Jeppa’s Juniors – Round 12

If you ask Mrs Jeppa, my levels of happiness evolve around family, food, West Coast winning and my Fantasy and Dreamteam scores for the week. My family is great, I always have a full belly and West Coast were flying high on Friday night…enter mood swing Saturday and Sunday. In Fantasy, fielding 14 players (not due to poor bye planning by the way) saw me push out a horrid 1366. Dreamteam was worse given I stumbled to 1354 from 15 players! Thankfully, I’m loaded up for the last of the bye rounds as I imagine the majority of coaches would be.

The outlook is bright on the rookie front. Plenty of well-rested rooks are set to resume their encouraging form and a few newcomers have put their hand up this week also.

 

Three Gamers 

patrick-cripps

KEEPERS

In both of Carlton’s wins this season, Patrick Cripps (Mid. $416,000, 30 be AF. $421,200, 16 be DT) has been enormous. The likely 2015 NAB Rising Star put in an amazing four-quarter effort against the Power on Saturday finishing with a game high 31 possessions, 3 marks, 12 tackles, 128 Fantasy points and 3 Brownlow votes. If only Cripps/Carlton had the Round 13 bye, many of us would still own him…well done to those that kept him.

Angus Brayshaw (Mid. $421,000, 61 be AF. $425,500, 67 be DT) is the only other keeper from Round 12. The future superstar didn’t take a backward step against a powerhouse club in Geelong and the praise for him in his first 12 AFL games has been tremendous. 12 kicks, 8 handballs, 1 mark, 6 tackles and 78 Fantasy points were his numbers this week. Hold.

DON’T PANIC

I think most of us would agree that Trent Dumont (Mid. $216,000, 34 be AF. $230,300, 64 be DT) can definitely play; he’s just not getting the appropriate game time at the moment. For the fourth time in his six games this season, Dumont copped the green vest but still had an impact in his short time on field. 8 possessions and 27 Fantasy points from 25% time on ground is an excellent return so how bout giving him a full run, North!? If you own him, keep the faith because a breakout game is on the cards.

Billy Stretch (Mid. $212,000, 20 be AF. $176,600, -16 be DT) didn’t dominate the stats but I thought he contributed enough to hold his spot in the short term. I was most impressed when he displayed a cool head to slot a goal at a crucial stage in the fourth quarter. Stretch scored just 51 Fantasy points this week but his breakevens are low enough to earn a bit more moolah for owners.

Bulldog veteran Dale Morris will replace Fletcher Roberts or Joel Hamling (Def. $182,000, 9 be AF. $162,800, 7 be DT) this weekend. Naturally, Hamling owners will be hoping that he holds his spot but to be honest, it’s a 50 / 50 call. I was against trading in Hamling for his job security concerns but if you do own him and he’s named on Thursday night then there’s no need to worry with his current breakevens. Wait and see.

TRADE, TRADE, TRADE

If I haven’t categorised a player from Round 12 under ‘Keepers’ or ‘Don’t Panic’ then trade them out as soon as you can but when appropriate.

There are plenty of bitter coaches out there that kept Kamdyn McIntosh (Def/Mid. $334,000, 84 be AF. Def. $334,400, 111 be DT). Four possessions and 20 Fantasy points against West Coast is an incredibly poor return and he now needs to be traded as soon as possible. Thank you for your services Kamdyn.

 

Two Gamers 

 colq

There’s plenty to like about Sam Colquhoun (Def. $248,000, 14 be AF. $197,700, -25 be DT) and he’s just warming up. The half back / wingman is a Hinkley favourite and many forget that he played in both of Port’s finals in 2013 when he was fit and firing. Against the Blues, Colquhoun was prominent with 12 kicks, 10 handballs, 3 marks, 4 tackles, 1 goal, 81 Fantasy points and he came very close to a chance to win the game off his own boot…mark disallowed. He was named as one of the Power’s best in Round 12 and he won’t be getting dropped any time soon as a result. If you don’t mind spending big on your defender rooks, Colquhoun is your man. I jumped the gun and traded him in early for Dreamteam…that’s how much I rate him.

Matthew Kreuzer (Ruc. $266,000, 39 be AF. $333,000, 68 be DT) was very underwhelming. The big fella had some good moments in the game but could only manage 8 touches, 2 marks, 17 hitouts, 1 tackle and 42 Fantasy points. Given his high price tag and where we are at in the season, I think it would be silly to trade him in. There are better cashcows available.

Toby McLean, 67 (Fwd. $210,000, 35 be AF. $117,900, -11 be DT) and Hugh Beasley, 45 (Def. $136,000, 8 be AF. $102,900, -17 be DT) are risky picks. Both have shaky job security but they are cheap as far as Dreamteam goes. Not recommended with Fantasia, Pearce, etc. on the table.

Young Alex Neal-Bullen (Mid. $183,000, 23 be AF. $117,900, -15 be DT) kicked three goals against Geelong but only managed 48 Fantasy points. After his 34 Fantasy points the week before, I’d be staying clear of him. Two green vests in two games from Michael Luxford, 16 (Fwd. $120,000, 41 be AF. $124,600, 36 be DT) is enough to put me off. Avoid.

 

One Gamers

Steele

Jack Steele (Fwd/Mid. $249,000, 10 be AF. $117,900 DT) proved last weekend that his debut was well overdue. The midfielder was prominent in the centre square for the Giants and he held his own against the hardened bodies of the Roos. Steele’s stat line read 6 kicks, 11 handballs, 3 marks, 2 hitouts, a whopping 10 tackles and 92 Fantasy points. His side step is a pleasure to watch and he was named in the Giants bests for all his efforts on Saturday. Any rook playing a prolific midfield role like Steele has to be at the top of your pecking order. If your bye structure suits, don’t hesitate bringing in this dual position forward, mid. He’s a big talent.

In a time of need, Jake Kolodjashnij (Def. $126,000, 14 be AF. $124,600 DT) failed to produce. I wasn’t expecting Kolo to be a complete write-off but he looked nervous on debut and failed to have any impact. 7 touches and 35 Fantasy points isn’t doing anyone any favours. Unfortunately, I traded him in for Fantasy and it looks like he’ll sit as my D8 for a while.

Expensive GWS talls in Caleb Marchbank, 45 (Def. $281,000, 59 be AF. $197,900 DT) and Rory Lobb, 43 (Ruc. $173,000, 24 be AF. $176,100 DT) need another week to prove their worth. They’re unlikely to be Fantasy and Dreamteam relevant but let’s wait and see what they produce after their week off before ruling them out completely.

 

Please note that if I haven’t mentioned a rookie priced player above, it means I don’t rate them. Remember rooks are classified as players under $250,000 in Fantasy and/or Dreamteam.

 

Bye Round Sleepers

Unlike last week there are plenty of well-rested rooks prime for the picking. Alex Pearce (Def. $173,000, -10 be AF. $165,000, -16 be DT), Shaun Edwards (Def. $185,000, -2 be AF. $124,600 DT), Orazio Fantasia (Fwd. $195,000, -19 be AF. $156,200, -61 be DT), Elliott Kavanagh (Mid. $200,000, -13 be AF. $148,600, -65 be DT) and Andrew Boston (Mid. $235,000, -18 be AF. $200,800, -33 be DT) are all worthy options still affordable in both Fantasy and Dreamteam. Considering job security and scoring potential, my top three ‘sleepers’, in order are Boston, Kavanagh and Fantasia.

Many still own Adam Oxley (Def. $398,000, 47 be AF. $389,400, 4 be DT) and Adam Saad (Def/Mid. $350,000, 62 be AF. $339,300, 62 be DT). Both Oxley and Saad are likely to continue their recent hot form.

Blake Acres (Mid. $224,000, 19 be AF. $258,000, 44 be DT) and Henry Schade, 57 (Def. $212,000, 29 be AF. $202,700, 14 be DT) should feature In Round 13 also.

 

Keep Your Eye On

Screen Shot 2015-06-24 at 12.04.56 AM

Nick O’Brien (Mid. $120,000, 22 be AF. $124,600 DT) – has been knocking on the door for a few weeks now. The Bombers on baller is untouchable in the VFL, averaging an amazing 37 possessions, 12 marks, 4 tackles and 149 Fantasy points from his past two games. Obviously these numbers won’t translate into the AFL but any rookie priced player capable of winning the ball this much needs to be considered. With Colyer out for the season and Chappy down on form, O’Brien may force his way into Essendon’s 22 but as a running midfielder, he is a high vest risk.

Shaun McKernan (Ruc/Fwd. $197,000, 24 be AF. $248,400 DT) – The rookie listed ruck, forward is clear to return to Essendon’s senior list this week and he’s a worthy candidate after some excellent VFL form. McKernan has been named in the VFL bests in 5 of his 7 games. He’s no slouch in the ruck and he’s more than capable of kicking a goal or two. No Bellchambers, no worries. Expect an average between 60 and 70 Fantasy points.

Riley Knight (Fwd/Mid. $120,000, 22 be AF. $124,600 DT) – A midfielder that can run all day who was named as an emergency for the Crows in Round 12. Lucky for us, he’s listed as a dual position forward, mid. Furthermore, Phil Walsh appears to rate him (source). The running machine has consistently had 20+ possessions in the SANFL for the past month and his demeanour suggests that he wont hold back when gets an opportunity at AFL level. Another to cop his fair share of vests but at least he’s cheap.

 

Feel free to ask me a question below and don’t forget to add me on Twitter @JeppaDT for all things Fantasy and more. Happy trading!

88 Comments

  • Pittard –> Boston or Pittard –> Steele? I don’t care about byes.

  • Great read as usual!
    Kane Lambert a chance Jep? How has he been going?

    • Definitely a huge chance
      “After coming on during the second quarter, Lambert dominated both in around the contest, collecting 28 disposals, eight clearances and kicking a goal.”

    • Menadue and C.Ellis haven’t quite proven themselves, and Hardwick likes Lambert. I think he’ll be in.

    • I think they will give Lambert one more week in the VFL given he only played 3 qtrs last week. If he does play this week it will be as the sub.

  • Great work Jeppa! Would Jack Steele be capable of holding up an F6 position?

    • No, not with all the gun forwards available. YOu could get away with it for a week.

  • Dumont is giving me nightmares, I need to bring in Kav or Boston, but if I did it for Amon I wouldn’t have enough for Glenn to Rocky next week, Bastinac could come back in after his VFL performance, he’s at the point a vest will cause him to lose money, and North’s coaching staff have broken my spirit. On the other hand, if he does eventually get a spot I’m effectively tossing away 150-200k, and if the world was just he would be getting full games and deserves them. I don’t like any options.

  • Love your work Jeppa.

    Thoughts on Brooksby from GC? Thought he showed a fair bit before injury. Reckon there’s a spot for him in that 22, be a handy cheap ruck Emg in RDT (102k)

  • Great article as always Jeppa!
    I have to trade out Clurey, Amon, McCarthy and Tarrant in the next 2 weeks. All 4 have the bye, so be and cash won’t matter. Should I trade Clurey and/or Amon this week, if they might be back next week and will continue to make money. And also, will Jack Steele be good enough to hold down F6 for a few weeks. My planned trades only give me about 400k to bring in a forward, so was considering Steele next week, with an aim to bring him to F7/M9.
    Thanks

    • Clurey won’t be back I wouldn’t think, I’m hoping Amon will since other than Colquhoun none of his young competition has really locked in their spots, but neither has he.

  • Who to sell for Kavanagh – Stretch or Dumont ??

  • Stoked my gamble to bring in the Man of Steele (no sidebum needed) last round worked out.

    I have Amon and Glenn in the mids, and I’m wondering if I should get Boston in instead of Oreo Fantasia for Cam McCarthy?

    Mids are a mess at the moment: Lewis, Steven, Parker, McVeigh, Cripps, Kav and Steele (Amon, Glenn).

    No cash production from the bench has really hurt me.

  • has anyone got any news on Byrne or Glenn?
    unfortunately I have these 2 on my bench and they aren’t earning me any money!

  • How likely is it that Boston, Mckernan and Steele play out the whole season?

    I’m a bit concerned that Swallow and Ablett being back could hurt Boston

    • im not sure, im quite concerned as I have boston.

    • Boston is a half forward, not a midfielder as his fantasy position may lead you to believe.

    • Think Steele will be more secure even though only had the 1 game. McKernan is in and out the team too often. Can’t secure his spot in the team. Boston not so sure he will be there when the Suns get senior players back

  • Good morning Jep, thanks again!

    I have Amon, Glenn and Honeychurch. Any idea when these guys look to return? In what order would you trade out?

    • Amon looks set to play for the SANFL team this weekend but is available for senior selection.

      Glenn has been on the injury list for seemingly ages after rolling his ankle. Not much news on him but I think he should be available this week. But is he in the suns best 22?

      Honeychurch got 24 touches and a goal in the VFL on the weekend but I doubt he’ll come back this week with Crameri and Morris both possibilities to return.

      I’d probably look at trading Honeychurch out first, then Amon then Glenn. However that order depends on selection.

      • I appreciate your feedback cricketmad787!

        From that and the fact Ablett and Swallow are likely to return for GCoast, I think the order is Glenn out first then Hchurch then Amon.

        Cheers!

      • i think amon will come in for kane mitchell who can’t dispose the ball at all and should be dropped imo. I would trade Amon last out of them.

  • i got 1366 in fantasy aswell :P at leaast i can field 19 this week!

  • Great article again Jep and thank you for complimenting me for keeping Patrick Cripps – one of the few things I’ve got right all season. A pity I wasn’t as smart about Oxley, trading him out prior to the Queen’s Birthday game.

    This week it’s out with Amon (unfortunately) & McIntosh and in with Fyfe & Alex Pearce (Hamling if Pearce is not in), which means I’ll probably have 24 playing (21 on field). First time since Round 3 I have felt good about my team.

    • very good moves. I feel the same mate. my rank is shot and I’ve had some stiff losses in my league but I feel like I can pull it together somehow

  • Time to ditch Lever and/or McKenzie down back? BEs are still low, plus I’m in RDT so trades are valuable

  • Thoughts in these moves lads…

    McIntosh –> Sloane via dick
    Newnes –> Brodie smith…

    now is the time to sell newnes and I think Smith is ripe for the picking… I think he will average 80ish from here on in and I want cash for upgrades in midfield once Acres and Kavanagh have plateaued. Those moves leave me with 252k ITB!

  • Worth holding off on the upgrades for a few weeks to get a few of these guys in? Got the feeling this will be the last crop of serious cash makers to come through.

    This week
    McCarthy > Fantasia
    Krakouer > Edwards (via dpp)

    Next week
    Oxley > Colquhoun
    Amon > Steele

    I’ll then have cash for 3-4 upgrades in a row with no downgrades. Good move?

    • Yep I’m thinking the same. There will no doubt be major carnage at the business end of the season and having really strong benches with these 200-250k rookies could make all the difference. Plus they might become sideways trades to fallen premiums come finals.

    • Yep, doing exactly the same over here. I’ll downgrade CEY to Steele next week and keep Amon, waiting for a good 120k option to come to the fore (Lambert, Knight, Byrne). I think Amon will be selected when fully fit anyway, he is a decent player.

  • I am looking at

    Amon to Steele
    McCarth to Fantasia

    then an upgrade

    Clark to Adam/Gawn

    Or

    Cripps who i think is holding his own nicely to Sloane

    Or

    Saad to Simpson

    Leaning towards option three

    Then next week Clark up to maybe Gawn/Adams

  • Jep thoughts on what u think Cripps can average now till end of the season? Would be such a waste keeping at M9 if he can pump out consistent 90’s so thinking he could be good enough for M8?

  • Def: Newnes, Lumumba, Hodge, Yeo, Kelly, Mundy (Clurey, Goodes)

    Mid: Pendles, Armitage, Rischitelli, Fyfe, Dangerfield, Lewis, Cripps, Kavanagh (Amon, Dumont)

    Ruc: Goldstein, Kruezer(Holmes, Brooksby)

    Fwd: Bont, Franklin, Gray, Martin, McCarthy, Vandenburg(Cox, Honeychurch)

    I have $382 in the tank.. So was thinking McCarthy – Titchell and Kelly/Lumumba – Edwards

    But could consider McCarthy to Fantasia due to the fact he’ll make me money and get Titchell in nek week with another premo.. Any suggestions on what I could do? I really want Sloane in the next week or so.. Cheers fellas.

    • Lumumba has gotta go right? Vandenburg is oout for another 2 or 3 weeks so upgrade or dg him to Fantasia

    • Vandenburg to Titchell and Goodes to Edwards, Vberg is still out for 3 weeks and Mccarthy is playing, Goodes is out for 4-6 weeks still. At least Lumumba is playing and with his value easier to upgrade to premo.
      You could upgrade Lumumba next week to Mcveigh, downgrade Mccarthy if you still wanted to Fantasia and still pocket $180,000.

  • Kavanagh or Boston?

  • What do you guys think about trading one of Dumont or Acres to Boston and which one? getting sick of vests.

    • Dumont would be a great player to have if he didn’t keep getting vests. Acres.. having been keeping track off. With Gold Coasts ins coming up in next couple of weeks, will Boston have a spot in the team

    • I would get rid of Acres, although an injured type like Amon/Clark would be priority as Acres still ha a bit of cash left to make

    • Dumont has the bye, acres is still making cash BE of 19 to Dumonts BE 34. If let loose tho Dumont will shred and make more coin. 50/50 call really

  • Well… I’m in a conundrum. Thoughts on this will appreciated. First trade is locked in, Vandenberg to Fantasia. Leaves me $219K in the bank 2nd trade thoughts so far are:

    B Goodes and upgrade to K Simpson. Leaves me with Mundy, Simpson, Dochety, Yeo, Higgins, Rich, Saad and Hamling on my defence. OR

    Dumont to P Cripps. Thinking he could be great M8 for 4 or 5 weeks. Midfield will leave me with Lewis, Dangerfield, Heppell, Ward, Parker, Neale, Wallis, Cripps, Kavanagh and Amon

    These trades both will be long term

  • pearce or edwards?

    • Will give opinion when u spend the time to answer others posts before just expecting people to help you.

  • Getting Fantasia for McCarthy,

    What’s a better 2nd trade?

    1. S.Martin for Lobbe
    2. Kav/Boston/Edwards for Amon/Dick

    Ruck would be complete, or is it worth getting rookies while I can?

    • you looking to field 18 this week? Lobbe to Martin is more a luxury trade I would have thought

    • Whats wrong with Lobbe? 2 x 100’s in a row is decent.
      Maybe rookies for the long run, will any be on field or only emergency?

      • Yep I have 19 playing after these two trades.
        Lobbe has been good but set and forget in ruck department would be nice :)

        Both on field this week, but neither after byes.

        • Go for the Lobbe to S.Martin trade then, set and forget and more points for the round. If the rookie was to place as M8 permanently to mitigate the possibility of no game or vest then id say rookie.

          • Thanks mate. 600 overall rank so points this week are very handy.

            Unless Tarrant for someone under 400k is a better trade?

  • Thoughts on these trades:
    Mcintosh to Brodie Smith, Dylan Shiel to Sloane.
    Leaving cash to downgrade Clark to Lambert next week and Mccarthy to anyone.

    Is Brodie Smith a genuine option, should be over his concussions?
    Thanks

    • Look solid to me. McIntosh simply has to go and shiel seems to be a target of opposition taggers. I’m hopeful that Smith can return to his 2014 form and Sloane should average 100+ for the rest of the season if he stays fit. Good plan for next week too. Pls help above

      • sorry, posted my team on My Team, not above. If you could help that would be great.

  • Cheers Jeppa!

    I assume the lack of material on the ‘bye-round sleepers’ means you like them?. I currently own all of Boston, Kavanagh and Fantasia, but am pondering on doing a second downgrade this week to bring in Edwards. Care to weigh in? To me it seems that the Dons’ best option to get something out of this year is to play some youth and then by the end maybe have a couple of young guns ready for next year. Fair assumption? Cheers again.

  • What does everyone think of these trades?

    Mccarthy – Lambert and Clark – Rewioldt

    Suggestions appreciated.

    • assume its NIck Reiwoldt? Get be pushing high 90’s average so sounds like got trades to me

  • Yeh, it’s Nick Rewioldt.

    Do you think I should do Clurey – Brodie Smith instead of
    Clark – N.Rewioldt

  • What’s the word on Tyrone Downie? His stats in the NEAFL are impressive to say the least, does Gold Coast have any LTIs that could result in him being upgraded to the senior list?

  • Is Jake Kelly to Shaun Edwards a no brainer?

  • lads, please help. need to get rid of a bye player to field 18.

    A) Higgins > McVeigh
    B) NicNat > Kreuzer (gives me plenty of cash for T.Hunt > McVeight & Barlow > Lewis, Stevens, etc. next week)

    i’ve been on A all week, but it doesn’t seem like a good move for the long run. should i go with B?

    • B is better than A but I probably would do neither, surely you can trade another rd 13 bye player and if not I don’t think one player is worth hurting your team in the long run.

    • Post your team, Higgins is worth keeping and NicNat is shredding at the moment.

    • I have Kruezer in already and not confident on him only as I had to trade Bellchambers couple of weeks ago. I wouldn’t trade him in for NicNat if I were you