Jeppa’s Juniors – Round 6

Is it me or is it the hardest season of Fantasy and Dreamteam on record? Picking premium defenders has become a lottery, midfield stalwarts in Stevie J, Rocky, Sloane and Barlow have underperformed, there’s been plenty of injuries and suspensions and by god where are all the cheap rookies!?!?

For those that think Fantasy is easier than Dreamteam…I call bullshit. Having cheap rookies at our disposal in Dreamteam frees up a mountain of money and allows coaches to make premium upgrades as a result. In Fantasy new rookies like Lever and McKenzie cost a fortune and making a downgrade/upgrade isn’t so simple.

Only two rookie priced players scored three figures in Round 6 and plenty were below par. Many of us will start offloading our cashcows that have maxed out in earnings.

 

Three Gamers

kelly

KEEPERS

One breakout performance has seen Jake Kelly (Def. $230,000, -15 be AF. $212,500, -25 be DT) become a very handy cashcow. Going against the stereotype of a low scoring, lockdown defender, Kelly scored 104 Fantasy points from 15 kicks, 4 handballs, 12 marks and 4 tackles. He reads the play exceptionally well for a young fella, works very hard and rarely wastes a possession but keep in mind that he was up against an undermanned Suns outfit. Kelly’s job security is good for the short term and I give the green light to those coaches that want to spend the extra this week and trade him in.

Jackson Thurlow (Def/Mid. $327,000, 13 be AF. $332,900, 10 be DT) was expensive to start with but a few, including Mrs. Jeppa jumped on board and are reaping the rewards. Thurlow hasn’t been a consistent scorer this season but his 109 Fantasy points last week leaves a bitter taste in my mouth for not trading him in. Watching him against the Pies, he looks comfortable as a running halfback and he’s cemented his spot in Geelong’s 22.

Cory Gregson (Mid. $286,000, 5 be AF. $280,800, 5 be DT) was another to please his owners. The zippy half forward was deadly when kicking for goal and his repeated second efforts would see him as one of Chris Scott’s favourites. Gregson’s stat line read 10 kicks, 8 handballs, 7 marks, 4 tackles, 3 goals and 97 Fantasy points. If you don’t own him, apologies but it’s too late to bring him in. My boy Dom Sheed (Mid. $331,000, 25 be AF. $332,800, 30 be DT) played the best game in his short career. Playing solely in the midfield, Sheed was sublime against the Power, delivering the ball lace out to the Eagles forwards. In a first this season, Sheed had a handful of marks and tackles in the same game which boosted his score to 94 Fantasy points.

After averaging just 60 from his last three games, Christian Salem (Fwd/Def. $317,000, 33 be AF. Fwd. $307,300, 41 be DT) snapped into gear versus the Swans. The ball was in Sydney’s forward 50 for most of the match and Salem got plenty of the footy as a result. The halfback finished with 24 possessions, 6 marks, 4 tackles and 92 Fantasy points. His respectable breakevens means Salem is a keeper this week. Another defender, Adam Saad (Def/Mid. $311,000, 17 be AF. $289,100, -8 be DT) continued his great season scoring 88 Fantasy points but he’ll miss a couple of games due to a hamstring injury. Looking at his breakevens, I’d hold Saad if you can.

Billy Hartung, 87 (Mid. $320,000, 25 be AF. $313,700, 31 be DT), Touk Miller 84, (Mid. $334,000, 23 be AF. $316,500, 28 be DT), Adam Oxley, 77 (Def. $351,000, 17 be AF. $339,200, -20 be DT), Jesse Hogan, 74 (Fwd. $332,000, 45 be AF. $300,000, 33 be DT), Blaine Boekhorst, 70 (Mid. $241,000, 35 be AF. $164,500, 8 be DT) and Nathan Krakouer, 69 (Fwd/Mid. $235,000, 10 be AF. $200,500, -10 be DT) are other notable performers from Round 6 with healthy breakevens.

DON’T PANIC

The Dees couldn’t get any flow in their game against the Swans and Aaron Vandenberg’s (Fwd/Mid. $339,000, 32 be AF. Mid. $344,500, 51 be DT) score suffered as a result. The tough half forward still is a handy option in Fantasy and Dreamteam and I recommend holding him this week.

Others scoring steadily and still going up in value include Nathan Van Berlo, 71 (Mid. $345,000, 61 be AF. $315,000, 47 be DT), Jed Anderson, 69 (Mid. $219,000, 23 be AF. $192,700, 27 be DT), Mitch Clark 68, (Ruc/Fwd. $284,000, 22 be AF. Fwd. $270,100, 8 DT), Patrick Cripps, 64 (Mid. $350,000, 29 be AF. $374,700, 78 be DT), Patrick Karnezis, 64 (Fwd. $210,000, 15 be AF. $169,400, -23 be DT), Mitch Honeychurch, 59 (Fwd. $288,000, 41 be AF. $277,800, 19 be DT), Robbie Tarrant, 58 (Fwd/Def. $274,000, 17 be AF. Def. $265,600, 34 be DT), Jack Lonie, 54 (Fwd. $295,000, 26 be AF. $282,700, 14 be DT) and Angus Brayshaw, 53 (Mid. $333,000, 51 be AF. $311,000, 42 be DT).

Liam Duggan, 44 (Mid. $236,000, 20 be AF. $218,000, -18 be DT) and Lukas Webb, 36 (Fwd. $254,000, 35 be AF. $201,700, 10 be DT) weren’t great scorers on the weekend but played well enough to hold their senior spot and have low enough breakevens to still earn the dollars for their owners.

SURPRISE PACKET

Brett Goodes (Def. $215,000, 24 be AF. $237,500, 37 be DT) came in for the injured Matthew Boyd and somehow avoided the green vest. Scoring 72 Fantasy points was a surprise but I suspect that he’ll be dropped this week if Boyd returns. Stay away!

Alex Sexton (Fwd/Mid. $256,000, 0 be AF. $252,300, -30 be DT) has been given a bigger role with a host of Suns players injured/suspended. Playing at half forward, he attacked the contest and finished with 19 possessions, 4 marks, 5 tackles, 1 goal and 90 Fantasy points. It was arguably the best game of his career and confidence is a beautiful thing for football and Fantasy. Sexton is a reasonable downgrade option but he is pricey. Your call.

Clem Smith (Mid. $152,000, 20 be AF. $131,300, 17 be DT) avoided the green vest for the first time this season and scored 40 Fantasy points as a result. Assuming Carlton play more kids in the coming weeks, Smith could be a sneaky Fantasy trade down option. He’s not for me though.

TRADE, TRADE, TRADE

If I haven’t categorised a player from Round 6 under ‘Keepers’ or ‘Don’t Panic’ then trade them out as soon as you can but when appropriate.

If your not sure which rookie to offload first, here’s my trade list of popular rookies, in order:

1. Michael Talia, 44 (Def. $291,000, 57 be AF. $300,700, 111 be DT)

2. Ben Newton, 57 (Mid. $300,000, 48 be AF. $292,800, 51 be DT)

3. Cameron McCarthy, 40 (Fwd. $296,000, 54 be AF. $296,000, 87 be DT)

4. Kamdyn McIntosh, 43 (Def/Mid. $327,000, 65 be AF. Def. $291,100, 45 DT)

 

Two Gamers

Screen Shot 2015-05-13 at 12.54.07 AMDaniel McKenzie (Def/Mid. $252,000, 20 be AF. $117,900, -60 be DT) was prominent again for the Saints in their come from behind victory over the Bulldogs. Watching McKenzie closely, his best trait is definitely his decision making and I’m impressed at how well he’s fitted in at the halfback/wing position for the Saints. 19 possessions, 4 marks, 4 tackles and 72 Fantasy points is great output for any rookie especially at $117,900 in Dreamteam for those looking to downgrade.

Safe to say Josh Glenn (Mid. $177,000, -1 be AF. $126,900, -52 be DT) and I aren’t friends at the minute. After a stellar debut and 96 Fantasy points in Round 5, Glenn was the complete opposite last week. He appeared to work hard but he just couldn’t win the football. He finished with just 7 possessions, 1 mark, 3 tackles and 28 Fantasy points from a healthy 80% time on ground. Let’s hope he can regain some topline form on the vast space of Domain Stadium against West Coast on Saturday night but he may miss with an ankle complaint. Watch this space.

As an Eagles supporter, I’ve always been a fan of Callum Sinclair (Ruc/Fwd. $258,000, 14 be AF. $279,400, 19 be DT) and I’m glad the big fella is getting a run and enjoying success on the field. Playing forward and ruck against excellent opposition in Port Adelaide, Sinclair finished with 77 Fantasy points in a good all round game. If no cheap options are named on Thursday night, I give you my blessing to trade him in (if he suits) but keep in mind that he’s got Lycett breathing down his neck for his spot in the Eagles 22. Sinclair should ‘beat up’ an injured riddled Suns team this week.

Desperate times call for desperate measures and a relatively cheap Henry Schade, 62 (Def. $150,000, -8 be AF. $124,600, -31 be DT) comes into Fantasy calculations . Schade was far from convincing against the Crows but stumbled to a respectable 62 Fantasy points. Don’t forget he scored just 40 Fantasy points in Round 5 and as a tall defender that’s the sort of score I’d expect each week. You could be forgiven for bringing in Schade at the throw away D8 position.

To reiterate from last week, don’t go near Fletcher Roberts, 22 (Def. $163,000, 29 be AF. $186,300, 42 be DT) and Shane Kersten, 30 (Fwd. $217,000, 47 be AF. $231,400, 61 be DT). Both score poorly for what they cost.

 

One Gamers

lever

The Crows have landed themselves a beauty in Jake Lever (Def. $276,000, 19 be AF. $157,900 DT). The 194cm defender played as a third tall last weekend, reading the play very well and even directing traffic. Lever did sit behind the play a lot though and picked up plenty of ‘easy’ plus 6’s as a result. His stat line read 12 kicks, 5 handballs, 10 marks, 3 tackles and 90 Fantasy points. Coach Phil Walsh was full of praise for Lever and I get the impression that he’ll be holding his spot in the short term (source). All in all, he’s too expensive for Fantasy in my opinion but a very nice cashcow in Dreamteam.

Billy Stretch (Mid. $179,000, 15 be AF. $117,900 DT) got his hands dirty and had a good crack in his first AFL game. The young midfielder started like a house on fire with 51 Fantasy points to half time but faded badly and finished with just 55! Being a first year player you can forgive a second half fadeout but I’m a little worried about his 29% disposal efficiency. I wouldn’t be surprised if he cops the green vest this week so be careful if you’re thinking about trading him in for Fantasy.

Alex Pearce (Def. $132,000, 5 be AF. $124,600 DT) should be proud of his debut. The fullback played on Joey Daniher and kept him quiet while picking up 10 possessions, 6 marks, 2 tackles and 49 Fantasy points. Ross Lyon doesn’t play the kids so as soon as one of Dawson, Silvagni or McPharlin are fit to play, he’ll be dropped. Avoid.

Spare a thought for Josh Cowan (Mid. $135,000, 35 be AF. $124,600 DT). Four years since his last senior game, ‘sideshow’ Josh finally got an opportunity on the big stage and looked decent until he did a hammy at the 20 minute mark of the first quarter. Rotten luck for the young fella and anyone that traded him in last week, including myself. Trade Cowan out if you can. Stay clear of Clay Cameron (Mid. $187,000, 45 be AF. $201,300 DT). He scored 20 Fantasy points in just under 1.5 quarters but his job security is a big problem. Cameron has a calf complaint too and he’s expensive as far as rookies go.

 

Please note that if I haven’t mentioned a rookie priced player above, it means I don’t rate them. Remember rooks are classified as players under $250,000 in either Fantasy or Dreamteam.

 

Keep Your Eye On

Holman

Nic Holman (Def. $165,000, 30 be AF. $180,600 DT) – After losing to Brisbane, Carlton will make plenty of changes and Holman is a likely inclusion. The young midfielder had a quad issue during the preseason but has since built fitness and form and is coming off a BOG performance in the VFL last weekend. Holman should be used as an outside midfielder at Carlton and not in the backline. If he can avoid the vest (no guarantees) then I reckon he’ll average in the high 50’s, low 60’s.

Reilly O’Brien (Ruc/Fwd. $120,000, 21 be AF. $122,900 DT) – An injury to Josh Jenkins potentially opens the door for young O’Brien to make his debut. The 19 year old was upgraded from the rookie list last Thursday and named as an emergency for the game against the Suns. Adelaide’s coaching staff decided Jacobs would ruck alone in Round 6 however versus Longer and Hickey this week I feel that O’Brien will get a go. He’s cheap as chips and a dual position ruck, forward but he’ll only average between 40-50 Fantasy points. A cheap option but he won’t play many games.

Karl Amon (Mid. $120,000, 21 be AF. $124,600 DT) – Reward for form and effort needs to come Amon’s way this week. The running midfielder has been named in the bests in the SANFL three weeks running and after the Power’s shock loss to the Eagles, a spot may have opened. With his speed, run and carry, Amon suits the way Port play but his traits mean that he’s a likely green vest candidate. Put him on your watchlist.

Blake Acres (Mid. $161,000, 34 be AF. $208,800 DT), Jordan De Goey (Mid. $267,000, 77 be AF. $202,900 DT), Jono O’Rourke (Mid. $225,000, 32 be AF. $232,800 DT), Trent Dumont (Mid. $120,000, 26 be AF. $124,600 DT) and Jason Ashby (Def. $201,000, 48 be AF. $249,500 DT) are all in the mix to return to the seniors on the weekend. If Acres is named to play on Thursday night, he’d be my first downgrade option for Fantasy this week. Acres had 20 possessions, 3 marks, 6 tackles, 2 goals and 98 Fantasy points in the VFL on Saturday and amongst a young Saints list he’s more likely to get games ahead of guys like Ashby, Dumont, etc.

 

Feel free to ask me a question below and don’t forget to add me on Twitter @JeppaDT for all things Fantasy and more. Happy trading!

95 Comments

  • All aboard the stretch-Limo…

  • I’m thinking of bringing in Kreuzer next week – is he on your radar?

    • I’m thinking of it too, but at 244k he’ll have a BE of around 35-40 so barring a huge first week it’s probably safe to wait and see if he gets that down into single figures or the teens. Also he’s notoriously awful on his first game back from injury, and Mick is determined to ruin his team and could play him forward, so chances are I’d say wait see if he Leunbergers up first. Although if there are no rooks arriving, he’s an easy 120k.

    • Kreuz had his first run in the seconds last week and got through unscathed.

      He could even be named this week

    • They’ll give Kreuz another week in the VFL

  • PS Thanks for your articles – they are very much appreciated.

  • great write up as per usual Jeppa, thanks:) I’m going in Dreamteam Newton to McKenzie and also opens up a DPP between backline and mids as well as McIntosh to Lever to free me up some 321,000 for upgrades next week:)

    • Sounds good!

    • change that forgot I had a much bigger issue in Sloane:) Now Newton to McKenzie still leaving mew with a DPP link and Sloane to Barlow whilst he’s nice and cheap and hopefully ready to turn things again:) Got Lewis still riding the pine and able upgrade a rookie next week to Rockliff still:)

  • Cheers Jeppa, your article is always a beacon of hope amidst a grey mass of injuries, spuds, and crappy mid-pricers.

    Quick question, if both are named, who would you start at M8 out of Glenn and Acres?

    Thank you!

  • Thoughts on Ah Chee?

    • I’d like your thoughts on him too Jepp. Wines being close to return may push him out of the team. But his performance was the only shining light in that last quarter on the weekend.

      • I guess he’s not scoring great, but he’s playing weekly-ish and still 120k, may be worth a punt

    • 3 games in 4 rounds all green vested. Im trying to avoid headaches not create new ones

  • Great article Jeppa, always brilliant.
    Where would Rich be on your trade out priority list. I know he’s not a rookie, but I need to trade 2 of McIntosh, McCarthy and him.
    Thanks

    • Carlton tagged half a dozen players on the weekend and Rich was one of them. I imagine he won’t get quite so much attention most weeks and should bounce back to his 70 odd scores. This year a 75 average defender is just about a premium, so I’d get rid of others first.

      Having said that, McCarthy’s got Carlton this week so should have an easier time of it than his last couple of weeks against WC and Hawthorn, and is a greater chance of surpassing his BE and gaining a bit more value over the next couple of weeks.

      If those are your top 3 priorities you must be having more luck than me.

    • id hold him this week. Armfield sat on him the whole game v Carlton

  • alex sexton worth a look just to have on the field this week ?

  • What are the thoughts of trading Kane Lambert in? Will he get a run when he’s back from injury?

  • McBean from Richmond also a chance to play this week I think after kicking 5 in the VFL

  • What? No love for Ayce Cordy 91?

    Jump on Ayce as a sneaky R3 or slot him up forward for a DPP link. Could be handy having a ruck over byes.

    If Minson is out of favour they are going to keep blooding this guy until he doesn’t look like a lost puppy out there.

    • He was the only real ruckman against the swans, got subbed out midway through the third and Lin Jong had more hitouts than him. DT score, 19. No thanks.

    • Fair call Shags…I completely missed him.

      Scores of 3, 11, 55, 19 & 91 tells me there will be pain trading him in. Not for me.

  • McCarthy to Stretch via Krak to enable me to trade Martin in for Natinui. Next on the agenda will be Gray and Rockliff. Lack of rookies a real concern. Ranked 611 in some kind of miracle.

  • very timely article jepp! sloane and heeney have screwed me and I need some downgrade options. im gonna give lever another week, otherwise he or acres looks the goods.

  • Hey Jeppa, would you condone bringing McKenzie in fantasy? I know he’s expensive but he has good js, good scoring potential and dpp. I can see all the other options just causing headaches long term…

  • Keep or trade Rich?

  • Looking to move on cripps and mcintosh this week as I need a little cash to grab both Duncan and Tmitch. Newton and McCarthy gotta go next week.

  • Thanks for the article Jeppa.

    Does anyone know where Jake Kolodjashnij sits in the Geelong pecking order? Is Bews keeping him out or is he still “developing”?

    • Jake Kolo is a tall defender. Will get a game at some point this in the politics of him signing a new contract with the Cats.

      • Is ready to go however, it is the likes of Taylor, Loners and Rivers who are holding him back.

        Mackie coming back into the side won’t help his cause either.

  • Who should I get for Hunt??
    Lever
    Thurlow
    Mckenzie
    I could get Schade but then Jake Kelly would have to come on field and I already have Mcintosh on field
    (Other trade is removing Sloane)

  • Sick update today Jeppa, very comprehensive!

    McKenzie in this week for me but not in the backline.

    Then KHunt to Lever next week (RDT).

  • Cheers Jeppa.
    Reckon it’s time to ditch Cripps in Real DT? Averages 81, BE of 78…

  • Opinions on Kristen Jaksch?

  • Hey Jepp,
    Nice work as usual… anyone care to rank to the top downgrade targets in the FWD line? Happy to get rid of McCarthy this week, but there doesn’t appear to be another FWD rookie to bring in… Might have to spend my money upgrading him instead?

  • Who to field out of jake lever or robbie Tarrant? Help!!!!!!!

    • Tarrant by a mile

      • Tarrant? You serious, the bloke has been running around for years with little/no JS and has only ever scored 90+ (ie the RDT score Lever got in his FIRST game!) once.

        • I predict Tarrant 68 and Kelly 41. Check back into this post on Sunday so I can gloat

    • Lever, he has been getting a fair few stats playing loose in the sanfl and played a similar role last wk he reads it well in the air and scored well last week, whilst he wont score 90 every week i think from now on in he will ave more than Tarrant (Just)

  • If Hams avoids the vest on Friday night is he worth a shot?

  • great article, who should i bring in out of mckenzie and karnezis in RDT? also should we be looking to trade Mcintosh out or give him another week? Thanks

  • Jeppa……in RDT, who would you go for Lever or McKenzie?

  • did he mention lever?
    is he a good option

  • Lever or McKenzie?

  • Who to field this week? (asking here because they’re rookies)
    Jake Kelly, Krakouer or McCarthy?

  • Thanks again for the write up Jeppa!

    When lockout closes on Sunday night, I spend about 10 minutes trying to work out my trades, before abandoning trade plans until this magnificent article comes out each week. An absolute treasure trove of information!

    Why trade Newton out before McCarthy and McIntosh? Newton has a higher average and a lower BE.

    I was planning on getting rid of the other two and keeping Newton till next week…

    What am I missing, o sage of rookies?

    • Haha thanks mate.

      Newton has annoyed my over the past 4 weeks. His role doesnt allow him to get involved in the rough stuff and his scores are suffering. His 90 something in round 1 skews his av.

      My list of trade preferences wont suit every team so go with what you reckon is right.

  • Keep or trade newnes?

  • Hey jeppa, nice article man
    Who do you think will make more money over the next few weeks, Kelly or Sinclair?

  • have we still got hunt?????????? i am the only one????

    • I still feel your pain!

    • I’m stuck with him too, but depending on Thursdays teams will be trying my best to move him on. I’m just worried the week I trade him out they will change his role again.

    • I do but probably won’t be able to move him till next week.

      Oh the humanity!

  • Field Kelly so I can trade McIntosh instead of saad?

  • The risk could pay off!

  • trade saad?

  • Jeppa,

    thoughts on Liam Dawson from the Loins
    had a pretty horrid NAB (2 games, average 28 off 43%) but for a bargain basement that’s actually been named, is he viable?