Ticks All The Boxes
Matthew Boyd is one of the guys from this week who I am very confident with. Last week, based on his history against the Crows… you couldn’t have gone him. If you did, well done. He was always going to be awesome at some point against them but with 0x100+ scores against them from his previous 5 games… it turns into a guessing game of when will he break the drought.
This week however, he ticks all the boxes.
History: TICK – had a huge 143 (39d) on the Saints in his last game against them in 2011.
Form: TICK – Averaging 120 from the first 2 rounds this year.
Ground: TICK – Boyd averages 129 in his last 3 there with a low of 115 in his last 4.
Opposition: TICK – last week the Saints allowed 2 premium on ballers in Ablett and Swallow to crack 100+ and that’s after they were flogged by nearly 100pts.
So there you go. Lock this lad with confidence my friends.
What a huge game we have on Friday night. Let’s quickly run over a few of the stars in this game to see if we are using our captain nice and early this week.
Dane Swan had a solid 116 last week with 32d. In his last encounter with the Blues he’s had 101and 116. But the amazing thing here is… he has scored 11×100+ scores on them in his last 12 games. Sadly, it’s a pass for me this week as his form hasn’t been up there with the other guns so far. He will go BANG at any moment and it might be this week! Scott Pendlebury loves the big stage and has scores of 123, 95, 129, 115 in the games in the past. He loves the MCG and has already posted a nice 134 there this year. I’m tipping something very solid from him this week. Marc Murphy plays against his worst team to score on over the last 2 years this week. With previous scores of 93, 69 and 67 on the Pies… it’s not overly nice.
Wow, how good was Gary Ablett last week? After a slow start he came home with a belting 143 (40d). Despite the tag from Clinton Jones, Gazza was simply awesome. He is back home at Metricon too this week where his last 3 scores have been 136, 147 and 142. Gazza loves the sun and loves ripping teams to bits on his home turf. But his form against the Bombers is slightly concerning. Last year he was tagged by Heath Hocking, who didn’t play last week because of concussion but might return this week. In his last game against them (Rd. 6) he only scored 81pts – his worst for the year (excluding his injured game). In this game he still had 30d and received a knock to the ankle in the 3rd term. Add to this, Essendon have only given up 2×100+ scores from their 2 games this year. NOW, with that said, they’ve only played the Power and the Roos and showed no evidence of tagging players during this time.
So what does this all mean? Well, there comes a time in captain selection when the positives clearly out weigh the small negatives. I am just putting all the facts on the table. Gazza has been in smashing form and plays on his home track which he loves. Watch out for another 130+ game from Gary again this week.
Brent Stanton – averaging 135 this year and will rip the Suns badly after 5 Saints posted 100+ on them last week. He is on fire at the moment and should be considered if you have him.
Joel Selwood – Has had 3×100+ on the Roos in his last 3 games. Should be good.
Sam Mitchell – averaging 126 this year and loves the MCG, had 123 on the Crows in his last.
Scott Thompson – averages a horrible 66 on the Hawks in his last 3. Yuck.
Dean Cox – plays GWS! H-Mac (106) and Goldy (71) didn’t really cash in last week though as Giles holds his own. He should still be very good.
Let’s clear up a few things before I set sail. This week I have copped abuse in Twittertown about Swanny not scoring as high as Pendles, Boyd or Ablett. You pick your own captain. If you don’t like my top 5, go against it… but don’t cry me a river when you fail to back your own judgment and follow mine. “Calvin talked me out of it” is a poor excuse for people who can’t make their own decisions as they are afraid of failing. Instead, by resting on my calls the fault isn’t theirs. Insecurity at its best. At the end of the day… I’ll take 116 off Swanny on a low day, all day long.
Ha ha arrggg there you go… My top 5 stand there in the order I would be picking them this week. Currently Ablett is marginally ahead of Boyd and I’m tipping BIG things from all the 5 this week.
Thanks for hanging out – Good luck and I’ll see you all next round.