Jeppa’s Juniors – Round 7

jeppa_rd8Round 7 saw a sharp rise in rookie rankings. On Friday night it was Jackson Thurlow running strong off halfback, Saturday Vlastuin, Daw and Josh Thomas went above and beyond all expectations and on Sunday, Sam Kerridge won a heap of the footy against GWS.

On a sour note, the foul funk surrounding the players of Port RADelaide is proving to be a major headache. As a team, the Power have struggled to win the footy in recent weeks and dreamteam scores are suffering as a result. When Hartlett gets tagged, he turns into Jack Watts and when the Hoff sees a ball in dispute, he runs in the opposite direction. Ultimately, the recent lack of form from the Power’s more experienced campaigners is having a negative affect on the young guns they are meant to lead. The same scenario exists for the Dees and GWS. As a rule of thumb, bench a rook from a team out of form because they’re more likely to give you an unsatisfactory score.

Three-Or-More Gamers

KEEPERS

A massive ten ‘juniors’ were named in the bests for their respective sides in Round 7. These players include Mark Blicavs (RUC/MID, 67, $190,100 & BE -13), Kane Mitchell (MID, 59, $154,000 & BE -1), Majak Daw (RUC, 128, $188,500 & BE 4), Justin Clarke (DEF, 88, $149,100 & BE -35), Sam Dwyer (FWD/MID, 95, $246,900 & BE 17), Josh Thomas (MID, 108, $201,600 & BE -52), Lachie Whitfield (MID, 73, $294,900 & BE 43), Sam Kerridge (FWD/MID, 118, $206,900 & BE -59), Jack Viney (MID, 87, $208,800 & BE -11) and Max Gawn (RUC, 52, $178,200 & BE 19). Special mention goes to Kane Mitchell after he was named in the bests for the Power after playing just half a game! Even though he put in one of the best rookie performances of all time, don’t go starting Daw this weekend in lieu of Leuy or others. Daw will be opposed to All Australian trio Darren Glass, Dean Cox and Nic Nat at different parts of the game so I’d expect him to score below 60. Most of the ten players named above are likely to be regular contributors on the field over the next month so don’t go trading them in a hurry.

The performance of Nick Vlastuin (DEF/MID, 101, $205,800 & BE -51) last weekend was a great for those coaches who brought him in. He avoided his usual second half fadeout and finished with a massive 14 kicks, 9 handballs, 11 marks, 1 tackle and 1 goal. Sleep easy and start Vlastuin on the field this weekend because the Tigers will smash the Demons in all areas. No matter what his breakeven is, you want to keep Jaeger O’Meara (MID, 88, $365,000 & BE 42) till at least the Suns Round 13 bye. Jaeger continues to feature prominently in the Suns midfield and doesn’t look like slowing down unlike other rooks his age. 

Brent Macaffer (FWD, 76, $254,000 & BE 24) was used all over the field and did feature in the midfield again as a tagger opposed to David Mundy. More midfield time means more touches and higher dreamteam scores so stick with Macaffer for a couple of weeks yet. Dean Terlich (DEF, 74, $258,900 & BE 47) is a rock in defence for the Dees. For a bloke in his first year of footy, he is doing a pretty good job considering the amount of ball coming into his defensive 50. Expect Terlich to score 65+ week in, week out.

If you’re one of the 5,495 coaches who own George Horlin-Smith (MID, 75, $233,400 & BE 53) then you’re about to enjoy some high scores and a nice little cash grab. The Cats face the Power, GWS and Gold Coast in the next month so you can be sure that they’ll rest their stars and play the kids like Horlin-Smith. Sebastian Ross (MID, 94, $194,500 & BE -27) had a lot of the footy against the Blues who paid him little respect. This ‘breakout’ game could be the making of Ross who is highly rated at the Saints.

DON’T PANIC

Matt Jones (MID, 67, $325,900 & BE 32) and Michael Evans (MID, 60, $269,000 & BE 24) have a knack of starting well but not going on with it. Both Jones and Evans were on 25 and 22 respectively at quarter time but could only manage final scores in the 60’s. Stick with these two, they can score big and both still have a couple of decent price rises left in them.

Even though he has a breakeven of 69, I’m not about to click on the letter T under Sam Mayes (FWD/MID, 54, $301,500 & BE 69) name. Mayes needs to run harder to space if he’s going to make an impact out on the field for the Lions. I suspect that Voss will stick with him though because he’s a class above many others at Brisbane.

With Sandi and Griffen out with injury, third string ruck Jack Hannath (RUC, 50, $126,700 & BE -19) is now an important part of the Freo line-up. Hannath scores are steadily improving and should only get better with the more ruck time he is about to receive. Hayden Crozier (FWD, 56, $204,100 & BE 1) was surprisingly given the green vest but only had to wait half way through the first quarter to run out on the field. Crozier is an opportunist, a great user of the ball and in my opinion, a valuable asset in the Freo forward line. Stick with him.

Luke Brown (DEF, 76, $190,400 & BE 7) and Rory Laird (DEF, 69, $159,600 & BE -50) both started slowly against the Giants but finished with scores of 76 and 69. Laird played at halfback and did enough to hold his place in Adelaide’s 22 for the short term. Brown has very performed well this season and has earnt a permanent spot in the Crows’ defence so expect him to feature regularly.

TRADE, TRADE, TRADE

The Port kids have all hit a wall and it’s time to get rid of them all! In order of priority, trade out Ollie Wines (MID, 54, $356,200 & BE 96), Jake Neade (FWD/MID, 24, $240,500 & BE 71), Campbell Heath (DEF, 33, $247,000 & BE 81), Lewis Stevenson (DEF, 46, $246,900 & BE 75) and Cameron O’Shea (DEF, 65, $297,700 & BE 69).

Nathan Wright (DEF, 42, $160,900 & BE 20) has a broken jaw courtesy of Eddie Betts and won’t feature for the Saints till after their Round 12 bye. Get rid of Wright as soon as you can but not before the Port rooks because Wright won’t lose you money! Jack Hutchins (DEF, 47, $201,200 & BE 48), Zach Williams (MID, 32, $108,900 & BE 12) and Dane Rampe (MID, 40, $164,400 & BE 21) don’t look like they are going to be prolific scorers so trade them out when you can.

Two Gamers

The Gold Coat v Melbourne game was dominated by the Suns so for Jesse Lonergan (MID, 53, $129,700 & BE -22) to only have 10 possessions playing as a midfielder is a huge concern. He did have 6 tackles but failed to regularly link up with his teammates in the Suns forward thrusts. I’d still say trade in Lonergan especially if it is for one of the Port rooks but if you bring him in then make sure it is as a reserve. Keep in mind that Lonergan is still learning his role in the team and looks to lack a little confidence as a result. Expect him to improve with every game he plays.

Will Sierakowski (DEF, 60, $108,500 & BE -33) put in a respectable performance against the Bulldogs and finished with 8 kicks, 4 handballs, 2 marks, 4 tackles and a goal. Unlike his first game, I thought he contributed on the field, especially after Aaron Mullet went off with an injury but with Thurlow making a statement in his debut and Lonergan having far better job security, I’d pass on Sierakowski. Dean Kent (MID, 29, $102,700 & BE 6) was very stiff to receive the red vest in his game against the Suns. He was one of very few Melbourne players that ran hard and tried to create but you’d be crazy to pick him up ahead of Lonergan.

Even though he is not setting the DT world on fire, Ben Kennedy (FWD/MID, 52, $102,700 & BE -15) looks like he’ll be a very good footballer in the years to come. He is incredibly skillful and moves with conviction but is an impact player and thus doesn’t get his hands on the footy enough to trade him in. Aidan Corr (DEF, 21, $125,200 & BE 31) had to deal with an influx of ball constantly entering his defensive area last weekend but still struggled to get his hands on it when the Giants were on the rebound. He’ll continue to get a go at AFL level in the short term but don’t bother.

Jaryd Cachia (MID, 58, $111,300 & BE -16) was a late inclusion and started in the green vest for the Blues but came on in the first quarter after an injury to Ellard. He worked his way into the game and had a handful of important touches in the fourth quarter when the Blues made their charge so expect him to play over the next few weeks. Malthouse would love his hardness and commitment at the footy so if you don’t mind taking a risk then pick up Cachia because he looks to be a real smoky. Jed Lamb (MID, 24, $108,500 & BE 19) was given another green vest and came on in the fourth but showed little. It’s a no on Lamb.

Notable mentions to expensive ‘juniors’ in Jarryd Lyons (FWD/MID, 63, $185,500 & BE 12) who scored 63 dreamteam points in a half of footy against the Giants and Jonathon Simpkin (MID, 38, $195,800 & BE 49) who faces GWS, Gold Coast and the Dees over the next three weeks. Simpkin could be worth a punt considering he scored 38 in a quarter against the Swans after starting in the green vest. Don’t forget that the Hawks love resting their players against the lesser teams!

Don’t forget about big Setanta O’hAilpin (RUC/FWD, $157,700 & BE -38) who is still on the bubble and likely to return from a calf injury to face the Hawks this weekend.

One Gamers

In his first game of AFL footy, Jackson Thurlow (DEF, 74, $116,200 & BE -75) looked like a 50 game player in Geelong’s back six. Thurlow’s attack on the footy and decision-making were notable attributes of his game and coach Chris Scott was very impressed with his performance (source). Geelong have the Pies, Port, Gold Coast and GWS over the next four weeks so it’s reasonable to suggest that if he plays well this weekend, he’ll be in the Geelong seniors till at least the bye rounds. If I were you, I’d be locking in a trade to bring Thurlow in for Round 9.

Even though his kicking was all over the place, Mark Hutchings (MID, 84, $102,700 & BE -104) had a pretty good debut against the Lions. He was used on the ball, on the wing and at half forward and finished with an impressive 7 tackles for the game. Worsfold is renowned for rewarding players who put the work in at training (e.g. Swift and Dalziell) and show intent on the field. Wait and see what Hutchings does in his second game before jumping on board. Sam Colquhoun (DEF/MID, 52, $102,700 & BE -40) tried hard but had little impact against the Tigers. He played in defence for the majority of the game and pushed up the ground without conviction. The last thing you need is more Power’ players into your team.

Geelong’s Jordan Schroder (DEF, 44, $127,800 & BE -8) started in the green vest and looked set for limited playing time until Taylor Hunt broke his collarbone in the first quarter. Schroder is a hard at it, in and under type who tried hard against the Bombers but failed to have an impact. Caolan Mooney (MID, 37, $108,500 & BE -6) and Jimmy Webster (DEF, 41, $108,500 & BE -14) also started in the green vest for their respective games. Webster looked very clean and composed under pressure and should be rewarded with a full games this weekend especially since Nathan Wright is out injured…watch him closely this weekend!

Keep Your Eye On

For those that held onto Brad Crouch (MID, $171,300 & BE -44), expect him to suit up this week for his SANFL team West Adelaide although there is a chance that he could come straight back into the seniors. For those that don’t have Crouch, remember that he has good job security and the support around him on the field to rack up the stats so don’t be put off by his $171,300 price tag!

Michael Voss said yesterday that Brent Staker (DEF/FWD, $132,600) is very likely to play this weekend against the Bombers (source). He’s had three games in the reserves to build his fitness and the Lions could really use another experienced body down in defence. Don’t jump on Staker too early though, wait and see what he produces first.

Got a question? Ask me on Twitter @JeppaDT

115 Comments

  • Thanks Jeppa. Great read as always.

    I’m thinking of going a late stage double downgrade next week moving out Stevenson and Pittard for Thurlow and Staker (depending on how they go of course).

    What do you think of S Mayes. He’s been going well and has I think good JS, but his BE is creeping up (70 odd now I think). Time to cash in?

    • “I’m not about to click on the letter T under Sam Mayes (FWD/MID, 54, $301,500 & BE 69) name…I suspect that Voss will stick with him though because he’s a class above many others at Brisbane.”
      – Ctrl + F

  • Awesome article as always

  • Good read Jeppa, very comprehensive. Jackson Thurlow will be one to watch for sure. Most (including me) will be going Lonergan though. Seeya Whitlam and Neade

  • But here’s the big question: Which two would you field of Goodes, Vlastuin, and Hartlett :P

    • If you keep Bartlett, he must be on field for your own sanity at the very least imagine after coping two 30s seeing a 110 on the bench!!!

  • Marvelous read nothing better then a well thought out and juicy long article. Great work! Definitely keen to see Staker he is coming back at the right time.

  • Gonna wait for teams and hopefully either heath or wines get rested so I can trade the playing one and not lose money on the other.

  • Nice article again – I dont agree Wines is first priority to trade fot eh Port players. Yes he is most likely to drop in price this week, but I would rather have his score over the others and if you have them all you will need to play at least one.

    • The great thing about Wines (BE 96) is his increased value. Downgrade Pittard or Stevenson or Neeade and then put the money into Wines and you end up with a devalued premo (Boyde or Deledio or even Priddis).
      Wines is off the boil. If his teammates aren’t getting the ball, he is not getting the ball.

    • Wines looks cooked mate

  • Staker is def one to watch also.

  • Staker is def one to watch also.

  • Great read thanks mate. Regard Thurlow – isn’t he a direct replacement for Rivers? If so, I have read conflicting reports about how long he is out – some say 2 weeks some say 4… Anyone got some credible info on it?

    • If Thurlow continues to perform, Rivers will find himself in the 2nds… I also heard Rivers is 2-4 weeks away from returning. I’m concerned about his ongoing soft tissue injuries.

    • Scott “we’d like to play Harry Taylor forward more if we could”

  • The sort of article you have to read twice to make sure you take it all in. Outstanding.

    My first reading suggests double upgrade this week to address the portlets, with thurlow and next best available next week, but Horlin-Smith is real YOLO stuff

  • Would you consider bringing in vlaustin for heath this week even though he’s had 1 price rise? Will probably make more cash the sierekowski still

    • Agreed

    • Laird still the best back downgrade option this week? (Already have Vlastuin)

      • Laird has gone up in value $50,000 but still has a BE of -50. Not sure of his job security if Crouch pushes for selection. Otherwise his JS appears safe.
        People have been throwing Thurlow’s name around from Geelong. Only played one game though for 74 points but played well. Rivers his main threat…..

        • I was thinking of going Thurlow next week as I’ll need to get out Heath and Stevenson

    • vlastuin is a bargin even at $200k

      • Agreed. Named Rover for every game he’s started, and scored a tonne last week. Forget Ellis, get this guy!

  • Great read thanks mate.
    Just made my decisions even harder!

  • I’m pretty confident that the eventual winner of this competition would have read “Jeppa’s Juniors” every week……twice.
    All the articles every week are great reads, but this one is the most important.

  • Awesome work Jeppa, originally I thought my only decent options were Crouch or Lonergan, but your info has given some food for thought and some more options.

    I’m now considering O’Hailpan, who I think has better job security than Lonergan. Also I wasn’t convinced on Thurlow because of concerns for his job security (being in the top team with stars to come in) but from the coaches feedback it sounds like he might be ok, so I will look at him next week

    I think i’ll stick with Crouch if he is named though

  • Great job Jeppa, decisions not very clear cut this week,

    North still have Petrie as key forward so Daw won’t get #1 defender (e.g. Glass) each round. In fact Roos have been looking for another tall forward to take double teaming pressure off Petrie for a while – so good for Daw’s JS. Despite his price, Daw is still ajar for me.

    I really like Crozier as a player, he was in my team last year, but he got glandular fever and was spelled for 2nd half season. But Freo only play him when Fyfe is out – so watch team selections this week. Although other injuries might mean they both play which would be good – lets face it there aren’t many other reasons to watch a Ross Lyon team.

    • Good call regarding Petrie and the best defender but Macenzie takes the best forward now and now Brown makes the 2nd and Glass the third

      • That will make Daws forward role even harder with Cox and Nic Nat working in tandem on the wide open spaces of Patterson stadium.

    • Gary & Aidan have beaten me to it: there will be no freedom or let up for Daw on Friday night. He won’t kicking too many, or get his hands on it too often I would think

      • He won’t want to go near the footy, is my guess. West Coast will give him a torrid time of it

    • im pretty confident mackenzie to petrie, brown to black/hansen and glass to daw.

      glass is the most attacking defender for the eagles and I believe that he can run off Daw better than the key forwards…thats my opinion anyway

  • Thanks again Jeppa.

    My Plan for the week is Priddis in for Wines and then Daw in for Neade moving Cox Up front. I liked how Daw played he was extremely athletic and racked up quite a few stats on top of his 6 goals. Wanted to ask though do people think he can score well/ish again or am I better off leaving my F6 (Currently Mayes) On the field and either leaving Daw on the bench or maybe even looking for a cheaper trade option and not getting him in at all?

    • It will be interesting to see how Daw performs on the wide open spaces that is Patterson stadium.
      Not to mention against Cox and Nic Nat. The best double rucking act in the comp.
      With a BE of -64 I will be watching with great trepidation as I resist the urge to trade him in (for his injured colleague Currie). I have Blicavs as ruck emergency.

      • I have Rowe on my forward bench – he has stalled and there aren’t many other fwd options at present.
        Even if Daw only gets two 45s in a row he will still make me $70k over 2 weeks and provide an E if I need it.

        • I’m really keen to get him for that X-factor reason and price increase…..
          But alas I have Port rooks on the slide……

    • Daw is bench cover only, pure and simple.

      nothing against markovic from the dogs but he was no where near stopping daw and the dogs defence didnt drop in the space to help markovic out

  • Two upgrades for me this week, hartlett to ibbotson and wines to priddis.
    I really hope crouch doesn’t play this week, would like to do two downgrades next week, crouch and thurlow in.
    If carrazzo plays he will go to hartlett, can’t bear another 30 from a supposed premium keeper.

  • is it worth trading out JJ Kennedy with a BE of 70, or wait a week?
    Great read though

    • im waiting a week

    • He should continue to rack up some points until his bye. Darling is playing well, NicNat is back and GWS, Richmond and the Saints don’t have a lot of options in defense to cover everybody. He is ranked in the top ten forwards (which still includes Westhoff) so he is almost a keeper, certainly through the next few rounds I would have thought.

  • Thanks jeppa. I’ve been watching crouch for some time now in anticipation of him returning to pounce. I think lonergan is the next best option. I am trading Stevenson to him this week via dpp or bringing thurlow in a week early. If I bring in thurlow then I can keep terlich as a handy bench defender as I have saunders also. If I go lonergan then I have to use terlich next week as the only viable option to bring in thurlow.

  • Who would’ve have being spoilt for choice was such a big problem. Cashing in Heath and Wines > Birchall (I know about Hanley but I’m a Hawks man and he’s got an easy month coming up and need some big points) and…SIMPKIN or CROUCH…??? Simpkin won’t actually increase in price for a week but should score well this week where Crouch might get vested this week but will still increase in price!!!

    …Thinking Simpkin, like the Mature Age kid.

    • Crouch with a vest??? Possibly. Lyons or McKernon to make way if he plays.
      Is Birchall likely to be rested during these 3 “easier” games?????

      • Just wondered if they might ease Crouch back in after injury (if he doesn’t play 2s that is) and as for Birchall playing…he has been down on form, after a cracker start, so either they play him to find a bit more touch or he’s carrying a niggle and they rest him…

        With Birchall still set to drop a touch, he’ll be ripe next week so looking more like a Priddis or even Hodge now…(Hodgey came out yesterday in response to “resting” saying he’s keen as to play every game)

        • Good one TBone.
          Hodgey or Priddis then?????
          Both have low BE.
          Both almost the same value.
          Hawks have an incredibly easy 3 weeks.
          If Hodge even hints to the medical staff he has a sore knee……..he will be rested.
          Wines into one of those 2.

          • Hodge has a higher ceiling but Priddis is more consistant so depends if you want to roll the dice or not.

        • on the AFL website sanders says he’ll play in the 2’s this week

          • Nice info Simon cheers…have ended up going HEATH & WINES > HODGE & SIMPKIN (double hawks I know for the bye but I’ll hopefully trade Hodge sideways then anyway)

            Birchall can wait another week, so can Couch, along with Thurston next week – all starting to fall into place (that’s when the sh*t will hit the fan!)

    • Simpkin will lose you money and points in the end.

      • Don’t worry Colesy wasn’t planning on him being a keeper…will trade out after he plays GWS, GCS and Melbourne mate – can’t see too much downside for points or cash but we’ll wait and see.

  • Nice.
    Should I trade Wines to dangerfield or deledio ?
    and with my second trade neade to ben kennedy or heath to thurlow?

    cheers

    • kinda tough but I would more than likely do the heath to thurlow, and could get a bargain in mid or fwds next week via neade.

    • heath to thurlow. wines to priddis!

  • Great work Jeppa.

    Just out of interest would you bring in Vlastuin or Ellis this week if you had the choice?

    • vlastuin…harder at it…likely to get more tackles

      • Plus he’s cheaper, doesn’t get vested, has DPP, gets named as Rover each week… the list goes on.

  • All Hartlett owners will be hoping Carrazzo doesn’t play with his calf concerns. With the recent effects of taggers on Hamish, he is the number 1 target for the tag.

  • Did Stevenson and Heath to Laird and Valustin last week
    Wines to Priddis
    Hartles to Hanley

  • Which 2 should go first? Wines, Neade, Heath, Stevenson? Listed in order of this article.

    Just unsure as Wines and Heath are most exxy and have highest BE’s.

  • Thanks Jeppa, gets better each week.

  • oh yay
    http://www.afl.com.au/news/2013-05-15/mitchell-fit-and-ready-
    now he needs to come in rd 9…

  • Not sure whether to keep of get rid of hartlett.
    My first trade is wines to lonergan
    second trade is either hartlett to hanley or stevenson/pittard to hanley
    Thoughts?

  • Hey guys im thinking ahead here should i get coloquan in soon in mid because he is DPP with def mid so if i have injuries in mid i will be able to easily cover them or should i go hutchings this week instead

    • He is good for switching players and that’s about it so far. Despite him supposedly gunning in in the sanfl earlier! 50 last week, who knows could get 110 or 30. Like another of his team mates

      • Ive had him since the start so maybe a bit blase, could’ve got 200K off heath instead

    • Don’t go Hutchings until he is on the bubble and named for at least his third game. 45 Eagles ready to come back from injury this week so his JS isn’t shaky but more non existent.

  • What do you guys think of Hartlett to Hanley and Heath to Lonergan via Goodes DPP?

  • should i trade wines to crouch

    -or-

    cordy to Majak daw?

    Thoughts?

    • depends if crouch is named or not. Even if he is I feel he might cop the vest so probably not option 1. Option 2 looks good. Why you had Cordy to begin with is beyond me.

  • 464K to spend on upgrade after shifting Wines & Heath on , just brought Vlastuin in ….. suggestions appreciated. 16k short of Deledio ;-(

  • i have got to get ride of neade wines stevenson heath.

    thinking maybe

    neade > jarrys lyons
    wines > priddis

    thoughts?

  • Got Daisy. Do I..
    1. Trade for Stevie J and upgrade Wines to Gibbs?
    2. Trade for Riewoldt and upgrade Wines to Heppell?
    3. Trade for Zaharakis and upgrade Wines to S.Mitchell?

    • is it your backs or mids that need the most attention? Mitchell should rack up a few points in the next couple of weeks. I reckon he offers the most points easily but who comes on to your midfield when you drop Wines? Is it someone who will outperform the worst performing back who Gibbs or Heppell would replace? I think Mitchell or Gibbs are your best bets (Carlton has a good run too). Hawthorn has the Rd 11 bye which could also be important.

  • Keep coming back as I can’t decide which rookie I’m sold on. I thought a bit about Lamb but the chump’s been given the chop by ewe Jeppa. Just wonder how he’d go with forequarters. Might put a bit of fat on before being put out to pasture post-bye. I think I agree with you though mate – we’re all needing our best flockers on field rds 11-13, there’s too much at steak.

  • Heath already dropped. Now I just need Neade to be dropped, and Pittard’s two week injury to turn into 1 week

  • crouch has been named for west adelaide

  • Cheers for a great read Jeppa.

    Trying to bring in Jesse Lonergan this week and have either Evans or Mayes to take out, one of these two will be on my field depending on who i take out.

    Mayes looks to have reaches his price pinnacle with a BE of 69, although its gettable for him its not unlikely he could put in a 50 and loose cash. But i think that he may score a touch more than Evans.

    Thoughts would be really appreciated!