Lefty’s Tanking RDT Strategy – Week 4

tank

Hi all,

Welcome back to my series of posts where will monitor my success/failure through the bye rounds after choosing to ‘tank’ round 8 by selecting most of my premiums from that round’s bye.

After last weeks dismal 830 and sliding nearly 5000 places it was looking pretty bad (awful really) for the success of the plan, but thankfully Round 9 played out pretty much how I hoped. The late withdrawal of Rockliff, vests to popular playing rooks like Crouch, JKH, Robertson, the horror game of Zorko and poor games from popular non-round 8’s in N Roo, Montagna and Dunstan  all helped me with my heavy Round 8 player bias and 22 playing on the field.

I scored 2012 which was above what I had hoped for, largely thanks to big scores from Boomer, GAJ , Danger and Jelwood (good trade last week!) My team was :

Round 9 final

In the end, Stevie J, McVeigh, Wright and Clokes scores didn’t count towards my final tally – that’s almost $1,900,000 worth of players that contributed nothing! I also played safe and kept Beam’s 107 as my captain score, GAJ was my option but in the end I didn’t want to be greedy (and an evil part of me was hoping for a poor day from the little master but no such luck)

So this week I shot back up the rankings to be 3,232 overall which was a climb of 2520 places from last weeks big fall from grace. Not surprisingly I won all my head to head leagues which means I am 5/10 over the bye rounds now.

Round 10 plans

Without trying to sound cocky my biggest problem this week is apart from Crouch (breakeven of 88) I don’t really have any obvious players to trade out. Ambrose, Lloyd, Lloyd and Langdon are all on negative or single figure breakevens after their scores on the weekend, Langford and Hallahan come in this week with negative breakevens as well!

With just under $100,000 in the bank Crouch can’t be upgraded so I guess as long as he is named I will be downgrading him to Billy Hartung.

Its after this trade that I have a few decisions to make.

Jed Bews and Charlie Cameron both looked pretty good on the weekend and look to be really solid downgrade targets (depending on Jeppa’s Juniors of course). I also really want Rocky and Luke Parker into my side by next week but with both of those players having a bye this week it makes things a little tricky.

With his last 2 scores of 57 and 68, Matty Wright with his breakeven of 119 is firmly in my sights now to move on. It feels a little bit sideways, but going Crouch to Hartung gives me the cash to go Wright to any of Parker/Gray/Dalhaus. This is where the bloody byes force us to make decisions – I think Parker is the best of those but he does have the bye this week. However, due to my team’s set up, even with getting Parker I will still have 21 likely starters this week with Lloyd, Hartung, Hallahan and Langdon the only rookies in that so I am pretty confident of being able to cover him this week.

That would give me the following side this week :

Round 10

Round 11

Next week I would then be looking to go Langford to Bews and J Lloyd to Rockliff -I am not too worried long term about Bew’s job security as he would be D8 behind Suckling/Langdon anyway and I think Rocky has proven himself to be a top 8 mid contender and with his low breakeven now seems a good time to jump on.

The only issue with this plan is I will miss out on Charlie Cameron who would be a logical downgrade for Lloyd or Ambrose – I know it’s only one game but his tackling and pressure was pretty impressive. I am only using 2 trades (at this stage) this week so there is a part of me contemplating Ambrose down to Cameron this week as even that $90k would be handy – yes I know it is early to cull Ambrose but sometimes you need to trust your instincts…..

Anyway good luck all – only one more week of this bye madness to go thank god!

As always feel free to send me a message

@Lefty113

Cheers

 

 

24 Comments

  • Obviously this was before Stevie J news came in! Also realised J Lloyd break even is somehow actually 30 odd so i may go j lloyd to bews via langdon this week, then langford to rocky next week by switching langdon back?

  • have a similar dilemma in that I don’t need to make any trades this week
    but have a Wright (and Crouch) problem
    and have Hansen/Suckling/Langdon/Watts competing for D4-D8

    thinking a similar thing, turning Crouch into Bews (he’ll be D8, who cares about that) and premo’ing Wright (might go to a Port) with the idea of turning Polec into Goddard next week (that 1-teen uninjured average)

  • Looks a solid plan to me. Plus add sam mitchell to that log jam of defenders before dt finals

  • I was 1609 first week, 1880 last week and will be around the 1700-1800 mark this week with a premo heavy team and solid rookies. Only 17 playing maybe 18 if Currie gets a surprise call up. No room for selection dramas this week. I’ve gone from 2,800 to 1,506 overall since byes

  • Unfortunately i dont think it had been worth it Lefty.
    Overall.
    League matches maybe.
    You probably would have saved some trades though?
    i went
    rd8 – 1464 with 17 rank 1720 down 500
    rd9 – 1958 with 21 rank 812 up 900
    rd10 – 18 players(+KK) no trades as of yet

  • Good work on the rankings Facil!

    This strategy was about head to head and having a ‘finished’ side by round 10 with no sideways bye trades.

    I have ended up after 1 trade next week and 10 trades left:
    McVeigh, Bartel, Swallow, Jaensch, Smith, Suckling (Langdon, Bews)

    Ablett, Stevie J, Beams, Pendles, Swan, Rockliff, Goddard, Jelwood (Hallahan, Hartung)

    Sandi, Jacobs (Currie, King)

    Parker, Harvey, Danger, Dusty, Higgins, Cloke (Lloyd, Ambrose)

    fairly strong line up, and hopefully a few weeks ahead of the pack

    • Really nice side. Only spud in sight is Cloke. Even the benches are strong.

      • cheers mate. Zorko is predicted to bottom out after 2 games at about $350k so planning on upgrading Sam Lloyd/Ambrose to him which means Cloke will probably end up F7 :)

  • Very strong. Very impressive. And slightly envious.
    I got 15 trades left before this week, and im scared to use another 3 to be honest.
    But seeing you with 10 trades left and a side like that im thinking im going to have to make a few.

    That Mid line!

  • Interesting Lefty, I didn’t use this method and tried to trade out players on their bye, worked well so far with scores of 1608 & 1887.
    11 trades remaining after this week and only a couple of problems left (Masten & Crouch plus the urge to upgrade Suckling/Higgins and downgrade JKH/Cutler).
    I’ve gone from 387 to 292 overall but will only manage 18 on the field this week with a round 10 heavy midfield (Lloyd, Monty, BJ & Watson) but 7 in the back line is really annoying!

    • wow 292 overall you are killing it! I was more about trying to win my leagues this year (might be some cash involved in most of them…) so it was about trying to get 2/3 over the byes plus finish my team faster. But yeah overall I have suffered a bit hoping to make up a bit more ground this week – Stevie J out gonna hurt a few I reckon and if Cotch doesn’t get up that’ll help too!

  • Hey lefty you said you had Leigh montagna.
    Should I trade him now because people say I should keep.
    I got him in round 8 trades and he scored a 90 and a 50.
    I’ve already traded merrett and have 100,000 in the bank.
    So, should I keep or trade montagna. If so who to?
    Cheers

  • Hey Lefty have a delima with my forward line have a pretty strong mid and backline see below my only issue is my forwards who would be good to bring in just want some consistency?

    Backs:simpson,bartel,burgoyne,hibberd,mcveigh,Emg langford and bews
    Mids:Ablet,beams,macrae,Jelwood,rocky,chapman DPP for injuries,ward,swallow DPP for injuries,polec, hallanhan
    Rucks:jacobs,lobbe,derickx,thurlow
    Fwds:dangerfield,dalhaus,gunstan,zorko,llyod,cameron,ambrose,impey
    i have traded pretty heavy have 10 left but am pretty settled with my side any ideas for fwds? only have 20k in bank!!
    Any help would be great Cheers

  • Hi Benjo
    I dont have Montagna but if I did i would be moving him on.
    Selwood and Goddard are the best value imo

  • Hi gerard,
    Pretty tough with only 20k- parker and dusty the two you want. Can you work something with polec to hartung this week and use that cash to go lloyd to dusty this week or to parker next week?

    • yeh that might work polec out should then have the cash for parker next week
      thanks for that

  • Gerard
    Or gray- keep forgetting him!

  • In talking of the fact you have x amount of trades left, I assume you are talking RDT rather than fantasy. Thank god – most articles here seem to refer mainly to fantasy of which I have not even looked at since round 3.
    Rocky, Crouch and Zorko killed me last week with having only 19 on the field left me with a score of 1633. Went from 84th to 254 and now probably out of contention so I will concentrate on my cash league which itself is worth $550.
    Jelwood is an automatic inclusion this week for anyone who doesn’t have him and that will be my sole trade. Now left with 17 trades left and need to do the following between now and finals which will give me 21 guns (22 if McIntosh can continue to improve): KK – S Mitchell, Polec – Goddard, Macrae – StevieJ, Cloke – Parker and Higgins – Franklin.

    • Hey Bandicoot,
      yeah this aimed at RDT players going for league wins, I don’t spend as much time on Fantasy as I do on RDT but I treat them as almost completely different games so it doesn’t bother me. I like the increased planning and trade decisions that the restricted format of RDT offers plus it seems to be resulting in more unique teams in our leagues compared to Fantasy. That said I get the Fantasy angle as well.
      254th is still close enough to have a crack at overall but I think you might need to up the ante on ‘finishing’ your side if so…

  • Thoughts on getting Nahas in for one week for possible pricerise?

    His Breakeven this week is -11 ?

    Does anyone know charlie Camerons BE?

    Thoughts on any other forward that could get me a possible 15K this week?

    Cheers,
    Chris