The Friday Scramble: Round 13 (MBR 2)

Bloody hell, what sort of a round was that one! It was all over the shop with some of the lowest scores I think I have ever seen (mine included, I had a shocker). Well, don’t get too settled, this week probably won’t be much better for us unfortunately. But that won’t stop us having a crack again this week and we have the added fun of using the captain’s loophole.  Did you have a crack at it last night? If you did we can have a look at that while we are busy Scrambling!

Thursday Night Captain Loophole

I know that by now you all know how this works and you have been reading what Calvin told you all on Wednesday. So I won’t go over it here. So, let’s look at who Calvin picked and see how they went.

Jack Macrae – 44 Did a thigh injury and we didn’t see him in the second half.
Toby McLean – 49
He copped a heavy hit in the first 5 seconds of the game to the shoulder and never looked right after that.
Tom Rockliff – 128
OINK OINK OINK!!!  The Pig was on fire. Take this score to the bank.
Justin Westhoff – 105
The Hoff could have had so many more points as he tried to give goals away. If you don’t have Titch or Fyfe you could consider using the Hoff.
Lachie Hunter – 68
Nope, not the night to take this one.

Other guys you may have used. Ollie Wines with 137 and Chad Wingard with 124. Anyone else you would probably not take unless you don’t have much else then Robbie Gray’s 105 could be worth it.

If you didn’t have any of these guys or the one that you picked failed then you should go ahead and pick a captain as normal. If I had to pick one, I would do exactly what Calvin suggests and that is go with Tom Mitchell. The Crows have been giving up some scores lately and there is no reason that Titch can’t go big for us this week.

Bye Round Strategy – The Middle Round

This is probably fairly obvious but I thought I might say it anyway, and that is, clearly your trade in targets this week should be from those clubs that have already had their bye rounds…. right? Well not necessarily (we will get into that in a minute). But yes, you should be looking for players from Port, Gold Coast, Carlton, Hawthorn, West Coast and Western Bulldogs because they are all bye free and will play through the rest of the season for you.

There are some exceptions to this rule though. Let’s say for example that you have 20 players this week and you are comfortable that all will play (clearly that is not the case if they play for Geelong who love a late out). If that is the case and you have someone on your bench that isn’t playing this week and you need some cash to do an upgrade. You could safely go for someone like Ahern who is on their bye because it won’t hurt your bye strategy at all given you already have enough players on the field this week.

Similarly if you are well set up for next week and you don’t need to worry about numbers (then you are really brave) you could look at doing a trade of one of your defenders who is already on a bye next week and bring in someone that will also be on the bye in that same round (say Jake Lloyd). You aren’t losing anything because your bye structure hasn’t moved you have just change the player that you are using this week and you have set your team up to be in a better position once the byes are over. Clearly this is a risky move just in case we have the same sort of carnage that we had before round 11, but if you are willing to take the risk you can certainly improve your side without having to wait until round 15 to do it.

Break Evens. Do we really care about them anymore?

Well yes we do, but not quite as much as we did early on in the season. We are now getting to the point in the game where the guys you are picking are going to be with you for the rest of the season and what their price does then doesn’t really matter. The only thing we really are interested in when it comes to Break Evens now is the amount that someone costs us when we bring them in. If you can wait a week and get someone for a cheaper price then absolutely yes you should consider that.

But let’s say you are looking at your team and you have someone you have decided you aren’t going to trade out like a Shane Savage or a Michael Hibberd because you are either really short on trades in RDT or SC or alternatively you think they will score well for the remainder of the season. In that case you shouldn’t care whether or not Hibberd’s BE is 20 or 200 and equally you shouldn’t care if his price is $250k or $500k. If he is staying in your team until the bitter end then it makes no difference at all.

Now before anyone jumps up and down, I am not saying that you totally disregard BE’s and prices for your players but you simply need to pay attention to different things as the game moves into the second half of the season. Priorities change as you aren’t really bringing players in now for cameo roles, they will become your star attractions.

So what do we care about now?

The most important thing now when bringing in the rookies is their Job Security and their likelihood of being there for you as the season winds down. As we get further and further through the season, particularly in RDT and SC, you will need to rely on these blokes as some players may get rested up before finals or sent off for surgery if their team’s season is shot. It is these rookies you are bringing in now that can make all the difference for you as we get to the pointy end of the competition.

I am still a big advocate of focusing on getting your team right for the post bye portion of the game rather than simply plugging holes with any old player. Because you may think that you can simply offload them when the byes are over, but you may have other more pressing issues that mean you can’t trade them out as easily as you wanted to and you could be stuck with someone that you don’t really want for a long period of time.  Trust me, we have all been there and done that before.

Selection Table.

Once again I have a quick look at some of the more key ins and outs this week.

Luke Shuey returns and just in time to help out those teams struggling for numbers!
Liam Ryan good to see him back this week, could be a sneaky downgrade if you need someone.
Jack Darling missing for 3-5 weeks. Trade him.
Fyfe and Sandi both return to help plug some holes.
Walters screwed us over by getting suspended. I am holding though, he will be fine when he returns after their bye.
A trio of rookies omitted at the Suns with Heron, Brodie and Scheer all out.
Billings returns! But don’t expect numbers like he had in the VFL. He will be good against the Suns, but he doesn’t get to play them every week.
Ed Phillips misses!  Aarghh!!!  Just what we didn’t need. He was plugging a hole for some of us and he hasn’t really made enough cash for us yet either.  He also has the bye next week. If you need to trade him do so.
Lachy Murphy for the Crows misses, if you are still holding, this is the time to trade.
Dusty returns for the Tigers! Thank the Footy Gods for that!  I for one need him back.

Things To Remember.

  • Partial Lockouts are in effect. This means that in RDT and SC you can no longer reverse trades for this round. All trades are now sticky! In AF you can reverse trades as long as they don’t involve anyone from last night’s game.
  • Captains Loophole. If you plan to use it make sure you understand it. Check Calvin’s Captains as he put a very simple explanation at the top of his article this week. Remember, you can use a player on a bye for the Captain if you like.
  • Rubbish Captain Score. As Warnie explained on the podcast. If you have 19 players and your Captain scores say a 5 and ends up on 10 points (double 5) and that is your 19th best score, then that is it, your VC does not get doubled.

That’s about it for me guys, been a late one as I am not normally out at the footy on a school night, could be a long day at work today! But hey, it’s all worth it if there is footy on.

I just want to give a shout out to those people that jump into the comments and help out those with questions. Someone rightly pointed out last week that I don’t often get on and answer your questions in the comments. This isn’t because I don’t care or don’t want to, it is simply a function of me having to be at work during the day on a Friday and then from work I go straight to junior footy coaching so I simply don’t get any time to have a look before lockout occurs. If I can get on and answer a few I certainly will but I can’t often do that due to work commitments. So I am sorry but what I do love is that you all get in there as a community and help each other out.

All the best this week, the only solace we can take is that after this round we only have one more of these nightmarish rounds to go and then it is back to normal transmission with all of our players available!  See you all next Friday!!

101 Comments

  • Thanks Dunny, appreciate the weekly articles. Nice win Port (from an Eagles supporter)

  • Phillips to Giro/Battle
    Or
    Laird to Simpson?

    • After seeing Phillips dropped, I’d be wary of any of the Saints youngsters.. Richardson isn’t coaching for the development anymore, he’s trying to save his job..

  • Cheers Dun Dunny!!

    Ironically enough, Phillips being out has worked out a treat for me, in hindsight..

    I had Seedsman OUT and DBJ/McLean IN, but when the teams dropped and Ed was omitted, I had to hold Seed and moved ZGL to Wilson.. As long as he gets to 50, it’s a win, plus a massive boost to the WarneChest

  • Simpson this week or Whitfield next week?

  • Job job Dunny.
    Any thoughts guys on L Ryan vs P Kerr?
    I’m leaning towards getting Ryan even though he is 110k more, I have much more faith in him getting a decent score and also making money from too.
    Not too fussed about the cash, as next week is looking like a good double downgrade week (Redman, Smith).

    Frustrating selections last night, mainly because I held O’Shea especially for these two weeks. Phillips didn’t help much either. Had to double downgrade this week, as I couldn’t afford anyone decent with the cash I had, and the upgrade I made was McClean unfortunately!

  • Gaff vs Curnow this week or wait for Kelly next week?

    • Kelly’s arguably underpriced – wait to grab him next week (assuming your bye structure can cope without bringing in a premo mid this round?)

      • My original plan was Doedee to Simpson this week and Holman to Kelly next week. But Phillips out has screwed that. So thinking I should offload Philips otherwise I only have 16 on field.

    • I reckon Curnow. Take the extra score to the bank.

      • Carlton have an amazing run… not to be underestimated!

        Both would be great, Kelly has Lions next week

  • Coffield and Phillips out has killed me. 16 on field this week. I have 15 playing next week and with trades I’ll scrape 18 if I’m lucky.
    And I thought I had a good plan…. Walters really messed it up, what a douche.
    Gahh!

  • Nice write up Dunny 👍🏼

  • Do we have to rethink about players coming off the bye? Port were average as were the Suns first game back. Dogs were terrible last night. If we get some below average scores from our gun Hawks Blues WC players do you bring them straight in?

  • I’ve only got 14 this week.
    Phillips and Laird stuffed me up. I was hoping I could get to 17 but that ain’t the case.
    Anyhow.
    What’s better
    Big O to Buzza or Hibberd to Burton?

  • Any good trade targets $350k or below that have already had their bye? Or any reliable rooks?

    • Brander is the only one I can think off, but I’m not expecting much tbh..

      He’s mostly just cover for the next 2 weeks, and hopefully a quick 100k if he can get 4 games..

    • Liam Ryan is back at $323k still has a BE of 2.

    • I’m taking a gamble on Jack Silvagni at $340k. Bolton has declared he will be given a chance to prove himself as a midfielder. Scored a 70 last week against Sydney’s tough midfield in Sydney, and will only get better. Named on ball this week.

  • Any good trade targets $350k or below that are coming off the bye?

  • Brander or Battle for either Guelfi or Tim Smith ??

  • Gaff or Shiels?

    Obviously people will say Gaff, but with a Hewett tag coming Shiels might score more this week.

  • I only have 16 playing this week..

    DEF: Yeo Simpson Sicily Austin
    MID: Mitchell Mcrae Danger Fyfe Dusty Giro
    RUC: No one
    FWD: Franklin Gray Menagola Rocky Rioli Battle

    Anyone else looking this bad for the round?

    • Just about Andyjh! I’ve got 17 playing, but too many are rookies.
      Macrae and McLean and my weekend’s already looking grim.
      I’m expecting big things from Willie Rioli at the SCG tonight – reckon he might kick a bagful and crack the ton lol

    • 18 playing if cunico not dropped and no late outs 4+ vc loophole rocky for 583 so far. So not struggling this week. Yet.

    • Mate i was good, had 20 playing but with Macrae and McLean, now I’m down to essentially 18, with rookies like – Rice, Austin, Doedee, Banfield, Wilson and Ronke all making up that number.

      Capt tich better perform hahha

    • Yeah Andy – looking rather similar (but different mix of players). Got Nic Nat in the ruck, otherwise similar. Only 4 playing in my forward line. Coffield, Phillips & Walters didn’t make my selections any easier.

      Cheers!

    • I’ve got 14 Andy.
      Pearce, Duman and Laird stuffed me up.

    • wow, sounds like im not the only one having a shlt round. Should be interesting this week

  • brayshaw to sub 700K Mid , or Kelly to Gaff ??

  • Battle vs Wilson vs Giro?

    • They all have next week’s bye,
      They all look good on paper,

      Josh Battle, – full forward, mobile, accurate kick and was the nick Riewoldt replacement from last year, last week against a strong Sydney squad, kicked 2 goals 1, with 14 disposals and 2 tackles.

      Wilson, – 26 year old on the crows list, averaging above 25 disposals in the SANFL and is a tackling machine, unknown for afl level but in a dwindling crows squad, might just get the role he is fit for.

      Giro- Running machine, tackler and doesnt give up, fantasy wise, he’s a bit like Mitch Crowden, goes missing and his game plan doesnt bank on heavy disposal numbers, he prides on pressure- Similar to Ben Ronke,

      If i had to pick, Wilson at 1, Battle 2, Giro 3,

      But taking a risk on Battle against the Suns could be massive,

      Up to you, i chose Wilson for DPP

  • Is it too late to chase Logan Austin? -2 BE, $370k and the bye next week. But scores look delish and he’s still affordable in comparison to his output.

    • I think so, not because of his price. He could be dropped next week the way Saints are ringing the changes and I wouldn’t be happy to pick up a player for that price range and then have him dropped the next week

    • I’d be saying unless you have no more than 2 defenders from the rd 14 bye, then yes it is too late,

      If you’ll have 5 or more playing next week, then yeah, jump on and make another 40k this week from him,

  • Trades were
    Crowden to Wilson for money making

    Hogan to Macrae, fielding more players
    And
    Laird to Sicily- need non rd 14 defenders

    But with Macrae and McLean going down, my rd 14 plan is fked

    Even so, have 367k in the bank for upgrades so two rookies will be going to premiums,
    Gaff over Macrae doesnt look so bad now, wish i backed in a player from a good team…….

    Just needed somewhere to speak my mind, anyone else wanna chime in, just disappointed with how the round started.

    • Feel your pain! Two massive injuries to premos (must-haves, no less) and the round’s off to a bloody awful start. Nothing worse than paying the big bucks to bring in a top player and have him go down within the first ten seconds of the first game of the round and then (understandably) struggle on to produce a lower score than you’re hoping for from your rookies!
      It’s gonna be a looong round … and I don’t even have my own team playing this weekend to get excited about and distract me from my fantasy woes lol

    • A lot of people will have to wear those two bulldog scores. I won’t have a full team as it is.

  • should i leave rockliff as captain and not go mitchell or go the other way round

  • Giro or Battle?

  • Brayshaw melbourne > Gaff
    or
    Phillips > Wilson and bank that cash

    • Definitely 2.

      Don’t get rid of Brayshaw, strengthen your team throughout the byes, don’t sideways trade.
      Plus, Phillips misses this week AND next week (then probably more depending if he comes back in or not).
      Generate the cash now, then use your 3 trades next week to utilise that cash and strengthen your team.

  • +1 Gaff’s a gun

  • Brought in Macrae and McLean this week thinking it a brilliant move, 2 top scorers in their position. Seriously can’t believe what happened.
    Oh well. Hope their injuries are minor and they play next week otherwise I’m screwed!
    Anyone read anything about the extent of their injuries?

    I also brought in Yep everyone so expect a terrible score from him too!

    • Not directed at you Nolzy, there’s a few people who brought in the double, but was no one else concerned about their run in the next 4 weeks??

      Port (away), Kangas, Cats and then Hawks don’t exactly scream high scoring potential..

      • That run could be a lot worse Alan..

      • Why would you be concerned Alan? Other than a slow start by McLean (if I recall), you really can’t go past runs on the board and it’s hardly like either are break out players either.

        I’d call it unlucky for those that brought them both in this week. I’ve had Mclean since the first bounce, haven’t been able to afford Macrae. Guess, I was lucky there!

        • Because the 4 teams I listed aren’t giving up a lot of points recently…
          Games against Dogs, Suns, Lions, Pies and more recently the Crows are a lot easier teams to score against, hence why I had no problem trading in Wingard, I definitely didn’t do that for his start to the year..

      • Hadn’t thought about that at all to be honest, and this time at least it was due to injuries and not the schedule.
        If it’s 2-3 weeks I’m probably going to have to sideways. Disappointing!

      • Interesting point Alan, although I hope you’ve posted this during the week as well, not just after the game when both of them got injured haha!

        That string of big scores from them did come in some nice match-ups, and was noticeably down in the demons game, so does look like a factor.

        Won’t get to find out how Macrae goes up against a hard Jacobs tag either… actually on that, does it go to McLean next week?? Or probably the Bont?

    • Nolzy from what i have read Macrae could be 2-3 weeks & Mclean should be fine for next week.

    • You brought in Macrae, McLean and Yeo this week?

      Which bank did you rob?!?

    • Bevo says Macrae’s hammie isn’t as bad as Woods’ so he’ll probably only miss 2-3 weeks. Reckons McLean’s a good chance to play next week …
      At this stage it’s looking like a forced trade for Macrae and a hopeful hold for McLean :)

  • Thinking maybe just suck it up and hold Macrae if it’s 2-3 weeks. He’s a top 8 mid and it was too big an investment to fold on despite the injury. Thoughts???

  • Finding it hard to split Curnow and Gaff?

  • t smith or phillips for wilson?

    • Phillips.

      At least Smith is a (slight) chance to play next week

      • +1
        Trade out the guy you know for sure isn’t playing the next two rounds

        • I traded Smith personally. While the chance of Phillips is 0, the chance of Smith is extremely low.

          Cracking into the top-4 hopeful Demons squad or cracking into the tanking Saints?

  • Guelfi > Gaff +2k
    Or
    Spargo > Kennedy (WC) +242k

  • Are these trades insane?
    Laird to Austin
    Guelfi to Yeo
    Phillips to Kade Simpson
    I gain 2 keepers and this allows me to field 18 this week. Laird out is a big call, but will look to get him back in 2-3 weeks.
    Thoughts?

  • Nice to see sensible friendly comment without Ned kelly butting in.

  • Who does everyone think is a better option out of Giro and Battle?

  • What does everyone think to this?
    Doedee, Guelfi and phillips to yeo, ryan and wilson? Any other ideas? Thanks 😃

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