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Deck of Dream Team

Toby Greene – Deck of DT 2015

Griff looks at a player we should all be considering. The Mean, Greene, Point Making Machine – Toby Greene.

Name: Toby Greene
Club: GWS Giants
Position: Midfield
AFL Fantasy: $583,000
AFL Dream Team: $581,000
Bye Round: Round 13
2014 Average: 102.9
2014 Games Played: 15
Predicted Average: 109.0

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Why should I pick him?

Are you serious? Points! Lots and lots of points! Toby isn’t the best kick, he might be a bit cocky on the field, and he does have a knack for getting into trouble, but boy oh boy, wowee, can he find the football.

Following an… indiscretion, which resulted in a five game club imposed suspension, Toby reminded the footy world just how much of a fantasy pig he can be in the back half of last year. From round 17, Greene averaged a massive 124.2 points per game, went over 110 points in 6 of the 7 games, and scored an incredible 165 against a depleted Collingwood in round 22 where he amassed 42 disposals.

Greene just gets the ball; I don’t even know how sometimes. Be it a miskick that will fall at his feet, or a wayward handball that happens to land on his chest; it’s like he’s the chips and the ball is a flock of seagulls; it just finds him.

Toby has done it the hard way. He had a bit of work put into him in his second year, including defensive tagging duties to round out his game, which resulted in a drop of nearly 20 points per game from his 2012 average of 93.4. Last year he managed to bring his average back up to just shy of 103 points per game through shear hard running and leather poisoning. Heading in to 2015, Toby looks set to increase his output yet again and thanks to his poorer disposal, clubs won’t even try to stop him.

Why shouldn’t I pick him?

Well…. Toby is still finding his feet. As mentioned, in 2013 when he had more attention from other clubs he struggled, and at the start of 2014, he was averaging just 83.6 over his first six games and struggled to get into a rhythm. Then, after hurting his foot and then hitting the drink (and hitting a few other things) following his first solid outing of the year (109pts v West Coast) Greene found himself suspended by his leadership group for breaching clubs rules. And let’s face it; you don’t want a midfielder missing five games for your club, due to stupidity. That’s what Heath Shaw in the backline is for.

Toby is somewhat of a rollercoaster. A suspension in 2012 for a late hit on Adcock, possibly cost him the Rising Star Award, as well as game time, and poor form saw him miss a few games in 2013. 2014 was a year of two halves, one good and one not so, and rollercoasters in the midfield aren’t exactly desirable. He does have a late bye, however if he is missing because he lost his temper, that will mean nothing.

Deck of DT Rating.

KING – With a brand new three-year deal signed and filed away in Homebush, Toby Green is firmly in the Giants midfield plans for the long term, and he should be in yours.  With the addition of Griffen to the Giants squad, and the likes of Treloar, Shiel, Kelly, Smith,  Hoskin-Elliott and Whitfield running past on the outside, Greene’s average disposal means is so far down the list of tagging targets by opposition clubs that, well, it’s sexy; and it will only increase his output.

Yes he is a bit of a young Stanton in his ball use, and yes he is a bit of a Swan in his pigeon strut, but like both of them, Toby simply does what he does, and goes big. With a renewed outlook on his career and another preseason under his belt, I wouldn’t be surprised to hear a few #oinks out of The Traders when discussing Toby later this year. If you want a young break-out contender, look no further.

What are your thoughts on Toby Greene?

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  1. Avatar


    January 18, 2015 at 12:42 pm

    Watson, Sloane, NJones, Cotchin, Fyfe, Parker – all options within 10k more expensive (or cheaper) than he is

    the problem isn’t whether he’s good enough, it’s that late form that’s priced him in elite company, which he isn’t proven enough for yet imo

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      January 18, 2015 at 12:43 pm

      7 games, only once over the ton to start the year is the reason for me

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        January 18, 2015 at 1:27 pm

        Don’t forget Treloar, who I’m locking in to go big this year

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        January 18, 2015 at 5:18 pm

        Yeah, that’s the killer for most. After his 2013 output it does carry some concern. That said, 6 games over 110 in 7 games is also quite appealing. If he has a big, consistent year, he’ll be first picked for many in 2016.

  2. Warnie


    January 18, 2015 at 1:20 pm

    I would love to be able to do it, but there’s some risk. He has the potential to go as big as anyone in the competition. He’ll improve, that’s for sure but I don’t have the kahunas to start him.

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      January 18, 2015 at 5:15 pm

      It’ll take a brave coach to start him considering his price tag. That said, with the change of Magic Number formula, if he starts the year like he ended last year, he’ll be $40,000 more expensive by round 4 and that will suck trying to get him in.

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        January 18, 2015 at 6:29 pm

        but that’s only if everyone does poorly, as the prospectus alluded to

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    January 18, 2015 at 1:21 pm

    Greene is locked in. I was hoping that he would be overlooked by the Deck as he was (and probs still is) going to be a good POD. The addition of Griffen sealed the deal. There are not enough taggers to hold this GWS midfield. Avoid him in Supercoach though!!!

    • Avatar


      January 18, 2015 at 5:20 pm

      Yeah, his disposal isn’t supercoach friendly at all. It’s also quite frustrating as a Giants fan. I just have to remind myself that when he gets 40 chances to hit a target, he’ll hit it at least a few times a game.

  4. Avatar


    January 18, 2015 at 1:40 pm

    Would rather the consistency of a Brad Crouch, May not have the ceiling, but will give you a 90 at worst each week.

    So many tantalizing options at the giants, keen to wait and see who steps up consistently with all of the rotations.

    Handy bye though.

    Nice write up Griff.

    • Avatar


      January 18, 2015 at 5:17 pm

      Cheers. The great thing about this year is the amount of young talent who will be pushing for spots. Greene, Treloar, Crouch, Bennell, Prestia, Shiel, just to name a few. I think we may see a changing of the guard this year – which can only mean good things for more unique teams

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    January 18, 2015 at 3:37 pm

    Greene or trelor is the question, trelor for me at the stage is the one

  6. Avatar


    January 18, 2015 at 5:40 pm

    Nice write up RLGriffin. I have had Greene in both my fantasy and RDT from the start. I see no reason to change that. Highly unlikely to cop a tag and I think he will go close to a 110 average, and I’m happy to take that.

    Also happy with him having a round 13 bye.

  7. Avatar


    January 18, 2015 at 7:00 pm

    Locked. Have both him and Treloar – Griffen surely helps immensely with the tag issue. Hopefully with the criminal conviction out of the way he can develop some consistency with discipline. My slight concern is whether he will slack off fantasy-wise after a contract extension like some players do *cough Mundy cough* but should be a safe unique option.

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    Fat Knife

    January 18, 2015 at 7:16 pm

    Greene and Heppell- the pigs if 2015.

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    January 20, 2015 at 5:59 pm

    Wanna see him play a full season first before starting with him in a valuable premo mid spot in rd 1. Not this year Toby.

  10. Avatar


    February 26, 2015 at 3:29 pm

    Lock and load for me. Averaged 124.29 in his last 7 games. GET ON

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