Dream Team Extra: Round 3

 

What’s made the headlines this week? Nothing massive really, so most of us fantasy coaches don’t have too much to worry about going into Round 3, or as I prefer to call it: Renovation Round. Let’s get on with the show!

 

Renovation Round

Let’s get the serious stuff out of the way. The first price-change week is upon us, which is traditionally the time when a ‘fix it’ trade or two is used to either get the gun rook(s) in or to get the dud(s) out for a bit of renovation rescue.

If, for some bizarre reason, you don’t have the Dees’ James Magner (MID, $85,800), Get Him In!

Some of the over-achieving rooks who may have flown under the radar include Toby Greene (GWS MID, 99 & 107) and Terry Milera (STK FWD, 74 & 85). Greene’s not the most efficient ball-user, but he racks up the touches for a DT-friendly game. Milera has had softish opposition, but he looks pretty comfortable in the Saints’ lineup. Whether they’re worth trading in will depend on how your rookie bench warmers are going and how you assess these candidates’ job security.

If you’ve got grave concerns about an under-performing gun, this is also the week to ditch him if, and only if, you’re convinced that he won’t be able to maintain his previous lofty scoring standards. Of course, finances are also a consideration, so if your gun-turned-dud is also set to plummet in value, this is possibly the prime round to trade as his replacement’s value is likely to rise on the back of good performances. Have another read of @Aki_DT‘s Dream Team Stock Market article – his analysis of the market movers is a great help to the all-important timing of your trades, in addition to the price projections and breakevens.

As mentioned last week, Broughton is causing major headaches with his former NAB Cup midfield role changing to shut down defensive duties. Gregory is Freo’s best small defender and is elite in his ability to negate the oppo’s best small forward, so it really is no surprise to see him filling that spot. Likewise, Heath Shaw has had a quiet start to the year, but he’s a bit of a boom-or-bust type with a wide scoring range depending on whether he has someone minding him or not. Put some serious thought in to ditching these guys and weigh up the numbers because it’s kind of a big deal to be getting off a keeper!

 

Suspension Sorrow

No one of significant DT-relevance was hit with the suspension stick this week. Moving right along…

 

Injuries – The Silver Lining

A few ‘outs’ that could have a positive impact on fantasy teams out there include… Simon Black’s absence (3-4 weeks), combined with the possible return of Josh Drummond, could see Lions’ trio Jed Adcock, Pearce Hanley and Mitch Golby relieved of some defensive duties. Although Paul Duffield is listed as ‘test’, it is likely that Lyons rests him for a week, perhaps allowing the aforementioned Gregory more freedom rebounding out of defence and maybe even running through the middle.

 

Where’s My Mummy?

Shane Mumford is listed as ‘test’ after his late withdrawl due to back soreness, but I’m a bit worried after trawling for online updates and finding these snips. This first article is from the Swans’ official website that puts a somewhat positive spin on Mummy’s injury. However, this piece on Perth Now states that Mummy’s been restricted to very light duties this week, which seems to indicate that his back problem might be a little more touchy than just a little tweak. My take on this is to give him another weekend, with the ‘E’ on Giles, and if he doesn’t come up the week after then you’d have to consider a sideways move to another ruck premo. This is crucial for coaches running a 1+3 ruck structure with Mummy as the gun, so keep a sharp eye out for any developments leading up to the Swan’s game on Saturday.

Thanks to @DannySedge for bringing this to my attention!

 

Scotland the (alleged) Brawler

Let’s digress for a moment and look at something from out of the blue. Well, a Carlton Blue in Heath Scotland, who was involved in a… umm… blue… and formally charged with assault this week. How do off-field dramas affect a professional AFL footballer? I guess we’ll never really know unless one of you is a mind-reader, but I reckon Sam Gilbert may have lost a bit of confidence last year after his happy-snappys went viral. Will this assault charge distract last season’s top-ranked DT defender? Time will tell, but I certainly hope the Carlton gun’s output doesn’t drop off for the sake of those who have him in their starting squads. If there are any psychologists/therapists reading this, feel free to comment without, of course, compromising doctor-patient confidentiality!

 

Pick Me! Pick Me!

You guys asked for a little rookie preview for the coming round, so here it is. BUT, (yup, that was a Big But!) I’ll say one thing up front: I have not done hours of in-depth research and analysed all the stats like a certain @pkd73 did last year in his Get Off The Bench series. This is 50% guesstimation, 50% educated punt and 50% gut feel. Or a combination of those three that adds up to 100% anyway. The reality is that there’s no way that you can pick all the rooks in your playing squad and expect tons with cherries on top from each of them. They’re cash cows and we just ride the wave until we cull them for premium cuts.

Down back, I’d play Marty Clarke, Brandon Ellis and Steven Morris with some confidence after last weekend, then Tommy Bugg marginally ahead of Townsend and Mohr. In the guts, Magner is a must, followed by Toby Greene, Dylan Shiel, Clay Smith and Stephen Coniglio. ‘Farmer’ Giles is the clear pick of the rookie rucks, with Jarrad Redden a fair clip behind and the Big O still in the starting blocks. Up front, Adz Kennedy has been good, as well as Terry Milera, Dev Smith and Jeremy Cameron.

 

Anyways, that’s the rub for this week. Hope to see a few 2300s on the other side of the weekend, so good luck to all! Feel free to add any news bits, rants, raves, etc below to keep the wheels turning. See ya next Thursday for more train spotting!

 

Any questions, suggestions, general chit-chat or knitting tips for next week’s Extra?
Hit me up on the Tweetvine: @TeeTeeDT

283 Comments

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  • Great write up as usual Tee Tee, perfect Thursday reading! I am one of those asking where my mummy was last weekend. If Mumford isnt named, Im tempted to get Kreuzer in for some $$ to help with my Barlow upgrade in 1-2 weeks, but Ill prob. reverse the trade before lockout..no-one likes to trade out a premo in round 3, but I dont want to rely on Redden!

    I also found another article on Mumford being a chance this weekend –

    http://www.smh.com.au/afl/sydney-swans/smith-out-mumford-a-chance-for-swans-20120412-1wvg8.html

  • Great article … doesn’t help my cause … although brought me hope with golby as unlike every other bastard I won’t be trading him out … come on Golby you can do it 80+

    • Sometimes you just have to cut your losses, not every mid pricer works out. He’s just not the go to guy at the Lions. The prefer to use Hanley, Adcock and Drummond when he comes back, for running the ball out of defense.

      I’ve got him too but I’m going to trade him for waters before his price rises and hopefully get a cheap keeper

  • Should I trade cripps or not bother

  • Thoughts on trading Jack Riewoldt to Whitecross?

    You think Whitecross is punching above his weight and also Jack is playing Melbourne chumps.

    Trade or save a trade?

  • Help please…Should i trade Broughton for Heppell and Dickson for Milera…???
    Also i have Bauman not playing.

  • This weeks trades

    OUT Palmer ($323,500) IN Magner ($85,800)

    OUT Pfeiffer ($117,800) IN Kennedy ($104,200)

    Still stuck with Coad on the pine in the backline this week , thanks to missing the round 1 lockout, but these trades will give me plenty cash to nab premo for the backs next week.

    Also leaves me with 3 GWS in the forward line Kennedy , Smith & Curly . May be another trade there soon.

  • Butcher,

    Trade Broughton for Chris Newman. Reliable. Heppell has a bad head.

  • TRading Shaw to Goddard and Coniglio to Greene
    Rationale: While I amtempted to keep Shaw, I dont have Goddard and my opponent in Round 13 has 3 r13 premos which I tried to avoid by picking Shaw. I think Goddard will score more and more consistently

    Cong to Greene – chasing quick dollars which I am hoping to convert into Mitchell once he comes back for the Swans.

    What do you think?

  • Might have to make some rules and start banning fuckheads who write first… then the people who reply to them. I want to get on here to read comments, not the shit that other wankers talk about.

    • Can you also ban the grubs that say +1 next to every comment that they agree with. I doubt many people on here care if someone agrees with some comment.

      cue some smart ass replying with +1

    • Also, can you embarrass the people you ban by posting their full name and pictures ala 44chappo.

  • Thoughts on trading Broughton and Hall for Hurn and Kennedy?

  • Thoughts on Coniglio to Greene

    and

    Shaw to Goddard?

    • Both solid I woul’ve thought.

      (I’m doing Shaw > Goddard too.)

    • I’m not quite sold on Coniglio to Greene as I am in the same position. I think it is a good idea but I am also planning to get James Mcdonald into my team when he is about the rise in price so I think holding Coniglio until then might be a good idea and maybe fix any other problems in your team this round first.

  • Does anyone know whats the deal this year with the teams not being named at 5pm?

    • As Channel 7 paid lots of money for the footy broadcast rights they struck a deal with the AFL to get exclusivity of the teams announcement. Therefore the teams will appear first on the Channel 7 news at 6.20pm on Thursday, then they are released to the rest of the media outlets.

    • Scumbag news stations want to be the first to announce it at 6:25pm AEST during their sports segment.

      • To be fair its not the news stations, the AFL were the decision makers here.

        But yeh it sucks and I refuse to watch the 7 news to help ensure the idea flops.

    • Something to do with channel 7 buying the rights i think.

    • Yeah what a load of rubbish. Can really make the partial lockout rounds dicey!

      • Not really. The teams are announced on Wednesday night on partial lockout rounds. You’ve got ample time to make altercations to your team.

      • nice one mate.

  • Would be good to be in a position to be considering Greene. But with the likes of Broughton & Golby in my backline and Mummy with a ?? im going to have to stick with Parker for another week.

    Not sure where to go with Broughts.. Not convinced the downwards trade of a premo to Waters is really the best option.. 25k in the bank the decision to leave Lids out from the start has come back to bite me a bit.

  • Still no Couch!. :(

    • I can’t believe that they just went through 4 teams!
      Channel 7, NEVER AGAIN, muppet station!

  • Teams up. Remember 4:25 WST, 6:25 AEST, 5:55 SST.

  • so duigan an jamison back and bower hasn’t been omited mmm anyone else considering for trolby?

  • Why isn’t Couch named?

    • i know hey, if he cant get a game at the moment when will he?…:(

  • Tory dickson u fucking useless cunt.

  • Are any of GWS’s inclusions going to have a negative impact on Toby greene’s scores?

  • Goodes named on the ball. Thank the heavens, finally, we may have a chance at top 5 if he plays as an onballer!

  • Fuck, thought the show started now, but I assume those day light saving eastern states losers have changed back to normal 2 hours ahead time :(

    Now have an hour to drink my beer and wait. Not sure if that’s a good or a bad thing.

  • The General strikes West Coast!

  • what trades should I do??

    1.) Coniglio -> Greene
    2.) Parker -> Coniglio
    3.) Shaw -> Goddard
    4.) Dickson -> ?? any ideas (already got milera, smith, kennedy)
    please help!!!!

  • teams out!

    mummy named! hargrave named!

    but no couch named….. looks like my most likely chance at an upgrade is to kerridge or treloar but they still probs won’t be named…..

  • Is it worth putting the E on redden after mummy last week…..

    with my luck one of my forwards will now have a late withdrawal!

  • Cox named.. phew!
    Its a real shame that game has huge dt relevance for me as it will likely be hard to watch..

  • Chad is very tempting as an upgrade from Dickson. For once Porplyzia would be the ‘safe’ alternative.

  • Few surprises.
    1. Brogan straight into the ruck….how will this affect Giles scores?
    2. Toby Greene named fwd pocket may put a few people off (even though he prob wont start there)
    3. Tom Couch still not named!, if he cant get a game now when will he?
    4. Tomlinson back into the side, was gonna trade for Marty Clarke if he wasnt named this week
    5. Mundy back will be the sub for sure so Barlow will play 3/4 or a full game :)
    6. Broughton named on the ball…haha thought that was funny

  • Made 2 changes

    Out In
    Golby Birchall

    McCarthy Greene

    I did not really want to trade McCarthy however my defence needed bolstering.

    It was either trade McCarthy or Shaw and I do not like to trade premiums 2 weeks into the season.

  • hurn will prove to be the best new premium this year, remember when I said this!! waters in pocket, hurn gets the ball of half back and will get more numbers all year

  • I’m not sure what to do with Andrew Swallow. Should I keep him in for the long haul or downgrade to Greene, wait for a few weeks and bring in a cheap Barlow.

  • Im thinking about Trading Sidebottom to Cornes. i know it is slight sideways trade… BUT
    +30 points ave so far
    + collingwood arent performing so sidebottom isnt getting the ball i thought he woud
    +$110K for trading them
    + cornes is going to go up about $50K and sidebottom down $10k

    thoughts