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The Thursday Scramble

The Thursday Scramble: Round 4 – Gather Round

A full week of 9 games, no best 18, time to Scramble!

How good is this.  Not only is everyone in Adelaide, but we have a full slate of games this week with no teams on byes! No hiding rubbish scores due to best 18 so all those 20s and 30s, everything is gonna count, so that means we gotta Scramble!!

Early Round Strategy

Now that we have seen three and a half rounds of games we can really start to get a feel for some trends for some players. It is time to also cut your losses and swallow your pride if you have made a mistake early on and just correct it. But we also need to keep in mind that we need to continue making money.

Firstly, we know that breakevens and making money are big things in this game, but we also know that some of our starting squad will be with us at the end. So with my keepers I simply don’t worry about their BE (unless they are scoring so badly that I need to move them on). So guys like Bontempelli who has a BE of 136 don’t phase me as I know that he will be in my team for the season (baring injury). I certainly don’t like the strategy of trading out a guy like Bont when he has a high BE with the hope of picking him up later on when he gets cheaper. As I have said a million times in this column is that there will always be something else happen that will mean that you can’t get him in when you are planning to.

Now having said that we need to discuss Daicos. His quiet game against the Lions wasn’t something that we saw coming. I think if we knew that there would have been more coaches willing to not start with him. He has a BE of 134 now heading into the Finn game. There will be a lot of keen eyes on teams tonight and particularly when final Sunday teams are named on Sunday to see whether Maginness is in the side. If he is in the side it is very highly likely he goes to Daicos and we know how that story has ended in the past. So this would be the one exception where I would say you could trade out your premium with a bye coming up. If you were to trade Daicos now and then he scores an 80 against the Hawks then has the Bye in round 5 you could see him really come back to the pack in terms of price either before or after round 6. It is a risky play, but we all know what you need to do to get the biscuit! I didn’t start with Daicos so I am hoping that he has a poor game this week. But if I had him and had no other fix ups to do I would seriously consider trading him.

One game does not make a season

So on strategy, there were a lot of teams that jumped off of Young, Martin, Bonner and others before last week and we all know how that panned out for them. Look, I get it, I toyed with the idea of moving on Young and Bonner myself after they let me down the week before. But in the end I had other issues to deal with such as making sure I had the right cash generators in my side and I got in Powell and Dempsey. That proved to be the right strategy.  Something I have done poorly in past seasons is play around too much side swapping mid-pricers and premiums and I haven’t had enough cash generation going on so this year I am prioritising getting my cash going and I think I have done ok.  All of those three guys had a game where we really questioned whether they should be in our sides but ultimately they have paid off so holding was the right call to make

However, this can also backfire spectacularly and that is the case with a bloke called Billings. Many of us didn’t start him after he was the sub in round 0, then after that big score in round 1 we jumped aboard thinking we had found the holy grail! However, since then he has turned out to be a disaster. His BE is now up at 72 and he is going to bleed cash, so even if you only brought him in recently it is time to part ways. The difference between Billings and the other three is that he has had only one good score whereas the others have put in some solid scores. Also Billings has had the vest in two of four games and if that isn’t enough to trade him out I don’t know what is.

Fixture Alert!

Sound the alarm Calvin!  This weekend at Gather round there is a game at 5pm Friday afternoon (Eastern time) between the Lions and Kangaroos. So just beware and be ready for this. The game will start just as the final teams for Sunday come out so don’t get too caught up in that such that you forget to make sure your line up is all good to go with all loopholes ready and waiting. My recommendation would be that once the Crows v Demons game starts tonight, get the rest of your team set and ready to go assuming all will be ok with the Sunday teams, then check it all again after the Thurs night game or on Fri morning just in case you have to take Max’s VC score. The last thing you want to do is be looking t teams and looking to make changes only to realise that the Fri early game has started.

Things To Remember:

  • Every Point Counts this week, so do a bit of research into your rookies on field. You will lose at Rookie Roulette sometimes but at least you can say you made an educated guess.
  • There are lots of events around Adelaide on the weekend so if you are in town have a look. I think there are still tickets to The Keeper League live show on Friday afternoon which will include Warnie so head to Heff’s site and pick up a ticket.
  • Plan your trades with the two remaining mini bye rounds still to come. I would love to get Heeney in but don’t want to do it the week before his bye.
  • Start to keep an eye on your targets and plan your trades a few weeks ahead if you can, better to have a plan you have to change than to have no plan at all.

For all of you coming to Adelaide for Gather Round I do hope our great state treats you well.  I will be at the Power v Essendon game (what a surprise) but can’t get to the others. With best 22 scores this week we should see some more movement in the rankings and some coaches who have been trading around the byes may get caught out.  As Selby likes to say it is like when the receding tide exposes those swimming naked! And with that thought, have a great weekend of footy with a full 9 games and I’ll see you all next Thursday morning.

 

A passionate Port Adelaide Fan who simply loves footy! That is how I would describe myself. Catch my weekly article "The Thursday Scramble" with all the last minute things to think about for the weekend Follow: @pkd73.

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jag67
jag67
13 days ago

I’ve been guilty of the sideways trade these past few weeks.
Good write up again, Dunny.

NateG
NateG
13 days ago

Should I get Dempsey or Flanders as can only get 1 of them

NateG
NateG
13 days ago
Reply to  Dunny

Thanks dunny appreciate your help 👍

Digga
Digga
13 days ago

Thanks, Dunny. Enjoy your Thursday articles. Enjoy your “long” weekend.

Liam
Member
Liam
13 days ago

Thoughts on what trades to do this week

Got 0k in the bank haha

Im thinking of going

Wilson- Thomas
Lazzaro- Gallagher or should I drop Wilson to a 200k player( McAuliffe) and go Lazzaro- Dempsey??

DEF: Sheezel, Whitfield, Young, Houston, D’Ambrosio, Zilliams (Reid, Howes)
MID: Zerrett, Green, Rozee, N Martin, Bonner, McKercher, Sanders, Roberts (Mannagh, Clark)
RUC: Gawn, Grundy (Barnett)
FWD: Heeney, Jackson, Powell, Jordon, Reid, Lazzaro (Wilson, Campbell)
UTIL: Cadman

Liam
Member
Liam
13 days ago
Reply to  Liam

Any suggestions?

Mitro0545
Mitro0545
13 days ago

Need help with my trades this week lads:

167k in bank. Have Miller as my current best Mid.

Jordon BE 54 / Sexton BE 41 > H. Thomas

My biggest issue is where I go next:

Wines > Steele & 140k or Wines > Green & 23k or someone else…

My initial thoughts are I should just go with Green but Steele has value…

Ray martin
Ray martin
13 days ago

Not enough money to get to Flanders/heeney. Looking to upgrade Wilson to Lukosious in the forward line given Dimma has moved him back. Thoughts? Would leave me with only Dempsey as rook in fwd line

doug
doug
13 days ago

reckon big Maxy goes alright against ROB tonight??

last 3 ave of 130, seems primed for the VC into Green/Steele at C..

Richard Fitswell
Richard Fitswell
13 days ago
Reply to  doug

Im tossing up between Maxy (I believe most will VC him) and Jordan Dawson as a POD, I think JD could bounce back and have a good score.

Izzy
Izzy
13 days ago

Thoughts on
Fisher > Powell
Reid/Wilson > Dempsey

Or
Reid/Wilson > Thomas
Sexton > Powell

GunsNrookies
GunsNrookies
13 days ago

Which 2 out of Thomas, Powell and Dempsey are the highest priority?

Andy
Andy
13 days ago

Onya Dunny! Great write up mate.

Thoughts on these trades?

Fisher > Flanders
Reid > Dempsey

Otherwise it’s Wilson > Gallagher or Thomas.

Cheers

The Milkmen
The Milkmen
13 days ago

Got to field either Draper or Howes at D6. Thoughts?

brian Smith
brian Smith
13 days ago

Thanks for the article!
Can’t join the Flanders club this week as I have to fix rucks and get Cameron up to Max. So I’ve dropped Fisher to Dempsey to manage that. Now I have two rookies on ground in the forwards. Dempsey is ok at F5.

Any thoughts on who should get the F6 gig: Reid, Windsor, Campbell, Wilson?

Thanks!!

Johnnyd
Johnnyd
12 days ago

After a bad tactic of avoiding almost all bye players at the start of the season I’m now playing catch up. I have enough cash to get anyone but have decided on a forward for structure. Do i go FLANDERS with a tough match up like half the competition or go ZORKO against north to try and peg a few points back

brian Smith
brian Smith
12 days ago
Reply to  Johnnyd

If you are playing catch up, you have to do something different and gamble that it pays off. If you just copy what everyone else did a couple of weeks ago, you will always be a couple of weeks behind.




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