Jeppa’s Juniors – Round 2

Another week, another bunch of Fantasy problems!

Gary’s shoulder is rubbish, Beams is only in second gear, Luey doesn’t know what a footy looks like, Pendles has ankle problems and Brodie Smith is a little dazed. Plenty of challenges have raised their ugly heads but thankfully it’s pretty good news on the rookie front.

History suggests that this is the round to lock in your rookie selections. After lockout on Friday night the cashcows you don’t have will likely become out of reach. It’s a case of short-term pain for long-term gain. In my opinion, you’re better using at least one trade to bring in a dominant rookie that you may not have in lieu of a sideways trade to chase points! Remember this game is a marathon not a sprint.

Adam+Oxley+Melbourne+v+Collingwood+C_kq9U8zZa6l

Two Gamers

The most unexpected rookie score this week came from Adam Oxley (Def. $177,000, -23 be AF. $124,600, -59 be DT). After just 25 Fantasy points in Round 1, the Pies defender was in everything against the Crows and he finished with a game high 33 possessions, 2 marks, 2 tackles and 103 Fantasy points. His efforts saw him named in the bests for Collingwood and with Ben Sinclair out with injury, Oxley becomes that little bit more important in the Pies back six. Against the Saints this Friday night, I expect a 70+ score so make sure you start him on your field.

A new coach and new game plan has done wonders for Tory Dickson (Fwd. $260,000, -12 be AF. $249,800, -32 be DT). The forward had a day out against a loose checking Tiger outfit amassing 12 kicks, 5 handballs, 5 marks, 3 tackles, 4 sausage rolls and 100 Fantasy points. With the Dogs up and about, plenty of footy will reach Dickson in the Dogs forward 50 but I still wouldn’t trade him in, he’s just too expensive and I doubt that he can maintain his current form.

Backing up his sensational performance in Round 1, Kamdyn McIntosh (Def. $217,000, -44 be AF. $124,600, -128 DT) was again amongst the best players for Richmond. His gut running on the wing saw him rack up 18 kicks, 6 handballs, 7 marks, 2 tackles, 96 Fantasy points. Fantasy aside, McIntosh had 5 rebounds from defensive 50 and 5 possessions inside 50 against the Dogs, which shows how hard he is working. This cashcow is going to go big so make sure you own him!

Yo, Yo Yolmen! It took him a few years but Cameron Ellis-Yolmen (Mid. $176,000, -30 be AF. $124,600, -75 be DT) arrived last weekend with 95 Fantasy points. Against an undermanned Collingwood, he got his hands on it 24 times but it was his 6 tackles that pleased me more. When a rookie like Ellis-Yolmen has a quiet day but can still tackle, he should still register a minimum of 60. Unfortunately, Crows veteran Scott Thompson was BOG in the SANFL so Ellis-Yolmen may play a lesser role against the Dees this week. Fingers crossed nothing changes so we can enjoy the influx of cash. Nathan Van Berlo (Mid. $309,000, 13 be AF. $231,200, -37 be DT) is another Crow pleasing his owners. The super fit midfielder gets plenty of it and he was crazy good against the Pies with 11 kicks, 4 handballs, 6 marks, 8 tackles, 1 goal and 95 Fantasy points. Note that in his 10 seasons, Van Berlo has averaged over 90 Fantasy points just once. In saying that his job security is excellent and he should consistently score over 70 each week. A low risk pick in my opinion.

Usually I am against picking young key talls but Jesse Hogan (Fwd. $249,000, -8 be AF. $138,900, -85 be DT) is an exception to the rule. The man child was a force in a poor side and he finished with 13 possessions, 8 marks, 3 tackles, 2 goals and 89 Fantasy points on the weekend. Playing alongside Dawesy allows him to push well up the ground and he’s taking plenty of marks as a result. To score 89 even when his team got flogged sits well with me! Hogan’s teammate, Christian Salem (Fwd. $232,000, -1 be AF. $192,800, -33 be DT) also performed well. His kicking skills from half back are a huge asset to Melbourne and he racked up 22 possessions and 85 Fantasy points in a losing side. I wouldn’t put any money on Salem being a consistent performer this season but he’ll still earn decent money.

Mitch Honeychurch (Fwd. $230,000, -8 be AF. $225,800, -25 be DT) is another Fantasy forward rising up to the occasion. Honey’s work rate is exceptional and his pressure acts all over the ground would please new coach Luke Beveridge. He had 6 tackles against the Tigers to go with 18 possessions, 4 marks, 1 goal and 81 Fantasy points. His efforts saw him win this week’s NAB Rising star award and rightly so. Seeing Honeychurch play up the ground and getting amongst it at a few centre bounces should result in scores above 70 most weeks. It’s not too late to bring him in! Adam Saad (Def/Mid. $179,000, -25 be AF. $102,900, -85 be DT) is another working hard on the field. The mature age defender was again one of the Suns best after gathering 21 touches, 4 marks, 4 tackles and 80 Fantasy points. As good as he’s been, I’m still starting him on my defender bench in fear of a sub 60 score.

Isaac Heeney 69 (Mid. $294,000, 15 be AF. $137,900, -85 DT) and Dom Sheed 68 (Mid. $246,000, 26 be AF. $235,900, 22 be DT) weren’t awesome but weren’t terrible either. Scores in the high 60’s are reasonable for any rook but note that Heeney and Sheed are capable hitting the ton. Heeney is a must for Dreamteam!

Ahmed Saad (Fwd. $175,000, 22 be AF. $153,700, 17 be DT) was well on his way to a big Fantasy score until a heavy head knock saw him subbed out just after half time. The pocket dynamo had 55 Fantasy points from just 48% time on ground and he’s well enough to take his place in the Saints 22 this weekend. Saad is still relatively cheap and should do ok against the Pies but he’s not for me. The Saints other small forward, Jack Lonie (Fwd. $197,000, 2 be AF. $117,900, -46 be DT) found some confidence against the Suns racking up 15 possessions, 6 marks, 2 tackles, 1 goal and 74 Fantasy points. I’m not sure how long Saad, Lonie and Billings can all play in the same side and I’m worried that Lonie will be one for the green vest very soon. Tread carefully.

Hold fast on Mitch Clark (Fwd. $204,000, 6 be AF. $162,600, -32 DT). The big fella was hardly sighted against the Dockers and he managed just 36 Fantasy points as a result. In Clark’s defence, Ross Lyon played his number one key defender in McPharlin on him instead of Hawkins and he had limited minutes on the ball with Rhys Stanley’s acquisition into the Cats 22. Clark will destroy this Suns this weekend so don’t panic, it’s just a bump in the road. Cameron McCarthy (Fwd. $194,000, -14 be AF. $167,600, -48 be DT) continued his reasonable form with 66 Fantasy points against the Dees in Round 2. McCarthy has worked very well beside Jezza Cameron and that will continue in the coming weeks. He’s perfect bench cover.

A vestless Jed Anderson (Mid. $203,000, 5 be AF. $151,000, -31 be DT) enjoyed free reign on the big stage against the Bombers but he could only manage 61 Fantasy points, which included 6 tackles. I suspect Clarko will back him in for the short term but it might result in a couple more green vests. Melbourne pair Ben Newton 53 (Mid. $248,000, 6 be AF. $232,800, -21 be DT) and Aaron Vandenberg 56 (Mid. $173,000, -12 be AF. $136,900, -49 be DT) were well down on what is expected from their owners but don’t hit the trade button yet. Both have low enough breakevens to justify holding them for a couple more weeks yet.

Touk Miller (Mid. $217,000, 32 be AF. $117,900, -21 be DT) and Jaden McGrath (Fwd. $167,000, 16 be AF. $117,900, -19 be DT) are in danger of being dropped this week. Both youngsters failed to make an impact on field and they scored just 42 and 25 Fantasy points respectively. If they’re dropped, trade them.

Notable Round 2 mentions to Jackson Nelson 64 (Mid. $179,000, -6 be AF. $117,900, -50 be DT), Jack Sinclair 64 (Mid. $149,000, -7 be AF. $138,900, -20 be DT), Dean Towers 64 (Fwd. $230,000, 16 be AF. $236,100, 16 be DT), Cory Gregson 58 (Mid. $164,000, 10 be AF. $117,900, -16 be DT), the suspended Billie Smedts 58 (Def. $196,000, 13 be AF. $200,400, 12 be DT), Jackson Ramsay 55 (Def. $214,000, 23 be AF. $214,500, 24 be DT), Darcy Lang 50 (Mid. $243,000, 34 be AF. $257,400, 44 be DT) and Michael Talia 40 (Def. $199,000, 9 be AF. $203,200, 0 be DT) who all played well without racking up a huge Fantasy scores. These players should hold their spot this week.

Clem Smith 18 (Mid. $148,000, 27 be AF. $117,900, 9 be DT) and Jarrod Garlett 56 (Mid. $237,000, 47 be AF. $152,900, 12 be DT) received the green vest for the second week running, which doesn’t help their earnings. I suspect Garlett will be spared the vest this weekend given how dangerous he is in front of goals and how poor some of his teammates have performed. Unfortunately, ‘my boy’ Angus Brayshaw 56 (Mid. $301,000, 54 be AF. $212,900, 6 be DT) also copped the green vest for Melbourne as did the excitement machine Nakia Cockatoo 14 (Mid. $246,000, 70 be AF. $177,900, 46 be DT). Stick with Brayshaw if you own him!

I’m not happy with Brett Goodes’ (Def. $211,000, 35 be AF. $267,300, 60 be DT) Kermit and subsequent score of 17. Goodes is not your typical green vest candidate however, either the Bulldogs see it differently or he’s on the cusp of being dropped. For those that know me, I’m incredibly stubborn and unless he’s omitted, I wont trade him…yet J

 

One Gamers

Not much to get excited about from the one gamers this week!

Nathan Wright (Def. $246,000, 32 be AF. $262,100 DT) and Jono O’Rourke (Mid. $225,000, 29 be AF. $232,800 DT) were the highest scoring one gamers with 58 and 53 Fantasy points respectively but they hardly deserve a mention given how expensive they are versus their likely returns. O’Rourke could come good at Hawthorn but he’ll be a big green vest risk each week. Seb Tape (Def. $149,000, 13 be AF. $163,700 DT) is much cheaper but he scored just 43 against the Saints. I’d avoid these blokes if I were you.

Unfortunately, Simon Tunbridge 34 (Fwd. $145,000, 19 be AF. $153,800 DT), Michael Close 10 (Fwd. $201,000, 56 be AF. $214,500 DT) and popular pick Kane Lambert 23 (Fwd/Mid. $121,000, 21 be AF. $102,900 DT) all sustained injuries in Round 2. Close is out for the season, Tunbridge 3 months and Lambert will miss at least 8 weeks which is a big blow.

Liam Duggan 23 (Mid. $255,000, 63 be AF. $153,800 DT), Nathan Wilson 46 (Def. $228,000, 37 be AF. $153,800 DT), Jason Ashby 34 (Def. $210,000, 40 be AF. $262,100 DT), James Sicily 39 (Fwd. $128,000, 10 be AF. $262,100 DT) and Mason Wood 34 (Def. $253,000, 53 be AF. $262,100 DT) all wore the green vest in their first games for 2015. Ashby looks a player and he’s on my radar maybe for Round 4.

 

Please note that if I haven’t mentioned a rookie priced player above, it means I don’t rate them. Remember rooks are classified as players under $250,000 in either Fantasy or Dreamteam.

 

Keep Your Eye On

Ciaran Byrne (Def/Fwd. $120,000, 21 be AF. $124,600 DT) – The axe should swing at Carlton and Byrne deserves a go. The speedy Irishman has had a great preseason and he should average around 60 if he can avoid the green vest. Being a dual position, defender / forward is incredibly handy and he’s cheap as chips. Consider Byrne this week if he’s named and you’re looking to make some cash.

Lachlan Dalgleish (Def. $219,000, 26 be AF. $156,200 DT) – This speedster could find himself into Essendon’s 22 this week pending the fitness of Zac Merrett who has a knee complaint. Dalgleish was named as an emergency in Round 2 so he’s there abouts but if he gets a go, he’s got green vest written all over him. Watchlist worthy for now.

Darcy Moore (Def/Fwd. $274,000, 48 be AF. $182,900 DT) – This son of a gun was best a field for the Pies in a VFL practice match on the weekend. The Pies could use a third tall down in defence and against a young Saints side this Friday night, it seems to be a good initiation for this budding star. Note that Moore is also a dual position defender / forward.

 

Feel free to ask me a question below and don’t forget to add me on Twitter @JeppaDT for all things Fantasy and more. Happy trading!

83 Comments

  • great write up Jep. Any idea if Tom Lamb is likely to get a recall soon?
    He’s sitting on my pine in RDT, was thinking of holding unless he is out the team for a while.

    • With Tunbridge gone they’ll either go with Lamb or Colledge. Colledge was awesome for East Perth on the weekend though.
      I’d hold Lamb for now…Eagles have plenty of injuries.

  • Great write up Jep! Would a downgrade of KK to Oxley be viable and profitable in the long run?

  • Who do I bring in NVB or Heeney ?

  • Cheers Jeppa. Looking for my first downgrade – would you bring in Nelson Sinclar, or Byrne?

  • Ok so let’s rank the main rookies in each position so people can figure out who to bench or not.

    I am thinking…

    D; McIntosh > Oxley > Saad > Goodes
    M; Newton > Cripps > CEY > Vandenberg > Anderson
    F; Honeychurch > Salem > Clark > Hogan > McCarthy

    • i’ve got the same order as you for defence and forwards, however for mids i’ve currently got CEY ahead of cripps. other than that, same!

  • Great work Jeppa, In RDT I’m pretty much set on Lamb to Mccarthy and have the cash to go Miller to NVB, would this trade be worth it?

  • Hey Jeppa, fantastic read again!

    Would it be worth trading Cripps for say a NVB in DT and SC?

    Or is that a wasted trade? Can Cripps replicate NAB cup numbers in your opinion? They each have the same bye and if neither miss a game from here on who would you expect to have made more cash?

    Cheers!

    • Plenty of arguements on both sides for this one.
      The worry with Cripps is that he had a reputation of running out of gas in games. Carlton still want to develop him though cause he’s gona be a gun but his scores may be a little subdued for the first third of the season.
      Van Berlo is solid but not a big scorer.

      I’d hold cripps this week (if he’s named) and reassess to someone like Byrne or Freeman if it turns sour.

  • Hey Jep I love the read again. Always spot on with thoughts and facts.

    One quick question. Is Hogan a must get this week?

    I was looking at Ablett to Bont and Burger to Goldy, but seeing this should I go Ablett to Bont and then McGrath to Hogan holding Burger for one more week?

    Already have Clark, Salem and McCarthy up forward with two of them taking the field.

  • Very helpful Jeppa! Is it worth upgrading Kolo or Goodes? I have oxley, McIntosh and Said as my rooks in defence.
    Also, with Newton, Vandenberg, TMiller, Cripps and Krakouer in the midfield, do I upgrade or hold them?

  • Thanks Jeppa, great read. Wells > Van Berlo and McGrath > McCarthy in RDT for me.

  • Great read as always Jeppa.
    Selwood has unfortunately picked up an injury worth 4-6 weeks, so I’m trading him for Heppell, with 150k still remaining.
    I then have the option to trade KK, Beams or Redpath. I am thinking Redpath as I could trade him to Honeychurch/Hogan for cash generation during the season. What are your thoughts on this? Cheers

  • Great article Jeppa
    (RDT)
    If Lamb doesn’t get a gig this week, I will have to upgrade him to another rookie. The 2 that stand out for me are Tory Dickson and Mitch Honeychurch. I was at the game on Saturday and Dickson really impressed me and was one of the BOG, so surely I wouldn’t have to worry about any vest issues. Honeychurch was also the rising star…

    I see Dickson averaging more over the course of the year, but Honeychurch would be within 5 points and is 20K cheaper… Who would you pick?

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  • What do you all think of this team?

    Here’s my team

    Def: Newnes,Lumumba, Oxley,T.Hunt,Saad,Mcintosh (Goodes,Hamling)

    Mid: Barlow, Heppell, Lewis, Beams, Parker, Newton, Cripps, Cam Ellis Yolmen (Smith, Vandeberg )

    Ruck: Maric, Bellchambers
    (Griffin, Cox)

    FWD: Bartel, Martin, Swan, Gray, Salem, Walker (Mccarthy, Salem)

    Trades this week

    KK – Oxley
    Redpath – Tex

    Should I play Salem ahead of Clark?

    Suggestions appreciated

    • Not going to get rid of Beams?

      • Will give him one more week?

        Do you think I should play Salem ahead of CLark?

        • Its a tough one. Seems Clark will either go high or low but Salem is going to be consistently around the 60-80 mark. I’ll probably play Clark personally, I’ve got the same dilemma

          • Thanks.
            What do you think of the rest of my team.
            Really nervous with my 3 rookies in my defence.

        • Yeah I’m going to, surely he can kick a few against the Suns!

    • Yeah liking the rest of it. I think you need to look at upgrading Bellchambers to Jacobs or Goldy eventually. Good midfield locks aside from Beams too. Rookie defenders aren’t doing too badly for the moment so nothing wrong there!

  • Is it worth trading Redpath for Honeychurch? I don’t really want to spend the extra coin but it seems like Honeychurch is set to still keep rising a bit and Redpath probably won’t make it back into the team any time soon.

    Current FWD: Bartel, Gray, Dusty, Bont, Clark, Salem (McCarthy, Redpath). I have 200k in the bank and considering downgrading Kolo to another defender also.

  • No mention of Jed Anderson Jeppa?

    • “A vestless Jed Anderson (Mid. $203,000, 5 be AF. $151,000, -31 be DT) enjoyed free reign on the big stage against the Bombers but he could only manage 61 Fantasy points, which included 6 tackles. I suspect Clarko will back him in for the short term but it might result in a couple more green vests. “

    • My bad!

  • Yes their is.

  • Great read Jep!

    Ben Reid a chance this week or next? Only 140k ish as a forward

  • If Byrne is named do I trade goodes to him which would allow me to go beams to Barlow or KK/lumumba to premo??

  • Didnt like Jaden McGrath’s game had him on the field and it cost me. 25 points!!
    That being the case Honeychurch or Hogan as his replacement?

  • which 2 to start with: Salem, Clark, McCarthy, H-Church

  • With A.Walker coming back into the lineup for Carlton will that affect Docherty’s scoring?

    • Good question! Was thinking about the KK to Docherty move if I didnt dump McGrath. Yeah it could. If possible it might be wise to wait a week and see and fix up another issue???

  • Is Kavanagh going to break into the essendon team this season? which rookie mid should i pick up if he’s not? Already have newton vandenburg CEY and cripps.

    • anyone that is playing so wait for teams. It may be better to get someone like nvb/rich or even heeney as they will play and score better. There doesn’t seem to be anyone to get right now as a mid rookie.

    • anderson

  • Is it worth bringing in Nelson/Sinclair for a non-playing rookie if I have Beams/Lumumba/Leuey to get rid of?

  • DEF: hibbo, shaw, newnes, lumumba, mcintosh, goodes (oxley, saad)

    MID: lewis, beams, barlow, parker, neale, rich, newton, CEY (cripps, vandanberg)

    RUCK: berger, belly (holmes, cox)

    FWD: martin, gray, swan, bartel, salem, honeychurch (clark, mccarthy)

    124k left

    1. neale + beams > bont + heppell+70k/sloane +87k
    2. beams + berger > bont + goldy + 4k
    3. beams + lumumba > bont + birchall + 150k

  • Jeeepppppaaaaaa

  • What’s peoples thoughts KK may go better with Ablett out??

  • Would it be wrong to consider starting Oxley over kolo

  • would next week be too late to bring in oxley. thinking of keeping lumumba in for one more week before downgrading

  • Hopefully byrne is named then i’ll go goodes to byrne & berger to jacobs ($106k left). Give KK one more week

  • who should i start vandenberg, clark or cameron

  • Newton or Clark better for the long run? Downgrading one this week to get in tex. Can be either thanks to DPP forwards. Cheers

  • who’s this Jake Kelly Jepp?

  • who would you recommend me downgrading bennel or prestia?? or should i keep them because they havn’t done anything wrong as yet

  • Hey lads

    With my team this week I was thinking because I have 17K in the bank, trading Cockatoo out for Ellis Dolmen in which will leave me 87K in the bank and then this is where i need help. I have either Goodes or Tippett to trade out and am thinking about getting Byrne in. if i trade Goodes out for Byrne I will have 178K in the bank whereas if I trade Tippett out I will have 95K in the bank. I personally like the Goodes trade because then I can upgrade to a premium next week. Please help

  • Should I trade Goodes to Oxley or Byrne.
    Concerned about Byrne’s job security.

  • Sorry for the early query Jeppa – but with North’s midfield injuries, what’s Dumont’s chances of getting a gig this week? vest / long term JS issues?