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The Season

Weekend Forecast – Round 10

Get your weekend sorted with Bails’ epic read.

***Live stream of the Weekend Forecast will be on my YouTube channel. Make sure to tune in as I will be answering your questions during the live stream. Also, feel free to subscribe to my YouTube channel and leave a like on the video. Would be very much appreciated.***

It seems that the last few weeks we always get a player that is in most of our teams is named out, and another one dropped this week, with Lachie Whitfield missing due to ankle injury. With his bye coming up in round 12, I wouldn’t be surprised if he isn’t back until round 13, meaning he is probably a trade. There are also plenty of coaches that have to trade out Jack Steele, who will be out until late in the season with a shoulder injury, meaning coaches will have 2 forced trades this week.

Now, lets get into the rest of the Weekend Forecast.

 

Carlton vs Sydney @ Marvel Stadium

Weather Forecast

***Roof Closed***

Team Lineups

Carlton

IN

Liam Stocker, Lewis Young

OUT

Zac Williams (Injured), Jack Newnes (Managed), Brodie Kemp (Omitted)

Sydney

IN

Colin O’Riordan

OUT

James Rowbottom (Suspension), Ryan Clarke (Medi-Sub)

 

Players to Watch

Patrick Cripps

Had his first poor game of the season score wise, but he still had 26 disposals. I expect him to bounceback against Sydney tonight under the roof, and could be a solid VC option early in the round.

Chad Warner

He has now scored 4 tons in a row while playing a more prominant midfield role. Priced at 721k and a breakeven of 58, could be a POD alternative to someone like a Serong that could ride through to his bye. Make sure he does fit your bye structure though.

Callum Mills

After scoring a poor 76 in round 8, he bounced back in a big way last week with a 156. He has now gone 130+ in 3 of his last 4 games, with 2 of them 150+. If you have Jack Steele, moving to Mills will only cost you about 60k, but it could very well be worth it with Mills looking like the no.1 scorer at the moment, and a great VC option tonight.

Other players to watch: Sam Walsh, Isaac Heeney, Corey Durdin, Jake Lloyd, Paddy McCartin, George Hewett, Luke Parker, Sam Docherty, Jack Carroll

Geelong vs Port Adelaide @ GMHBA Stadium

Weather Forecast

Around 14°C, sunny

Team Lineups

Geelong

IN

Gary Rohan, Jed Bews

OUT

Gryan Miers (Managed), Mitch Knevitt (Omitted), Cooper Stephens (Medi-Sub)

Port Adelaide

IN

Tom Jonas, Trent Dumont

OUT

Xavier Duursma (Omitted), Martin Frederick (Omitted), Orazio Fantasia (Omitted)

 

Players to Watch

Zak Butters

Scored 84 against North Melbourne last week which isn’t his worst score, but owners will still be frustrated. Tough game against Geelong in Geelong, if you have issues with round 12 in your bye structure and you don’t have the Steele or Whitfield issues, you can still move him on.

Mitch Duncan

Even though he did only score 86 last week, he stil had 21 disposals and 8 marks, played the half back role we wanted to see, and St Kilda are a hard team to score against. Still cheap at 732k, he is a nice option to consider, even if he may not have shown enough yet.

Ollie Wines

This is the definition of an underpriced premium. Now down at 802k after his injury affected game in round 4, he want bang against North Melbourne with 128 points, including 2 goals and 3 behinds so his score could have been so much bigger. A lot of people have issues with round 12 bye players, so you could wait until after his round 12 bye, but if you bye structure is good, then go ahead as he is a great option.

Other players to watch: Tom Stewart, Sam De Koning, Connor Rozee, Dan Houston, Sam Hayes, Travis Boak, Patrick Dangerfield

 

Western Bulldogs vs Gold Coast @ Mars Stadium

Weather Forecast

Around 15°C, partly cloudy

Team Lineups

Western Bulldogs

IN

Tim O’Brien

OUT

Taylor Duryea (Illness), Roarke Smith (Medi-Sub)

Gold Coast

IN

 

OUT

Darcy Macpherson (Omitted)

 

Players to Watch

Jack Macrae

Nice bounce back from Macrae last week with a nice 123 against Collingwood. Another favourable matchup against Gold Coast, but it is at Mars Stadium which we know can be weird with scoring. A nice VC option early in the round to see how he goes, because he could be massive.

Touk Miller

Responded after a quiet round 8 with a nice 128 last week in the wet conditons against Fremantle. A nice option for Jack Steele and will only 8k. Tough matchup against the Bulldogs at Mars Stadium this week, but you are getting Touk because he is Touk.

Marcus Bontempelli

Keep a close eye on the Bont and Bailey Smith this week, with the Dog duo currently at 37% fwd for the season and might gain fwd status after round 11 (above the 35% threshold to gain dual position status ). I am particularly keen on the Bont, who had his biggest game of the season last week with a 119 and now really cheap to what he normally is at 801k.

Other players to watch: Bailey Dale, Bailey Smith, Tom Liberatore, Buku Khamis, Rory Thompson, Josh Dunkley, Adam Treloar, Robbie McComb, Luke Cleary, Joel Jeffrey

 

North Melbourne vs Melbourne @ Marvel Stadium

Weather Forecast

***Roof Closed***

Team Lineups

North Melbourne

IN

Jy Simpkin, Tristan Xerri, Jason Horne-Francis, Hugh Greenwood

OUT

Callum Coleman-Jones (Omitted), Charlie Lazzaro (Medi-Sub), Jaidyn Stephenson (Omitted), Atu Bosenavulagi (Omitted), Jack Mahony (Injured)

Melbourne

IN

Jake Melksham

OUT

Kade Chandler (Suspension), James Harmes (Injured)

 

Players to Watch

Christian Petracca

Went big last week with a 139 against a depleted Eagles side, and it was his first 120+ score since round 2. A bit cheaper than the other big midfielders at 879k, and has another juicy matchup against North Melbourne. Ripe for the picking, and a great Steele replacement that actually makes you 13k.

Jason Horne-Francis

JHF is back in the team after missing just the one week with hamstring tightness. If you held him, he could be useful if you have issues to deal with this week and you need a player to fill a hole in your team, and he has the round 14 bye so it isn’t the worst idea to potentially hold him until his bye, but if you still have the chance to move him on, he has done his job.

Clayton Oliver

Slightly disappointing with only a 91 against West Cost as he should have been atleast 100+.  Before that though, He has scores over 110 in 4 straight games, so he will be fine. As said with Petracca, has a juicy matchup against North Melbourne this week so hopefully he can cash in for his owners.

sOther players to watch: Tarryn Thomas, Max Gawn

 

Adelaide vs St Kilda @ Adelaide Oval

Weather Forecast

Around 14°C, clear

Team Lineups

Adelaide

IN

Riley Thilthorpe, Lachlan Murphy

OUT

Lachlan Sholl (Omitted), Elliot Himmelberg (Omitted), Luke Pedlar (Medi-Sub)

St Kilda

IN

Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera

OUT

Jack Steele (Injured), Jack Higgins (Injured)

 

Players to Watch

Rory Laird

Just as consistent as they come, and he did it again last week, with another score of 124. Has a couple of tricky games against St Kilda and Geelong in Geelong, but after that his run is amazing. He is expensive now at 919k, but I don’t think you will find a more consistent player and scorer than Lairdy.

Jake Soligo

Looked really good last week on the wing for his 59. Was involved a bit, and it was good to see him play 81% game time. My personally pick of the rookies this week, but most people are looking at a defender rookie with people wanting to cash in McCartin or SDK. He has the better round 13 bye, and should be in the team until his round 13 bye.

Jack Sinclair

With Jack Steele out for a while, I expect to see him get some CBA’s. He started the season on fire playing as a midfielder, and even though he hasn’t been getting the mid time, he has still been solid all season, with his lowest score being 2 scores in the 80’s (one in the slippery conditons at Cazaly’s). Solid POD replacement for Whitfield owners.

Other players to watch: Jade Gresham, Jordan Dawson, Ben Keays, Sam Berry, Jackson Hately, Marcus Windhager

 

Richmond vs Essendon @ MCG

Weather Forecast

Around 11°C, mostly clear

Team Lineups

Richmond

IN

Robbie Tarrant, Josh Gibcus

OUT

Noah Balta (Injured), Bigoa Nyuon (Omitted), Marlion Pickett (Suspension)

Essendon

IN

Devon Smith

OUT

Jye Caldwell (Injured), Tom Cutler (Omitted)

 

Players to Watch

Dustin Martin

I think Dusty is a player for us to keep an eye on and see how he goes over the next 2 weeks before his bye. Currently priced at 671k, he would be a great player to bring in off his round 12 bye. I don’t think he will be a top 6-8 forward, but a good option to bring in if he can do well over his next 2 weeks.

Zach Merrett

Only a 51 last week which was really poor, resulting in him dropping 57k and is now priced at 840k, and has a breakeven of 158. Potentially will be under 800k in a couple of weeks which will be ridiculously cheap for a guy that has averaged 115+ on mutiple occassions. Will be a good option to maybe look at after his round 13 bye.

Nic Martin

Had his lowest score for the year, but stil got to 65 after a really quiet first half. At some point we will have to trade him, but he does have a really nice matchup against Richmond on the wide MCG, so he should put up another solid score, hopefully making us a little bit more money in the process.

Other players to watch: Jayden Short, Darcy Parish, Maurice Rioli, Nick Vlastuin, Ben Hobbs

 

GWS vs West Coast @ Giants Stadium

Weather Forecast

Around 18°C, occasional light rain (83% chance of rain)

Team Lineups

GWS

IN

Josh Fahey, Zach Sproule, Matt Flynn, Jake Stein, Jarrod Brander, Jesse Hogan, Jacob Wehr, James Peatling, Tanner Bruhn

OUT

Finn Callaghan (Injured), Nick Haynes (Illness), Cooper Hamilton (Omitted), Lachlan Keefe (Omitted), Conor Stone (Injured), Lachie Whitfield (Injured)

West Coast

IN

Zane Tree, Andrew Gaff, Brady Hough, Jack Williams, Luke Shuey, Rhett Bazzo

OUT

Liam Ryan (Suspension), Jamie Cripps (Illness), Luke Foley (Injured)

 

Players to Watch

Greg Clark

Came back to Earth slightly last week with a 61, but played against a great Melbourne midfield. It was positive to see him get plenty of CBA’s, and hopefully we see him get some more in the next few weeks, but it could be tough with Shuey and Gaff back this week, along with Sheed and Yeo not too far away. Still solid to play on field while he is making bulkcash with a breakeven still -20.

Stephen Coniglio

A disgusting score last week of only 49, with many coaches wanting to move him on. With Steele and Whitfield injured, I doubt you will be able to now, but I would hold this week to see how it plays out with the new coach. It was positive to see Cogs named on the ball in the team sheets (even though it doesn’t mean much), and I think he should see more CBA’s than what he has been getting, hopefully meaning his scores will increase.

Josh Kelly

2 scores in his last 3 of 134 has been great to see, and has a juicy matchup against West Coast with a new coach. If he gets 60+% of the CBA’s, he will have more scores like last week, and become a really great option for us to look at, but I just want to see it with the new coach first. Could be a guy you look at after his bye in round 12.

Other players to watch: Isaac Cumming, Harry Perryman, Tom Green, Tim Taranto, Alex Witherden, Braydon Preuss, Hugh Dixon, Brady Hough

 

Hawthorn vs Brisbane @ UTAS Stadium

Weather Forecast

Around 14°C, sunny

Team Lineups

Hawthorn

IN

Ned Long, Daniel Howe, Kyle Hartigan, Jackson Callow, Liam Shiels, Tom Mitchell, Changkuoth Jiath

OUT

James Worpel (Omitted), Connor Macdonald (Medi-Sub), Jack Gunston (Injured), Finn Maginness (Omitted)

Brisbane

IN

Ryan Lester, Deven Robertson, Tom Fullarton, Mitch Robinson

OUT

Marcus Adams (HS Protocols)

 

Players to Watch

Lachie Neale

Great captain option this week against the Hawks at pig park. This is a slight chance he is tagged by Conor Nash, which could make things difficult, but we have seen Neale push through tags this year and put up good scores so I don’t think it will be too much of an issue.

Dayne Zorko

Had 132 against Hawthorn last year, and is a great option for either Steele or Whitfield. Still cheap at 790k, and we know in the mid/fwd role he is playing now, he has been a fantasy beast and averaged over 105, and I think he will be a top 6 defender, plus he has the round 14 bye which is another positive.

James Sicily

The Sic Dawg did it again last week with another 109 against Richmond. That is now 4 tons in his last 5, with his lowest score of the season being a 79, showing his safe and high floor. Brisbane can be tough on their day, but the ball should be in the Hawks defence a bit, and it is at pig park so it should be a high scoring fantasy game.

Other players to watch: Daniel Rich, Dylan Moore, Tom Mitchell, Keidean Coleman

Fremantle vs Collingwood @ Optus Stadium

Weather Forecast

Around 24°C, showers and potential thunderstorms (96% chance of rain)

Team Lineups

Fremantle

IN

Michael Walters, Lloyd Meek, Sam Switkowski, Matt Taberner

OUT

Josh Treacy (Omitted)

Collingwood

IN

Jack Ginnivan, Mason Cox, Scott Pendlebury, Jamie Elliott, Reef McInnes, Nathan Murphy, Trey Ruscoe

OUT

Jack Madgen (Injured), Aiden Begg (Omitted), Finlay Macrae (Medi-Sub), Callum Brown (Omitted)

 

Players to Watch

Andrew Brayshaw

Despite only getting to a 99, it was quite impressive as I hardly noticed him during the game. In really poor conditions he wasn’t able to take his marks, but he made up for it with 10 tackles. Has a decent run up until his round 14 bye with Collingwood, Melbourne, Brisbane and Hawthorn. Nice option to bring in for Steele and will be a top 8 mid.

Jordan De Goey

Even though he only scored a 77, he did have a -1 point 3rd quarter and it was against a very tough opponent in the Bulldogs. He is now really cheap at 667k and has the great round 14 bye, so if you can’t afford any of the top midfielders or forwards, I think he is a cheap option to look at.

Caleb Serong

Back to back scores of 112 and 126 have put Serong on the radar for some coaches. I worry when Fyfe comes back his role will be affected, but that might still be a couple of weeks away, and you could ride him until his round 14 bye and offload him then.

Other players to watch: Taylor Adams, Scott Pendlebury, Jack Crisp, Sean Darcy, Will Brodie, Darcy Cameron, Nick Daicos

 

My Trades

O’Driscoll -> Petracca

H Dixon -> Khamis

or

Whitfield -> Zorko

O’Driscoll -> Wines

With the Whitfield issue, I might have to change my trades slightly, but having 427k in the bank does come in handy this week. If one of McCartin, Carroll or Durdin score well tonight (70+ score), I will hold Whitfield and use the loop to take their score. This means my trades will be NOD to Petracca and Dixon to Khamis on my bench. However, if none of those 3 players score 70+, I will then go Whitfield to Zorko and NOD to Wines. I am likely to do the Zorko and Wines trade as I don’t expect any of them to score well, but you never know!

 

Anyway, thanks again everyone for reading the Weekend Forecast. If you have any questions about your starting teams, or anything else, leave your questions in the comments section below or hit me up at my Twitter or Instagram (links provided below).

Good luck for round 10!

Instagram: @baileyirrgang

Twitter: @baileyirrgang

I am a lover of all sports, especially the AFL. Some of the teams I support include the Adelaide Crows, Manchester United, Los Angeles Lakers and Los Angeles Rams just to name a few. I am also a big fan of fantasy sports, particularly AFL Fantasy and NFL Fantasy.

136 Comments

136 Comments

  1. Jay1

    May 22, 2022 at 5:43 pm

    Looks like Darcy Cameron is playing as secondary ruck to Mason Cox today

    • pendles4brownlow

      May 22, 2022 at 6:50 pm

      And maybe that has helped. Smashing it up to half time.

  2. pendles4brownlow

    May 22, 2022 at 6:00 pm

    How many will say they took Neale now? So glad Oliver did well as VC.

    • BestowedMisery

      May 22, 2022 at 6:40 pm

      Few out there that put the C on Brayshaw.
      They’d be a bit nervous..

      • pendles4brownlow

        May 22, 2022 at 6:49 pm

        Macca 96, Neale 97, Cripps 71, Touk 82, Gawn 82, Bray not exactly killing it ATM (half time). The premiums are very inconsistent this year, so our Captain choices are a big gamble. In a way, our VC result is more important this year, because having to rely on the actual Captain is nerve-wracking.

        • Petez

          May 22, 2022 at 8:02 pm

          Yer its hard to pick. They all over the place

      • Petez

        May 22, 2022 at 8:03 pm

        I was one of them.
        Left it late. 4th qtr blitz

      • pendles4brownlow

        May 22, 2022 at 8:09 pm

        Brayshaw brought it home well. 113 in the end is not bad, but there would have been a lot of nervous Fantasy coaches. I am happy with 2231, considering I had Rowell on field.

        • Petez

          May 22, 2022 at 8:13 pm

          Noice mate. Especially with a spud.
          Spewing I didn’t VC Oliver like you.
          But oh well.
          My other team scored 2228 and moved up to 232nd. I kinda keep forgetting about it lol. But it has lipinski in it. He’s been going well. I actually think that team is better setup. It has Cameron and better rooks. Im struggling with main team, seem to be always missing trades to cover losses.

  3. Bill

    May 22, 2022 at 7:27 pm

    Yep. Cogs looks like he’s back.

    Change of coach and role.

  4. Petez

    May 22, 2022 at 8:00 pm

    Geez. Brayshaw left it late haha.
    Happy enough with 113 as cappo.
    Ended up 2260. Ranked 36th atm

    • pendles4brownlow

      May 22, 2022 at 8:10 pm

      Congrats. You are flying.

      • Petez

        May 22, 2022 at 8:29 pm

        Thanks mate.
        If I’d made the right captains calls last 2 weeks. I’d be better off. I captained Oliver last week and VCd tracs this week haha

  5. Jay1

    May 22, 2022 at 8:15 pm

    OMG, thanks to that awesome last minute Brayshaw 50 m & goal, I was able to come over the top of my league opponent by a few points. 2216 with the correct Brayshaw selected as C on debut!

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