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The Thursday Scramble

The Thursday Scramble Round 14: Bye Week 3

Injuries, more suspensions and a concussion! Oh, and we still have 6 teams missing… Let’s Scramble!

All those best laid plans hey!  Injuries, Suspensions and Concussions!  If R14 was meant to be the easy round then someone should have told the Fantasy Gods!  A lot of people are sweating on selections tonight to see what happens before they can finalise their trades, I know I am one of them.  Let’s Scramble!

Is Syndesmosis contagious like Covid?

It seems that Ankle Syndesmosis is contagious just like Covid with the big man Max Gawn the latest to go down with this dreaded injury. Now I hear you saying, but he was on his bye this week anyway and I saw them say 3-5 in the media, well, don’t believe a word you read. If I put my Dr’s hat on (note: I am not even close to a doctor), I reckon he will be closer to 4-6.  I think if Melbourne can get a few wins with him out they will give him more time to recover given how important he is to the side.

No matter what happens he is a trade.  Simple as that. This can definitely work to your advantage given it is the last bye week.  The most popular trade in for him will be Witts or English. If you already have both of those guys then you are set and can use Gawn to upgrade somewhere else in your team.  This is the situation I am in and I will be using the Gawn money to improve my team so that when I come out of the byes I can have a fully premium team on field with some really good cover. With Gawn being one of the more expensive Rucks you can certainly utilise this cash to improve your team somewhere!  Whilst having to trade Max is annoying it can give you an advantage if you can use that cash elsewhere effectively.

If you don’t have Witts or English I would be targeting English first only because you can swing him forward at some stage and if your DPPs are set up right you can use him to cover any injury in your Ruck line in the run home.

How Owen-lucky can you get?

We were all praying last week that Mitch Owens would hold his spot and give us something on field. We cheered when he survived, then we cried when he went off with concussion and just a handful of points. Whilst we certainly hope he is ok and look forward to seeing him back out there next week, we are kind of stuck as many of us were relying on him playing in this last of the bye rounds. The other problem we have is that he hasn’t made us much money so trading him is also difficult unless you are side swapping to another rookie price player. We always try and avoid that where we can and if this was any non-bye round we would say just stash him on the bench and hope that he can make us some more points next week. The problem is that his BE is also going to be affected by that 11 last week for a couple of rounds which will stifle his value growth.

My advice with him is if you need to move him to get yourself to 18 then do it.  No questions asked.  If you have no other trades you can do and moving him gets you to 19 or 20 then it would be worth doing. However, if you are lucky enough to have 21 or 22 playing this week without moving him on then you could easily hold him and just hope that he comes back in and be a good bench cover player.

More Suspensions and other news

Did you trade out Bailey Smith last week?  If you didn’t then you should be doing so now. He has two weeks to serve and that is a chance to get longer as the AFL haven’t announced their findings on his photos yet but it isn’t likely to be good news.  With the Dogs playing again and 6 other teams on the bye you need all the premiums you can get.

Speaking of players you must trade out, if you hadn’t traded out Jason Horne-Francis yet then his bye this week should have been enough to do it but with 2 games slapped on the end of that there is no doubt he should not appear in any teams from here going forward now. He has done his job and has to go.

In other news, anyone still holding Nick Daicos? We all thought he was done a while back and there was talk of him having a rest!  Well he has shown us and gone on a tear in the last two weeks and is almost begging you to hold him through his bye. It is a tough sell and if you need the dollars to get to a premium then you should be doing it. However, if you have 21 players already this week, Daicos is doing enough of late to warrant staying in your side a bit longer. He could be your D6 or a player you look to Loop off the bench as we go into the run home. Just be ready to pull the trigger on him at any sign of a form drop.

When you are trading players in this week, make sure you keep your structure for Round 15 in mind. There is no point having 7 guys that are full premiums in your defence or forward that could get stuck there meaning you have a premium on the bench. Just make sure you are taking into account all of your DPP and player permutations when you are making your trades to ensure that in R15 and beyond you can get all of your premiums on the park at the same time.  No point having 7 premo’s stuck in your defence when you have no way of moving them around to allow you to get that Rookie F6 off the field.

Things to Remember

  • We have a game tonight so you won’t have long between teams and first lockout to make up your mind on what you are going to do.
  • Plan for the finish line now.
  • Draft coaches, time to wake back up!  Only one more round til you get to play again.

Have a great week everyone and remember, it is how you have moved up the ranks after all three bye rounds that matters, so if you have had one poor week so far, don’t worry, treat the byes as one long round and look at what you have achieved after this week.

A passionate Port Adelaide Fan who simply loves footy! That is how I would describe myself. Catch my weekly article "The Thursday Scramble" with all the last minute things to think about for the weekend Follow: @pkd73.

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Tim B
Member
Tim B
11 months ago

Great advice. Thanks Dunny.

Big brain moment of the year for me. If I get 23 this week (which is a good possibility), I’ll loop Boyd and Windhager via De Koning’s DPP. I probably won’t need either’s score, but why not just in case?

Rory
Rory
11 months ago

Not sure who to get for Max Gawn, I already have English, was looking at Preuss but not even sure he will be playing… that leaves me with the option of either Nankervis or Witts, thoughts?

jjbkeeper
jjbkeeper
11 months ago
Reply to  Rory

Witts has been pretty solid for me this season. Any chance you have D.Cameron in the forward line that you can roll in to rucks?

Rory
Rory
11 months ago
Reply to  jjbkeeper

I sure do actually, didn’t even think of that, thank you!

jjbkeeper
jjbkeeper
11 months ago
Reply to  Rory

No problem.

Stefan Eggberg
Stefan Eggberg
11 months ago
Reply to  jjbkeeper

A problem for next week though, as Cameron has the bye this week, I would pick Witts or Pruess if named if you need a ruck this week.

Jag67
Jag67
11 months ago
Reply to  Stefan Eggberg

Any consideration for RO’B?

Sam
Sam
11 months ago

J.Sinclair, R.Laird or L.Whitfield? Sinclair and Whitfield would mean I would have reasonable cash left over to then upgrade M.Owens as well, Laird would leave me with only around 80K, thoughts?

Hugh
Hugh
11 months ago
Reply to  Sam

Laird is the most reliable of the three, and Whitfield is the most value of them. Depending on your structure I’d be going Laird, Whitfield, Sinclair

PineAppleCrush
PineAppleCrush
11 months ago

Is Doch a must have at this point? Thinking of going Gawn to Doch as I have a bit of ruck cover. But Himmelberg also seems a decent option with potential for cash gen with his new role (Although im 50/50 on it with Haynes potentially coming back)

Tom
Tom
11 months ago
Reply to  PineAppleCrush

I was also waying up between Doch and Himmelberg, just not sure which way to go either. I know I can trust Doch but then again Himmelberg looks strong in his new role.

Hugh
Hugh
11 months ago

DEF: Dawson, Docherty, Sicily, Hewett, Rich, Zorko (SDK, Wehr)
MID: Neale, Oliver, Miller, Macrae, Kelly, Cripps, Clark, Hobbs (Owens, McComb)
RUC: Gawn, English (Hayes)
FWD: Dunkley, Coniglio, Butters, Coleman, Brodie, Martin (Windhager, Durdin)
UTL: Soligo

Given Gawn is a trade, am considering Cameron (by holding and going next week) and Witts.

Was originally thinking:
Zorko > Whitfield
Butters > Hately
Owens > Durdin

Is that still viable given Gawn this week? Or should I be looking at something else?

Fantasy Pleb
Fantasy Pleb
11 months ago
Reply to  Hugh

I think Gawn is too expensive to hold on your bench this week, that’s a lot of points you could be missing out on!

Fantasy Pleb
Fantasy Pleb
11 months ago
Reply to  Fantasy Pleb

Especially when Butters could play this week

Pears
Pears
11 months ago

Doch or Laird? Doch leaves me with enough cash to get rid of Owens for someone like Greg Clark who has plenty of Cash gen left…. thoughts?

jjbkeeper
jjbkeeper
11 months ago

Merrett (low price), Guthrie (run in) or Sinclair (form + DDP)?

jjbkeeper
jjbkeeper
11 months ago
Reply to  jjbkeeper

Current Plan
Pendles > S. Durdin
Zorko > Duncan
Owens/Mead > Merrett/Guthrie/Sinclair

JP
JP
11 months ago

thoughts on these trades?
Gawn > English
Zorko > Doch
McCartin > Himmelberg

its either Berg or Durdin for the last trade

spud
spud
11 months ago

Zorko and Gawn to Witts and English – provided Preuss or Hayes play. 3rd trade is a downgrade to get some cash to finish my mids – I need some cheap dowgrade trade targets – any line except defence.

Shame that given Durdin has been named.

Any Help Appreciated – Cheers.

spud
spud
11 months ago

Totally stuffed that – The trade is Zorko and Gawn to Whitfield and Docherty – English from FWD to ruck. The rest is the same Cheers.

pendles4brownlow
pendles4brownlow
11 months ago

1. Mead > Wehr

or

2. SHayes > Teakle

BrodieA
BrodieA
11 months ago

Mead is playing I think

pendles4brownlow
pendles4brownlow
11 months ago
Reply to  BrodieA

That’s unexpected

BrodieA
BrodieA
11 months ago

He has had good form in the SANFL for a while i think

Justin Stitchup
Justin Stitchup
11 months ago

2

Russell Pindick
Russell Pindick
11 months ago

Dunny & friends, Who to Trade Out?
Parish or Tracca?

Angus
Angus
11 months ago

Is Gawn to Jackson a viable trade now that Gawn is out for a while?

John1
John1
11 months ago
Reply to  Angus

definitely an option, id be pretty seriously considering it if I didnt need to grab English for gawn. I doubt hed go as big as cameron did but id be expecting an improvement on his current scores

BrodieA
BrodieA
11 months ago

Hately or HBerg?
No good targets in forward line yet so HBerg is a good option for several weeks at F6
Hately has a good run coming up but would clog a spot at M8 which could be useful

Gaz
Gaz
11 months ago
Reply to  BrodieA

The Berg is a better option imo as he has a much lower BE and is around 30k cheaper. Be prepared for inconsistent scores though

John1
John1
11 months ago
Reply to  BrodieA

dont be surprised if himmelberg returns to the forward line at some point. Haynes and davis are both options that could come in and take a tall backline spot off himmel. I was big on him at first but after hearing some comments by spike during the week and the availability of the others I mentioned id be wary
Id pass and go hately

Gaz
Gaz
11 months ago
Reply to  John1

Yep I reckon Hately now as well as Haynes is in and Davis is playing VFL this week

BrodieA
BrodieA
11 months ago
Reply to  John1

Ive had to fully change up trade plans due to the rookie cull from team lists this round anyway. Picked up Mass for Stein, only fielding 17 and praying for an emergency to play

BestowedMisery
BestowedMisery
11 months ago

Cheers Bailey, nice work.
Trades are..
Dixon to D’Ambrosio
Gawn to English
Dorko to Stewart
Jackson Mead has been named as a follower.. cool.
Gives me 20 players.

Gaz
Gaz
11 months ago

Is there any chance that Butters scoring could increase with Boak out and more CBAs or am I just giving myself false hope?
Also could Haynes in impact Himmelberg’s role at fullback?

John1
John1
11 months ago

I was on 20 playing this week but now witherden and clark out, FMDT stuck at 18 now
Going gawn-English, Zorko-D’ambrosio and hayes to Laird via DPPs. Happy with my trades but I was really hoping it have more than 18 playing this week haha

Jay1
Jay1
11 months ago

Had 20 playing, but already looks like two will be knocked out of the Thursday game: S Durdin + Judson..now i’m totally reliant on my other rookies posting best18-worthy scores.

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