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The Friday Scramble

The Friday Scramble: Round 17

Late outs and poor scores hurt some coaches last week, and this is just the beginning! Time to Scramble.

Late Outs! We all know they are going to come but are you ready for them? We saw one planned and one unplanned last week and this is where our bench depth gets really challenged. Anyway, enough chit chat… let’s Scramble!

Late Season Strategy

With just 7 weeks to go most leagues only have three games left before finals. If you are going for a league win the you need to start making sure that you are locked into the top 4 and if not do everything you can do to get into the top 8.

Struggling to get into the top 8?

This may mean that you need to play a little differently if you are battling to keep your spot in the 8 or trying to get in. In that position you may need to take a risk. Risks you may want to take include the following:

  • Trade in uniques that are on a hot streak. If you are desperate for wins and a massive underdog check for guys that are not in as many teams but are scoring well. Trade out someone that is common between you and your opponent and roll the dice.
  • Pick someone different as your captain. Now I am not suggesting that you go against our beloved pirate Calvin, but once again look at your opponents team and find a captain on Calvin’s list that your opponent doesn’t have. This is another way that you can get an edge in your matchup.
  • Use the Scale of Hardness. When bringing a player in it is almost imperative now that you examine their run home. By bringing in players that have an easier run you should end up with better scoring.

Are you at the top of the table and locked in the top 4?

If you are sitting pretty and aren’t as worried about rank then you can be a bit strategic with your trading. You could employ some of the following ideas:

  • Get all of your rookies off field.
  • Get some solid bench cover. If your field is all sorted and you don’t need to trade there, work on getting a good set of bench players so that when the inevitable late outs occur later in the season you will be prepared and it won’t cost you a game.
  • Load up on guys that have a great run during the finals. If you bring in a guy that has a few bad matchups now but a great run in the last four weeks it will benefit you when you need him most, not now when you are already locked into your spot in the finals.

What do you do with short term injuries?

Struggling to get into the 8? Well just keep playing it like you have been but now you trade a player out at the sniff of a potential miss of a game. But if you are locked into top four you can afford to hold a gun like Josh Kelly if you genuinely think they will be back for all of the finals and use your trades to strengthen your team elsewhere.

Now clearly the above all is related to AFL Fantasy where we have two trades a week. In relation to Real Dreamteam and Supercoach then you need to use those trades wisely and the number you have left will determine how aggressive you can be.

How many trades should I keep?

In both RDT and SC then your trading will be governed by how many trades you have. Below is a bit of a guide on what I would do in various circumstances.

8 trades or more.
Go hard with your trades. Use a few in the next couple of weeks to strengthen your side and make sure you get into the finals.

8 trades
Use between 2 and 4 to get your team as strong as you can. But ideally hold 4, one for each week of the finals.

6 trades
You can use 2 to get an upgrade done, two hopefully if you have some cash in the bank.

4 or less
Essential trading only. With 7 weeks left you may need to use all of these on injuries.

From here on in you don’t want to go down to less than one trade every two weeks if you can help it. But don’t hold trades just for the sake of it, if a situation arises where you must use them then do it.

Selection Table

A few big ins and a few big outs this week as things just keep getting harder for fantasy coaches.

John Noble. Two weeks in a row now that we have had a rookie from the Pies. If you need a quick cash grab then go for it.
Patrick Cripps. Crippa returns from his foot injury and not before time for those that have held.
Chad Wingard The Chad is back for the Hawks but don’t count on a huge score, you just never know what you will get from him.
Grant Birchall Birch returns after what seems like an eternity on the sidelines with injury. Give him a week or two but if he scores well and gets through the games he could be a very cheap option for you.
Griffin Logue isn’t as bullet proof in his job security as we all thought he was! He has been dropped this week after a fairly poor game last week. If you were relying on him as D6 then you need to trade him if you don’t have some good bench cover.
Matthew Parker Fan favourite and Fantasy faviourite Parker finds himself dropped. If you were looking for an excuse to finally trade him out then this is the time.
The Giants. Great to see that Whitfield returns and Coniglio is named in the side but as we expected Josh Kelly is out of the side for a number of weeks. Trade Kelly out but you may want to wait a week on Whitfield returning to your side as he does have some big BE’s in the various games.
Max Gawn!! The big fella has been named as being back in the side which is a huge relief for those that held him. Just keep an eye on the teams tonight to see if he stays in the side.
Marty Hore Trade Trade and Trade again. He is out with a broken collarbone and is now highly unlikely to return this year given how late in the season it is and that Melbourne are very unlikely to be playing finals.
Travis Boak The Power former skipper returns to the side after he was the latest of late outs last week. Just keep a close eye on the team sheet tonight but given they play last on Sunday he should be ok to return.
Stef Martin has been named but in the extended squad we also see Oscar McInerney and Archie Smith. Now don’t panic too much as they are probably just bringing these guys in to combat the Power big men.

Things to Remember

  • Late outs and General Soreness are in season. Be prepared!
  • Consider both value and strength of schedule going forward. Sometimes trading in the cheaper player could be the best course of action as cash is hard to come by this season.
  • 3 games to finals! Make sure you get yourself in the finals!

Whilst there were some big scores last week from some teams even though we lost Boak and Gawn things like this are going to become more regular as players start to get sore and tired. Also don’t be surprised if we see players rested. As teams like Geelong and West Coast lock in spots in the top 4 or even top 2 they may start to give some stars a rest so just beware of that.

Good luck for this week and let’s all pray for no more big injuries!

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41 Comments

41 Comments

  1. Avatar

    Trent

    July 12, 2019 at 7:01 am

    Logue to Goddard (bench cover)
    Clarke to Cripps

    V

    Baker to Noble
    Clarke to Zerrett
    (No defence bench cover) ??

    • Avatar

      Mad Snake

      July 12, 2019 at 8:03 am

      Go 1. Get defence bench cover. (I won’t have. I’ve got Logue, Naish & Hore).

  2. Avatar

    Cripps

    July 12, 2019 at 7:13 am

    1. Westhoff and Whitfield or
    2. Hurn and Marshall ?

    • Avatar

      Mad Snake

      July 12, 2019 at 8:03 am

      Go 2. Westhoff super unreliable.

  3. Avatar

    Jay

    July 12, 2019 at 7:52 am

    J Kelly and Stack out
    4
    Neale and bont leaving
    Only 1 rookie on field being Rozee
    Or do I get Taranto or Whitfield and bench rookie still playing stack and Rozee

  4. Avatar

    Mad Snake

    July 12, 2019 at 8:05 am

    Which defender to bring in for Hore: Z Williams, Sicily or Crisp?

  5. Avatar

    Mad Fish

    July 12, 2019 at 8:30 am

    First trade is Daniel to Salem/Jones, but who would you go next?

    1) Logue –> Goddard – would give me cover in the back line, which I don’t have at the moment and cash for next week to do two upgrades.

    2) Rose –> Hanrahan – Same as above, but would give me cover in the forward line.

    3) Brayshaw –> Rocky – Finally get rid of that spud, but means no cover in back or forward and no cash for next week.

    Doing one of the rookie downgrades would probably give me enough to go Brayshaw to Rocky and Worpel to Whitfield next week, that’s if there are no forced trades. Will Goddard and Hanrahan keep their spots?

    • Avatar

      Luke

      July 12, 2019 at 10:23 am

      I’d go Rose > Hanrahan would give you cover with decent job security.

      Playing Bray over Rocky is better than copping a donut.

      • Avatar

        Mad Fish

        July 12, 2019 at 10:32 am

        Would you say it would be better to have back cover or forward cover?

  6. Avatar

    Will

    July 12, 2019 at 8:37 am

    Thoughts on Cripps from here on out? 7 rounds to go. What do we see him averaging over that period?

    • Avatar

      Luke

      July 12, 2019 at 10:21 am

      I am looking at him purely on due to value and the top teams not having him.
      Out of the last 7 games, he looks to be facing only 1-2 heavy tags (Syd & possibly WCE)

      IF healthy, I reckon he can go in the 105-110 range

  7. Avatar

    James

    July 12, 2019 at 8:49 am

    Id say between 100-105. Is Stack playing this week?

    • Avatar

      Will

      July 12, 2019 at 8:59 am

      I couldn’t see Stack missing personally. Looks entrenched in the Tigers best 22 now

  8. Avatar

    Luke

    July 12, 2019 at 10:19 am

    I have Scott Lycett as R2, with no bench cover. Trade or hold?

    Apparently has a fitness test on Saturday for a Sunday game.

  9. Avatar

    Ethan D’Lima

    July 12, 2019 at 10:41 am

    Logue for Sicily with 44k left or get Williams with 10k left. After this trade I just need to get Clarke off the field.

    • Avatar

      MikeLowrey

      July 12, 2019 at 11:36 am

      Sicdawg for me

  10. Avatar

    MikeLowrey

    July 12, 2019 at 11:39 am

    Which option for Daniel & Kelly

    1. Sicdawg & Taranto
    2. Whitfield & Merrett/Zorko/Yeo (any mid other than Taranto)

  11. Avatar

    Akshay Kanhere

    July 12, 2019 at 11:40 am

    For Fantasy –
    Couple of things:
    Bontempelli (687k, POD, has 4 games left at Marvel where he avg 110.4) v. Merrett (709k, more consistent)
    Bench cover for defense but extra rookie fielded (Quaynor & Miers) or no bench cover for defense (Answerth fielded and Kelly/Dusty/Heeney)

  12. Avatar

    texantexan

    July 12, 2019 at 11:47 am

    D6 on field:
    Logue to Zac Williams +11k bank
    or
    Logue to Quaynor +$345k bank

    Will Williams scoring/role decrease with Whitfield back?

    • Frank

      Frank

      July 12, 2019 at 2:10 pm

      I think Whitfield will take Kelly’s role and Williams plays as he has

  13. Avatar

    Marcus

    July 12, 2019 at 11:53 am

    Just got rid of last Rookie on field now a team of Premiums
    Lloyd, Houli, Crisp
    Sicily, Blakely, Smith
    McCrae, Taranto, B Crouch, Boak
    Fyfe, Neale, Pendlebury, Ross
    Grundy, Marshall
    Dunkley, D’field, Kelly
    Dusty, Worpel, Ebert

    Traded out Logue and N Wilson this week,

    I know Wilson isn’t much but it was my plane over the Byes so as I could get someone into my side like Sicily this week. Then next week if all goes to plane I’ll Trade out Ebert for maybe Rocky or Whitfield, then the week after brin in the player i never brought in out of those 2

    • Avatar

      Luke

      July 12, 2019 at 1:40 pm

      I also have Blakely. I like your optimism including him in your team of premiums

  14. Avatar

    M8

    July 12, 2019 at 11:53 am

    Best option out of K.Dunkley, Noble or Goddard?

  15. Avatar

    Daniel Kotronis

    July 12, 2019 at 12:09 pm

    Logue to Sicily (D6)
    Clarke to K.Dunkley, Noble or Taylor (Bench)

  16. Avatar

    Mad Fish

    July 12, 2019 at 12:29 pm

    Williams, Jones or Salem?

  17. Avatar

    James

    July 12, 2019 at 12:30 pm

    I’d go for Dunkley (if named), then Taylor, then Noble

  18. Avatar

    James90

    July 12, 2019 at 1:24 pm

    Hey guys, thoughts on Logue > Williams or Sic?
    Also Fyfe > Gaff or Rocky

    • Avatar

      M8

      July 12, 2019 at 1:58 pm

      I’d go to Sic and pick Gaff over Rocky

  19. Avatar

    M8

    July 12, 2019 at 1:57 pm

    My Team:
    DEF: Lloyd, Laird, Stewart, Smith, Duursma, Logue (Naish, Gardner)
    MID: Kelly, Duncan, Gaff, Merrett, B.Crouch, Cogs, Macrae, Brayshaw (Clarke, Baker)
    RUCK: Grundy, Gawn (Clarke, Flynn)
    FWD: Boak, Dangerfield, Kelly, Dusty, Ziebell, Worpel (Cameron, Young)

    Cash: $52k.
    First trade is Logue to Sicily my second trade will either be Kelly to Cripps or Baker to K.Dunkley or Noble both trade options leave me with roughly $20k for next week. Is it better to trade Kelly this week to Cripps or wait till next week to get Whitfield/J.Dunkley/Rockliff for him but that would mean I have to field Clarke this week for him, thoughts lads?

    • Avatar

      James

      July 12, 2019 at 2:49 pm

      Logue and J Kelly out for sure

  20. Frank

    Frank

    July 12, 2019 at 2:08 pm

    I reckon trade Kelly this week, 850k is too much sitting on your bench. Plus, you may be at a disadvantage if you field a rookie for Kelly over those who traded Kelly to another premium.

  21. Frank

    Frank

    July 12, 2019 at 2:12 pm

    Best option
    1. Sicily and Cripps
    2. Jones and M.Crouch

    • Avatar

      Michael Barker

      July 12, 2019 at 3:41 pm

      1. Better ceilings and Both have bottomed out

  22. Avatar

    James

    July 12, 2019 at 2:18 pm

    My team with only 31k in bank and still 2 rookies on field
    Lloyd/Houli/Stewart/Guthrie/B Smith/Rozee (answerth/Naish)
    J Kelly/treloar/macrae/cong/rocky/Duncan/B Crouch/stack (hind/O Baker)
    Grundy/witts (fort/Cameron)
    Boak/dunkley/T Kelly/dusty/Ziebell/Worpel (Atkins/gardener)
    J Kelly is first trade then ?
    Do I bring in 1 premium and 1 bench rookie or
    Bring in 2 performing underpriced premiums
    Thoughts

  23. Avatar

    Michael Barker

    July 12, 2019 at 3:39 pm

    Need one defender and a mid can go either combo .
    Kelly and Logue out.
    Hurn or Stewart
    Macrae , rocky or POD Shuey

    Cheers

  24. Avatar

    Nick

    July 12, 2019 at 3:47 pm

    Whitfield and Goddard/Noble (1k left) OR
    Stewart and Dunkley (140k-ish left)?
    Leaning towards the second option as I’m not sure how Whitfield will be coming back from an injury, and I can get him next week for Stack.

  25. Avatar

    FTL_9

    July 12, 2019 at 5:06 pm

    Can’t upgrade Logue to a premium so which is the best option out of these 3? (WILL BE ON FIELD)

    Logue -> Birchall
    Logue -> Quaynor
    Logue -> Goddard

  26. Avatar

    Paul

    July 12, 2019 at 5:34 pm

    Who to trade out of Cam Guthrie or Brodie Smith? Seems like Smith might be subject to a role change?

  27. Avatar

    James

    July 12, 2019 at 6:36 pm

    Gaff and Sicily
    Or
    Shuey and Z Williams

  28. Avatar

    dave

    July 12, 2019 at 7:34 pm

    who to star …setterfield , j kennedy or chol ?

  29. Avatar

    JD

    July 12, 2019 at 7:42 pm

    Heyyyy DUNNY and legends,
    Logue – Quaynor or Goddard??
    Will be Bench cover only

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