points against the lowly placed Fremantle but don’t be fooled. He’s a lockdown defender and winning possessions isn’t his first priority. Alan Toovey wants his spot back too so there’s no assurance with Marsh’s job security. No thanks.

Jason Ashby (Def. $174,000, 15 be AF. $200,600 DT) – Filled in for Matty Dea back in Round 13 and I thought he did enough to hold his place. Playing a half back role, Ashby will see a bit of the ball but don’t expect massive scores. His time at AFL level might be short lived though if he can’t maintain a decent level of form. A risky pick but there’s not much else on offer in defence. I’m predicting an average in the high 50’s. Consider.

Corey Wagner (Mid. $146,000, 8 be AF. $121,300, -13 be DT) – Even though he improved significantly in his second game, Wager isn’t one I’d be chasing. The Roos have a few priority players returning from injury after their bye this week and Wagner is likely to be one on the outer as a result.

Matthew Kennedy (Mid. $191,000, 31 be AF. $170,800, 12 be DT) and Matthew Hammelmann (Def/Fwd. $131,000, 17 be AF. $121,300 DT) – Both youngsters were a bust in Round 14 and they’re likely to be bumped to the reserves after their week off. Hammelmann especially played with 0 confidence, which was a complete contrast from his recent NEAFL, form.

Trent McKenzie (Fwd. $206,000, 53 be AF. $194,500, 21 be DT) and Daniel Currie (Ruc. $260,000, -14 be AF. $269,300, -25 be DT) – Both are out injured for at least a month so they need to go. It’s unfortunate because plenty of us were relying on Currie to generate some extra cash.

TOP 5 LISTS

Considering price, scoring potential and job security, here’s my Top 5 rookie options for Round 15:

Fantasy

  1. Phillips
  2. Mathieson (has the R15 bye)
  3. Clay Smith (if named)
  4. Hams
  5. Ashby

Dreamteam

  1. Phillips
  2. Mathieson (has the R15 bye)
  3. Trengove
  4. Hams
  5. Hip wood (has the R15 bye)

Twitter Q&A

If you had to get rid of one for bye structure then offload Ruggles as Collins will still earn owners plenty.

Hopper and Reid. Mathieson is just getting started.

An absolute no brainer, do it mate!

Yep. I’m trading him this week. Mathieson will be my M9 going forward.

In order…Padraig Lucey, Archie Smith, Sam Naismith, Luke Lowden and Billy Frampton.

Not yet but he will play a few games before seasons end. One to watch!

1. Petracca is just getting warmed up in my opinion and he’ll benefit from his recent rest. 2. Clay Smith is one who could explode when he gets his opportunity. 3. Sam Menegola will have get some games soon and could be anything. 4. I think Sam Collins has turned a corner and will earn owners plenty more dough. 5. Lastly, Andy Otten would be a handy inclusion for the Crows given his experience.

 

Feel free to ask me a question below and don’t forget to add me on Twitter @JeppaDT for all things Fantasy and more. Happy trading!

112 Comments

  • Jeppa,
    Trade Ruggles or Collins and bring in Parker or scarifice R4 with Naismith and trade Davis to him and Blakely to Treloar?

  • Currie hurt again? He played in twos and dominated last week?

  • Will Toby Nankervis be a good trade in for a ruckman to play this week?

  • Looking to trade out Clay Cameron to generate enough cash to upgrade Blakely to Tom Mitchell. Is Broad the best option for a cheap defender? The only other option is to trade Cox or Currie to a cheap ruck.

  • Is it worth holding Blakey a little longer now Barlow is injured ?

  • should i trade out heath shaw for jason ashby and with the cash get Ablett for kade Stewart

    • u are so dumb if u do that

    • Not the best idea as a good team will have both. Try to trade out higher price rookies to cheap ones until you have the cash to downgrade/ upgrade every week.

    • Gotta say if it saves donuts this week and Ashby is picked then it’s almost a no brainer. Ablett is worth putting the C on too. Get Shaw back in a few weeks, next week if possible. The other way to do it is trade out Barlow if you have him and can dpp your way to Ablett or find a good Fwd rookie that allows it to happen

  • Need to offload either Davis (if dropped) or MacPherson but unsure which fwd/mid to bring in at either M10 or F8.

    Should I pre-emptively bring in Clay Smith?

    • Why are you still holding MacPherson? Re Clay Smith, wait for the teams tomorrow night. You can still trade on Friday.

  • Thoughts on suckling?

    • I will be getting him, but would prefer to bring him in next week, since I think he will probably be sub 75 against the Swans at the SCG. However I need to trade out a defender this week to avoid a donut, and bringing in one of Vince or Docherty etc. means I can’t go Barlow to Neale next week.

      The point is, aside from Suckling there is really no value in the DEF line at the moment. He will be a good pick up, but probably next week if possible IMO.

      • Keep an eye on johannisen. Reported to be due back this week or next. Had a amazing form before being injured and will have a big break even first week back. So see how he goes first week back and you’ll save yourselves some bucks for a potential elite defender

  • Good summary yet again, Jeppa! Im liking the bye format for the article.

    Im completing my back line this week (in RDT) and because of cash restrictions Ive got two combo’s that I can roll with but Im torn on which option is best. Boyd/Collins OR Pittard/Wagner, with the latter being D7 for the year.
    Which option is best?

    • Boyd and Collins. Collins will make another 100k in the next month

      • Cash isnt the issue, points is from here on out, team will be completed with borderline enough trades to suffice for injuries. Taking that into account, atill think Boyd/Collins?

  • No one rates Rose from Sydney?

  • Outstanding work Jeppa!

    how confident are we that Ashby holds his place, as Dea will return this week?

    I’ve already got Phillips, Mathieson and Hams

    Any word if/when Mengola gets his chance?

    Clay is tempting if he plays, especially as I could downgrade Currie (then have Cox/Frost as R3/4)

  • Billy Frampton (port) a chance?

  • Great article thank Jeppa!

    Who goes first out of Byrne, Davis, J Smith, Gresham Currie or L Austin?

    Not sure if i should down/ up or double down for cash coming back into league matches

    • Current Team: ^^
      Bank 75k
      DEF: Shaw, Vince, Docherty, Laird, Suckling, J. Smith, (Byrne, Austin)
      MID: Titch, Dangerfield, Pendles, Ablett, Hunter, Zaha, Duncan, Rocky (Gresham, Mathisen)
      RUCK: Gawn, Martin (Currie, Cox)
      FWD: Dusty, Kerridge, Montagna, R. Gray, Hams, Phillips (S Reid, Davis)

    • currie

  • Nice work Jeppa… Appreciate as always

    • Is jack silvagni a decent downgrade option if named? Been playing well in the VFL

      • Rule of thumb is to avoid young key position players but you can put him as a throw away F8. I only expect him to play a couple of token games, unless he dominates…

  • Who should I trade out first. McCarthy or Reid??

    Cheers!

  • Do I downgrade Barlow to Phillips or swap to gibbs, Parker, zaha or Gray

    • Depends what you use the extra cash on. But personally I’d go the straight swap to Parker. Has an awesome run coming up. And he’s well under priced

    • U need to get philipps this week

  • Aaron Francis won’t play for at least 3 more weeks McKenna said this week on of the essendon podcasts

  • Who to trade out first? M.Cox or S.Frost?
    Who’s the best ruck choice below 140K?

  • is kerridge maxed out? surely can’t see him making more than another 20k

    does he go to treloar/monty or should currie go to a 125k rook?

    8k vs 256k remaining, will have 19 playing either way

    • Kerridge has a high-ish ceiling, so wouldn’t be safe to say he’s maxed out. Remember when Josh Smith was “maxed out”? Or Dea? Or Wells? Or Menadue?

      Guys are only maxed out for you when you trade them… unless of course you can predict the future?! ;)

    • Kerridge should be the last upgrade you make on your starting 22

  • Again the question, Rose from Sydney? Anyone thoughts on him, low BE, average of 90, is job security the issue?

    Seems crazy he hasn’t been mentioned anywhere unless i am missing something obvious!

    • he’s been very good in the team. As a swans supporter, I’m surprised he’s held his place this long but they have had injuries to Laidler and Richards (who are likely back this week) so I wouldn’t say his JS is safe

      He’s now at an awkward price that isn’t a downgrade option unless you’re happy to play him on the field each week as D5/6

      • He’s a forward, not defender and has taken Papleys small forward position.

        • ^ this

          Longmire did say Papley was close to returning but might not be in the seniors

          • Thanks guys, good to get some others thoughts.

            If he holds a spot, he will generate some cash for sure, but the unknown is the JS. I’d say Papley will replace him when he returns. Would the return of Laidler and Richards have more effect on Mills?

            I guess its a risk either way, if he’s making 90 a week, why wouldn’t you keep him on the field.

    • Too expensive now

  • TEAM:
    Def: Shaw, Collins, J.Smith, Dea, Boyd, Docherty, Tippa, M.Adams
    Mid: Danger, Jansen, Ablett, Rockliff, Mathieson, Hall, L.Hunter, SJ.Reid, Parish, Dunkley
    Ruck: Goldy, Gawn, Cox, Currie
    Forward: Kerridge, D.Martin, Zorko, Merrett, T.Phillips, Hammellman, Hams, Petracca

    Any Help With Trades Would Be Appreciated, Thinking about Trading Parish and Dea to Montagna and A Rookie. Thoughts?

  • Was wondering about your thoughts on Dillon Viojo-Rainbow and Jack Silvagni who seem to be close to selection.

    • Those are the 2 guys i’m hoping get a run. Rainbow would have higher scoring potential straight out of the blocks imo.

      I’ve worked out 2 trade scenarios, With one carlton rookie apiece. Enabling Montagna for Dan Menzel.

      Pretty confident one of those 2 will get a gig this week.

    • Word is Silvagni is playing DVR may be longer. I dont expect too many games (maybe 3) from each this season unless injuries hit the Blues hard down the track.

  • Jeppa I believe you have Cowan as your D8 atm. Would you therefore consider him(or Menegola) a better Def downgrade than Broad this week.

    • Ive had Cowan as my D8 since R1 (long story). Menegola will play before Cowan.

  • Play Davis or Hams if both named

  • As much as i’d love Sam Menegola to get an extended run in the seniors for Geelong, I’m somewhat concerned about his job security with players like Lang, Gregson, Cockatoo, Smedts, Cowan & Scott Selwood all vying for that spot with him.

    • Even if he did get a run, what would you use him for? Most teams have bench cover already, and it’s too late in the season for him to be a cash cow. Downgrade target I guess, but any rookie getting games this late in the season is probably going to have shaky job security.

  • Which one gets benched? I have to choose between Tom Phillips and Petracca, one in play, one on the bench. Which way do I go?

  • Trading McKenzie in last week in RDT was the worst trade of my life! Getting to the pointy end and I need every trade I can get,

    • Yeah, I never really understood the reason for getting him in… He’ll be delisted this year. Can’t get the pill, can’t defend and is basically only getting a run because they have 25 injuries at the club.

      Dare say it’s not one of Warnie’s (or anyone’s!) best ideas.

    • I’m hearing ya. Could have had Day (63) and Crouch (126) , ended up with McKenzie (34 and injured) and crows Thompson (98). But I listened to Warnie.

      Cost me about 50 points and a man down.

      Damn I wish I would back my own judgement more often…

  • Who would you trade out of Crozier and Blakely? I’m leaning towards Blakely at this stage. I’m confident Crozier will continue his good form and rise another 30-40k but do you think he will move back to the forward line?

    • Any Freo player will have awesome job security with only 27 fit first team players, but who ever really knows about role security in that team. Walters was looking a revelation for Freo’s midfield until Ross decided to stick him back in the forward line.
      Barlow’s swung through the mid & forward line, Croz has been forward and back, Tucker has been all over. I reckon ride Croz until his role changes.

      • Yeah I agree. Given the way Lyon has been rotating players in and out of positions any Freo players are a risk but you have to risk it for the biscuit sometimes. I will hold Crozier at this stage dependent on team selection. At best I will have 17 playing this week so I really need to bring in players that will give some instant reward to maintain my ranking. Cheers!

    • yeah blakely

  • Is James Rose a viable replacement for Currie?

    Lots of trade options this week, currently sitting on

    Currie -> Rose
    Keays -> Ashby

    Looking forward to the end of the bye restricted trading.
    Currie and McKenzie out has me down to 17 players before trades.

    • i’m assuming you have someone in fwds with a ruck monicker to get rose for currie? if so, go nuts, rose is a deadset gun imo

      • It’s a bit convoluted. Blics warms the ruck bench for the round, and Kerridge goes to MID for Rose to come in forward.

        Will need to get a cheap R4 next week, probably Riley O’Brien to shadow Jacobs.

        I was thinking like for like in terms of price tag.

  • Strapped for cash this week and struggling to get 18 on the pitch.
    66k in the bank.

    Def: Vince, Laird, Wagner, Smith, Collins, Shaw, Bartel, Mohr

    Mid: Titchell, Hanners, Ablett, Steven, Gibbs, Selwood, rocky, beast, Jansen

    Rucks: Martin, blix, frost, currie

    Fwds: Merrett, dusty, Phillips, Davis, hams, Petracca, kerridge, Zorko

    Thinking Currie to frampton (or if someone plays #fingerscrossed)
    And Collins to suckers.

    Suggestions would be lovely.

  • should I sell Mitch Brown for Clay Smith?

  • should I trade out byrne so I can get phillips or just trade currie to a 125k?

  • Who goes first Blakey or mills? (I have a full team this week)

  • mills out of those two

  • Is Phillips safe to play on the field at FWD 6 for the next few weeks? (Great article btw)

  • Hey Jeppa, whats your thoughts on trading Ruggles this week in the hope to get a few more places? I have 280k in the kitty so via some Dpp magic Riewoldt is looking very tasty.

    I’m not sure though but my thinking is this is probably the last time to gain a few 1000 spots in the top 10k for the rest of the year.

    Alternatively I have many fattened cows that are playing this week (eg. wagner, davis, currie, byrne, smith), is it worth holding ruggles or do I make my tilt at the title?

    Thanks, as always your article is the most useful every week.

  • Who is the best to trade out of Ruggles/Collins/Mullett to a cheap $125K ruck via DPP and either trade Wells or P.Hanley to Z.Merrett. Hanley will probably go massive against Gold Coast next week?

  • I’m trading in merrett. It is well overdue. In order to do so rookie option is broad or silvagni?

  • Hey Jeppa, not a rookie question but how should I trade in this week.

    Parker or Gibbs

  • Yo Jeppa. Considering McCarthy to Clay Smith / Wagner via dpp to Scott Thompson. 4k left.
    Or Wagner to Broad / McCarthy to Leigh Montagna. 0k left.
    I think C.Smith S.Thompson will score more than Broad Montagna also.
    18 players this round.
    I like the first trade… But i’ve got 3 mid priced cashed cows in the backline. Smith/Wagner/M.Adams. Collins also on the bench. Smith looks like D6 M.Adams is gone next week. Is there any basement priced rookies in defence likely soon? Because i feel like Broad is it… And he’s extremely likely too be dropped