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Trent’s Take: R19 POD targets

Get some trade targets for the final week before Fantasy finals.

What a week in the AFL with the omission and injury carnage. If you are spared the carnage of not having Mills, J. Kelly, Darcy, Martin, and now potentially Neale than you are absolutely blessed. At this time of year most coaches are looking to go one up and one down. That is up to an uber premium and down to a 200 k and below bench warmer.  We’ve looked at the sub 600 K club over the last 2 weeks and this week across lines well focus on the one up and one down categories. Although, sadly for most coaches it might be a double sideways.

We’re focusing on some POD’s who are currently scoring well, because everyone who can buy Miller, Laird, Dangerfield, and Grundy already has.

DEFENDNERS

Just a quick shout out to my fantasy arch nemesis Ken Hinkley, please put Houston near the ball and not on the offside wing (even with Bonner back, Bergman and Amon are taking Houston’s now old role. We’re now hoping Duursma frees up Houston or you sell him).

The 4 POD’s who are scoring well are Shannon Hurn, Zach Tuohy, Chris Mayne, and Bradley Hill. Hurn is 711 K, back at home against the Saints with a BE of 83 and 3.21 % ownership. The main reason most are scared off Hurn is his dodgy old man legs. He missed rounds 4-9 and has since gone post bye’s 116, 99, 98 and 110. The Eagles have a nice run of the Saints, Collingwood, Melbourne, Fremantle and then Brisbane.  Hurn is the best Eagles backmen in a side which chips the ball around.

Touhy’s role change to the wing has resulted in a ballooning to his scoring to the point where he seems at least as good as Stewart.  Tuohy is 656K with a BE of 69 and 2.46% ownership.  His previous problem of being an accountable half back is seemingly gone with his last 4 games being 108, 99, 104 and 86 with upcoming fixtures against Richmond, North and GWS.  His heat maps show a player playing both wings and gathering touches all over the ground, but mainly between the arcs.

Mayne is having a remarkable year on the half back flank and he has taken over as the main distributor off half back with Crisp’s role into the midfield (at least Crisp did such a poor job on Walsh that he should return to a ball getter this week.) He takes chip marks and kicks the ball, which is fantasy friendly, although Port can play a forward pressure limiting the back chip mark game. Mayne is also 730 K but with 1.27 % ownership he is a legitimate POD (barring concussion).

Bradley Hill since moving to half back has had a renaissance in scoring, 110 last week and now with a BE of 45 and priced at 551 and 3.45 % ownership. You just get the feeling that a coach, maybe Simpson with Duggan will run with Hill, but if you have no cash and like risks than Hill is your man. The only defender bench warmer to consider is Durham at Essendon who is at 186 K and after a solid 49 is good at D7.

MIDFIELDERS

The top 5 midfielders over the last few weeks are the storied players in Steele, Walsh, Miller, Wines and Petracca and if you can afford them, then buy them.  Read last week’s article on Guthrie, Adams and Oliver (but just watch team news as Adams spent some time off the ground for a neck and head assessment.).  For bench warmers only West at the Eagles is a downgrade option at 202 K and with a solid 76 (he could go the way of Edwards in a few weeks, but you are not playing him on ground anyway- already in 12.2% of teams.)

The three POD’s scoring well I like for the run home are Fiorini, Amon and Simpkin. Fiorini with the injury to Greenwood has better job security and plays a combination of half back and wing which means he can get some cheap marks.  At 679 K and a BE of 74 and 0.74% ownership he is a leftfield buy, but he as 3 game average of 107.7 with games against Brisbane, Melbourne and Carlton.  Amon has moved from the pure wingman to also being in the centre as his 12 CBA’s show. He is 743 K with a BE of 70 and 2.08 % ownership but a 3-game average of 123 and he plays Collingwood this week.  What surprised me last week was his tackling, he made ten tackles because he is around the stoppage contests. He looks a better option in the run home than Boak.

Lastly is Simpkin (Thomas really benefitted from Cunnington being out).  A 3-game average of 104 who I think benefits when Cunnington is in the team as the bull who takes the main midfield extractor. Simpkin stills cored 96 last week and plays Carlton, Geelong and Richmond.

RUCKS

Marshall’s COVID drama makes him a buy next week or the week after. The cheap ruck downgrades to free up cash of Fullarton and Reeves are bench warmers. Many coaches who have Darcy will have him in the forward line, but for those sidewaysing him at R2 will probably risk Grundy who must have changed shirts with De Koning at half time because he was awesome in the first half, but lacklustre in the second. For more security, and he nearly ruined my season last year, which is why I am hesitant, you could go Goldstein who has a 3-game average of 95 and plays Carlton this week.

FORWARDS

There are no viable cheap options in the forward line, just cheap downgrade bench option (unless like on other lines a 170 K rookie named. Jeka is the only player on ground, but with a score of 14 he might be omitted.)

A shout out to Mr. Consistent Isaac Smith. He just keeps scoring 90’s, with the odd score of 70 and the odd score over 100. He is 650 K and in 8.54% ownership and games against Richmond, North and GWS intimate he will continue (unless rested). I am on the lookout at the Richmond forwards because one of them surely moves into the midfield. Jack Graham’s heat map in the 4th quarter was centre to forward half (when Dusty was off). He seems the most likely to score more midfield time and is 550K DPP with 5.9% ownership and a BE of 35. Risky as he like most Richmond players has a low ceiling, but he might be good for a few weeks run above 90.

Others to consider are Snelling 574 K (he goes well in Essendon wins and close games and has gone 97, 88 and 74. Although I like Graham more.) As mentioned earlier Tarryn Thomas benefitted with no Cunnington, but he is now 600 K with a BE of 51 and 1.31 % ownership. His heat map was as a midfielder (15 CBA’s) against Essendon whilst the week before it was more on a wing (he still scored 88).

Upshot: rough week with Houston, and then Haynes getting smashed by Hayward.  2150 and ranked 2231. Looking to go two premiums with Marshall for Kelly being one and maybe getting Bianco off ground. Like most coaches our aim is to have no rookies on ground. Good luck. If you have multiple problems, I’d suggest keeping Mills and fielding Bianco or at least EME him and seeing how he goes.

Trent Sutcliffe, coach of 'aluniesheis', won AFL Fantasy Classic in 2020, one of the most challenging seasons to date.

72 Comments

72 Comments

  1. Hupps

    July 20, 2021 at 7:03 pm

    Hey Trent,
    Thinking about Dusty – T Thomas and Haynes – Tim Kelly leaving J Kelly on the field. Having a bad year so going for the league win rather then the ranking

    • Hupps

      July 20, 2021 at 7:04 pm

      For the record I have Garcia backing up JKelly

    • Aluniesheis

      July 20, 2021 at 9:07 pm

      Depends on the injury news regarding J. Kelly and your back up EME. Tarryn Thomas does look good, it will be interesting to see how he goes with Cunnington back.

  2. Nigel

    July 20, 2021 at 7:09 pm

    Crisp, Mayne, Hurn, Lloyd or Salem

    • Aluniesheis

      July 20, 2021 at 9:11 pm

      I like Crisp because of his midfield role.

      • David C

        July 21, 2021 at 8:22 am

        Crisp has been playing less midfield since Degoey went in there.

  3. Damo

    July 20, 2021 at 7:15 pm

    Who’s the best buy under $792k? Ie who averages the most for the rest of this year out of: Cunnington, Darcy, Danger, Brayshaw, Adams, Oliver, Fiorini, Salem, Neale, Mayne, Crisp, Guthrie, Ziebell, Hurn

    Thanks heaps

    • Aluniesheis

      July 20, 2021 at 9:12 pm

      Oliver and Guthrie could average 120K.

      • Aluniesheis

        July 20, 2021 at 9:12 pm

        120 score that is

  4. Aby Benny

    July 20, 2021 at 7:34 pm

    save coin by going de goey for kelly if he’s out or spend up to laird?

    • Albo

      July 20, 2021 at 9:00 pm

      Kelly will play this week.

      • Aluniesheis

        July 20, 2021 at 9:13 pm

        wait and see- let’s hope-

      • David C

        July 21, 2021 at 8:23 am

        Which Kelly? They are both questionable. Josh looks like he might play. Haven’t heard anything on Tim.

        • Albo

          July 21, 2021 at 11:13 am

          Josh Kelly.

  5. Henry

    July 20, 2021 at 7:34 pm

    Is Stringer still a good get instead of Matt Kennedy? (Was going to put Marshall into this question but he saved me the trouble.)

    • Aluniesheis

      July 20, 2021 at 9:14 pm

      Same with Marshall. I like Stringer more than Kennedy because of how his role might change with Cripps back. But both are probably 85-90 players.

  6. Stan

    July 20, 2021 at 8:03 pm

    Who’s is the best buy under 637k (forward) ?

    Matt Kennedy, Stephenson, Sidebottom, Tarryn T, Nat Fyfe or Tim English

    Thank you

    • Aluniesheis

      July 20, 2021 at 9:09 pm

      Fyfe if he plays all games, but he looks ginger in tackles. Kennedy with Cripps back will be a watch. Sidebottom looks a bit disinterested. I’d go the fun of Thomas.

  7. Sam

    July 20, 2021 at 8:23 pm

    Hold mills?
    Is he out for 1 or 2 games

    • Albo

      July 20, 2021 at 9:02 pm

      He misses again this week, will be available for R20.

    • Aluniesheis

      July 20, 2021 at 9:15 pm

      One more game

  8. Cody

    July 20, 2021 at 8:26 pm

    hey trent,
    is haynes a trade this week? thinking of going something like haynes->fiorini newcombe->west. still means i have amartey on field. Would it be better to trade haynes to someone cheaper(any line) and then be more likely to have the cash left next week to get amartey off
    cheers

    • Aluniesheis

      July 20, 2021 at 9:17 pm

      In the end is West more likely to score than Amartey? West at home v the Saints, but second up. Amartey looked a bit tired last game, but he could bounce back. Haynes was tagged and defeated by Hayward and he was never a final D6 defender. I would love to sell, but too many injuries. Tricky, but Newcombe looks dead weight at the moment.

  9. Josh

    July 20, 2021 at 8:34 pm

    Hi Trent, Could you please help me with my team quite clueless on what to do with my 2 trades this week cheers

    DEF: HALL, CRISP, STEWART, CUMMING, HOUSTON, BIANCO

    MIDS: MITCHELL, MERRETT, PARISH, WALSH, TARANTO, MACRAE, OLIVER, NEALE

    RUCS: GRUNDY, GAWN

    FWDS: ZORKO, KELLY, DE GOAT, STRINGER, AMARTEY, BRAMBLE

    LIMITLESS CASH LEFT OVER AROUND 20K AND NOT MUCH MONEY ON MY BENCH AS I HAVE ALREADY CASHED OUT ON IT CHEERS.

    • Aluniesheis

      July 20, 2021 at 9:24 pm

      The simplest solution is to sell Amartey and Kelly (if not playing) for two mid price players in the forward line.

      The risky situation as you are playing Bianco on ground anyway is to cull a premium who is not scoring like Macrae/Taranto and then Amartey (presuming Kelly playing) and then combining the cash to see what combination you can get.

      • Josh

        July 20, 2021 at 10:58 pm

        Which one do u recommend Taranto or Macrae to dump

  10. Lewis

    July 20, 2021 at 9:21 pm

    Is Brodie Smith a solid option?

    • Aluniesheis

      July 20, 2021 at 9:24 pm

      I don’t think so. He might gab a 100 every 5 or so weeks, but he generally will run at 80 odd.

  11. Gallos

    July 20, 2021 at 9:28 pm

    Which option is best?
    Dangerfield, Kennedy, Stringer, T.Kelly or Bowes

    • Aluniesheis

      July 20, 2021 at 9:35 pm

      Dangerfield has the ceiling and with Duncan out he is playing good mid minutes.

  12. Wed

    July 20, 2021 at 9:31 pm

    T Kelly still an option?
    Was going to get him for d Houston

    • Aluniesheis

      July 20, 2021 at 9:34 pm

      I bought T Kelly two weeks back and he has been good, but not outstanding, but for his price he is still okay- 589 K. Gaff at 658 K at least looked okay last week also.

  13. Nick

    July 20, 2021 at 10:06 pm

    Would you buy a non-playing 170k took over a playing 170k took for the loophole situation. Was thinking of loopholing Sharp and then play Bramble if scored badly. Got 3-4 red dots though already (depending if Meek plays).

    Also what score what you take from Sharp before not loopholling bramble?

    • Aluniesheis

      July 20, 2021 at 11:32 pm

      Certainly would if it fit and you have cover. The looped player needs to score better than you believe the other player would score. for example both could go 100 or 50, but I would be happy with 70 from them.

  14. Jeff

    July 21, 2021 at 1:31 am

    Need some advice please!
    DEF: Laird, Hall, Whitfield, Short, Newman, Ridley (Bianco, Connolly)
    MID: Mitchell, Merrett, TT, Macrae, Crouch, Danger, Kelly, Serong (Newcombe, Macrae)
    RUCK: Gawn, ROB (Meek)
    FWD: Kelly, De Goat, Pendles, Hunter, Martin, Bramble (Amartey, Briggs)
    UTIL: O conner
    Bank : 90k

    Considering i have martin and kelly who are out, considering goin amon, oliver etc and potentially I.smith or someone similar

    Any advice, cheers!

  15. Justin Stitchup

    July 21, 2021 at 6:09 am

    Guthrie or POD Amon? Thanks Trent

  16. Ashley

    July 21, 2021 at 8:09 am

    Last weeks covid impacted games really threw a spammer in my plans, and I know that I’m not alone with that.
    D: Mills, Laird, Stewart, Hall, Newman, Harmes (Madden, Briggs)
    M: Steele, Merrett, Lyons, Mitchell, Oliver, Macrae, Taranto, Bianco (Sharp, Newcombe)
    R: Grundy, Gawn (Reeves)
    F: Zorko, Kelly, Hunter, Dangerfield, Pendlebury, Bramble (Amartey, Williams)
    I: O’Connor
    Cash: 44k
    Depending on the severity of Kelly’s injury and what happens with Mills, I don’t think I have much of a choice as to who has to go. Not sure if there other options that I should be looking at.

  17. thebopper58

    July 21, 2021 at 9:40 am

    Ashley

    I feel for you and it’s tough going for everyone
    I’d swap MILLS and play BIANCO in the back line
    Trade NEWCOMBE (if not selected) to WEST also if MADDEN dropped trade or SHARP to DURHAM
    At least you’ll have coverage as long as both MADDEN and AMARTEY survive🤞
    Nice looking side 👍

    • Liam

      July 21, 2021 at 10:39 am

      Who is the better POD for the run home, Amon or Fiorini? Also, who is the most important to trade out of Sidebottom, Cumming and Houston? Any advice would help, cheers legend!

      • Aluniesheis

        July 21, 2021 at 12:01 pm

        I think Amon has the better job security and runs on the board. First out, I got rid of Sidebottom because he had more value to lose.

  18. Jodie

    July 21, 2021 at 10:45 am

    Which 2 players would you field?
    Heeney, Sharp or Bramble

    • Aluniesheis

      July 21, 2021 at 11:59 am

      Wow- how the mighty Heeney has fallen, but Heeney and Sharp.

  19. Peter

    July 21, 2021 at 11:31 am

    Dangerfield or Zorko in

    • Aluniesheis

      July 21, 2021 at 11:58 am

      I like Zorko

  20. Aditya Sarin

    July 21, 2021 at 12:02 pm

    Hey Trent, Great read,

    Who two would you pick out of these options…

    Lloyd, Dawson, McLuggage, Fiorini, Thomas, Kennedy and Kelly

    Cheers

    • Aluniesheis

      July 22, 2021 at 3:45 pm

      Fiorini and then McCluggage

  21. Lemon

    July 21, 2021 at 12:04 pm

    Who is the best buy under 766k out of the following: Guthrie, Oliver, Amon, Adams, Simpkin

    • Aluniesheis

      July 22, 2021 at 3:44 pm

      That’s the order, especially with Adams looking likely to get injured at any second.

  22. Lewy

    July 21, 2021 at 1:20 pm

    Currently weighing up Guthrie over De Goey & de coin (would help with rooks onfield). Going for a good POD in my league.. I’ve missed the boat on several players like Goat/Danger already, so playing freely with POD’s and see how we roll :)

    • Aluniesheis

      July 22, 2021 at 3:44 pm

      Go for Guthrie!

  23. Nick

    July 21, 2021 at 1:51 pm

    Matt Kennedy + cash or Danger?
    Still got to get rid of Sharp on field but got Bianco and Bramble as cover as well as getting rid of mid pricers such as Ridley, Heeney, Pendlebury and Gaff

    • Aluniesheis

      July 22, 2021 at 3:43 pm

      Danger- Kennedy’s CBA’s will probably drop with Cripps back. Heeney must go.

  24. Eleanor

    July 21, 2021 at 2:25 pm

    If J.Kelly and S.Darcy play, is it best to still loophole Bramble if Sharp fails or play Sharp on field and swing Bramble to the forward line and make him EMG in case J.Kelly or S.Darcy is a late out?

    • Aluniesheis

      July 22, 2021 at 3:42 pm

      Tough- I think if Kelly named, he plays, Darcy I think will be named, but could be a late out. If either are out will you sell them, if so, you can still loop. I suppose you want to know your trade options based on if either miss out or both.

  25. John

    July 21, 2021 at 3:34 pm

    Hi Trent, great article. I’m stuck should I go to Hurn or Touhy from Houston

    • Aluniesheis

      July 22, 2021 at 3:41 pm

      Hurn I think can score slightly higher as Tuohy often needs a goal to get over a 100, but Tuohy is more durable- depends on your level of risk.

  26. subdub

    July 21, 2021 at 4:14 pm

    I need to trade out Dusty, should I trade Newcombe to West which limits me to $722k (Lloyd/Fiorini) or Amartey to Durham which allows me to get up to Oliver/Guthrie?

    I can also get to Oliver trading Newcombe to Ginnivan.
    No rookies on ground and currently have 3 non playing bench rookies below $200k.

    Appreciate your advice.

    • Aluniesheis

      July 22, 2021 at 3:40 pm

      Amartey to Durham and Oliver/Guthrie. Newcombe not hurting on the bench and can go next week. This is unless you like Fiorini more than Oliver/Guthrie

  27. Josh

    July 21, 2021 at 4:19 pm

    THOUGHTS ON JORDAN DAWSON AS A POD

    • Aluniesheis

      July 22, 2021 at 3:38 pm

      Already a fair price and on a wing I think he needs goals to score 90 plus. Better value elsewhere.

  28. Stan

    July 21, 2021 at 8:26 pm

    I am thinking on two possible trades

    1.Kelly&Dusty to Matt Kennedy & Clayton/Guthrie
    2.Kelly&Dusty to Walsh&Heeney

    Which option ?
    Thank you

    • Lewy

      July 21, 2021 at 8:35 pm

      1

      • Cam

        July 21, 2021 at 9:21 pm

        Hey Trent, great article. Thoughts on these options?
        1. Graham and Gaff
        2. Sharp and Steele/Walsh
        Thanks

    • Aluniesheis

      July 22, 2021 at 3:38 pm

      1- No Heeney. Just wait and see if Kelly named to play.

  29. Cam

    July 21, 2021 at 9:22 pm

    Hey Trent, great article. Thoughts on these options?
    1. Graham and Gaff
    2. Sharp and Steele/Walsh
    Thanks

    • Aluniesheis

      July 22, 2021 at 3:36 pm

      Steele and Walsh are gold and Captain options. Graham’s problem I think will be consistency of being able to score 90.

  30. Nick

    July 22, 2021 at 8:03 am

    Which two players go first?
    Amartey, Madden or Bianco (all on bench)

    • Aluniesheis

      July 22, 2021 at 3:34 pm

      Madden and Amartey- Bianco was good last week.

  31. The Kid

    July 22, 2021 at 1:44 pm

    What players are best out of fiorini, bazlenka, thomas, omeara, hunter, dawson, viney, tuohy, gaff

    • Aluniesheis

      July 22, 2021 at 3:34 pm

      Fiorini and Gaff. Gaff is up and down, but back in WA with his midfield buddies looks like it will help.

  32. Screech

    July 22, 2021 at 5:34 pm

    looking at going dusty to fiorini and newcombe to west who will cover for j kelly if he is out. means I have to keep haynes though…thoughts ?

  33. Rob.

    July 23, 2021 at 5:38 pm

    Hey Trent, thanks for the article. Can I please have a pointer or two,

    I have 411k and one trade left, obviously to upgrade. Just waiting as long as I can on kelly etc. Decided to keep Mills so next week I’ll have Hall or Ziebell back in the FWD line. I’m a bit unsure what move to make. Any help would be appreciated. Here’s my team,

    D: Hall, Ziebell, Laird, Short, RIdley, Lloyd (Mills, Walker)
    M: MacRae, Taranto, Lyons, Oliver, Merrett, Mitchell, Neale, Sharp (O’Connor, West)
    R: Gawn, Grundy, (Ryan(
    F: Zorko, Kelly, DeGoey, Stringer, Bramble, Ginivan, (Briggs, MacRae)
    UTL: Frederick

    Bring in Danger getting Ginivan to the bench, and next week Bramble to the bench also?, take the risk on ginivan and upgrade sharp to a big gun?

    Thanks.

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