Jeppa’s Juniors – Round 7

How refreshing was it to see many of our rooks play well this round!? Contrary to previous weeks, a handful of popular ‘juniors’ hit 80+ scores resulting in their owners jumping for joy. I personally had my best score of the season in both Fantasy and Dreamteam and I have guys like Brown, Wagner, Dea, Walla, Kerridge, etc. to thank.

Downgrade, upgrade. Downgrade, upgrade. If you’re avoiding the carnage of injuries then stay disciplined and continue to improve your starting 22. With little cash in the bank, cheap premos are what I’m chasing! Lewis, McVeigh and Dahlhaus are a few I have my eye on and you should be considering them too. If you’ve got Rocky then use your other trade to bank some cash.

At this stage, my AFL Fantasy trades are McGovern to MacPherson (via Hewett) and Wells (assuming he misses & I cant rely on bench) to the underpriced and likely top 6 defender, Jarrad McVeigh. This leaves me with $60,000 in the bank for my next upgrade…ideally Leigh Montagna. In Dreamteam, I’m holding Wells and just burning one trade, which will be McGovern to Petracca.

Three-Or-More Gamers

KEEPERS

A role change for Mitch Brown (Def/Fwd. $325,000, 9 be AF. $326,600, -15 be DT) over the past three weeks has done his scores a world of good. Playing as a high marking forward has resulted in more marks and more possessions. Registering 102 Fantasy points at this point of the season is hugely advantageous for owners. Daniher and McKernan are taking the key posts so the pressure is off him. Brown’s teammates Ryan Crowley (Mid. $301,000, 18 be AF. Mid. $342,000, 22 be DT) 91, Matt Dea (Def. $307,000, 49 be AF. $300,900, 46 be DT) 85 and Anthony McDonald-Tipungwuti (Def/Fwd. $302,000, 44 be AF. $297,400, 46 be DT) 80 were also in form against the Swans last Saturday and I suppose it’s a case of better late than never. After scoring so well, you’ve got to hold them all for at least one more week.

Sam Kerridge (Fwd/Mid. $413,000, 55 be AF. $412,700, 51 be DT) keeps on keeping on with 89 Fantasy points and pocket dynamo Tom Papley (Fwd. $279,000, 27 be AF. $314,200, 26 be DT) put in a four quarter effort to also score 89. Many thanks to Daniel Currie (Ruc. $165,000, 18 be AF. $197,400, -62 be DT) after the big fella had 90 Fantasy points against Gawn resulting in some pretty healthy earnings.

The Dees youngsters definitely enjoyed beating up an uncompetitive Suns outfit. Josh Wagner (Def. $249,000, 0 be AF. $299,500, 16 be DT) 95, Ben Kennedy (Fwd/Mid. $319,000, 57 be AF. $336,900, 28 be DT) 93, Jayden Hunt (Fwd. $164,000, 15 be AF. $187,900, -6 be DT) 82 and Clayton Oliver (Mid. $309,000, 34 be AF. $311,800, 38 be DT) 77 all got plenty of the ball and rewarded their owners with some big scores. I doubt such scores will be replicated against the Bulldogs on Sunday but you never know!

Screen Shot 2016-05-11 at 1.14.14 AM

There’s plenty of hype surrounding Jackson Trengove (Def. $240,000, 22 be AF. $238,300, 7 be DT) after his 95 Fantasy points in Round 7. Moving from a key defensive post into the ruck is a big role change that will boost his average from the low 50’s to around 75 in my opinion. Plenty of coaches are sick of mediocre scores in their backline so there’s solidarity if you pick Trengove. With all that said, I refuse to spend the extra cash.

DON’T PANIC

Daniel Wells (Fwd/Mid. $398,000, 89 be AF. $374,600, 69 be DT) sat out most of the fourth quarter against the Saints due to a corked quad and scored just 43 Fantasy points as a result. He is a chance to play this week and if he’s named I’d hold him in Fantasy. You must hold Wells in the limited trades game as he’ll be viable back up after your team is full of premos. Relax and chill.

Other ‘juniors’ that are still steadily going up in value include Tom Ruggles (Def. $220,000, 10 be AF. $192,500, -3 be DT) 68, Darcy Byrne-Jones (Def. $281,000, 17 be AF. $290,000, 29 be DT) 68, Bailey Dale (Fwd/Mid. $208,000, 18 be AF. $213,300, 27 be DT) 67, Corey Ellis (Fwd/Mid. $272,000, 26 be AF. $283,700, 10 be DT) 66, Jed Lamb (Fwd. $262,000, 22 be AF. $279,100, 17 be DT) 66, Ciaran Byrne (Def. $253,000, 18 be AF. $258,400, 17 be DT) 65, Nakia Cockatoo (Fwd. $260,000, 24 be AF. $272,800, 25 be DT) 64, Lachie Weller (Mid. $282,000, 36 be AF. $311,800, 54 be DT) 63, Peter Wright (Fwd. $220,000, 13 be AF. $231,400, 46 be DT) 62, Josh Smith (Mid. $245,000, -13 be AF. $194,700, -49 be DT) 61, Daniel Menzel (Fwd. $380,000, 43 be AF. $383,400, 33 be DT) 60, George Hewett (Mid/Fwd. $269,000, 37 be AF. Mid. $261,600, 30 be DT) 59, Liam Sumner (Mid/Fwd. $198,000, 8 be AF. $194,400, -2 be DT) 57, Jayden Short (Fwd/Mid. $176,000, -1 be AF. $161,500, -21 be DT) 52, Hayden Crozier (Fwd. $256,000, 37 be AF. $271,100, 49 be DT) 50, Blake Acres (Mid. $320,000, 36 be AF. $337,200, 14 be DT) 49, Michael Hartley (Def. $239,000, 32 be AF. $238,900, 32 be DT) 46 and Mason Cox (Ruc/Fwd. $192,000, 9 be AF. $167,700, -6 be DT) 38. Hold them if you own them.

TRADE, TRADE, TRADE

It’s time to offload your fattened cashcows and the priority trade list of popular rooks looks like this:

  1. Marcus Adams *injured (Def/Fwd. $324,000, 73 be AF. $308,000, 61 be DT) 59.
  2. Jacob Weitering *injured (Def. $290,000, 78 be AF. $285,800, 91 be DT) DNP.
  3. Jonathan Simpkin *injured (Fwd/Mid. $247,000, 40 be AF. $276,900, 47 be DT) 34.
  4. Lincoln McCarthy (Fwd. $238,000, 62 be AF. $239,300, 83 be DT) 14.
  5. Connor Menadue (Fwd/Mid. $244,000, 48 be AF. $243,400, 39 be DT) 47.
  6. Eric MacKenzie (Def. $270,000, 67 be AF. $268,500, 62 be DT) 38.
  7. Mitch McGovern (Fwd. $266,000, 51 be AF. $272,100, 59 be DT) 39.
  8. Darcy Parish (Mid. $359,000, 85 be AF. $331,100, 66 be DT) DNP.
  9. Callum Mills (Def/Mid. $314,000, 56 be AF. Mid. $327,200, 77 be DT) 46.
  10. Clay Cameron (Def/Fwd. $269,000, 51 be AF. Def. $266,600, 43 be DT) 59.
  11. Dean Kent (Fwd. $318,000, 49 be AF. $352,300, 96 be DT) 58.
  12. Ryan Harwood (Def. $250,000, 36 be AF. $279,500, 57 be DT) 58.

Please note that if I haven’t mentioned a rookie priced player above, it means they’re not relevant. Remember rooks are classified as players under $250,000 in Fantasy and/or Dreamteam.

Two Gamers

Christian Petracca (Fwd/Mid. $262,000, 16 be AF. $128,200, -72 be DT) benefited greatly from his team’s dominance against the Suns. Playing predominately forward of centre, Quadzilla II (behind Wines) junked it up in the last quarter and finished with 24 possessions (19 of them handballs), 2 marks, 4 tackles, 2 goals and 82 Fantasy points. I have no doubt he’ll keep improving and given his price, he’s a must have in Dreamteam this week. Conversely, not picking up Petracca in Fantasy over the past couple of weeks has allowed coaches to use the extra $100,000 to bring in a big premo. Cash is king but picking Petracca will give 65+ points each week.

Ben Keays (Mid. $211,000, 5 be AF. $121,300, -63 be DT) battled hard for his 67 Fantasy points against the Power. Young Benny hasn’t had any time in the midfield and with Brisbane’s mediocre supply into forward 50 his 65 Fantasy average from two games is pretty dam good I reckon. A role change for Keays isn’t on the cards but he’s playing well enough to keep his spot. If you don’t own him in Fantasy, don’t bother chasing him now but he’s a cheap back up in Dreamteam if you already have Petracca.

In his two games this season, Connor Blakely (Mid. $158,000, 9 be AF. $157,700, -3 be DT) hasn’t had the on field influence expected of him at Fremantle. 10 touches and 46 Fantasy points isn’t what Fantasy coaches are chasing either. As a Blakely owner in Fantasy, he’ll warm my bench until the 70+ scores that he’s capable of come to fruition.

Put a line through Henry Schade (Def. $240,000, 21 be AF. $230,700, 4 be DT) 67, Kieran Lovell (Mid. $172,000, 17 be AF. $130,300, -12 be DT) 49, Fletcher Roberts (Def. $212,000, 38 be AF. $221,900, 39 be DT) 44, Jason Castagna (Def. $143,000, 9 be AF. $121,300, -13 be DT) 41 and James Polkinghorne (Mid. $220,000, 43 be AF. $130,400, -8 be DT) 41. They’re not Fantasy/Dreamteam relevant.

One Gamers

Screen Shot 2016-05-11 at 1.11.03 AMI love it when a rook bursts on to the scene! Darcy MacPherson (Mid. $146,000, -8 be AF. $105,800 DT) lived up to his preseason hype laying 9 tackles on debut to go with 10 possessions, 3 marks, 1 goal and 73 Fantasy points. His disposal is far from elite but his intent and hunger to do the ‘dirty work’ will keep him in the team for the short term at least. Eade has always rewarded effort so feel free to trade him in for Fantasy. He’s back up only though because 4 or so tackles a game will likely result in sub 60 scores. In saying that, I have to start him on my field this week so fingers crossed.

Aaron Mullet (Def. $177,000, 6 be AF. $207,200 DT) was a late in for Sam Wright on Sunday and unfortunately his performance wont elevate him as a lock in North’s 22. The running defender was solid but not amazing and a couple of clangers in the 4th quarter when the game was on the line stick out in my mind. His stat line at the final siren read 14 kicks, 2 handballs, 6 marks, 2 tackles and 68 Fantasy points. Mullett definitely has a Fantasy game and he’s hit three figure scores multiple times in the past, it’s just a question of job security. A risky pick but it could be a case of high risk, high reward! Those over Mills, Adams, etc. scoring 40’s and 50’s in their backline should consider taking the plunge.

Mason Redman (Fwd/Mid. $173,000, 18 be AF. $121,300 DT) had a good crack against the Swans. The young forward needs to put on plenty more muscle but you can definitely see why the Bombers picked him up with pick 30 in last year’s draft. 52 Fantasy points is a decent first up effort but being so lean, the Bombers will protect him and I suspect he’ll be in and out of the side as a result. Not for me.

Key defender Kaiden Brand (Def. $138,000, 2 be AF. $128,200 DT) only had to wait four years to make his AFL debut. That’s what happens when you’re on a star studded Hawthorn list. 56 Fantasy points is reasonable and he did his job but he’ll be out of the side when Frawley returns this week or next. Avoid.

Jarrod Garlett (Fwd. $207,000, 19 be AF. $211,900 DT) 65 and Nathan Grima (Def. $228,000, 37 be AF. $241,800 DT) 51 are a couple of expensive options I’d pass on. Don’t pick Ben Crocker (Fwd/Mid. $129,000, 16 be AF. $121,300 DT) 35 either, he’s still very raw.

Keep Your Eye On

Screen Shot 2016-05-10 at 8.19.19 PMKey defender, Jack Leslie (Def. $127,000, 24 be AF. $168,100 DT) appears likely to suit up for the Suns this week after some recent hot NEAFL form. As you’re well aware, I’m against picking young key talls but our cheap options are limited this week and Leslie is coming off a 36 possession, 14 mark, 151 Fantasy point game! The former top 20 draft pick may suit a few at D7/D8. Not for me though.

No Rocky for a few weeks could see Rhys Mathieson (Mid. $158,000, 30 be AF. $121,300 DT) get an opportunity. Like Rockliff, Mathieson is an inside midfielder and word is, he’s one of Leppitch’s favourites. The first year player has been in the bests for the Lions reserves in both of his NEAFL matches and he should average between 65 and 70 Fantasy points per game in the big time. If Mathieson is named to play, it will be a coin toss between him and MacPherson.

 

Feel free to ask me a question below and don’t forget to add me on Twitter @JeppaDT for all things Fantasy and more. Happy trading!

72 Comments

  • In AFL Fantasy(Classic) how do you go about trading McGovern to MacPherson? I know we used to be able to do that style of trade but thought we couldn’t any more. Am I missing something?

  • Would it be totally crazy to bring in Trengrove over Petracca?

    • great write up jep. Good rookie options are starting to get thinner than donald trumps hair line. who would be likely to take higgins spot at the roos now hes out for 12 weeks with a meniscus tear. does this open the door for mullett to hold his spot???

      • i think Wood steps up into a slightly bigger role and then they play nahas and thomas

    • is this in fantasy or rdt in rdt yep straight up crazy in fantasy still not trades i would be considering but hey u get 2 trades every week so u can always shake em off in a few weeks. personally i would be going for macpherson over petracca if u dont already have him.

    • Im avoiding both in Fantasy. Cash is king and i dont want to spend the extra.
      Petracca over Trengove in RDT for sure!

  • Great read as always, Jeppa.
    I can’t understand why so many of the ‘rookies’ in fantasy are over-priced. Just for example: Hopper- 255,000, Trengove- 332,000 (when he hasn’t played for two years). It makes it hard to make any cash.

  • sthan hughes 1 game for freo last year scored 81 now priced over 300k yeah i been wondering the same some of those rook prices are ridiculous

  • Good Read! Was just wondering what trades would be better
    Adams and M Crouch to Trengove and Lewis (Kent F6)

    Or Crouch and Kent to Macpherson(m8) and Riewoldt/Zorko (Ruggles F6)

  • Need a good downgrade option for mccarthy? Any ideas?

    • do you need the downgrade to play this week?

      • Not particularly but I’d like someone who has atleast a little job security to add some value. I’m sorta stuck with trades because rocky gave me a reach around.

    • Not any cheap fwds id recommend. Use DPP links to get macpherson or leslie (if named)

  • Trade Rockliff and miss out on MacPherson or keep Rocky and get Mac?

    • Rocky may only be out for 2

    • get him out bro macpherson is well rated by eade and will hold his spot till atleast the midseason byes rocky will leak more cash when he returns any ways plus hamstring injuries are never clear cut as they say they are.

      • I’m not trading Rocky to MacPherson that doesn’t improve my team. I either hold Rockliff and trade Menadue to MacPherson or trade Rocky to Lewis

        • “it doesn’t improve my team”- but having $470k on the pine for at least a couple of weeks doesn’t improve your team either. In three or so weeks you could trade him in around $450-460 and have made minimum $60-70 on macpherson…People say ‘it’s wasting trades’ but unless you have much smarter trades to make then it’s not a waste, it’s the smart option.

          Personally I’m looking at Rocky -> Lewis, confident he will perform above his current price, and hoping he performs well enough to be a keeper (maybe even a captain option if he steadies up)

    • Trade Rocky

  • Hold?

    • Dunno the state of your squad so hard to say

      • This is my team with rocky traded out.

        Shaw, Simpson, Houli, AMT, Mills, Ruggles (Harwood, Castagna)

        Zaharakis, Dangerfield, Hanners, Pendles, Ablett, Lewis, Wells, Sumner (Menadue, Blakely)

        Gawn, Martin (Cox, Frost)

        Hall, Merrett, Martin, Barlow, Kerridge, McGovern (Davis, Cox)

        What do u think I should do.

        • I think you need some points on the board.
          Not sure how much cash you have on hand

          Rocky > Lewis
          McGovern > Wells into FWD > Josh Smith = still has low BE, great job security and good for 60-70 points on your field. You probably want more cash in the bank, but I think it’s better overall.

          If you don’t want Smith, grab MacPherson instead and hope he does it again – I’d rather him over Menadue or Sumner

        • Team looks good. Similar to mine. You’ve got Simpson, i’ve got an extra premo mid…few other bits around the edges but basically the same. I’m ranked 715 and worth 12,109,000…..you?

  • dude every week you have players on ‘trade, trade, trade’ then the week later you have them on keepers.

    • Like whom?

      • Matt Dea is an example from Rd6 to Rd7.

        The reality is we cannot action Jeppa’s advice in its entirety.
        If you need to hold a player due to more pressing issues and that player unexpectedly scores well, then Jeppa is completely justified to re-assess on a weekly basis.
        His BE may now be very achievable and therefore he needs to be reassessed.
        There is no other way to produce this article on a week to week basis.

  • Who should I get rid of this week:

    Menadue
    Parish
    Mills
    Davis
    Harwood
    Cameron

    • not Davis – wait for teams.
      Parish has had a rest
      Harwood is not what we expected to be
      Menadue is still going, hovering about his BE
      Cameron is playing in a team under the pump….
      Mills is also at his BE , but has good JS… may get a rest.

      so… I’d say Harwood and/or Cameron to start with

    • There’s a list above in the article, check it out!!!

    • Parish won’t get 85 (his BE)
      Menadue has peaked and if you’re currently fielding him then definitely has to go, he has been consistent though so should hold flat at this value if you wanted to hold)
      Mills had a poor week but I reckon he’ll still make a little more cash and everyone has him so if he does go badly again it’s ok and you can then ditch him next week.
      Davis if named still has some money to make
      Harwood still has money to make, BE is only 36. He had a 49 point half last week (and then added 9 in the second half, but it does show he has potential to score well)
      Cameron is averaging 60 with a BE of 51. Not as urgent IMO.

      TL;DR = Parish and Menadue out. Or Davis if he’s not named again.

  • Need some advice! Have 25K in bank
    DEF: Adams, Tippa, Bartel, Rosa, Shaw, Byrne-Jones (Laird, Hartley)
    MID: Merrett, Hall, Titchell, Viney, Mills, Hewett, Kerridge, Hunter (Blakely, Macaffer)
    RUC: Gawn, Goldstein (Cox, Currie)
    FOR: Simpkin, Kennedy, Martin, Greene, Wells, McCarthy (Milera, Kommer)

    From what was said above I need to trade out Simpkin, McCarthy, Adams and Mills. Not sure who to bring in for them, definitely will get Macpherson but not sure who else to bring in

    • I would trade Simpkin, move Kerridge to forwards, and then get Macpherson.

      I would then trade Rosa and hold Adams as Rosa will be out for longer.

      You would then have the option to get a decent defender or midfielder (you have the option with Mills).

  • adams and rosa out for me, swap mills to mid and grab best defender you can and play hartley for a week while laird sits in wait

  • Trade out Adams or Laird, have cover on bench to cover adams so i can trade him out next week to free up cash, or trade laird then upgrade another part of the ground?

  • nah sorry guys just a bit of banter! good luck the rest of the season everyone!

  • Great article as always Jeppa
    Do you think there’s any value in the Port mids now they seem to be playing better? ie:Brad Ebert’s value is way down

    • No. When u make an upgrade its for the long term and i dont think Ebert & Gray are top 8 mids. If Gray gains fwd status in Fantasy well thats a diff story.

      • No one ends up with all 8 of the top 8 mids though. Is there value in the Port players? i.e. will their $ per points be better than average from here on in? Yes. Probably. If you only upgrade to current top 8 players then you’re always paying top dollar.
        I’m trading in Lewis this week for that reason. I believe he will definitely score well above his $484k price tag from here to end of season. He won’t end up in the top 8 due to his three poor scores and he might not be as good as Parker, but I can use the $100k difference to upgrade elsewhere and should end up with more points on the ground.

  • I traded in Keays last week and was very impressed with him, considering no midfield time. He did kick 0.4, if 4.0, his score would of become 83 and there would of been a lot more talk about him.

    • Lewis Taylor is putting pressure on his spot so he’s got to continue to play well.

  • Jeppa,

    Hold or trade Rocky?in a dilemma over this one.
    If I trade Rocky I will go to Lewis and miss out on MacPherson as my other trade is Adams to Simpson or hold Rocky and trade Menadue to Macpherson?
    dont want to miss the boat on Mac but I feel that I will as Im tyrading Rocky to another premium if I do trade him..

  • AFL FANTASY
    DEF:Shaw, Mills, Adams, Tippa, Wagner , DBJ (Ruggles, Cowan)
    MID: Steven, Ablett, Hanners, Rocky, Adams, Hunter, Crouch, Smith (Keays, Sumner)
    RUC: Stef, Gawn (Currie, Cox)
    FWD: Dusty, Hall , Merrett, Barlow, Wells, Kerridge(Mcgovern, McCarthy)
    246k
    My thinking:

    PROVIDING ADAMS AND WELLS PLAY
    Madams>Vince
    McCarthy( Via Sumner)>Macpherson
    Hold Rocky and Play Machperson/Keays and 195k remaining to upgrade mills next week..

    Thoughts would be appreciated!:)

  • If you already have Mills in the backline so can’t DPP- are there any def rookies worth trading in to make cash from say a Marcus Adams/Cameron etc?

  • who should I get rid of?
    Menadue
    Mills
    Fantasia
    and should I upgrade or downgrade?
    Already trading rocky to lewis and now have 150k in the bank

  • Have to get rid of fantasia. Upgrade him

  • What is the expected time out for Phil Davis? Trying to gauge how many games Mohr will get in the team to fatten up.

  • Now that Wells looks like a certain out for this week, who should I play at F6 out of Tippa and Kent?

  • Zorko or Riewoldt
    Smith or Petracca
    Thanks

  • Petracca or Josh Smith on the paddock this week?