The AFL Trade Period is now over and we’ve taken a look at every player traded and what it might mean for AFL Fantasy in 2015. Look out for a podcast from Roy, Calvin and Warnie at the end of October as they will look at the trade period, the fixture when it is released and other fantasy things!
Fantasy price projections from Chad’s site; dtlive.com.au where you can start planning your 2015 teams.
LATEST UPDATE: Thursday October 16, 4:30pm.
KYLE CHENEY TO ADELAIDE
TRADE #18 – Thursday October 16, 1:59pm.
DT LIVE PROJECTED PRICE: $314,321 (profile)
FANTASY VERDICT: I’ll never forget the shot on goal I saw Cheney have at Aurora Stadium that he took from the top of the goal square and slammed into the post. This pretty much sums him up! There isn’t any reason for us to think he’ll be any form of fantasy player – classic or draft – in his move to his new club. Unless you’re making a team full of ranga’s, then there is no reason to even consider him. DON’T EVEN THINK ABOUT IT.
LUKE LOWDEN TO ADELAIDE
TRADE #18 – Thursday October 16, 1:59pm.
DT LIVE PROJECTED PRICE: $368,280 (profile)
FANTASY VERDICT: Lowden has sat on the Hawks list for a few years and finally made his debut in round 12 this year, kicking 3 goals on his way to 66 points and was subsequently dropped. He will now be Sam Jacobs’ understudy at the Crows. This may not be the greatest thing for the big Sauce as Lowden has the ability to play as a second ruck, but it will be interesting to see how they share the ruck role, if in fact he plays. NOT ON MY RADAR.
LIAM JONES TO CARLTON
TRADE #17 – Thursday October 16, 1:52pm.
DT LIVE PROJECTED PRICE: $286,812 (profile)
FANTASY VERDICT: In Jones’ last game for the Bulldogs, in round 15 against Melbourne, the forward was held to just one handball as Frawley gave him a bath. He finished his career in the red, white and blue with a 16 point game and a 3QT red-vest. That was two weeks after be booted four goals for 112 points – his best score, and only ton, in his 5 years in the system. NO WAY.
SHANE BIGGS TO WESTERN BULLDOGS
TRADE #16 – Thursday October 16, 1:51pm.
DT LIVE PROJECTED PRICE: $386,861 (profile)
FANTASY VERDICT: At this price, Biggs is probably a little bit expensive however he may have a bit of upside with a discount on his average of 69.3. His first game of 2013 in round 21 against St Kilda was the best of his career racking up 24 touches and laying six tackles for 96 points. The 23-year-old could be set for a big year at the Bulldogs with opportunity, but there’s a fair bit of risk with so many other developing midfielders on their list. PRE-SEASON WATCHLIST.
SAM FROST TO MELBOURNE
TRADE #15 – Thursday October 16, 1:45pm.
DT LIVE PROJECTED PRICE: $263,990 (profile)
FANTASY VERDICT: Probably going to be a good player for the Demons, but we won’t be looking at him for Fantasy reasons. In his three years in the system he played 21 games at an average of 47.2. This season he played 16 games with a top score of 62. Yeah, nah… I don’t think a move to Melbourne is going to make this 193cm KPP fantasy relevant. NOPE.
MITCH HALLAHAN TO GOLD COAST
TRADE #14 – Thursday October 16, 11:57am.
DT LIVE PROJECTED PRICE: $385,969 (profile)
FANTASY VERDICT: Hallahan bided his time at the Hawks, winning the 2013 JJ Liston Trophy as the best player in the VFL. He finally made his long awaited debut this season after being drafted in 2010. In his six games, he averaged 68.8 points with one game in a vest. He should get more opportunity at the Suns, however he might be a little expensive to use as a mid-pricer. THERE WILL BE BETTER OPTIONS OUT THERE.
ADAM COONEY TO ESSENDON
TRADE #13 – Thursday October 16, 11:52am.
DT LIVE PROJECTED PRICE: $438,365 (profile)
FANTASY VERDICT: The 29-year-old midfielder has won a Brownlow and will be a great pick up for the last couple of years that he has left in him for the Bombers, but realistically, his fantasy relevance is minimal. Cooney hasn’t played 22 games in a season since 2008. He hasn’t ever been in the conversation as a premium Fantasy player and I don’t think that is going to change. Even if he can have a 90+ season, that’s only a 12 point increase on this year. FANTASY DAYS ARE OVER.
PADDY RYDER TO PORT ADELAIDE
TRADE #12 – Thursday October 16, 11:48am.
DT LIVE PROJECTED PRICE: $494,388 (profile)
FANTASY VERDICT: The deal finally got done and Ryder is a Port player… and the Bombers aren’t going to court. Paddy is coming off his second best fantasy season, averaging 88.6 from 20 games. His best was in 2012 where he cracked the 90 average for the season. With FWD/RUC status, he could be a valuable member of your Elite side, but possibly just below the premium ruck numbers we expect as he is fully priced. The main worry is that he will be playing second fiddle to Lobbe who is a bit of a fantasy stud himself. This can only be bad for the two of them I think. PRE-SEASON WATCHLIST.
JONATHAN GILES TO ESSENDON
TRADE #11 – Thursday October 16, 11:37pm
DT LIVE PROJECTED PRICE: $347,801 (profile)
FANTASY VERDICT: Remember when Giles played his ‘debut’ season for the Giants? He was one of the best ‘rookie’ picks we have had in our ruck lineup in recent years. In fact, he was a keeper for some coaches. Giles made us plenty of cash playing 20 games at an average of 81.7 that included 6 tons. This year he averaged a touch over 62 from just nine games as Shane Mumford came into the side. An interesting prospect with Ryder leaving the Bombers, but Giles’ fantastic 2012 was when he was the number one ruck. Bellchambers will most likely still hold that mantle. Cheap enough as there is some upside. ONLY CONSIDER IF HE’S THE NUMBER ONE RUCK.
TOM BOYD TO WESTERN BULLDOGS
TRADE #10 – Wednesday October 15, 4:00pm
DT LIVE PROJECTED PRICE: $195,300 (profile)
FANTASY VERDICT: The big forward comes in at a price much cheaper than what he was at the start of this year after copping the price premium as the number one draft pick. Is he going to be a fantasy star? Well, not for quite a while but Bulldogs fans will have seven years at least to see what he can produce. He played 9 games in his debut season for an average of 35. Don’t expect much more than that in 2015, but he could be bench fodder in the forward line. ONLY CONSIDER FOR BENCH COVERAGE.
RYAN GRIFFEN TO GWS GIANTS
TRADE #10 – Wednesday October 15, 4:00pm
DT LIVE PROJECTED PRICE: $477,536 (profile)
FANTASY VERDICT: Griffen had his best ever fantasy season in 2013 when he averaged 105.5 – the first time he had averaged over the ton after going 91, 98 and 97 in the three years prior. At a few stages this year I suggested him as a good pick up – sorry if people listened to that! It took until round 8 for him to crack the ton and then only managed six more after that to finish the year with an average of 85.5. Now, that is 20 points less than what he did the season before, so he should definitely be on your watchlist. LOOK AT NAB NUMBERS.
KRISTIAN JAKSCH & MARK WHILEY TO CARLTON
TRADE #9 – Wednesday October 15, 2:30pm
DT LIVE PROJECTED PRICE: Jaksch $215,388 (profile) / Whiley $463,140 (profile)
FANTASY VERDICT: The Giants may get some love at the Blues as they’ve been keen all trade period to get their men. Jaksch is named as a forward in fantasy but could be a DEF/FWD as he is a bit of a swingman. Has he got a fantasy game? No sir-ee. Pass! Whiley on the other hand played just two games this year for 70 against Melbourne in round 21 and 96 on the Magpies in round 22. 9 tackles helped him in the latter game. Unfortunately, even with a discount, he might be a too expensive option to consider. UNLIKELY TO BE RELEVANT.
RHYS STANLEY TO GEELONG
TRADE #8 – Wednesday October 15, 12:19pm
DT LIVE PROJECTED PRICE: $378,547 (profile)
FANTASY VERDICT: I need to write a few words here about Stanley so it fills up the page. Gosh. I’m not sure what to say here! Unlikely to ever make my fantasy team in any form unless he comes in at a ridiculously cheap price one year. I may eat my words as he did produce a 135 in round 18 this year plus a 100 and a 95. What is he going to do at the Cats? That’s something else I don’t know. He’s a 70 average at best – pretty much what he’s priced at. As stkildathunda put it, his career highlight is winning the 2009 Grand Final sprint. PASS.
LEVI GREENWOOD TO COLLINGWOOD
TRADE #7 – Wednesday October 15, 12:16pm
DT LIVE PROJECTED PRICE: $567,709 (profile)
FANTASY VERDICT: Greenwood broke out in a big way this year and generally we stay away from guys who did that. There was always some reservation about this mega improvement due to being pretty good at that tagging role. Could this come back and hurt him a bit at the Pies with Macaffer out? I don’t think so, due to how well he played gathering the pill himself. With scores of 54, 66, 67 and 60 early in the season, we may even consider Greenwood’s 101.7 average could make him unders. I’ll be unlikely to touch him. PRE-SEASON WATCHLIST.
DAYNE BEAMS TO BRISBANE
TRADE #6 – Wednesday October 15, 12:10pm
DT LIVE PROJECTED PRICE: $600,296 (profile)
FANTASY VERDICT: Beamsy was in all of our sides this year because he was priced at under 100. He started the season in brilliant form averaging 118 before the bye. Not that he really tailed off, but there were a few sub-100 scores that even had me questioning whether to trade him out or not. He finished the year with an average of 107.5, his secon best behind 2012’s epic 116. He’s a Fantasy gun as we all know and this should continue at the Lions. Arguably he’s cheaper than what he is capable of, but the big question is who is going to benefit most from this? Rocky? Possibly. We’ll be chatting about this over the coming months. Hmm – maybe we’ll have a podcast soon?! HIGH ON YOUR SHORTLIST.
JACK CRISP TO COLLINGWOOD
TRADE #6 – Wednesday October 15, 12:10pm
DT LIVE PROJECTED PRICE: $471,510 (profile)
FANTASY VERDICT: Unfortunately we’ve missed a bit of a breakout from Jack Crisp. 10 games at 49.4 in his debut season, then 2 at 48.5 wasn’t great but then he went BOOM in the final six games of this year averaging 84.5 thanks to a string of scores in the 90’s and 80’s. Sadly, this will price him out of our teams and realistically, at the $470K projection, that way overs for me. TOO EXPENSIVE.
MITCH CLARK TO GEELONG
TRADE #5 – Wednesday October 15, 12:01pm
DT LIVE PROJECTED PRICE: $219,597 (profile)
FANTASY VERDICT: We were all mega-keen on him this time last year knowing he’d be going into 2014 hella-underpriced due to injury. We’re back at square one and with a bit of luck, Clark could be a fantastic option for us up forward this year to save us some coin. We all know how good he can be – read this Deck of DT for some numbers – but it’s all about getting on the park. He’ll be a lower end of the mid-priced players that will make some cash and score some okay points for us along the way. LOCK AND LOAD IF HE GETS THROUGH PRE-SEASON.
HERITIER LUMUMBA TO MELBOURNE
TRADE #5 – Wednesday October 15, 12:01pm
DT LIVE PROJECTED PRICE: $396,459 (profile)
FANTASY VERDICT: I could definitely write here how under-priced the artist formally known as Harry-O is due to pumping out an 87.5 average in 2013 and dropping over 16 points to average 71 this year. Normally I’d be all over that but at this stage I don’t think I trust the Prince in my Fantasy side. We could argue that last year was a blip on the radar as he went on a streak of averaging 62 for the four seasons prior. We’ll certainly monitor him over the pre-season, but I’m not holding my breath. LOW ON THE PRE-SEASON WATCHLIST.
TRAVIS VARCOE TO COLLINGWOOD
TRADE #5 – Wednesday October 15, 12:01pm
DT LIVE PROJECTED PRICE: $351,819 (profile)
FANTASY VERDICT: As a FWD/MID, Varcoe could be a nice option after averaging just 63 points this year. While he hasn’t set the world on fire fantasy-wise, he looks like he may play a more fantasy friendly game at the Pies. “We will use him a little bit differently to Geelong, a bit more on the outside to use his speed” could see his numbers increase. Not sold, but those pre-season stats will be nice to look at along with what his role will be in the black and white. PRE-SEASON WATCHLIST.
ALLEN CHRISTENSEN TO BRISBANE
TRADE #4 – Monday October 13, 3:00pm
DT LIVE PROJECTED PRICE: $461,075 (profile)
FANTASY VERDICT: Christensen was set to continue to increase his fantasy standing after a fantastic 2013 averaging 86.8 from 18 games. A back injury limited the midfielder to just 8 games this year and that may warrant him a discount on his 82.6 average. Either way, he has a fantasy game that is capable of 90+ and if he can be named up as a forward again, then he will be in the mix as one of the best in 2015 at the improving Lions. We should see some more improvement as he heads into his fourth season. PRE-SEASON WATCHLIST.
JAMES GWILT TO ESSENDON
UNRESTRICTED/DELISTED FREE AGENT – Saturday October 11, 3:48pm
DT LIVE PROJECTED PRICE: $393,223 (profile)
FANTASY VERDICT: Gwilt is an interesting prospect. Interesting is used loosely here as I don’t think I’d be touching him but he has shown the capacity to score some decent numbers for a defender. Maybe the Bombers are blinded by the fact that he scored 101 on them earlier this year, but probably more for the reason they may struggle to field 22 players at certain stages of the year! Gwilt averaged 70.4 from 17 games this year, his third best return behind 72.2 from 22 in 2010 and 70.8 from 15 in 2011. Anyway, he’s basically fully priced as he hasn’t done much better than what he did this year so you wouldn’t start with him. NOT GWILTY.
JOEL PATFUL TO GWS GIANTS
TRADE #3 – Friday October 10, 2:00pm
DT LIVE PROJECTED PRICE: $334,800 (profile)
FANTASY VERDICT: Not even being traded to a club that generally see a bit of the ball in the backline will make Joel Patful relevant. The former Lion goes into his tenth AFL season coming off his best year to date; an average of 60 from 21 games with a top score of 87. There’s no way he should be on your radar in any form of the game. Patful’s top score in 197 games was 89 against Melbourne in 2010. Maybe use that stat to trick one of your mates into drafting him in Elite? NO, NO AND NO.
JEFF GARLETT TO MELBOURNE
TRADE #2 – Thursday October 9, 3:05pm
DT LIVE PROJECTED PRICE: $265,999 (profile)
FANTASY VERDICT: Adding a bit of red to his navy blue jumper, Garlett was on the outer due to some off-field behaviour along with form. He played nine games this year at an average of 47.7. While he is unlikely to get a discount, his price is well below what he is capable of. In three of his six seasons in the AFL, Garlett has averaged 70+ and you’d think that he will have every opportunity to play in the Demon guernsey and increase in value. If there aren’t too many ‘bargains’ up forward, Garlett is set to be priced in the mid-$200K range and would have better job security than blokes priced around him. Worth considering. PRE-SEASON WATCHLIST.
JONO O’ROURKE TO HAWTHORN
TRADE #1 – Thursday October 9, 10:30am
DT LIVE PROJECTED PRICE: $230,175 (profile)
FANTASY VERDICT: After playing 8 games this year, O’Rourke will be a mid-priced player… but around the same price as a top 10 selection in the draft. He averaged 41.3 points this season, a figure brought down by three vests. That said, his highest score was 72 – which he achieved twice. Citing lack of opportunity as a reason for a move from GWS, it’s odd that he’s off to the Hawks where it is only going to be harder for him to get a game. Job security issues aside, I think we might find better around. PASS – YOU DON’T SCORE FANTASY POINTS FOR BOX HILL.
NICK MALCESKI TO GOLD COAST
UNRESTRICTED FREE AGENT – Monday October 6, 10:37pm
DT LIVE PROJECTED PRICE: $513,639 (profile)
FANTASY VERDICT: Oh yeah! Here we go… finally a really Fantasy relevant Free Agency player! Eski had his best Fantasy season this year, averaging 92 points from his 22 games – the second year in a row he’s played every game. Not bad for someone who has had LARS. The negative is that as a 30 year old he may not be pumping those numbers again, but at a new home on the Gold Coast, he may have every opportunity to do as he pleases and play a fantasy friendly game. While we may not start with him as we look for value and under-priced players elsewhere, he has to be a chance to come into our sides at some stage in the season as he would be gunning to be a top-six defender in 2015. Some big pre-season scores will make him very tasty to start with. HE MAY BE A POPULAR UPGRADE TARGET.
JAMES FRAWLEY TO HAWTHORN
UNRESTRICTED FREE AGENT – Monday October 6, 9:41am
DT LIVE PROJECTED PRICE: $425,921 (profile)
FANTASY VERDICT: Frawley is coming off his best Fantasy season of his 8 year career. He averaged 76.3 from his 21 games. The defender was among the first run of players to gain DPP prior to Round 8 this year, adding FWD status. Frawley will be played as a defender at the Hawks and you’d think that he will just be a DEF in 2015. His better scores came from when he played forward but who knows how he may fit in with some of that backline chipping around at Hawthorn? Could it help Lake get back to his Fantasy best? Hmm.. certainly wouldn’t start with him, but there is a small chance he becomes relevant. PASS.
JARRAD WAITE TO NORTH MELBOURNE
UNRESTRICTED FREE AGENT – Friday October 3, 10:15am
DT LIVE PROJECTED PRICE: $448,655 (profile)
FANTASY VERDICT: As Roy likes to refer to him, ‘All-Australian’ Jarrad Waite sometimes makes us think he could warrant a place in our Fantasy teams. Waite’s two best seasons were in 2009 and 2010 when he averaged 86.8 and 86.6. This year, he would have tricked a few when he came back from injury in round 18 when he went on a streak of 135, 107 and then 134 in the first week of Fantasy finals. He then hit up a solid 86 but would have burned a lot of coaches with the 45 he posted in the prelim. Ouch! More of a SuperCoach player due to being KPP, but even at that, I wouldn’t touch him. A WORTHY ELITE DRAFT PICK, BUT I’D STAY AWAY IN CLASSIC… SORRY ROY.
SHAUN HIGGINS TO NORTH MELBOURNE
RESTRICTED FREE AGENT – Friday October 3, 10:14am
DT LIVE PROJECTED PRICE: $423,522 (profile)
FANTASY VERDICT: Burn me once, shame on you… no, no and no. We should be giving Higgins a little bit of credit here. He played an equal career high 20 games in 2014 and pumped out some very nice Fantasy scores – including 127, 108 and 109. Higgins was among the first batch of player to gain mid-season DPP having DEF added to his FWD status. What role will he play at the Roos? Unsure at the moment but he’ll be priced at his 75.9 average which is well below his best – 88.5 in 2009 – and he is still just 26… there is potentially some upside! YEAH, NAH… BOTTOM OF WATCHLIST.
Discuss the trades and any Fantasy value you find in players at their new club in the comments.
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