Matthew Boyd – Deck of Dream Team 2013

jan15_boydName: Matthew Boyd
Club: Western Bulldogs
Position: Midfielder
Assistant Coach 2013 Price: $593,700
Bye Round: 11 (shared with Brisbane,  Freo, Hawthorn, Richmond and Port Adelaide)
2012 Average: 115
2012 Games Played: 22
Predicted Average: 112

Why should I pick him?

Matthew Boyd is a proven DT gun. Over the last 3 years he has been ultra consistent averaging 115, 116 and 115 again last year. Each year, DT coaches claim that Boyd is old and ‘past it’. They have been saying this for the last 3 years! Add to that the fact he is one of… if not the most durable player in the league after missing just 2 games in the last 7 years, playing 152 out of the possible 154 home and away games avlaible. Not bad for an old guy who is ‘past it’ hey? Let’s compare this to the other ‘must have’ premuims out there over the last 5 years keeping in mind that Boyd has played 108 out of 110 games = 98% during this time.

Swan 105/110 = 95%
Ablett 98/110 = 89%
Pendlebury 103/110 = 93%
Marc 103/110 = 93%
Selwood 101/110 = 92%
Thompson 108/110 = 98%
Watson 99/110 = 90%

Wholey shit! I didn’t think I’d find that! I didn’t think I’d find that Boydy (the old vet) is the most durable premo midfielder in the league (equal with Thomo). Bugger me. At the end of the day, Boydy has to play. The Bulldogs are shit and unlike other teams who can rotate and rest players, Boydy has to play every week just to keep the scoreboard respectable.

Ok… so let’s have a look at his 2012 season. He cracked the 100+ mark 77% of the time and posted some beast-like captain scores of 130+ in 32% of his games including a 162 in Rd. 7. The Bulldogs can’t be as bad as they have been in the past few years when Boyd has carried them on his back…. surely they must be better in 2013. With this said, maybe if the Dogs can lift, maybe Boyd’s numbers will too? This guy is a leader, a proven DT jet… durable, consisent and he’ll play every week for you, maybe even when his team has the bye. Maybe not. But Boydy is a DT warrior and he’ll fight through injuries to get on the park for you each week.

Why shouldn’t I pick him?

He’s tooooo old. Ha ha, he is starting to get there I must admit. Matty will play the majority 2013 as a 30 year old gun and then turn 31 later this year. But as I’ve mentioned he keeps ticking over better than anyone else!

The main reason you shouldn’t pick Boyd this year is because I see Boydy only maintaining or slightly decreasing his average this year, compared to the other young guns out there who may push their averages beyond what Boyd currently sits at today. Boyd did have scores of 82, 70 and 84 last year and if he repeats some of those in 2013, he is certainly a quality and very reliable upgrade target.

Deck of DT Rating.

ACE – …. and don’t agrue this with me! He’s averaged 115.4 over the last 3 years and has played 99% of the games over the last 7 years. For these reasons alone, you can’t pick Boyd based on the fact that “he’s too old” this is not a valid excuse. There are many other reasons not to pick him but this can not be one of them. Personally, I will not be starting with Boyd. I will be targetting a younger gun who has the potential to push their average above the price their at whereas I see Boyd holding his value or slightly decreasing it. He’s a perfect and reliable upgrade target throughout the year.

Twitter follow: CalvinDT – For more words of wisdom

31 Comments

  • Great work Calvin.

    Boydy just keeps on going on doesn’t he? Beautiful stats and he’s in my side as a set and forget type. One of the most pick this year I would think.

    • He is a gun, but I’m not sure he’ll be one of the most picked this season. In fact, despite the number below that have him locked for a starting spot, I think that of those who can avg 110+ he may be the POD amongst them. Though I had him from the start last year, like Calvin (thanks for the article), I’m going to wait & watch with a view to upgrade. The key for me is Griffen. If he lifts it another notch he WILL get the main tag every week, because of how many coaches view his disposal as less damaging to the opposition. In 2012, he was often affected by tags for a half, but chopped up in one or two quarters to post a decent score (one of his great strengths for DT). So, the problem will be if the rest of the Dogs midfield is so poor that they can just afford to sit on him. And, despite people thinking the Dogs will ‘surely improve’, I think they’ll be fighting hard with Port/GWS for the Spoon, especially given their fixture. So, come on Griffen, take that next step, and then we can pick Boydy with confidence.

      • Yeah good points champ. Will be overlooked by many coaches to start with. In fact, I’m calling him an unique premo to start with. Many will take the more fancied beams, swan, gaz, pendles, stants, Watson etc first. Wait and see I guess

        • Yeah, you’re right, that’s the way I’m going. A bit predictable I know, but, similar to your reasoning in the article, I only like to start with people that I believe can surpass the average they’re priced at.

          PS How come the closer you get to the start of the season, the slower the time seems to pass?? Is their some DT mathematical formula for this?

          Bring on Feb 1; the NAB; and the end of March!

  • Good stuff Calvin, the dudes a DT stud and will happily be an upgrade target for me.

  • Excellent Calvin. The most worthy Deck of DT choice so far. An absolute champion and the first person picked on my team. If you want an absolutely reliable uber-premium this is your man.

  • Hell be my first upgrade, Better options to start with, not sure why nobody rates him though! Absolute Gun!!! Great Article Calvin!!!

    • You say you’re not sure why no-one rates him yet you can’t start him…….

      Boyd will be one of the top 8 midfielders this season IMO, therefore he will start in my side.

      • Certainly top 8 I agree mate. Good call to start him…. Why not? He just gets it done every week. He’s the guy you don’t even need to check on or stress about.

  • Great work Calv. The past 2 years I started without him and struggled to get him in all season. This year? No mistakes. Day one he’s in my team.

  • Started with Boyd the past 2 years, but this year he will be an upgrade target.

    With trades every week, my team will be filled with guys who will make me cash.

    Keep up the good work guys.

  • Have to have him, Griffen will get the tags. He’ll average 115 again.

  • Great work Calvin.
    I had him from day one last year and he didn’t disappoint!
    Given his average will more than likely fall this year I will aim for him to be an upgrade target and I’ll start guys like Pendles, Cotchin and Redden whose averages should improve over the year.

  • Proven performer, absolute must have at some point of the season. Boyd proved last year even when the dogs were getting spanked in the second half of the season he still averaged 112, there are only a handful of players who can do that and they are all jets. There will be slight improvement from the Dogs this year so you could argue Boyd could improve his average this year.

  • With idea of 4 guns Swan, Cotchin, Ablett it is a toss up who gets the last spot Boyd could be a good choice

    • Pendles/Redden/Murphy offers more improvement. That’s pretty much the only argument to be used against Boyd, though with more trades and the guarantee of getting him in fairly early after one of those low scores, it’s valid enough for me.

  • Great upgrade target to get round 12.

  • Hi All. I have a cash league (based on national ranking) im running $50 entry, prizes 1st – $450 2nd – $270 3rd – $180. Asking early to ensure league filled well in advance. Email me Damien for detailed info at wish2dreamcorp@gmail.com with heading Cash league Dream Team 2013

    Ran it last year and it went well :)

    Already have a number of DTTALK readers on board!!

    Cheers
    Damien

  • Can anyone please clarify (if they now yet) whether the magic number is going to be raised as a result of all the extra trades? I’m imagining if it’s not raised we’ll all have the same team after the byes and it will become very predictable.

    I’d be in favour of having it go right up to encourage picking mid price players and hence much more diversity in teams.

  • Has anybody got their Prospectus yet (Preferably people fro the Western States)

  • This guy is such a machine and so fit. I would hate to see how bad the Bulldogs would be without him. Nothing like watching a Bulldogs game when you got him in your team and watching the number 5 get the ball all over the ground. He is so fit, that taggers can’t beat him and he can win his own ball and not rely on teammates.He never misses games either. What more do you want from a premium?

    Last years DODT, everyone said the same thing. I’ll wait for him to drop, he is too old, minimal improvement, im going with the youngsters etc. Thats good in theory. But the reality is he is a proven gun. Which equates to 110 point scores each week. Your team would look better with him in it rather than not.

  • Great write up Calvin. He has been locked for me since planning began in late September (yes, sad I know) and is one of the few players I can guarantee will be in my side when the first siren goes in Round 1.

  • Locked in for me. Part of the big 5.

  • Definition of a reliable premium and will be starting with him this year. Slogs his guts out and leads by example, the kind of bloke you want playing for your club and your Dream Team.

  • Like he does every year, he will smash it in NAB and then feature in a lot more teams

  • Will be my first upgrade target in the midfield, if not, I will start with the BEAST!!

  • Nah, he’s too boring. I need to make DT interesting since they’ve ruined it with the trade change, and Boyd is just way too consistent. Just not enough YOLO about him.