Jeppa’s Juniors – Round 13

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Fantasy aside, what an awesome weekend of footy. Ballantyne was relentless, Buddy showed his worth, West Coast were lucky, the Giants stood tall, Bartel had a million possessions, the Doggies caught the Pies knapping and young Christian Salem kicked a match winner. Almost every game had a headline but the headline for Fantasy read ‘Diabolical’.

Prior to lockout, we knew Watson, Cox, Gunston and Polec were all going to miss however, it was the late outs of Beams and Stevie J that really hit those that didn’t have adequate backup. It’s not the first time multiple outs have stung coaches and as we get deeper into the season it will only get worse! So let’s learn from the misfortune of Round 13 and ensure that you have suitable backup in every line whether it is by way of a cheap premium (Zorko & Dahlhaus) or a young up and comer (Miles & Martin).

 

Three-Or-More Gamers

KEEPERS

Round 13 saw a new wave of rookies come through the Fantasy ranks. No longer will I dwell on the usual suspects in Dom Tyson, 93 (Mid. $451,284, 95 be AF. $450,100, 128 be DT), Jared Polec, inj. (Mid. $393,371, 94 be AF. $383,300, 109 be DT), Tom Langdon, 91 (Def/Mid. $393,733, 68 be AF. $385,300, 54 be DT), Luke McDonald, 72 (Def/Mid. $323,131, 56 be AF. $320,700, 60 be DT), etc. You should have upgraded these players by now (or they’re currently bench cover). From here on in, it will all be about the fresh faces available.

Jeremy McGovern (Fwd. $206,114, -34 be AF. $190,900, -68 be DT) is the most exciting young prospect in AFL Fantasy/Dreamteam. They call him ‘Big Turbo’ at West Coast and you can see why. He gets to contest after contest and has hands like buckets that allow him to clunk most high balls that come his way. McGovern has taken 20 marks over the past two rounds and it appears the Eagles want to use him as a swingman, a bit like Ben Reid and Harry Taylor. He finished with 95 Fantasy points against the Suns, kicked the winning goal and was named in the Eagles’ best players after his efforts. There are no job security issues for McGovern in the short term and given that he has the lowest breakeven in both Fantasy and Dreamteam this week, there is plenty of money to be made if you pick him up.

Marcus Bontempelli (Mid. $269,863, 6 be AF. $272,200, -1 be DT) was the last person I expected to step up against the Pies. He wreaked havoc in the midfield, racking up 22 possessions, 5 marks, 4 tackles, 1 goal and 92 Fantasy points at the final siren. There’s no doubting that Bontempelli is a confidence player so hopefully he can build on his performance that saw him win this week’s NAB Rising Star nomination. Lewis Taylor (Fwd/Mid. $315,219, 44 be AF. $311,000, 38 be DT) was another to play out of his skin. Against the Giants, Taylor kept his team in the match by kicking three goals and he scored 83 Fantasy points in the process. He is a keeper for one more week but after that I’d look to upgrade/downgrade him.

Uncommon selections in Dean Kent (Mid. $249,050, 16 be AF. $261,900, 13 be DT) and Jon Ceglar (Ruc. $292,642, 20 be AF. $301,700, 30 be DT) both get a mention for being unsung heroes for their respective clubs. Kent used his pace to great effect and kicked two excellent second half goals. He had 91 Fantasy points and was one of the Dees best on the day. Ceglar was a pillar of strength for the Hawks with 16 possessions, 4 marks, 2 tackles, 22 hitouts, 2 goals and 88 Fantasy points but unfortunately he’s biding his time until McEvoy returns. As good as they were on the weekend, I still wouldn’t look to bring in these players however, if you already own them then hold for now.

Those that still have Jake Lloyd, 76(Mid. $275,256, 10 be AF. $280,500, 59 be DT)…keep him! Dan Hannebery is out for the next 4 weeks and John Longmire has indicated that Lloyd, who is in great touch, will step up his midfield role to fill the void. Same applies to Xavier Ellis, 77 (Def/Mid. $277,574, 25 be AF. Mid. $280,300, 26 be DT). With Scooter and Shuey missing in action, Ellis played the majority of last week’s match in midfield. He’ll play on the ball again this week against the Saints so expect a 75+ score.

DON’T PANIC

Zac Merrett, 68 (Fwd. $352,561, 47 be AF. $358,700, 61 be DT), Patrick Ambrose, 68 (Fwd. $271,224, 33 be AF. $264,700, 35 be DT), Cameron Shenton, 63 (Fwd/Mid. $246,430, 21 be AF. $256,400, 47 be DT), Matthew Spangher, 63 (Fwd. $291,382, 37 be AF. $288,500, 10 be DT) and Claye Beams, 59 (Mid. $251,721, 17 be AF. $258,200, 3 be DT) were all solid without being amazing. These youngsters can score well and given their respectable breakevens, I’d hold them. Don’t lose sleep though if you need to offload one of these players to more profitable youngsters in Martin, Miles and/or McGovern.

Zac O’Brien (Mid. $148,311, 9 be AF. $128,600, 8 be DT) copped his third consecutive vest from as many games but he is still scoring at a reasonable rate when he’s on the field. Against the Giants, O’Brien had 46 Fantasy points from just 41% game time. C’mon Leppitch, give him a full game so we can see what the kid can do!

TRADE, TRADE, TRADE

If I haven’t categorised a player from Round 13 under ‘Keepers’ or ‘Don’t Panic’ then trade them out as soon as you can but when appropriate!

 

Two Gamers

Stefan Martin (Ruc/Fwd. $258,121, -16 be AF & $241,500, -54 be DT) proved that his score of 99 in Round 12 was no fluke. He had Mumford’s measure in the game and finished with 9 kicks, 7 handballs, 4 marks, 4 tackles, 28 hitouts and a whopping 100 Fantasy points. I’d argue that Martin is Brisbane’s most important player at the minute given the way he is able to compete in the air and on the ground. Being more nimble than his taller and heavier opponents, he picks up a few cheap possessions along the way. The way I see it, Martin is a must have in both Fantasy and Dreamteam. If you don’t have him, then trade him in!

Anthony Miles (Mid. $307,055, 10 be AF & $249,800, -42 be DT) should have been playing months ago and there are no job security issues for him now. He was easily Richmond’s best player against the Dockers after amassing 30 possessions (15 contested), 1 mark, 4 tackles, 1 goal and 105 Fantasy points. Even though he’s a little pricey, Miles’ average of 96 is hard to ignore and he’d make a great M9. Think of how handy it would have been if he was your emergency this week with Stevie J and Beams late omissions!

Notable mentions to Nic Graham, 37 (Mid. $195,582, 24 be AF & $196,700, 15 be DT) and Aidan Riley, 21 (Mid. $137,477, 22 be AF & $152,300, 27 DT). Vests and poor scores from these two are slaps in the face so stay away.

 

One Gamers

Darcy Lang (Mid. $213,321, 31 be AF & $137,800 DT) was the one gamer that impressed me the most this week. He started in the green vest against the Saints but came on at half time after Horlin-Smith sustained a back injury. Lang is a terrific user of the footy, has plenty of speed and is very composed for such a young player. He played at half forward and had 5 kicks, 2 handballs, 2 marks, 6 tackles, 1 goal and 57 Fantasy points from just 41% game time so there’s something to work with from a Fantasy point of view. Lang’s fellow young teammate, Brad Hartman (Fwd. $122,963, -3 be AF & $119,200 DT) also made his debut in Round 13. He plays with plenty of energy from half back but lacks a little polish with his disposal. He finished with 14 possessions, 1 mark, 5 tackles and 59 Fantasy points but his numbers were propped up after he had a run on the ball in the last quarter when the game was dead and buried. Ultimately, both Lang and Hartman won’t play in too many more games this season. Stevie J, Caddy and Christensen will all return over the next couple of weeks and unfortunately it will be at the expense of these youngsters.

Ben Ross, 31 (Mid. $111,171, 15 be AF & $98,500 DT), Elliott Kavanagh, 19 (Mid. $206,265, 58 be AF & $237,400 DT) and Tim Broomhead, 17 (Fwd. $164,186, 45 be AF & $119,200 DT) were others to be given the green vest in Round 13. You can’t ignore Ross’s score of 31 in a quarter and a bit so hopefully he gets more opportunities to build on his debut for the Hawks. Broomhead and Kavanagh were both late ins on Sunday and they didn’t excite during their limited game time. I rate Broomhead highly so hopefully we get to see more of him soon. Hold off picking these three for the time being.

I’ll give a quick shout out to small forward turned defender, Nathan Wilson (Fwd. $143,826, 21 be AF & $184,400 DT) and key defender, Mark Austin (Def. $175,726, 40 be AF & $213,000 DT). Both were late ins for their respective clubs and they scored just 38 and 28 Fantasy points respectively. That’s enough of a reason to stay away from them in my opinion.

 

Keep Your Eye On

This is the week Mitch Honeychurch (Fwd/Mid. $135,500, 48 be AF & $112,800 DT) will debut for the Bulldogs. If he doesn’t get a guernsey, then we may need to send Brendan McCartney some hate mail! Honeychurch knows how to find the footy; he’s tenacious around the contest and will fit nicely in the Bulldogs setup. He was hands down, the best player in his VFL game last weekend after gathering 25 possessions, 10 marks, 3 tackles, 5 goals and a whopping 136 Fantasy points. As a dual position player the upside is massive! A green vest is likely first up so put him on your watchlist.

There was big hype around Shane Kersten (Fwd. $115,200, 41 be AF & $119,200 DT) at the start of the year. With Podsiadly leaving Geelong at the end of last season, the view was that Kersten (and Vardy) would play a key forward role for the Cats but a knee injury has seen him miss the first 13 games. After 13 possessions and 6 goals in the seconds last weekend, Kersten is in prime position to be named this week. He’ll be a popular F7/F8!

Blaine Johnson (Fwd. $115,200, 41 be AF & $98,500 DT) is a medium sized forward making waves in the VFL. He was named as an emergency for the Blues in Round 11 so after 13 touches and 3 goals in the reserves last weekend he’ll be close again to being named on Thursday night. Given the role he plays, I doubt Johnson will average more than 65 but he’s cheap as chips!

It’s pretty sad that Tim Membrey (Fwd. $124,400, 44 be AF & $119,200 DT) can’t get a game at the Swans. He has been in superb form in the NEAFL all season and after two years on Sydney’s list he is still yet to make his debut. Membrey is a medium sized forward (a bit like Chris Mayne) and the only way I see him fitting into Sydney’s 22 would be if Adam Goodes went down with injury.

 

Got a question? Ask me on Twitter @JeppaDT.

94 Comments

  • Great read Jeppa, should I go with

    Hallahan > O’brien/Ross
    Or
    Ambrose > Hartman

    (Need the money!)

  • Will kersten or honey church be a better pick?

  • Great stuff once again Jeppa! What are your thoughts of Kade Kolodjashnij? Is it time to trade him, or is he a worthy D7? Cheers

    • offload him. I like a cheap Jaensch as D7 next week!

      • What’s Kolo’s breakeven like in RDT?

        I have Kolo and Langford as my D7 and D8 and will get rid of one this week and DPP Langdon back into defence as cover. If Kolo has a high BE I’ll probably get rid of him first.

  • Thanks for the article Jeppa. Your usual high standard. Trade 1 this week will be Fasolo to Bartell. But what is the better second trade? I was planning Gunston to Harvey, leaving $25k in kitty. But would I be better going for McGovern (for either Gunston or Charlie Cameron who is my F8)?

  • Great article Jeppa. Who is the best defence downgrade in your opinion at the moment? Need some cover and nothing is jumping out at me, Simpkin perhaps? Cheers

  • great article Jeppa! do you think its worth trading o’brien if he gets another vest? perhaps for honeychurch next week (if he plays this week)

    Dying for prospect rookie defender, its a drought out back at the moment! bews and aylett are not good cover…

    • Probably. He should get a full run this week though

      Instead of downgrading …bring in Jaensch as D7 if you can!

      • brought him in 2 weeks ago :( bloke is leaking cash at D6 and giving me shite scores. if i can find cash i will move him to D7 and bring in a different premo, but thats a few weeks away i’d think…

  • Time to offload Hallahan and Bews as soon as possible? They both seem to be on the outer.

    • yeah, hallalan doesnt seem to be getting games, might be worth trading sideways to miles, or cash grab someone else (o’brien?) depending on your other mid bench cover.
      bews should be back this week, hopefully he stops with the f@#$ing sub 50 scores

  • jeppa
    should i upgrade dahlhous to robbie gray or brent harvey?
    or go for a downgrade to mcgovern? and get 300+ in the bank?

  • Martin or McGovern F6?

    • martin seems more likely to have that 20-40 points buffer from hitouts, so i’m playing him and leaving mcgovern on the bench (using tex as the E). I played martin at f6 this week and wasnt disappointed with his effort against mumford, hopefully he can perform similarly against sandilands….

  • Great work as always Jeppa, i just wanted to ask if u think s.martin is a suitable f6 in RDT or is he too risky, and better off being an r3 or f7?

  • Listening to 3AW last night and Gerrard Healey was saying Zak Jones will get a game this weekend for Sydney

  • good work G. martin or mcgovern for me too, dunno which. Sneaky feeling martin will be good, but might be absent come finals. hopefully not!

  • Please help with a choice of my F8. Thurlow for the dpp with Martin in rucks, kersten as he’s nice and cheap or honey church is more of a gun but the extra $20k over kersten/thurlow is important for upgrades. McGovern is my F7

    • What about Stefan Martin for your F8 which gives you the option later on of moving him to R3 when you bench rucks need replacing? Kersten & Honeychurch are cheap but not playing. Honeychurch not likely to play this week as last I heard he was suspended. Even if Kersten is selected this week, which is a long way short of certain, what would his job security be? This means your F8 is not making you money which is reducing your options and flexibility for the coming rounds. I always try to have selected players in all 30 places. Doesn’t always work, such as currently as I had 6 of my Round 12 players miss Round 13. But I think it is a very good aim that has helped me avoid donuts and field a competitive team. One of my prime rules: do not draft in non-selected players in the hope they get a game sometime. Call it the Currie syndrome.

      • Henry, really appreciate your reply, and your input you always give to everyone, must be that feeling when youve got so many wives

  • Are any more coaches gunna get burnt and bring in SJ with a 150+ BE

  • I’m bringing Martin in for R3 this week and McGovern in next week

  • Have a double downgrade opportunity this week in my league. One team failed to submit there team so they been scoring zero each week handing out a free 4 points to its opponent. No chance for the number 1 in the land so league title it is.

    Out goes Ambrose for McGovern. And Langford for litherland. $400K in the kitty for a double upgrade next week to just about finish the lineup. Not bad after coming over 2298 last week.

  • Thanks Jeppa, great article
    In fantasy I currently have Langford/Bews as D7/8 so unless Langford is named (very unlikely) I’ll upgrade him pushing Higgins to D7. With my other trade, should I downgrade Hallahan to Mcgovern or Martin?
    Either of these would then be F7

    Also, I still have Tyson at M8. Should I keep him and push to M9 or use his value for an upgrade?

    • Get Mcgovern

      Use tyson as an M9

    • I think Tyson is way too expensive to be using as a back-up…. You can downgrade him to Miles and pocket $150k. Both will probably average the same… Hard to justify $450k sitting on the bench…

      • I see where you’re coming from although last year I had premiums as back up on every line (Kornes in mid) With 2 trades a week in fantasy cash generation isn’t a huge issue so if you can have really good backup with someone like Tyson then that’s probably ideal

        If I could do that trade I would but have to get rid of Langford and Hallahan this week and don’t have the cash to get Miles

  • Ok i have 3 options for this week i can go Gunston-Boomer and Shenton-Miles i dont like gunstons form. My 2nd trade option i can do it Ambrose-Mcgoven and Zorko/walker-Parker thoghts on that one My last trade is Ambrose-mcgoven and Shenton-miles
    PLEASE HELP THIS IS DOING MY HEAD IN and i have to consider injurys and gunston might not play :/ please help

  • McGovern missed training yesterday with that hip-flexor he was getting worked on during the match. I reckon they rest him even if he’s just a little sore as they play the Saints.

    • source?

      would make my trades this week so much easier if I knew he wasn’t playing!

    • Bugger. Really! I havent heard that one.

      • Named at full forward not sure that info is correct cant find anything anywhere!!

    • Yeah, I’ve heard about that. I honestly hope he doesn’t play so I can get Miles and Martin this week and him next week at the same price

  • Hey Sam,Parkers BE should be pretty high this week.id wait a week on him.another player that’s shooting it up is Devon Smith of GWS

  • Thanks Jeppa, good info as always.
    I am hoping someone can help me…

    I wish to get rid of Shaun Higgins, move hanley from MID to DEF, Move Martin from FWD to MID and trade in McGovern (in Fantasy).
    I cannot for the life of me work out how to. I can get Hanley to the backline, then there is no option to move Martin !@%$

    Any help greatly appreciated.

    • unfortunately you can only do one DPP swap during a trade. annoying i know! ruined me a couple of weeks ago too with my mid/fwds. not sure if you have to pay $$$ to get assistant coach to trade like that?

      • Cheers Will, assistant coach does not help as I have it.

        • Woah, I just traded for the first time with the updated android app and it let me do a double dpp trade. I just traded chappy out of the fwds, moved danger from mid to forwards, moved McVeigh to mid from Def and then traded in a defender. They must have updated!

  • By the look of it Higgins is currently in your def.

    unlike RDT, in Fantasy you can only DPP swap in one line. ie you can trade higgins to a midfielder by switching hanley back to def.

    • As I suspected. I have lodged a query with the fantasy providers, if I get any joy from them I will let you know…

  • Query about mid bench:

    currently have Hallahan on bench (he can stay there), as well as CBeams.

    Looking at other cheapo mids for cash trade in this week – who to trade in out of Miles (great BE) or JLloyd (JS good for the next few weeks while Hannebury is out).

    thoughts?

  • Should I get in miles or mcgovern

    • Depends. Miles if you have to start young/cheap midfielder…or McGovern as a backup because he’ll earn you more money

  • My mid bench is Hallahan and Jake Lloyd.
    Is it worth trading Hallahan to Miles or is it a waste of a trade since I have Lloyd??

    • I thought Lloyd would get more mid time with hannebry out

    • worth it. then downgrade lloyd after his price goes up or his BE starts to reflect his AVG. maybe hnoeychurch will play by that point

  • Do u recon gunston will play this week?

  • Great article as always Jeppa.
    Definitely going to downgrade Hallahan but should I get rid of Jelwood for someone like Treloar or upgrade either Le Cras or Walker?
    Cheers mate

    • im speculating but i reckon jelwood will be rested this week. Id go Jelwood to Ebert!

  • Should I get Mark Hutchings in from WCE for $389K since Scooter is out he may get more midfield time, or go for Anthony Miles from Richmond?

    • Risky but there’s no doubting his scoring potential. I think he can average 100 from now on so could be a great unique

    • interesting but too risky better off banking an extra $80k with miles given that they should score/av. the same

  • Hey Jeppa, have a must win league match with even teams, so im not sure whether to get mcgovern and martin for s lloyd and derickx or have a better chance at winning with s lloyd to honeychurch/kersten and roo to harvey.
    Thoughts appreciated

    • You’ll have a better chance with that second option. since its a must win, Id go S.Lloyd to Honeychurch (cause of his DPP) and upgrade somewhere.

      I reckon Roo will go ok against WCE.
      I like RObbie Gray too against the Dogs at home also

  • Has anyone else been getting away with Langdon at their D6 position? Has been great and really consistent.

    • Yep he is good isn’t he! I might look to trade next week though

    • i’ve got him at D6 but he’s not a reliable D6 anymore. His average of 78 shows that.

  • Great article as always Jepp! Hannebery’s injury is just a few days too late as I already traded out Jake Lloyd :/

    This is my first time playing DT with limited trades. How many trades do you have left? I have 7 pre-trades this week, but likely I need to use both to finish off my midfield and move K.Mitchell to M9.

    • Ive got 8 in RDT and im nervous about it!

      • I’m stuffed. Only have 6 left, or 4 after this week in RDT. Too much carnage early on ruined any hope of having a decent year. Ranked 6500 ish in RDT. Concentrating on my 8500 ranking in Fantasy.

      • I see, so I’m not the only one! :p I’m currently ranked in Top 300 in RDT. So hoping for some major luck to get through til the end!

  • Great stuff Jeppa. Pulling the trigger a week or so early on Tex > S. Martin this week and Ambrose to Gray. Will give my shitty mid ‘premos’ in Jelwood and Joey one more week to redeem themselves.

  • Do you think Mclovin might get def/fwd dpp? Would make it more worthwhile to keep Higgins

  • Anyone after a cheap defender for bench cover,have a look at Lachlan Keefe of Coll.His ave is only 48 but his last 4 is 75 with scores of 70-87-69 and BE 12.only. $259,281 in AF.

    • Key Position player for the pies and isn’t that much of a downgrade from Langford anyway and is an upgrade from bews.

  • Which trade would be better,
    walker to Harvey or gray
    Or
    Jaensch to bartel

  • Thanks Jeppa sorry for posting this here but thoughts would be great. :)
    DEF: McVeigh, Hanley, Simpson, Hibberd, Swallow, Suckling (Langford, Bews)
    MID: Ablett, Rockliff, Pendlebury, Beams, Cotchin, Selwood, Tyson, Langdon (Billings, Shenton)
    RUCK: Sandilands, Jacobs (Derickx, Currie)
    FWD: Martin, Parker, Dahlhaus, Wingard, Zorko, Dangerfield (Ambrose, Cameron)

    Cash: $ 5,580

    I’ve gone Billings to Obrein anf Tyson to Barlow leaving me with around $60,000 and will probably downgrade Langford next week and upgrade Langdon to Stevie J and trade Cotchin/Jelwood/Wingard/Suckling the weeks afetr. I will probably get Honeychurch/Kersten in if he is named as well (kicked 5 last week). Thoughts on possible other trades thanks…
    Thoughts???

  • Hey jeppa. Considering bringing mcgovern in to f6, probably just for this week and then move him to f7 next. I traded out higgins for him so he should score more….right?

  • Is Lowden likely to get a game this week? I want to offload Derickx, and already have Stefan Martin… Thoughts?

  • hey lads,

    downgrading Sam Lloyd this week to free up some cash to upgrade my final rookie in Ambrose next week. Would it be a better option to bring in Mcgovern or Kersten and get the extra 90k?

    cheers

  • Hey jeppa, good article mate. Would u downgrade ambrose to mcgovern this week or kersten now that hes been named?