Sydney Swans: Dream Team Preview

This is the next of our submitted Club Dream Team Previews. Thanks to magpies01 for sending this one in! You will receive a stubby holder and if your article is one of the two that gets the most Facebook “Likes’ (just above this blurb), you’ll get yourself an AFL Prospectus! Read on!

The future looks bright for the Swans, and it also looks very near. After a quality season in 2010, the Swans finished 5th on the ladder, with a 13-9 win/loss record, and a percentage of 108.27. Many people see Sydney as a ‘shut down’ club, but last year they showed their much more. Their younger players have excelled in their performances, and this means Sydney have taken aboard a more attacking role in 2011. There is no doubt in my mind that they will make the top 8, and I also think they could go far into the finals, probably to the prelim finals.  With their young players looking fresh and fit, and a new coach to lead the team into a new era, the Swans look like a genuine top 8 contender for the year.

Now onto the fantasy. Sydney are one of the 4 teams to have both their byes in the multi-bye rounds, in rounds 5 & 19, so that’s great news for any DT coaches who are looking for a league win. This is also good news for coaches who are wanting the car, as they can get on a cheap Swans player, have him get his first bye out of the way early, and then he can deliver a solid 14 rounds of scores, which means upgrading him to a premium in round 19. In 2010, the Swans best DTer was, with no surprise, was Adam Goodes, with an average of 94. Second, was the young gun, Kieren Jack, with an average of 90. Next were Jude Bolton, Malceski and O’Keefe.

Defence

If you’re looking for a Swans player in the backline, look no further than Nick Malceski. The defender was one of the best buys of 2010, starting as a cheap buy, and has now been promoted to a premium. Malceski gathered the most possessions for the Swans in 2010, and had a solid average of 85. He is also having an outstanding pre-season, smashing his 3km time trial. However, there was a large surprise to all fans in 2010, with Heath Grundy having a standout year. The forward-moved-defender had a great season, lifting up his average to 78, and being one of the Swans best defenders. Sydney’s defence is more about shutting down the opposition and not gathering stats, and this is why their backline doesn’t standout in DT, with the exception of Malceski and Grundy. The Swans only rookie defender looks to be Alex Johnson, who was pick 57 for the Swans. The tall defender can also move up forward, or slide into the ruck.

Midfield

With the loss of Brett Kirk, the Swans midfield must stand up to fill in that hole, not only with statistics, but with leadership. Kieren Jack has showed what he is capable of in 2010, with a break out year. His average was an excellent 90, and he played all 22 games. With nothing but upside to him, he is sure to be a popular pick in 2011. Swans veteran Jude Bolton gave us yet another solid season, with an average of 88. Although he is one of the most consistent players in the AFL, there could be better buys out there, with age catching up with the hard at it midfielder. Brett Meredith, a young midfielder who has been injury-plagued the last 3 years, is having his best pre-season to date. He has improved his fitness and his skills have excited the Swans coaches. Lewis Jetta looks to be a good buy, with a solid start to his career in 2010. Hopefully, he could get more goals quicker this year, and become a consistent player.

Ruck

After the loss of Darren Jolly, the Swans needed a big man to stand up. Luckily, Geelong had given them Shane Mumford and kept Mark Blake, which has now been recognised as a large mistake. Big Mummy was their premium ruckman for 2010, with an average of 79. The young man only looks to be improving, and should be a popular buy for the season. Another player with the possibility of having a breakout year, is Jesse White. The forward/ruckman has showed us many signs, but has not been able to string together a consistent season, but with a pre-season injury maybe we should wait to see how he goes. Big Canadian, Mike Pyke looks to be improving, but as a DT player, you should stay away.

Forward

Adam Goodes is leading this forward line into the year, with a great average of 94 in 2010, the veteran could be a good buy in 2011, but with injury concerns, and age catching up to him, you might want to stay away. Ryan O’Keefe has showed us again that he is capable of being a premium player, but still couldn’t put together a consistent season. After a great 1st half to the season, Paul Roos shifted him into a tagging role, and this was his downfall, but he still had a solid average of 86, and should be considered. Trent Dennis-Lane was someone I had in my team last year. The rookie forward showed great signs last year, and gave coaches some solid scores for a rookie. Even though he has the 2nd year blues of his head, he should be considered. Jed Lamb was the highest pick for the Swans, and could be a good rookie buy. The strong, quick forward has an ability to find the ball and has a great kick at goal.

Swans DT recap

Who to watch: Nick Malceski, Brett Meredith, Kieren Jack, Trent-Dennis Lane

Who to avoid: Daniel Bradshaw (injury-prone), Lewis Roberts-Thompson (injury-prone), Tadgh Kennelly

Injuries: Craig Bolton, Jesse White, Mark Seaby

Overall, the Swans look to be genuine threat in 2011. They also have many great options for DT, and will continue to improve under a new coach.

53 Comments

  • Good work. I’d like to talk about a few swans that haven’t been mentionned. However with the change of coach it’s pretty tough to know who will be in the best 22.

    – Sam Reid : had 1 game last year and was really impressive. Could play many games and score very well but he has a pretty heavy price tag for a one game player (200k)

    – Daniel Hanneberry : he is in his third year and will ocntinue to improve. He is a star and will average above 90 this year. He already showed last year he could put out some massive scores.

    – Josh P. Kennedy : Played all games last year and improved at every game. He had his two best games in the two finals games and should continue with that form. He should take over some of Kirk’s role as in and under player.

    – Lewis Johnston : A high draft pick from a few years ago. Roos never gave him a chance but he is finally fit and without injury and should get quite a few games this year.

    And also stay away from Jesse White.

  • Good form, Tawker. He’s at an awkward price, but the big-balled coaches around might also consider Daniel Hannebery. Would need to lift his average from 80 to 95 to be worth it, but it’s a possibility. Looks an absolute jet.

  • Spider’s little brother looks good value to me. History suggests that he will have a breakout year, as do most Sydney recruits in their first season at the club. He may be a little on the expensive side, but he’s a way better option than Drummond or Adcock in my opinion.

    Also look out for Luke Parker (Jude Bolton clone). He could be a good trade down target during the year.

  • Nicely done Tony.
    Seaby’s not injured now……… but may as well be as far as DT is concerned!
    Apparently Johnston was touted as a replacement for Barry Hall.
    ROK was carrying an injury in the latter half of last year, wouldn’t surprise me to see his average jump back into the 90’s.

  • I don’t know where you came up with that ROK info. He was never given a tagging role he had a debilitating groin injury in second half of season and has only had his first full run of the pre season this week.

  • They did use ROK as a defensive forward a few times and in a couple of tagging roles. Obviously the groin was his big downfall though. He’s a lock for me

  • what are your thoughts on Ben McGlynn ($358,500)??
    A solid dpp that is likely to spend more time in the middle??
    Or has he hit his ceiling?

    • Possibly hit his ceiling I reckon. At quite an awkward price too so you’re better off spending the extra $40k and getting a guaranteed keeper.

    • At a very awkward price.
      But he is capable of racking up big scores (two 130+ scores in a row at the start of 2010 before injury).
      If you buy him he’d be a keeper (barring injury), your choice but I think Sylvia, Didak, Chapman, Goodes etc. might be safer DPP choices.

  • Not too sure whether I can trust the ROK after the rollercoaster of last year. Goodesy has burnt me so many times at the start of the season so I’m gonna hold off until the second bye is over then BUY BUY BUY.

    Be very interesting to see how Hannebery and Jack go this year. I’m going with a strict premium/rookie structure this year so no room for mid-range picks.. but I have a feeling that one or both of these guys will really ‘arrive’ this year. Hopefully I don’t regret missing out on them from the start.

    PS.Just a side note here guys.. If anyone is looking for another league to join we have 4 spots available in 387284.

  • Anyone have any thoughts on Rhyce Shaw?

    • Haven’t heard about his pre-season yet. But will watch him in the NAB and see how he goes.

    • He was also used in a tagging role along with ROK.

      Watch both of them to see how they fit in the new Sydney set up.

    • Dont take my word for it but im pretty sure with Everitt coming in to play a defensive running role Shaw should get released in the middle more.

  • Nice write up.
    I haven’t been this confident in the Swans during the pre-season ever before. Considering 2010 would be considered our ‘rebuilding’ year and finished 5th; I reckon we could be a serious premiership contender within the next few years.

    I reckon Heath Grundy could reach an 85+, still fairly young and is only going to improve. The DPP is also handy, Gilbert in Def and Grundy as a Fwd would be a good combination.

    I also think J.Kennedy could be a smokey this year, his last 2 games showed us his potential and with Brett Kirk gone he could get an elevated role in the midfield.
    Ben Mcglynn scored 130+ twice at the start of the 2010 season before he was cut down with a calf injury, and when he was just hitting form again he copped a broken eye socket. He’s only priced at an 86 average, I reckon he could easily push a 95+ average.

    As a Swans fan, I personally wouldn’t start with Goodes in my team…he normally hits his very best at the middle of the season. He’d be a great upgrade target later, as I reckon he will dip in price.
    ROK could potentially be a DT bargain, mid-priced and is a premium; I still doubt whether he is fully fit and past his groin problems though.

    • Goodes having a slow start is a myth. Last year he started with 86, 100, 106, 90 and 93 in his opening five rounds playing as a forward. Solid if you ask me. Why waste a trade picking him up later? We know he’s a gun. Just pick him from the beginning.

      • He is getting old – already 31.

        His starts are not really that slow; but I think the point being made is that he does his best work in the second half of the season, so look to aim for him as an upgrade. I doubt i will be though.

      • It really just depends what Horse wants his role to be in the team. Also, whether or not Daniel Bradshaw can stay fit for the entire season; his absence meant Goodes was the number one target in the Fwd line (2010). As long as Bradshaw can remain fit and firing you’d expect Goodes to get an extended run in the midfield — which is good for DT, of course.

      • True his starts aren’t horrible, but he does generally devalue mildly by round 6-10. Last year he had dropped approx $70,000 about Rd 8, the year before he dropped by about $50,000 by Rd 5. Both years he returned to about even by years end (down $20000 last year by Rd21).

        He won’t drop as much this year due to cheaper start price, but at his age I prefer to wait it out and upgrade after the first bye (probably swap Chris Knights to Goodes or Didak if all goes well).

    • Kennedy will burn it up this year and will be a good unique pick. Needs to increase his kick to handball ratio (hoping he’s been working on his kicking in the offseason), however he’ll be a huge factor post-Kirky. Hopefully he’ll continue his blinding 2010 finals form – I see plenty of upside there.

      Nick Smith is a very well priced defender and although he often tags, I think he’ll be freed up more this year and also run in the midfield at times.

  • Why is my name the greatest you’ve heard? Could everyone please Facebook like.

  • “Adam Goodes is leading this forward line into the year, with a great average of 94 in 2010, the veteran could be a good buy in 2011, but with injury concerns, and age catching up to him, you might want to stay away”

    sorry but i completely disagree. not sure what you have heard about him but from what i have heard he is in fantastic shape atm and has been a standout at training. he was going to be the captain of the indigenous all stars before that game was cancelled, surely he wouldnt have been allowed to play that game if he had injury concerns?? age is not a factor for this guy. he will still be out on the field when he is 36. Robert Harvey anyone? he deserves to be Sydneys sole captain this year and he will keep on keeping on. deffinately worth picking up from round one.

    not sure why you didnt mention Dan Hannerbery. the guy is a GUN! will average 95+ this season, possibly in the 100’s. its a shame i cant fit him in my team.

    Why wasnt Luke Parker mentioned as a great rookie pick? by all accounts he was the steal of the Draft last year at pick 40 and he has a ready made AFL body. this bloke will play plenty of senior footy this year!

    Finally Benny McGlynn will be a superstar HFF this year. averaged 85.8 last year in an injury plagued season. should easily average 95 this season if he can stay injury free.

    • Looks like you just wanted to post everything that you think was wrong? Look mate if your so smart why isn’t your article up there? Stop fu**ing whinging.

      • if i had of known a magpies supporter was going to do the write up i would had done one for sure. if only i had a time machine.

        • Yeah but you don’t have to come here, and whine that all your great players aren’t on my article. So just relax.

          • K mate. my bad. didnt mean to have a go. just adding my 2c. for the most part it was a good write up. especially about malceski! hes my man this year!!!

    • No one is pumping up Hannerbury as ,uch as you and even you can’t fit him in your team.

      Nice write up Tony. I’m gonna go see if I can fit ROK in my FWD line now.

  • What is the word going around Jed lamb??? when do they think he will play his first game???

  • Even though I am an avid Swans supporter, I have found it hard to find value players in Swans colours in the past 3-4 years. Last year, I thought Malceski was a standout and I also thought Kennelly would be a cash cow but other than that there was not much early on. Goodes was an upgrade later in the year.
    I see this year as being no different other than ROK will be a much better scorer this year than last and hence he will be in my starting forwards. I am quite confident he is over the groin issues of last year and will go back to his scoring of 2009.
    There are dozens of specuative picks in most sides and if I had to make a pick as to the next best value swanny, I think it is a toss up between Jack and Hannerbery however I feel there are other speculative mids that present better value.
    Lewis Johnston is certainly an option for your forward bench however although he may be a much improved player this year and may very well get game time it concerns me that he is a key position type who may “play well” without scoring too many DT points.

    • i think your right about value picks this year. hard to find any. however i have managed to get 4 swans on the park in my team this year becaust there byes are just too good to ignore. Malceski obviously in defence, Jack midfield, i have seaby in 2nd ruck with sandi (he is good value and over his broken ankle and we know he has the potential to score well) and the last spot in the forward line, i want to pick O’keffe but i just cant seem to talk myself into it so atm i have goodesy in there.

      • I find your pessimism with O’Keefe surprising. He was severly hampered with the groin injury last year yet still averaged 86. Asuming he is over that (and I believe he is) I feel he will be a 100+ average player this year.

        • i really want to believe you but untill i see him on the field he wont be in my team. he didnt even play intra-club match today. instead watched on with his elbow in a bandage. not sure what thats about??

  • just like to point out Dennis-lane kicked 7 goals in the intra club match this morning.watch out for him in the NAB cup!

  • Is mark seaby worth the punt? or will he be fighting to hard for that ruck spot?

    • Even if you had a rock solid guarantee that Seaby was fit, would remain uninjured, and was first choice for ruck what’s to punt on? Consider – Seaby has played about 100 games over seven seasons (crap luck to be in the same place/time as Cox at WC). Has scored 80pts or more only ten times. Scored 60pts or less about sixty times and almost half of those scores were less than 40pts. Mate, I reckon Anna Bligh would be a better punt…

      • [disclaimer] Now watch Seaby avg 110 and Anna get arrested for importing crack…

        • Seaby looked good and seemed to be getting better early last season before his injury. i have him as 2nd ruck atm purely because of my team structure, but noone else will have him so he gives you an edge if he comes out firing this year.

          • I gotta confess to being a DT pup yet I have to disagree with your reckoning. Seaby was the perfect honeypot last season. 81-127-jump on board-30-55-56-1 and gone for the season. Take out his highest score (against a demoralised and injury ridden Adelaide) and his lowest (the game he got injured) and he averaged around 56pts – about par for his career. IF he comes out firing how long do you reckon that’ll last? If he doesn’t you’re 20-30pts behind the 8-ball each week until you use a precious trade to get rid of him. Heck, I’m not even convinced he’s a regular with the new rules…

            Congratulations to Mark and his wife on the arrival of their baby.

  • How far away is Craig Bolton??? because on the injury list he is indefinite, so how many weeks is that??