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Housn v The House: Round 7

Thank goodness the multi-bye rounds are over for a couple of months. Sure, it helped my own team ranking, but now we’re back to some sort of normality with more teams and more match-ups to choose from and no Thursday night games making a mess of things. Much better.

Thank goodness the multi-bye rounds are over for a couple of months. Sure, it helped my own team ranking, but now we’re back to some sort of normality with more teams and more match-ups to choose from and no Thursday night games making a mess of things. Much better.

So! Here’s the rub on what I like on offer this week. Personally, I’m layering these into 2-step multis again, along with another long bow in search of a massive payout.


Boak ($2.70) to beat Sewell and Kornes, into
Goodes ($2.75) to beat Griffen and Bolton.
Odds: $7.42

Boak seems to play particularly well against the Hawks, with 123 and 133 two of this most recent scores against them and a week off to rest should do him good. High risk, but Kornes isn’t the player he used to be and Sewell is consistent without being awesome. Goodes has let us down twice already this year, but hasn’t scored less than 103 against the Dogs in what seems like forever, averaging 110 against them for the last couple of years. Griffen, on the other hand, hasn’t scored higher than 74 against Sydney in his entire career with 60, 53, 60 in his last three.

Kelly ($2.80) to beat Enright and Swallow, into
Corey (2.50) to beat Anthony and Rawlings
Odds: $7.00

Both Kelly and Corey have pretty stellar records against North. Kelly’s last two read 101, 131 while Corey has smashed out 119 and 104. Swallow averages 66 in his last three against Geelong while Rawlings averages only 65. Enright should cop a forward tag and Anthony just isn’t very good.

Deledio ($2.70) to beat Pavlich and Grigg, into
Redden ($2.75) to beat Rockliff and Ablett
Odds: $7.42

Calvin’s already warned us off Pavlich, and it’s nice to see that Lids averages 103 against Freo in his last three games. Grigg is a bit of an unknown factor but as a Richmond member, I don’t see him setting the field alight this week. Rockliff denied Redden by one point last week (bastard!) but I’m getting back on that horse and expecting Redden to get the goods this week against GCS. And I’m calling it now; I’ve also got a side-bet on GCS to beat Brisbane this week.

Watson ($2.70) to beat Stanton and Cox, into
Johncock ($2.75) to beat Knights and Jones
Odds: $7.42

Another one point loss last week, but Watson should outscore Stants more often than not. Cox is discarded by our Never-Bet-On-A-Ruckman rule, and his record isn’t as good as the two bombers in matches between them anyway. Johncock has, believe it or not, knocked out a lazy 118, 103, 98 record against Melbourne recently which is much more impressive than anything either Knights or Jones have done in the last two or three years.

Goddard ($2.65) to beat Judd and Gibbs, into
Murphy ($2.55) to beat Dal Santo and Montagna
Odds: $6.75

This may turn out to be a single bet on Goddard, if you believe the rumours about Murphy’s elbow. Murphy is a sure thing when Montagna is wayyyyy off form and while I picked Dal Santo to flog Adelaide last week (126, thankyou very much), his record is pretty ordinary against the blues. Goddard struggled last week but averages 105 against Carlton in recent times, while Judd hasn’t 100 in his last three vs the Saints and Gibbs hasn’t cracked 100 against anyone for a month.


Good luck this week, boys. As always, very interested to hear where your money is going and who you think should be in the massive multi this time around. And hopefully, the DT Gods are good to us.

Have fun

DT Talk - covering AFL Fantasy and other games since 2007.



  1. Avatar


    May 6, 2011 at 6:01 pm

    Good luck mate.

    I would be afraid of Knights posting a 90+ score, but most your multi’s have some risk. How’d you go last week?

    Also Warnie, any updates on a Sportingbet/DTTalk special yet?

    • Avatar


      May 7, 2011 at 10:27 am

      Yeah, there were a lot of dicey trios this week. Went through all of them, as always, ruled a few out without too much difficulty and then a few hard calls from there. Boak v Kornes is a good example; Kornes has struggled to hold his spot, let alone score well this season, while Boak has the history against Hawthorn but hasn’t yet done anything outstanding this year. His 4th quarter last night had me excited for a moment… if only he played the whole game like that.

      And last week, we got 1/5 of the 2-leg multis. Enough for a small profit, but not the 3+ that I was expecting (with as much expectation as one can have when gambling).

      Of the bets posted above, I’m most confident on the Geelong pair.

      Hopefully today will be a profitable day. I’ve also got another personal multi on the line as we speak, with Hawthorn 24+ into Geelong 24+, and another one with Richmond and GCS.

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    May 6, 2011 at 6:23 pm

    Another great write up this week mate!
    Liking the bets this week, might just do all those bets along with a 3 or 4 step multi with the ones i thikn have the best chance! Lets hope we can finally have a good week! My balance aint looking pretty, sitting around 80$. If I get down to $20 by the end of this round, ill add another 50$ for round 8 and if I lose that I’ll probs call it quits for awhile!

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      May 6, 2011 at 6:55 pm

      You’ve missed the two money bets of the round – Hartlett over Burgoyne and Young and Fyfe over Jackson and Cotchin. I’m also liking Swallow over Rich and Harris.

      On another note, I had my “Play the House” bets cancelled last night after Sportingbet listed Krakour (Pies variety) in their teams. I reckon the “Play the House” bets are the best way to put your DT nouse to good use and I’m surprised there’s no discussion about them on here. For those unfamiliar, you select 18 players in a Dream Team like format to take on one of three Sportingbet selected teams. Scoring is identical to DT and pricing is similar (they enforce a salary cap – although all of their teams breach it – dodgy bookies!).

      • Avatar


        May 7, 2011 at 10:31 am

        Well done on Hartlett mate. I’m not sold on him just yet, to be honest, but he did you proud last night. I’m a little too biased towards Cotchin to bet against him on someone unproven like Fyfe though.

        And yeah, the Play the House games are fun. Easy money but then, how long do we want this article to be? Maybe next week – particularly if these multis don’t pay off this round – we can go through and pick a side to beat the House on that one? What do you think, guys?

  3. Avatar


    May 6, 2011 at 6:51 pm

    I’ve got most of my money on wins this week rather than dream team (expect for multi on boak and hartlett to win their trios). Too many high risk ones floating around this week I feel

  4. Avatar


    May 6, 2011 at 7:29 pm

    Sandilands best of the best at 3.20 looks like a great bet also lads

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    May 6, 2011 at 8:22 pm

    Hey Housn, like the look of a lot of those bets.
    My 4 leg multi pretty much includes a mixture of those but I think you may have missed the best one for the week.
    Rich to beat Swallow and Harris, I’m expecting big things from Rich this week, no tag, easy opponent.

    Have done
    Boak over Sewell and Kornes
    Chappy over Bartel and Selwood
    Deledio over Pav and Grigg
    Rich over Swallow and Rich
    $10 @ 45.56

    Good luck.

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      May 6, 2011 at 11:25 pm

      Gotta hate boak right now.

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        May 6, 2011 at 11:40 pm

        i hate boak right now…. and have all season!

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          May 7, 2011 at 1:23 am

          Had the Kornes and Hamish multi tonight… Ching ching…
          Boak is yet to hit the 100 mark this season… Kornes always had his measure in that one

    • Avatar


      May 7, 2011 at 10:33 am

      I’m expecting big things from Swallow and Harris this round as well mate – no tag and an easy opponent ;) Haha. Good luck with it, shame that Boak let us all down – AGAIN – but it might be worth reloading before this afternoon’s game if you’re confident on the others.

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    May 7, 2011 at 10:37 am

    My 5-leg multi this week looks something like this:

    Kelly – Deledio – Redden – Watson – Johncock.

    Good luck to everyone else this weekend as well :)

  7. Avatar


    May 7, 2011 at 10:23 pm

    Another terrible betting weekend – won parts of some multis but still lost everything. Got 1 last roll of the dice this week, Watson and Johncock need to win to let me breakeven for the week. If they dont i’ll only have next week and by the way things are going that’ll be the last week.
    It’s amazing what luck does, you do hours of research and choose the best option and somehow someone (Rich, Cotchin) comes out and kicks a bag! Ah Well! That’s the risk im taking. It’s crazy tho, my mate who has never watched a game before, won 80$ off 10$ by going GC. Just gotta hope that Watson and Johncock can end this horror streak and win me some cash! But I highly doubt it.

    • Avatar


      May 7, 2011 at 10:39 pm

      Sorry to hear it mate. Keep the faith, there’s still money to be made with a little patience and a little luck. Mainly a little luck, I think.

      • Avatar


        May 7, 2011 at 10:45 pm

        I got the patience, just the cash is running low :) Good to hear that you’ve been successful, thats extrordinary tips, how much was Richmond + GC paying? and how much you put on?

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    May 7, 2011 at 10:32 pm

    Well so far this week, we’re 0/3 on the multis. Shame about Corey, really didn’t expect Rawlings to score so much against Geelong. Massive multi is out as well after Pavlich blitzed Deledio today.

    But y’know what? Couldn’t care less right now. Got both my tipping multis – Hawks 24+ into Geelong 24+ AND Richmond into GCS. Account is looking very healthy tonight :)

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    May 8, 2011 at 5:00 pm

    Would just like to thank Graham Johncock for completely ruining Watsons gun effort. Tops off another stellar week! I’ll have one more shot next week and if I fail (Highly Likely) i’ll throw in the towel.

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    May 8, 2011 at 7:53 pm

    Any of you blokes every thought of just betting on single bets instead of trying to load up and get lucky with multi’s? look at it this way if you get 3/5 right your making money. just a thought.

    • Avatar


      May 8, 2011 at 8:41 pm

      Well if you are going to be smart about it… lol.

      Betting on Geelong vs North Melbourne straight @ $1.07 would still make more of a profit than any interest earned in a bank account per month. Unfortunately it’s also just as exciting as waiting for that extra 35 cents per month.

  11. Avatar


    May 9, 2011 at 8:56 am

    Got smacked this weekend. Very tough one.

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    May 14, 2011 at 10:01 am

    wheres round 8s one housn?

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    May 14, 2011 at 4:51 pm

    Never got a chance to write something up this week. We’re in the middle of moving office as well as some serious shit going down with some of our clients and the tax office. Fun fun.

    That said, I found two minutes to lay a couple of quick bets after work last night.

    Trixie mutli with Geelong / Gold Coast / Richmond
    (2/3 pays out, 3/3 is pretty massive… shame GCS went to sleep for the 2nd quarter).

    Also put a little coin on Essendon 24+ over Brisbane.

    And for DT bets:
    Watson vs Rockliff vs Redden 1: (Straight) Jobe Watson [ESS] @ 1.90
    Mumford vs Westhoff vs Chaplin 1: (Straight) Shane Mumford [SYD] @ 2.00
    Mitchell vs Dal Santo vs Goddard 1: (Straight) Sam Mitchell [HAW] @ 2.35
    Mundy vs Priddis vs Embley 2: (Straight) Matt Priddis [WCE] @ 2.80

  14. Avatar


    June 12, 2011 at 11:03 am

    where has this article been lately? Come back Housn!

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