Thank goodness the multi-bye rounds are over for a couple of months. Sure, it helped my own team ranking, but now we’re back to some sort of normality with more teams and more match-ups to choose from and no Thursday night games making a mess of things. Much better.
So! Here’s the rub on what I like on offer this week. Personally, I’m layering these into 2-step multis again, along with another long bow in search of a massive payout.
Boak ($2.70) to beat Sewell and Kornes, into
Goodes ($2.75) to beat Griffen and Bolton.
Boak seems to play particularly well against the Hawks, with 123 and 133 two of this most recent scores against them and a week off to rest should do him good. High risk, but Kornes isn’t the player he used to be and Sewell is consistent without being awesome. Goodes has let us down twice already this year, but hasn’t scored less than 103 against the Dogs in what seems like forever, averaging 110 against them for the last couple of years. Griffen, on the other hand, hasn’t scored higher than 74 against Sydney in his entire career with 60, 53, 60 in his last three.
Kelly ($2.80) to beat Enright and Swallow, into
Corey (2.50) to beat Anthony and Rawlings
Both Kelly and Corey have pretty stellar records against North. Kelly’s last two read 101, 131 while Corey has smashed out 119 and 104. Swallow averages 66 in his last three against Geelong while Rawlings averages only 65. Enright should cop a forward tag and Anthony just isn’t very good.
Deledio ($2.70) to beat Pavlich and Grigg, into
Redden ($2.75) to beat Rockliff and Ablett
Calvin’s already warned us off Pavlich, and it’s nice to see that Lids averages 103 against Freo in his last three games. Grigg is a bit of an unknown factor but as a Richmond member, I don’t see him setting the field alight this week. Rockliff denied Redden by one point last week (bastard!) but I’m getting back on that horse and expecting Redden to get the goods this week against GCS. And I’m calling it now; I’ve also got a side-bet on GCS to beat Brisbane this week.
Watson ($2.70) to beat Stanton and Cox, into
Johncock ($2.75) to beat Knights and Jones
Another one point loss last week, but Watson should outscore Stants more often than not. Cox is discarded by our Never-Bet-On-A-Ruckman rule, and his record isn’t as good as the two bombers in matches between them anyway. Johncock has, believe it or not, knocked out a lazy 118, 103, 98 record against Melbourne recently which is much more impressive than anything either Knights or Jones have done in the last two or three years.
Goddard ($2.65) to beat Judd and Gibbs, into
Murphy ($2.55) to beat Dal Santo and Montagna
This may turn out to be a single bet on Goddard, if you believe the rumours about Murphy’s elbow. Murphy is a sure thing when Montagna is wayyyyy off form and while I picked Dal Santo to flog Adelaide last week (126, thankyou very much), his record is pretty ordinary against the blues. Goddard struggled last week but averages 105 against Carlton in recent times, while Judd hasn’t 100 in his last three vs the Saints and Gibbs hasn’t cracked 100 against anyone for a month.
Good luck this week, boys. As always, very interested to hear where your money is going and who you think should be in the massive multi this time around. And hopefully, the DT Gods are good to us.