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2020 Prices

Essendon AFL Fantasy Classic Prices 2020

Prices, positions & tips for the Dons.

Essendon averaged 369.3 Disposals in the 2019 H&A season (Rank 10), this was a negative regression compared to the 2018 H&A season in which the Bombers averaged 381.6 Disposals (Rank 7).

Injuries did impact several key Essendon players in 2019, most notably Devon Smith playing just 7 games due to a knee injury, Joe Daniher continual groin issues, Tom Bellchambers calf strain and not to forget the constant foot issues for Dyson Heppell.

Only 3 players at the Bombers completed a full 23 games in 2019 (Zach Merrett, Anthony McDonald-Tipungwuti & Andrew McGrath), only 10 players completed 20 games or more.

Essendon at this stage are still playing catch-up over this pre-season with injury recovery, this again could impact the 2020 season.

The Bombers will also go through a senior coach transition from John Worsfold to Ben Rutten in 2020, there are several red flags  here which may impact fantasy output.

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2020 Potential Targets:

Devon Smith MID/FWD $720K

Smith was unable to complete a full season in 2019, he has played in 62.8% of games since the beginning of the 2016 H&A season which is a pause for concern.

A solid average of 106.6pts in his first year at Essendon back in 2018 does provide optimism for his scoring ability, he is slightly discounted to begin 2020 due to his incomplete 2019 season.

The role for Smith over the pre-season needs to be at a high level of midfield usage, anything else may result in inconsistent scoring.

Mitch Hibberd MID $197K

Hibberd gets his second chance at AFL level, he averaged 24.3 Disposals & 6.9 Tackles in the VFL in 2019.

If the Bombers are unable to overcome a lengthy injury list by Round 1 then Hibberd may make his Bombers debut, he will likely be too good to refuse at his starting salary.

Zach Merrett MID $803K

After a poor start of just 50pts in Round 1 Merrett averaged 111.0pts for the remainder of the 2019 H&A season, he scored 100pts or more in 65.2% of games & 120pts or more in 30.4% of games in 2019 (Incl. Finals).

Coaches have been able to acquire Merrett at a discount price early in 2018 due to concussion & an interrupted pre-season in 2019, a clean start to the 2020 season will not attract high ownership for one of the premium scoring players.

Article by @aflratingsPete

Listen to Pete & Jeppa on the @PlusSixPodcast

PLAYERPOSITION2019
AVG
2019
GMS
2020
PRICE
Zach MerrettMID108.222$803,000
Dylan ShielMID98.321$729,000
Devon SmithMID/FWD79.47$720,000
Dyson HeppellMID93.817$696,000
David ZaharakisMID79.520$590,000
Darcy ParishMID/FWD79.420$589,000
Michael HurleyDEF77.418$574,000
Andrew McGrathMID74.722$554,000
Cale HookerDEF74.517$553,000
Tom BellchambersRUC71.615$531,000
Kyle LangfordMID/FWD70.617$524,000
Conor McKennaDEF70.321$522,000
Mason RedmanDEF68.919$511,000
Andrew PhillipsRUC80.45$507,000
Shaun McKernanFWD6815$505,000
Adam SaadDEF67.321$499,000
Tom CutlerMID80.33$496,000
Dylan ClarkeMID66.211$491,000
Jake StringerFWD65.318$485,000
Anthony McDonald-TipungwutiFWD62.922$467,000
Jordan RidleyDEF686$444,000
Jayden LaverdeFWD58.69$425,000
William SnellingFWD71.73$420,000
Joe DaniherFWD694$420,000
Martin GleesonDEF58.49$420,000
Matt GuelfiMID56.417$419,000
Orazio FantasiaFWD54.414$404,000
Aaron FrancisDEF53.916$400,000
Josh BegleyFWD51.88$361,000
Kobe MutchMID01$334,000
Patrick AmbroseDEF4419$326,000
James StewartFWD00$316,000
Brandon Zerk-ThatcherDEF561$312,000
Brayden HamMID/FWD49.84$303,000
Jacob TownsendFWD171$266,000
Harrison JonesFWD00$212,000
Mitchell HibberdMID00$197,000
Nick BryanRUC00$196,000
Sam DraperRUC00$170,000
Ned CahillMID/FWD00$170,000
Lachlan JohnsonMID/FWD00$170,000
Noah GownFWD00$170,000
Irving MosquitoFWD00$170,000
Cian McBrideDEF00$170,000
Ross McQuillanDEF/FWD00$170,000

Pete is our numbers man. Covering all things Fantasy, DFS and betting through his website and social platforms, at aflratings.com.au, knowledge is everything.

4 Comments

4 Comments

  1. Avatar

    richie v

    January 9, 2020 at 5:32 pm

    why is devon smith priced so high when his average last year was only 79.4?

    • Avatar

      visolate

      January 9, 2020 at 6:31 pm

      Discount is applied to the higher of the previous two season averages (aka his 2018 average)

      • Avatar

        richie v

        January 9, 2020 at 7:25 pm

        Not really a discount then, if he had played a few more games and stayed with the same average he would have been priced over 100k less. This is why I prefer RDT

        • Warnie

          Warnie

          January 9, 2020 at 9:00 pm

          Rules are rules. Which was overwhelming feedback from coaches about 3-4 years ago. Can never win. Unlikely start in Fantasy Classic to an absolute lock in RDT.

          Remember, they are different games and require different rules due to the mechanics and therefore strategy.

          FWIW – these pricing rules are like this so that players don’t end up ridiculously underpriced, as what has happened in the past. Like I’ve said before, it’s better for the game to have a player ‘overpriced’ in a few people’s opinion than underpriced in a lot of opinions, especially with two trades per week.

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