The Numbers – Round 5

TheNumbers

Numbers… let’s be honest – it’s what DT is all about. Price changes; averages; break-evens… the list goes on. In 2013, on a weekly basis I will strip the records clean and scour the AFL for the numbers different to those we spend our days staring at… Staring at in the hope that we’ll have a fantasy football epiphany; and all of the secrets of the DT Universe will be revealed.

The Numbers… a unique look at the world of Fantasy Football.

1.24 – This was the time on the clock when Fremantle sunk the hearts of Tigers’ fans everywhere as Hayden Ballantyne kicked through the game-winning goal in the Friday night clash with Richmond. Controversy aside, this match was as close as they come as the Dockers held on in that final minute to get the four points in a hard-fought contest.

6 – Games thus far in 2013 that game been decided by a goal or less. In a round that was filled with close games, half of the six ‘one-shot-in-it’ contests occurred in Round 5. The largest win of the weekend was actually the Anzac Day clash with Essendon downing Collingwood by 46 points.

12.5 (79) – This is the difference in points scored (12 goals, 5 behinds) for Budd Franklin comparing this weekend’s narrow win over North Melbourne and 2012’s demolition of the very same side. That was the day Buddy kicked 13.4 and topped to 200 DT mark for the first time. In reasonably good form, what was the difference between the two games and Buddy’s performance? Maybe Hawthorn felt bad for North and didn’t feel like a repeat – who knows. But that’s the thing with Lance Franklin and the Haws… every time they take the field you get the feeling they could pile on a huge score – a very, very dangerous team.

14 – Dom Tyson, Jonathan Patton, Ryan Shoenmakers, Daniel Menzel, Anthony Morabito, Alex Woodward, Daniel Markworth, Alan Toovey, Claye Beams, Alex Johnson, Kepler Bradley, Jamie Bennell, Matthew Suckling, Taylor Walker. What do these names have in common? Five rounds into the 2013 AFL Season and all of these blokes have already injured their ACL, effectively ruling them out for the entire season. Confirmed by Doc Larkins Monday morning, the average yearly ACL injuries as of last year was (you guessed it) – 14! So five rounds in and we’ve already seen that many – one has to question how the changes to the game are affecting the players.

16Number of players who tallied up 30+ possessions in what was a great weekend for big numbers. The best of the lot was former-Demons Brent Moloney, who absolutely smashed his former club on the weekend and held no mercy as he tallied a round-high 36 touches in a stellar performance for his new club. This high number has become a regular thing in the AFL nowadays, as the 30 + disposal game is far more common than a player kicking a bag of 5 or 6 goals. For the record, rounds 1 and 2 had just 12 players manage this, whilst the trend has risen since then – with 15 topping the count in round 3 and 17 in round 4.

22Back to the topic of winning/losing margins, and this weekend had the lowest average margin of the season to date – with no real ‘blowouts’ occurring. Compare to this to Round 2’s average margin of 42 or Round 3’s 41; and it seems that round 5 treated us to a far more even fixture. Perhaps this was because the two expansion clubs GWS and Gold Coast played each other? Wrong! The Suns actually gave GWS the second-highest shellacking of the round in 44 points. Maybe it’s just because Melbourne finally ‘stood up’ and only lost by 28 to the Lions in Brisbane. Whatever the reason, I for one would love to see more close games – that’s what brings fans through the gates, not 150-point drubbings…

34What is seemingly an unspectacular disposal tally was made amazing on Thursday night as rising Bomber David Zaharakis became the first Essendon Player to total both 34 touches AND 4 goals when he was the undisputed best of ground against Collingwood at the MCG. A deserving winner of the ANZAC Day Medal, ‘Zaha’ continues to build his profile as an emerging, elite goal-kicking midfielder.

41That’s how many points unbeaten Port Adelaide were behind when they decided to turn the game on its head when they played rival West Coast at the weekend. In what has been an inspired start to the campaign by new coach Ken Hinkley, the Power, led by Westhoff, Cornes and Hartlett have been fantastic in their opening five games; and now sit unbeaten at the top of the AFL Ladder prior to round 6. Did anyone expect this? Honestly? Surely not even Power supporters could have – but I can tell you now that they’d be making the most of it while they can! (Wins haven’t exactly come easy these past few years).

28, 150On a weekend where Australia and New Zealand remember those that fought and died for our freedom, it would be un-patriotic to make mention of those that were killed or injured fighting with valour so that we can enjoy the many freedoms we have today. Respect and thanks must also be paid to the thousands more who have served our country since Gallipoli, and continue to do so to this day. If you’re a member of the armed forces or Australian defence force – your contribution to this country is greatly appreciated. Also – interested to hear from any DT-fanatical military-men (and women) so give us a shout of twitter or in the comments! 

36,365Amount of fans at the Freo v Richmond game on Friday night that saw the ball run into the umpire in the fourth quarter. In what was a certain goal, the result was just the beginning as both coaches and several media streams have put pressure on the AFL to increase the measures regarding the supposed ‘Goal Review’ protocol; to avoid ridiculous circumstances such as that from the weekend. Alternatively, just get the bloody goal umpires to move out of the way! Surely they can still see just fine 30 centimetres back?

Send me your ‘Numbers’ for the week @McRathDT

The Benchmark 

Straying from the usual individual shout out, I couldn’t pass up the opportunity to give credit where credit is due in relation to DT Talk’s own. At the start of the year, several DT Talk coaches from all around Australia put together a ‘DT Talk State League’ to go up against the other states to see which state is best when it comes to AFL Fantasy. As the Queensland ‘Captain’ it hurts a little to say, but WA is clearly the best at this stage. A huge congratulations to tBetta and his league ‘DT Talk – WA’ who are currently the #1 ranked league in AFL Fantasy. With an average of 2040.82, they are a team full of champions – unfortunately for us QLDers, were somewhat a little way back, ranked at a respectable 83rd with a clean avg of 2011 per team.

Talk of the Town

Jaeger O’Meara has exploded onto the AFL scene in 2013, with an incredible 115 DT Points in R5 to help his team to a club-record 148-104 (48 point) victory. In what will surely be recognised as a NAB Rising Star performance, his 25 touches (17 kicks), 5 marks, 4 tackles and 2.3 goals are numbers you’d expect from a seasoned star of 200 games. But from a kid that’s playing his 5th game of AFL football? This guy is a freak! To imagine him in 200 games would be mind-blowing, as it’s easy to see why the Gold Coast did what they needed to do to get this kid in their colours.

Whore of the Week

Despite many solid performances in round 5, the WotW nomination for this week goes to a young Magpie who has now played 85 games in the black and white. Steele Sidebottom was absolutely everywhere in the first half of Thursday’s ANZAC Day clash with Essendon. Tallying an incredible 98 points to half-time, he tallied a lazy 31 touches, 9 marks, 6 tackles and a sausage roll in a great all-round performance that netted him a season-high 143 points. With the absence of Luke Ball and Dayne Beams, he’s stood up – averaging 103 over the first 5 weeks of the competition. A star on the rise, expect his name to be around for a long time.

The Round Up

Highlights – Those that kept the faith with Scooter Selwood (136) would be happy with his past 3 rounds averaging 135 points. Zorko may be back to form with an encouraging 120 points against the Dees at the weekend. O’Meara (115) and Mayes (111) were brilliant on field – anyone else not bring in Mayes? Yep, I’m feeling pretty stupid right about now.

Lowlights – Westhoff crashed back down to earth with West Coast’s Mitch Brown doing a fantastic job curtailing his output for just 45 points. Not so great for his many fantasy owners who were perhaps expecting, I don’t know – at least 80 points?! Others to disappoint were Sam Rowe (31) and Sam Dwyer (47) who are fast reaching their peak as rookies. And you know what that means? Culling time!

Team McRath – Another solid week for our boys as I totalled 2072 to stay inside the top-8000 – am yet to top the 2100 mark in what has been a so-so start to season 2013.

How was Round 5 for you? Are you firing on all cannons or sinking to the bottom of the ocean?

Feel free to shout out some feedback in the comments, or perhaps put forward your own creative Numbers for the week. Also – if you’re not already… follow me on the Tweetvine @McRathDT

66 Comments

  • Great article as always McRath and happy birthday!

    Due to all the carnage down back are you feeling safe with your back line rookies or are changes being made?

  • 5 – The number of trades I need to cover injuries and suspensions this week.

    • I would say +1, but that’s just wrong. Totally agree. Wondering which doughnut to cover best

  • Happy Birthday Matty, well written again, but you had to start and finish with sad stats for me.

    I had the choice between Evans and Mayes, and went Evans. All is not lost as Mayes still has a big negative BE – still worth getting in. I’ve gone Crouch>Mayes.

  • Great stuff as always McRath :)
    22,546-Size of crowd at first game on international soil for premiership points!

  • 2- the trades we get per week… and one of the big dramas of the preseason. In my opinion, and other readers may be different, this has freshened up DT a lot more and there is much more engagement. The true value of these trades will be in the second half of the season.

    • 50000+ people not playing dreamteam compared to last year that may disagree with you

      • 200000+ people playing that might agree

      • Interesting that you put trades down to numbers dropping. Is that the case in SC too, who had a bigger number drop (not % like DT).

        • When I become a teacher DT will be put into the curriculum. Valuable life lessons to be learned and we would have more participants, a nice little win-win!

        • I think there was a spike in numbers of there passed 2 years purely because of the 2 new teams which made it easy for people who don’t know about this site to pick rookies with little research required, Now this year there are only people who were willing to do research (or pinch teams from websites such as this one). There could be a totally different reason if anyone else has any theories?

          • of there = over the -_- need edit function on posts

          • I’ll throw in there that byes and subs have a big impact. With more games out there (especially the popularity of draft), people are prioritising things… which has led to people choosing which comp they play more OR in my case, I don’t have the same WAGs teams I used to as I can’t manage my own DT, SC, Centrebet, Footytips, UF, etc teams. I’ve added 3 new teams to the Warne Dawgs franchise so therefore my girlfriend doesn’t have a team this year. I’m sure there are others in the same boat.

            I find it hard to believe that both DT and SC would drop in huge numbers due to the trading system.

          • All good points, guess I drew the parallel with my own thoughts to the 2 trades a week.Def not a fan am from the old school I guess.
            Each to their own

    • I run a couple of leagues with mates and people were certainly more hesitant to join up this year. There was a lot of “oh i cant be effed this year…. too many changes blah blah” and mostly from the guys who have struggled in previous years.

      What i’ve noticed is that once everyone got started, they are back into it like never before. Hour long DT phone calls on company time are almost a daily occurrence!

      I think its fair to say that the guys/gals who should be playing, are still playing. Long live!

  • Ahem… Change that 6 to a & mate!

  • Great article man.
    3-Number of season-ending knee injuries this round.

  • sorry 7

  • Happy Birthday mate, we are missing the number of years you have been alive :-)

  • Great Article!! Always love reading your stuff each week

    DEF:Goddard, Gibbs, Heppell, Goodes, Stevenson, Pittard (Terlich, Heath)
    MID:Swan, Ablett, Watson, Pendlebury, Cotchin, Wines, O’Meara, Evans (Crouch, Neade)
    RUC:Cox, Burger (Blicavs, Daw)
    FWD:Bartel, Rockliff, Westhoff, Robinson, Kennedy, Mayes (Macaffer, Dwyer)

    66k remaining
    Any thoughts?? Trades

  • 0 – the number of players who cried after the game in which they smashed their old team.

  • Happy birthday McRath.
    Another on the list of disappointments was Buddy Franklin. All I needed was for him to score 35 points in the second half and he let me down big time.
    I foolishly traded JOM to A rook but luckily that rook was Mayes!

  • 0 – my enthusiasm factor for DT on the weekend after Pittard’s late withdrawal and a backfiring loophole ruined any chance of enjoyment from my side in Round 5.

    • +1 After the early carnage, took a gamble on Rocky… It didn’t work and I lost in every league

    • +1 tbetta……heard pittard was going to be out midday sat and was devo. Made it hard to enjoy the games over the weekend.
      Lucky i had bbq sat night and bonfire sunday night!!

  • 0 – The number of mistakes the umpires made this weekend (or ever) according to Jeff Gieshen.

  • 2 – Sleepless nights after putting the C on T.Rockliff
    5 – Tackles I witnessed T.Rockliff lay without a stat
    100 – The number of times I yelled “MAAAAAJAKKKKKKK” at the TV only to be bitterly disappointed when he didn’t get a hand near the footy
    0 – The number of Crows supporters (including me) still optimistic about 2013
    500 – The number of my mates that have made a killing on Westoff without me
    3 – The actual number of mates i have

    1 – The number of fantasy sport games I play
    1 – The number of fantasy sport games I should give up on

    • Ive noticed this a lot before players must have to tackle a guy and send him the whole 360 to get points for a tackle the amount of times ive got excited about my players laying a tackle only to go unrewardednis ridiculous!

      • The rule is that it has to either stop play or effect the disposal. So you can be wrapped up, but if you get a clean effective handball away to a team mate, the tackle won’t count.

        DT is great because it is so black and white – tackles are the only stat (apart from arguably the bloody frees for and against) that are really left up for interpretation.

    • Very good numbers there crouchy, maybe if you send the link to this comment to McRath’s twitter he’ll let you have a small input (guest writing appearance) in a future edition of The Numbers…if he’s in a giving mood (perhaps choose a time when his team is dominating to send the link).

      48 – The breakeven of Ollie Wines. Is it time to go in for the kill? Probably not at the moment with all of the carnage around, but if you are one of the brave few that do decide to cull him this week, please refer to your trade as “Feasting on the Prime Beef Shank(Quadricep)”.

      4.5 – The amount of hours of sleep I have sacrificed tonight alone by staying on this site to respond to a gratuitous amount of comments with long, drawn out and often very time consuming replies, I’m currently considering hiring someone to convey my opinions for me ;)

      200 – The estimated number of hours of sleep I will sacrifice during the course of the DT season to instead focus on scouring DT Talk.

      Night, I’m going to sleep!

  • You’re the birthday
    You’re the birthday
    You’re the birthday
    Boy or girl…..

  • 57 – Number of times I have locked away my trades this week only to reverse them and end up even more confused

  • 5, the number of defenders that could be ommitted to guarantee half the competition has a donut. Currently up to 3 (2 and a half)

    • 150,000 – number of people that are freaking out only to realise almost everyone is in the same position (I’m actually looking good compared to some of the guys I am facing in Leagues this week)

    • Who are the 5?

      I know of Gibbs & Goodes.

      • from AFL
        Jasper Pittard (hip flexor) – test
        Paul Duffield (calf) – test
        Charlie Dixon (Achilles) – test
        also a couple of probably less relevant ones and talk of Campbell Heath being not great

  • 21 – the maximum points extra you could have got utilising the Captain loophole on Swan (by going Stevie J).

    The benefit of 21 points not really a big deal for all those people saying Swan’s 120 was not good enough or left them with a tough decision.

    • Lol, correct. A whole extra 21 points. Plus a whole 11 points if they went Ablett. Is it really worth the chance of a late withdraw?

    • In a round where Buddy faced the team he scored 200+ on last time plus Ablett against GWS and Rocky vs the Dees, you could foresee some mega scores… Thankfully they didn’t happen :P

    • I put it on Rocky and those extra 10 points won my games in 2 leagues (won by 8 and 5)

      • Ballsy – But putting it on Rocky only got you 5 extra points…

        Swan (C) 240 and Rocky 125 = 365
        Swan 120 and Rocky (C) 250 = 370

        Still got you a win rather than a draw though in the 2nd league

    • what rolled a lot of us was that the late withdrawal meant the one who was already a confirmed out came in and scored points. the chances of that were minimal but proved to be an 82 point difference + whatever else. Stevenson came in and sat on our benches with the 82, that was the risk we took and we are feeling burnt. we should have seen it coming, next time we’ll be cleverer but never as clever as we would be if we weren’t us

  • 121,000 The amount cash people made trading in Hoff.

    • 2 – the number of league games I lost playing Hoff on my field over Macaffer.

  • Well done Matty. If I may nitpick, Tyson did a PCL and Bennell’s injury occured last year. Stephen Wrigley is another that can be added to the list.

  • (Could be wrong here so correct me)

    0 – The total score of Hodge in the first quarter against North and people wondering if he was actually playing?

  • Happy Birthday Matty. Once again great work. 5 – The number of weeks my DT has sucked for. I mean to change that this week.

  • 5 – Number of rounds ago I should have dropped Dangerfield for someone else. Structure I chose to go down this year needed my initial premos to basically be locks for the rest of the year. It just hasn’t happened (luckily I saw sense and got rid of the only other failure in Robinson quicksmart).

    6 – Number of points Jaegermeister has outscored Dangerfield overall.

    96 – The points average of one JJK who was priced at a measly $272,300 at the beginning. For that kind of money, you’d take a 96 in the forward line any day of the week. Under the radar standout selection for me.

  • 4 – The number of league games I lost by under 40 points (2 by under 10) because I had Westhoff as captain and got a donut for Pittard and had Suban (94) & Stevenson (82) sitting on the pine without the BIG E on either – very frustrating :-/

  • 2 the number of weeks fyfe could be suspended for.
    Alarming about those ACL injuries.

  • Number of amazing sidewards trades I have made this year – 1 Dangerfield to Swallow after round 1. So stoked right now.

    Anyone else watch the games, see their player lay a tackle only for them not to see a stat for it? What do they class as a tackle, it’s so damn frustrating!

  • 1 – trade (and some DPP magic) used to replace B Goodes with Gawn…

  • 2- number of weeks until priddis will be ripe for the picking after being knocked out for 4 points on the weekend

  • 2014- the next important number for the eagles

    • Is that the year Nic Nat will be back in? Not sure what else cos 2014 is Carlton winning the flag :P

  • 94 – The score of late call up emergency Suban who 4.9% of coaches still own. I know his score got me over the line in one of my teams when Pittard pulled out. Won’t be doing that too often but nice surprise in the end.