Deck of Dream Team 2012: Sam Mitchell

Name: Sam Mitchell
Club: Hawthorn
Assistant Coach 2012 Price: $554,000
Position: Midfielder
Bye Round: 13
2011 Average: 112
2011 Games Played: 20
Predicted Average: 112

Why should I pick him?

This should be pretty obvious, this guy is one of the top midfielders in the competition and he knows how to get his hands on the footy!  In 2011 he had his highest level of disposals per game for the last 6 years at 30.5.  This corresponded with an increase of 11 points average over the past season and 10 on the year before.  Over the 5 years his kick to handball ratio has been continually improving.  He loves to chip it around and that is what we love to see, a kick first attitude.  On top of that, he is always in the middle of the pack and as a result he has averaged over 4 tackles a game in the past two seasons.

In 2011 Mitch only had 4 games where he scored less than 100, of those there was a 61, 79, 90 and a 96.  To counter this he had 8 games where he scored over 120, considering he only played 20 games, he is nearly a 50/50 shot to be scoring 120+.  Those low scores were obtained against St Kilda, Sydney, Gold Coast and Carlton respecively.  I would disregard the 90 as that came in that round 24 clash that meant nothing as he was probably just taking it a touch easy.

Why shouldn’t I pick him?

The bye’s are his biggest enemy this year.  He shares it with Gold Coast, Carlton, Richmond and St Kilda (oh and Port Adelaide).  So if you are looking it taking a combo of Ablett and Gibbsy or Murph, then this makes it almost DT suicide to take Mitch as well.  This year more than most the bye’s make crafting your midfield very difficult.  If you are planning to start with Pendles or Swanny and not Little Gazza, you should certainly consider having Mitch in the team (personally I wouldn’t take more than two of these guys having the bye in the same week).  All 4 of these guys with the bye are priced pretty much the same and as a result there isn’t anything to be saved in your salary cap by picking one over the other.

The only other concern is whether he can continue the form that he was in last year or was it just a one off spike in his performance which would then mean that he is overpriced for this season?  He seemed to be everywhere last year and being another year older is this going to hurt him?  He reaches the “magical” age of 30 this year and I know that a lot of DT’ers have the rule of not picking someone over 30.

Deck of DT Rating:

Ace. As mentioned before, Sam is one of the elite players in the competition and will bring you elite scoreing each and every week.  He would be a safe bet to put the C on as well as he will score over the ton in at least 75% of his games.  I think that I would be willing to look past the age factor with Mitch as he seems to be getting better with age.  Whilst his price is high, you know pretty much what you are going to get from him, and if you don’t take him, I would almost bet you will pick one of the other guys in this price bracket, of these guys, Sam is the most mature and as a result is likely to be the most consistent (apart from Gaz who is also pretty consistent).

However, the biggest issue for me is still that bye.  You will need to make sure that you have an adequate spread of premo players in that midfield that can get you through the bye, if you aren’t taking Gazza, I would put Mitchell on the must have list.

Look forward to chatting to you all on twitter @pkd73.

44 Comments

  • Sammy’s an absolute champion, but I probably won’t be starting with him this year. Might be a great upgrade later on though.

  • Will need to out score Pendles or Boyd to make my squad as an upgrade target, at this stage. Great article, going to miss these :)

  • Started work at 6. At 6.20 i was sitting on the shitter reading dodt!

  • As with many, can’t fit him in at this time. Upgrade target.

    • I like many others can’t fit him in at the moment will be an upgrade target for a bit of uniqueness. Saw him at training and he looks primed and fitter than ever. Both sessions I saw he was the one of the last ones off the track with a couple of other players doing drills. Ultimate professional!

  • I believe in the 30 year old rule unless the player was injured last season is the only time I break it, but he could be an upgraded target after round 13. If I go against my own rule.

  • Gun, will fit him in if i can

  • i have a family member in my house that picks him first every yr and makes him captain every week (last 2 seasons),and iv never beaten her yet

  • Had him last year and loved his consistency….expecting to be just as satisfied this year. That so many seem to be unable to fit him in makes him even more of a lock for me. would never have though “uniqueness” would have been a positive for Sammy!

  • had him from the get go last year and was more than satisfied but reckon there are a better options this season. Pass.

  • Mitchell or Murphy?

    who would you choose?

  • Traded in Mitchell after Round 7 last year as my 5th midfielder keeper and copped the 61 & 79. Stuck with him and did not disappoint after that with 100+ for the next 11 weeks! Hadn’t planned to start him this year but he is now in the Gibbs/Murphy mix after this quick read, GAJ being the only certain R1 starter (barring injury) with a R13 bye in my mids.

  • Hey Dunny,

    Great write up Mate. At the moment I have Gazza ahead of Mitch, but am looking at Mitch for a potential upgrade target after his bye. It is looking like Mitch will be fairly unique this year.

    Additionally, here is some info on the DT prospects of some Adelaide Crows – http://www.afc.com.au/news/newsarticle/tabid/4417/newsid/128306/default.aspx

    • Dangerfield is the one that I will be looking at in the NAB Cup. With the Porps back he may end up in the midfield a lot more. He seems to be around the same price as a few that I have really been thinking about.

  • Already locked! Chicken Snitzel was in my team last year and is in it this year. Love how he chips it around. Definitely an ace. Good write up Dunny.

  • Locked and loaded. Was wondering why no one had Mitchell in their teams and decided to go with him as a unique (which I thought was weird) but he was one of my favourites last year. So i have Swan, Ablett, Mitchell and now deciding on that last spot, who out of Boyd (another one who would be a surprising unique), Thompson or Rocky. Any suggestions?

    • I would go Thompson but if you are looking at unique then Boyd might be the one. Selwood would be my suggestion.

      • yeah I like the idea of Selwood but i’m trying to go for someone with the round 11 bye so i’ve only got one week with 2 of my guns out. Man these bye’s are a headache, although i’m glad it’s only 3 weeks now!

        • There is a lot of time between now and the bye. By all means plan now for it but I reckon those plans wont come to fruition due to injuries, suspensions, lack of form etc. If your plan from now is in effect by the bye rounds you will be close to leading the overall ;-)

          A midfield of Ablett, Swan, Mitchell and Selwood as a group of 4 will be unique this year yet I wouldn’t be surprised if those 4 were the top scoring midfielders at the end of the year. I am looking at my midfelders as a group this year in terms of uniqueness.

          My mid’s at the moment are Pendles, Ablett, Murphy, Selwood and Barlow. Then throw in Clifton, MacDonald and Shiel.

  • Stuff the wait….unlock DT now virtual sports!!!!!!

  • He’s a great player and I had him for a while last year, but like Gibbs, Murphy, Jelwood etc they’re good and have little to fault but just are not on the level of Swanny, Ablett and Rocky.

    • Rocky played 20 games @ 112 average = 2240 for the season.
      Murphy played 22 games @ 111.5 average = 2453 for the season.

      Who offers the better value and is on a different ‘level’???

    • Selwood = $540,600
      Rocky = $554,000

      Selwood averaged 109 last year including a 26 when knocked out before 1/4 time. Take that out and he averages 114.

      Rocky averaged an impressive 112.

      Selwood gets those scores with a hard tag. It might not be as easy this year for Rockliff to run around at will and gather possies. People are now aware of him and if Brisbane start actually winning a few games then opposition clubs might pay some extra attention to him.

      Just on last years figures the value appears to be with Selwood. As per the “different level” comment that is just crazy talk based on one’s years scores. Rocky has a lot of potential but isn’t any where near the same level as Ablett and Swan.

  • no way sammy will maintain last years average imo, similar to scottland. both coming off their best dt year, both getting on in age, both overpriced, both highly unlikely to maintain last years average, but both absolute guns no doubt! No value imo starting with either but certain upgrade targets.

  • http://soundcloud.com/rangaberry/my-name-is-sam-mitchell

    This techno style track is actually about a Brisbane musician, but I wonder if this Sam Mitchell would appreciate it. Kinda catchy.

  • Nice work Dunny,

    I picked up Mitch when Mundy went down, which was probably the perfect time to do so.

    Won’t get a starting possie for me and won’t get an upgrade due to him having the last round off each year.

  • Sam Rowe, jarred his AC joint. No surgery, will be running in a few days and can keep his fitness up before returning in three to four weeks.

    Who’s game to start with him now? Duh Duh Duhhhhhhh! He’s been one of my biggest forward locks.

    Nothing has made me appreciate how many injuries there are in the AFL more, than playing DT.

  • Sammy is def in the mix. Lots of premos to choose from really. Looking for a league win so the byes probably wont matter.

  • Mitchell has now made my Murphy or Gibbs’ decision easier! Was always thinking about him but i’ve always been alittle worried of the Hawks start to the season. It doesnt really seem to affect Mitch’s scores after reading the article above. Good write-up.

    Does anyone know how he has scored previous seasons against Collingwud and Geelong coz thats who he’s got first two weeks up!

    • 2011 v Gee, 114 and 110
      …….. v Coll, 137

      2010 v Gee, 98
      …….. v Coll, 66 and 128

      2009 v Gee, 111, and 120
      …….. v Coll, 97.

      So last 3 yrs v Gee ave= 110.6 over 5 games
      ……………….. v Coll ave= 107 over 4 games

      • The 66 v Coll in 2009 was up to 3qtr time, back/hamstring… iced up in last qtr, missed the next 3 weeks.

  • Cheers eeep!

    The article Hayes vs Barlow and now todays Swan Deck has just raised more questions that cant be answered!! hahaha i guess we’re all in the same position…who really knows wot the F to do!!??

    Thanks for the healthy stats tho! They’ll certainly play a role in my decision for one of my main premo’s…

    Good luck for the season to you sir :)