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Calvin's Captains

Calvin’s Captains – Rd. 4

Calvin has been on fire so far this year with his selection so can the great man continue his run this week?

JACK v SAM

In old Launceston town on Saturday afternoon Jack Steven will take on Sam Mitchell. Steven had 133 last week and even knocked up 133 and 108 on the Hawks last year.

Sam Mitchell though has been in beast mode and is currently ranked as the #2 player in the game with an average of 129. He only had 90 on the Saints last year and overall his record is pretty average against them with just 1×100+ score on them in his last 7 games.

He did average 123 in Launie last year though and as we know, the Saints give up points, the 4th most in the league. They have given up 14×100+ scores so far this year so get ready for Sam to break the history he has against the Saints and smash out something big.

WATCH OUT FOR ROBBO!

Mitch Robinson tagged Dangerfield last week and will most likely tag either Gary Ablett or even the #1 Fantasy player in the land at the moment in Aaron Hall who has averaged 134 in his first 3 games. Robbo will tag someone!

Robbo went to Danger (107) last week and whoever he goes to, he’s a chance to hold them to a low 100+ score, injury them or even kill them with his kamikaze approach.

Ablett has dominated the Lions over his last few games with 146, 105 and 143. He is averaging 124 for the year and even if Robbo does go to him, he still should give him a bath.

Hall on the otherhand, hasn’t had to deal with a tag since 2002 in the under 12’s, and after his 40 touches last week, people are going to start to take notice.

Things in their favour though is that the Lions are bleeding Fantasy points and have given up 13×100+ scores in the first 3 games this year and are ranked as the 5th easiest to score against. They gave Geelong 7×100+ scores last week and you’d like to think Hall and Gaz can combine for a comfortable 250+ this week.

Also in this game, get ready for Stefan Martin to bounce back. He had 138, 116 and 122 in his last 3 against the Suns and despite his slow start to the year, patient owners of Stef will be rewarded this week… although I think I have been saying this for a few weeks now. Trust me, this is the week.

THE TRAVELLING SWANS

If the Swan were playing the Tigers at the SCG, I’d have many of them locked in with more confidence. However, this week they are on the road again and this time to Adelaide.

The plus side here is, last week the Crows gave up plenty of points and Ellis (144), Houli (140), Cotchin (126) and Grigg (109) all cashed in… and this was in a loss.

Dan Hannebery scored 100 last week, his best effort this year. He had 153 last year on the Crows and should be right to go big again despite never scoring over 90 (in 3 games) at Adelaide Oval.

The man every wants in their team right now is Luke Parker. He has been on fire and even had 112 and 121 on the Crows in his last two games.

The #3 ranked player in the game though is Tom Mitchell, but how will young Tom go away from the SCG. He had 143 at Etihad in round 2 and should be fine in South Australia. He scored 132 on the Crows last year and after the points the Tigers scored last week, you’d think that Tom wouldn’t find it too hard to rack up again. For those who have enjoyed Tom carrying the ‘C’ over the last few weeks, you’d be a brave man (or lady) to turn your back on him here. After all, what’s he done wrong so far?


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HOW DO THEY KEEP IT UP?

How do the Bombers keep producing big Fantasy numbers when they get smashed? Right now, they have scored the MOST 100+ scores in the game (16) and last week, when Port did them by 60+, 5 players still managed to crack the ton.

On the flip side of that, Port who won by 60, only managed 2×100+ scores with their top scorer managing just 110.

Add to this the fact that this week they play the Cats, a team who is the second hardest to score against… who knows what will happen!

Zach Merrett is the real deal and has continued on his merry way with scores of 128 and 136 in his last two weeks. He is the 4th highest averaging player in the competition and even had 106 on the Cats last year. He’s at the MCG this week, a ground he knocked up 136 at a few weeks ago.

Then we have David Zaharakis. 112 last week, was his lowest score for the year. How do they keep doing this? He didn’t play Geelong last year but has posted 103 and 122 in his last two runs.

As I said a minute ago, Port struggled against the Bombers despite them winning big, so what does this mean for Patrick Dangerfield? Danger had 118 on them last year as a Crows and is coming off 107 last week. He loves playing at the Gee and let’s not forget that memorable 137 he had there earlier this year. My prediction for Danger is that he’ll score between 90 and 140. The 90 is the scary part there as the Bombers are proving to be a small hurdle at the moment in more ways than one.

MB-AFL-7K-Sat-Slam

ONE LINER…

Dusty Martin v West Coast @ Domain Stadium:
150 on Eagles last year and 114 last week, he’s back and could be nasty!

Jordan Lewis v St Kilda @ Aurora Stadium:
Struggled last week with 60 and only had 80 on the Saints last year.

Matt Priddis v Richmond @ Domain Stadium:
95, 147, 91, 98, 97, 113, 97, 136 are his last scores against the Tigers. Amazing!

Jack Macrae v Carlton @ Etihad Stadium:
109 and 113 against the Blues in his last runs. Form has been down but he’ll be right here.

Scott Pendlebury v Melbourne @ the MCG:
Had 93 last year against them which ended his run of 7×100+ scores in his last 7 games.

Leigh Montagna v Hawthorn @ Aurora Stadium:
Huge 160 last week and even had 112, 151 and 111 in his last 3 against the Hawks.

Lachie Hunter v Carlton @ Etihad Stadium:
86 last week and could smash the Blues like Hall (151) and Gaz (124) did last week.

Bachar Houli v West Coast @ Domain Stadium:
140 and 119 in his last 2 games but has 0x100+ scores on WCE in his career 6 games.

TOM top

MB-AFL-EGLSvsTIG

Do you need a Captain? Then Calvin will help you out. Don't want a Captain? Calvin will tell you anyway. The man who digs deep into stats will help you pick a great captain and give you plenty of Fantasy advice. Follow him on Twitter: @CalvinDT




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