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The Friday Scramble

The Friday Scramble Round 20

Finals are here and the stakes have been raised! Time to Scramble!!

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It seems as though the season has only just started and here we are at finals time already! Hopefully you have made it into the top 8 and if you are in the top 4 then well done! Unfortunately this is when the game gets even harder, we will have players in teams that can’t make finals sent off for surgeries, some players will get rested so that rookies can get a game to see if they are worth holding in the squad for next year. We simply can’t trust anyone. All this means is…. more Scrambling!!

Finals Time

I don’t need to go into it too much here as you all know how it works by now. It is just like the AFL Finals and we all know how they work. So if you finished top four you get a double chance and if you are in positions 5-8 you are in an elimination final. The same thing happens in the bottom half too. If your league has 18 teams then the bottom two sides are done, season over.

It goes without saying that you do everything you can to win your elimination final, you can do this by doing such things as looking at your opponents side and trying to bring in some uniques or matching off their uniques by bringing that player in.

If you are in a limited trade format of the game then you should be looking to trade to win. If you are in a cash league you may want to do everything you can to win and use your trades as once you are eliminated you aren’t going to win any cash!

#AskDunny

Hi TeeJay, Agree that Crisp is a must have at the moment and you have some interesting options there for trading out. All three of these guys have been key players to have during the year but I think at the moment I would be looking at Laird to trade out. His last few weeks haven’t been as great and he hasn’t hit the ton since his bye. The resurgence of Brodie Smith is certainly having an impact here. If you really want to keep Laird then Stewart is next on the list.  Houli is the one to keep.

This is an interesting one. It comes down to whether you are worried about your rank or if it is just leagues that you are going for. In this situation if you are worried about your rank then you need to decide how many more points you think that the $540k defender will get you this week over the rookie you have to field and then how many points less than the premium you will bring in next week your new player will get for the remaining three weeks. In this situation I think that you may be better off waiting that week for bigger points return (although this is heavily dependent on who the $540k player is).

Given you are second in your league and if that is all you are worried about you can afford to drop a week and still keep going. If you think you can win anyway with your rookie on field then go for the double down grade to make your team the strongest you possibly can for the remaining weeks. If you think the game might be close you may want to go the other way and trade, but will this make your team weaker for the all important Semi and Prelim finals if you can’t do anything with the $540k guy you get in.

I know I have come to a similar conclusion here in both circumstances but I wanted to give you an idea of my thought patterns here, this won’t be the right answer for everyone and it really is team dependent and the further away from the end of the season we are the answer changes. If we still had 8 weeks to go then I say double down and get the cash for an uber premium. But I think that next week or the week after the points differential will be much less and you would go for the $540k guy to get the win in a knockout final.

I actually really like that move if you can pull it off. I think that your scoring is a little safer with Gawn and Clark. Now we do know that Preuss has been named this week and that of course throws a spanner in the works, but I think that when you look at the combined score of the two pairings I think that Gawn and Clark should do better. I simply have more faith in them than the two Carlton boys.

Ordinarily I would say to get in Gawn at all costs, but at the moment, with Witts’ form and Preuss coming back in combined with the terrible form of Crouch and the below expectation scoring for Stewart, I like this move.  If it were me I would be looking to upgrade Matt Crouch. The difference between his scoring and the top premium mids is a bigger gap than that between Stewart and someone that you would bring in to replace him.

If your opponent has Grundy and neither of Witts or Gawn then who do they have? It must be Goldy??

Is neither an option??  If you are faced with this choice I think you have been following Calvin’s advice a bit much this year, perhaps latch on to Roy or maybe Warnie.  But seriously this is a no win situation really. For me it is Hanrahan, I just don’t like Langlands v Adelaide in Adelaide.

Like they say in footy, first give every time. And in this case, your first thought every time.  Greene is clearly having a different role with the injuries that the Giants have and is scoring like a midfielder, I picked him up a couple of weeks ago and haven’t looked back. I think he is a safer option than the other two guys (as long as he doesn’t get suspended of course and with finals on offer I suspect he is on his best beahviour).

Selection Table

Reasonably uneventful week at selection this week from a fantasy perspective I think.  But here are my thoughts on a couple of the moves.

Scott Lycett  is omitted??  What the hell Kenny? I just don’t get his one, they are playing a team without a recognised ruck and they drop their best ruck. If you have him up forward you will need to trade given it is a final.
Bewley has been omitted so you won’t be relying on him for bench cover.
Ryan is out injured but we knew that and is a must trade.
Preuss is back as we all  know and this could be a concern for Max, but all it means for me is no C for the big fella.
Stack is out injured so it is time to cash him in.
Adams has been named again, but I wouldn’t bring him back in just yet.
Hurn’s old man calf is apparently ok (healed faster than mine does!)

There are a lot of other changes but they are the key ones for me.

Things to Remember

  • Just because you aren’t in the top 8 it doesn’t mean you give up! Play it out and hopefully improve your rank
  • If you are in an elimination final, leave it all on the field, you may need to do something wacky to get the win.
  • In Limited Trade formats you may need to use trades to get the win. I would be happy going down to 2 trades left after this round if I had to.

Best of luck everyone. Hopefully you can get the win and push deeper into the finals. I am going to try and jump online tomorrow morning or lunch time to answer some questions, as always I am sorry if I don’t but work does make it hard for me to get on before it is too late to be of any use to you all. Cheers to everyone that does help people out (and to the guy on twitter that answered all the questions that you had when you replied to my tweet).

Catch you all next Friday!

36 Comments

36 Comments

  1. Avatar

    Sam

    August 2, 2019 at 6:26 am

    Hi mate thanks for the scramble just wondering who would u pick between Touk Miller who has been in form or Seb Ross who has the good run home and can put good numbers out. Only be in my team for a week then upgrade the next week thank you

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      Rohan Higgins

      August 2, 2019 at 8:19 am

      Ross!

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      Dunny

      August 2, 2019 at 12:17 pm

      Seb Ross mate. I think he should have the bettter run

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    Rooks&Rookies

    August 2, 2019 at 7:12 am

    Thanks as always for the articles this week.

    Just wondering which underperforming premo to trade out first?

    Sicily, T.Kelly and Ziebell are all still in my team after injuries have decimated my team for several weeks.

    Lloyd, Sicily, Crisp, Williams, Whitfield, Newman [Goddard, Stein]
    Treloar, Taranto, T. Kelly, Merett, Pendlebury, Fiorini, Gaff, Macrae, [Snelling, Dunkley]
    Grundy, Gawn [Fort, Cameron]
    Dunkley, Boak, Dangerfield, Hanrahan, Zieball, Marshall [Dylan Moore, Gardner]

    Cash, 59K

    Thanks

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      Mowen

      August 2, 2019 at 7:40 am

      Ziebell has the highest BE. Goes first.

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      Dunny

      August 2, 2019 at 12:37 pm

      For me it is Ziebell, his role is the bigger concern *now that sicdawg is back to his role in defence

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    Jag67

    August 2, 2019 at 7:58 am

    I’d be getting rid of Hanrahan first.

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    JD

    August 2, 2019 at 8:06 am

    What does everyone think
    Hanrahan >>>> Greene, Marshall or Billings…this is finally getting all rookies off ground

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      Fantasy Footy Fan

      August 2, 2019 at 10:33 am

      Greene

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      Dunny

      August 2, 2019 at 12:41 pm

      I do really like Marshall but he is expensive. If you can get Greene and use the cash to upgrade elsewhere that would be a better outcome

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    Andy

    August 2, 2019 at 8:10 am

    Witherden out in 1q last week and selected to play? Any risk late ou? Also Gawn chance of late out?

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      Dunny

      August 2, 2019 at 12:42 pm

      I was surprised to see Witherden named to be honest. I would make sure i had cover or better yet trade him. But that low score killed his price.

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    Mad Fish

    August 2, 2019 at 9:07 am

    Stuck with which defender to go out of Laird, Stewart and Williams?

    And is it best to go straight to Whitfield or look for a more unique option in Brodie Smith or Houli?

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      Fantasy Footy Fan

      August 2, 2019 at 10:35 am

      Stewart out of those 3. I’d go Whitfield.

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      Dunny

      August 2, 2019 at 12:44 pm

      Whitfield for me, the points you miss out on could be huge. FOMO

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    Crouch

    August 2, 2019 at 9:55 am

    1. ROB and Heeney (move Marshall ruck) to Greene and Zmerret or

    2. Heeney and Ellis to Adams and Smith

    1 or 2

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      Fantasy Footy Fan

      August 2, 2019 at 10:36 am

      1

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    Billy

    August 2, 2019 at 10:02 am

    What are your thoughts on Birchall ? At that price he looks like a steal … need to get rid of witherden and this could be a cash grab (for a similar scoring potential as witherden) and to upgrade elsewhere …

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      Dunny

      August 2, 2019 at 12:48 pm

      He is a risk, but as long as you are prepared to move him out next week if you have to then that is fine (I have had to do the same thing as I needed cash to upgrade elsewhere). But I plan to get rid of him next week. So for me he is a week to week proposition and a plug.

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    Matt

    August 2, 2019 at 10:07 am

    taylor adams going to be a late out?

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    Euman

    August 2, 2019 at 10:22 am

    Help please – 196k in bank
    Option 1 – trade out Hanrahan bench for cheap rookie then quaynor to def 681k to spend so maybe clark? Or give me who you think. Means no def cover

    Or

    Trade Keilty def bench to cheap playing def and quanor to 541k def so Kade Simpson this way I have def and fwd and mid cover on bench and can upgrade next week.

    Am 4th in league

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      Dunny

      August 2, 2019 at 12:49 pm

      In your second option there could you use Birchall as that one week player? Given you are in top four it is minimal risk for you and he will go up in price

      • Euman

        Euman

        August 2, 2019 at 1:30 pm

        Cheers Dunny yes maybe good option, Hawks v North

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    Crippa

    August 2, 2019 at 10:30 am

    Who to bring in for Ziebell?
    Billings, Greene or Marshall?
    Cheers legends!

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    DJ

    August 2, 2019 at 11:02 am

    Crouch to Taranto and a cash grab from Hind

    Or

    Crouch to Ross/Adams and Ziebell to Greene

    Thoughts on how Greene will score with Kelly back soon

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      Bok

      August 2, 2019 at 12:37 pm

      First move is literally my trades this week love it

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    Sloane Ryder

    August 2, 2019 at 11:13 am

    D. Clarke, Bewley -> Seb Ross, K. Dunkley/Langlands
    or
    Sicily, D. Clarke -> Treloar, K. Dunkley/Langlands (but field Answerth…)

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    Cripps

    August 2, 2019 at 11:51 am

    Best combo.

    1. Adams, Smith and ROB
    Or
    2. Greene, zmerret and Ellis

    1 or 2

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    M8

    August 2, 2019 at 1:26 pm

    My Team:
    DEF: Whitfield, Lloyd, Crisp, Laird, Stewart, Smith (Naish, Goddard)
    MID: Kelly, Duncan, Gaff, Merrett, B.Crouch, Macrae, Cripps, Clarke (Snelling, Cameron)
    RUCK: Grundy, Gawn (Clarke, Flynn)
    FWD: Boak, Dangerfield, Kelly, Dusty, Worpel, Ziebell (Young, Gardner)

    Cash: $79k.

    Thoughts on holding Josh Kelly one more week and going Ziebell (via Cameron) to Yeo and either Naish or Cameron to Langlands, meaning I’d have to field Langlands and Dylan Clarke this week?

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    Petracca

    August 2, 2019 at 1:46 pm

    Who do we prefer – Taranto or Treloar?

    Or flip a coin? I’m currently on Treloar and putting the C on him

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      Macka

      August 2, 2019 at 3:05 pm

      Taranto at home. Bigger ceiling. He’s my lock.

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    Tony

    August 2, 2019 at 2:18 pm

    Houli/Smith or Clark/Simpson plus extra cash ?

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    Miyagi-san

    August 2, 2019 at 3:22 pm

    Hey guys. Need some help- can trade Spudshaw to any mid under 705k, or Sicdog to any mid under 720k. Who to go with? Only mid i have on that price range is Zerrett. Currently tossing between Yeo/Sheed/Cripps/Sloane/Dusty/Bont….

    Finished top 2 in my league, looking for Max points For over the run home…

    Thanks legends

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      M8

      August 2, 2019 at 3:41 pm

      That’s as tough one, I’d go in this order Yeo, Cripps, Sheed, Dusty, Sloane then the bont, I hope that helps!

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    Pezza

    August 2, 2019 at 4:28 pm

    Trade out Stewart or Hunter Clark?

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    Cripps

    August 2, 2019 at 5:58 pm

    Best combo.

    1. T Adams, B Smith and R Obrian
    Or
    2. Greene, zmerret and Ellis

    1 or 2.

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