Roy’s Real Estate: Round 1 Finals

Posted by Roy on 06/8/10 • Categorised as Trade Talk

Yeah! its finally here, round 1 of finals action, the moment we have all been waiting and playing for (especially if you gave up on a good national ranking ages ago like me). Hopefully you made the top 8 in your league and have not ended in the bottom half fighting it out for the Tit-Ed Cup. Actually, I’m pretty sure if you are reading this, it’s safe to say that you are in the top 8, bottom 8ers would be well and truly into mad Monday by now. This week I am going to look at 2 pinch hitters from each position that could get you over the line in round 1 of finals. The players I will look for will be in good form, 1 will be at a premium price, the other a bargain.

Forwards:

Colin Sylvia: A month of domination has seen Colin jump to the elite forward in the competition. He has had scores of 149, 124, 103 and 124 which have many owners considering him a captain option against Melbourne. Well done to anybody who followed this advise last week, you were well looked after with his biggest score of the year. Priced at $417,600, it seems a great unique pick to bring you home the flag.

Nick RiewolDT: With back to back 90′s it looks like big Nick is on the verge of some big scores. I think the fact that St Kilda are in desperate need of some form going into finals, works right into the hands of this great leader in terms of performance and minimal likelihood of a rest. A bargain for finals at $338,900.

Mids:

Matthew Boyd: Currently the best DTer in the competition on recent form with a monthly average of 134. It seems no matter how much he dominates, major defensive attention goes towards Cooney and Griffen. He is an absolute jet and there is no one better to lead your squad to the flag. Priced at $498,600.

Brad Sewell: After almost missing a round through bad form, Sewell has recaptured his best. In the last month he has dropped below 100 just once with a 95 and has maintained an average of 108 in this time. For the price of $370,700, an under-priced consistent 100 might be just the boost you need.

Backs:

Brendon Goddard: No secret here, Goddard is a must have for your rise to the Holy Grail. In the last 4 weeks he has dropped below the 100 mark just once with a 96 while maintaining a 107 average (slightly down on his 112 for the year). He had been Mr dependable all year apart from a horrible first half against Port. This week he plays Port again, however I’m tipping a nice 100. Priced at $449,800, do it, your backline needs it.

Brian Lake: Stuff the bargain option for the back, I’ve just stumbled across Lakey! As a matter of fact, it could still be argued that it is a bargain. After talking up my old mate Goddard, Brian Lake has proved that maybe he is the best option in defence for the run into the finals. In the last month he has averaged 119, that is better than my on ball unit! Priced at $462,800, get on and enjoy the old “mark, kick” + 6.

Rucks: It’s been arguably the most annoying position in DT this year. Personally I have wasted many a trade there, still only to end up with a Ryder/Nicnat combo. Lot’s of people will be taking big Robbie Warnock’s score this week to cover Sandi, especially considering there is no standout ruckmen worth trading in. If you are in a knockout final and your only chance of a win is to gain a slight advantage due to this Sandi misfortune, Ryder would probably be the best bet.

Well, goodluck in the first round, please discuss your scenarios and possible trades. destROY.

549 Comments

Plastic Boy
August 6, 2010 • 6:49 am

Bringing in the Volt this week along with Stevie J, our Rioli and Ballantyne

With only 20k coaches having Stevie he certainly has to be considered unique.
toasted
August 6, 2010 • 6:57 am

I have Pods and Rohan in the forward line and 190k left with 3 trades to go, facing an elimination final. Should I:
1. go Pods to Volt (like most other people) and keep 140k and hope that Rohan gets a game soon as I have no bench cover?
2 Go Rohan to Volt to keep Pods as a reserve for next week, but only have 45k left for 2 more trades?
3. I have considered Pods to Chappy for weeks but will he get rested especially after knocking his knee. Knowing my luck i get him in this week and he will get rested after a hard game against collingwood
- random_guy
  August 6, 2010 • 9:43 am
  
  I’d go with option 2. Pods ‘should’ be back in the side for round 22 and you’d have to like his chances of posting a good score in that game.
  - Skayy
    August 6, 2010 • 6:00 pm
    
    do u think i should trade pods for volt or ballantyne for volt?
- SloppyJoe
  August 6, 2010 • 10:20 am
  
  Keep Pods.
  
  Judging by what Jimmy Kelly was saying on the footy show, he may even play this week!
  - Birdy
    August 6, 2010 • 11:37 am
    
    yeah that was interesting
Camoflage
August 6, 2010 • 7:41 am

alright boys, this is the big one, my last trades. do i go:

SWAN + RIEWOLDT = 230ish
OR
GOODES + SYLVIA = 255ish

i would usually think swan, riewoldt but with rievoldt not consistant and will probably get rested and based on the last month, the average of slyvia, goodes combo has been higher. I think im thinking going crazy and may pass up the swan. thoughts anyone?
- McScoundrel
  August 6, 2010 • 7:47 am
  
  I’d recruit Swan and volt. The Saints really are going dreadfully and need to find form and then hold it ’til the finals. I don’t think they’re in a position to rest players this year (perhaps only Hayes, Goddard or Montagna anyway, and certainly not in the same week). Sylvia could cop a hard tag and Goodes could go back to chf or something stupid.
- Coasters
  August 6, 2010 • 9:56 am
  
  Your priority should be to get Swan, he’s been averaging 130 over his last 9 games and is a walk up captain. You can’t afford not to have him.
  
  I’m already excited about trading him into my team next year.
McScoundrel
August 6, 2010 • 7:41 am

Great piece Roy (and for some reason I’m attuned to the idea that I need Nick ReiwolDT to win the consolation prize of a DT league final). I wrote earlier about this and no-one was inclined to answer it but since then, I’ve noticed other people ask similar questions so I’ll throw it out again. Given that I’ve got Hodge, Goddard and Lake, who would you recruit for the finals: Kelly or Gram? It seems easy but Will Kelly get rested? I don’t need anyone to feed me or wipe my bum, just to tell me what to do with this trade.
- Coasters
  August 6, 2010 • 9:54 am
  
  To be honest I don’t think Kelly will be rested. He’s not one of their game breakers.
  - Plastic Boy
    August 6, 2010 • 10:04 am
    
    but hes hard at it, surely his body needs a rest….
orbs
August 6, 2010 • 8:34 am

Who do people think is the best rookie downgrade option in the mids? I need to go Gysberts down so i can upgrade pods to rooey. The most important aspect being job security for the last 3 rounds. I need some good cover for late withdrawals!

Jesse Critchon (Freo) avg – 57
Ryan Harwood (Bris) avg 68 (with a nice 82 last week)
Kyle Hardingham (Ess) avg 61.5

Im leaning towards harwood given brisbanes season being all but over and needing to play kids.
- Monks
  August 6, 2010 • 9:57 am
  
  I’m actually going with Hicks cause it gives me some handy DPP in case he gets dropped/injured in the last few weeks
  - orbs
    August 6, 2010 • 11:24 am
    
    Shit i really like that option! Whats ur thoughts on him? His score wasnt much chop last week.
    It would be a good strategic move but if he gets dropped this week or in the coming weeks thats all well and good if there is no last withdrawals.
    
    Atleast with hardwood you know he should play out the season meaning he is available for those late withdrawals!
    
    G massive decision!
- J Mc
  August 6, 2010 • 9:58 am
  
  Same dilemma for me… I have Higgins ont he forward bench who can swap to mids if a player gets a rest, but need a good mid cover for any late withdrawals.
  
  I reckon Harwood is the man. 10 tackles last week means Vossy would be having naughty dreams about this kid, so i’m confident he’ll play the rest of the year.
  
  Hardingham though has shown he adds a bit of X factor to the bombers forward line, and has kicked goals for them.
  
  Crichton… no!
  
  Harwood for me…
Coasters
August 6, 2010 • 9:53 am

Well I’ll be bringing in Voldt this week for Ballantine.

Not sure whether to swap Pods for Goodes or Pavlich. The Pavlich trade will give me enough money to trade Shaw/Carrots to Lake or Ball to Boyd/Monty.

Not sure where to use the trades.
- SloppyJoe
  August 6, 2010 • 10:28 am
  
  Me too, Roo in Balla out. Leaves me with 3 trades and $90k in the bank.
  
  I say take Pav and get rid of Shaw/Carrots for Lake. Keep Ball.
JimBob62
August 6, 2010 • 10:58 am

Ellard or TDL for Gumbleton?
- hyperswivel
  August 6, 2010 • 1:03 pm
  
  Mooney or Fyfe for mine.
Teckst
August 6, 2010 • 11:02 am

Grundy -> Gram
Pods -> Volt

Not sure if the Grundy trade is worth it.. is Gram likely to outscore Grundy by much in the last 3 games.
Any one can give me some advice?
- walt
  August 6, 2010 • 11:15 am
  
  I’d stick with Grundy, but Pods to Volt is a really good trade.
walt
August 6, 2010 • 11:14 am

How about Pavlich? Do u reckon he is a good forward option?
- Teckst
  August 6, 2010 • 11:34 am
  
  Now you got me thinking.. Pav is a good option for not a lot more.. CONFUSED!
Spector
August 6, 2010 • 11:44 am

Heads up for those who have pods and looking to trade him out – James Kelly on the footy show said last night he thinks he will play. Followed by the rest of the panel saying “are you sure you were supposed to say that James?”.
ProudLion1991
August 6, 2010 • 11:57 am

I don’t think i have any one i could trade out for voldt with 100% confidence.. my fwd line is:

chappy,gia,rok.pav,browndog(should be a good finals player),buddy,didak..

also, is jed adcock at 280k+ an absolute steal for the finals? there is a possibility he could pump out 2 or 3 hundreds..
- Hook
  August 6, 2010 • 1:52 pm
  
  High risk move but would be unique and could be one that wins you a game. Keep an eye on him over the next 2 weeks and could be a good trade for the prelim if you have a crap 7th defender you want to upgrade on the cheap
moose161
August 6, 2010 • 12:06 pm

which is better?

Lake + Trengove

or

Maguire + Boyd
- JamesChaff
  August 6, 2010 • 12:38 pm
  
  Maguire Boyd for me.
  
  Bias however because I traded Boyd in for Barlow and I have never looked back.
  Maguire back this week too.
- magic34
  August 6, 2010 • 12:48 pm
  
  The Doggies play Geelong and Sydney in their run home…Probably depends on how you think that will affect Boyd and Lake’s scoring
Resh
August 6, 2010 • 12:22 pm

i have 4 trades left and could upgrade pods to voldt this week. If i am looking most likely to win my 1v4 playoff, should i save the trade for later? (to cover rested players etc)
- slickReynolds
  August 6, 2010 • 12:33 pm
  
  I reckon you should do it now. Voldt is set to rise after this week and you might as well make it a certainty that you head straight through to the prelim mate
slickReynolds
August 6, 2010 • 12:32 pm

I have two trades left and with $187k in the kitty I think I’m facing a now or never moment in trading Carrazzo to Lake because virtually none of my serious opponents have Lake in their team and this could give me a big advantage. I finished 3rd on the ladder and should go through to the prelim after this week.. however being left with only one trade is pretty scary.

Thoughts???
- JamesChaff
  August 6, 2010 • 12:36 pm
  
  Get him in.
  Carrazzo doesn’t give stability in finals.
  Lake gets you +6 as Roy said every single time he touches the ball.
  Which is always.
  And a unique pick too.
  Get him in.
  
  1 trade left is scary, however if you have cover you should be right.
  Just pray every night and hope the DT god is shining.
- magic34
  August 6, 2010 • 12:39 pm
  
  Tricky one…I’ve got Carrazzo in my team as well and this tagging business just sucks. I’m not in a position to trade him out, but I’m hoping he’ll come good. They play Richmond next week (I think?) who don’t really have an out and out gun for him to tag, and he scored 131 against them earlier this year so who knows, that might be the game that he turns it around. Going to Lake is obviously still gonna gain you points, but if it leaves you with one trade for the last three weeks, then it’s very high risk!
  - slickReynolds
    August 6, 2010 • 12:46 pm
    
    Thanks guys.. I reckon I’m just gonna do it. No risk no reward ay
    - Nails
      August 6, 2010 • 1:15 pm
      
      Slick, hope you haven’t done it already….
      
      Take a carrotz score this week… you can still beat your opponent without this trade….
      
      and can still lose with it…
      
      Wait a week, see if you win this week, if you do, 3 trades for prelim+grand = win. If not using them in r20 can’t go astray..
    - Coasters
      August 6, 2010 • 1:22 pm
      
      I’m not sure, after Carrots getting smashed out the water by Swan im hoping they will let him play free to give them a bit of life. They need to change something!
Shazzam
August 6, 2010 • 12:35 pm

Just putting it out there….. Captain Buddy……
- magic34
  August 6, 2010 • 12:46 pm
  
  Against Sydney at the SCG? I wouldn’t!
magic34
August 6, 2010 • 12:55 pm

Trading out Rioli…Anyone Under 390K
Stevie J seems like the best option.

Or should I downgrade Martin to Harwood, then go Rioli > Didak/Chappy/Sylvia, and be left with some good coin.

Currently have 4 trades and a mid bench of Martin and Shuey
JamesChaff
August 6, 2010 • 12:59 pm

So with 215.4K, 3 trades I need to get Gumby out.
So people on my radar, Volt or Chapman.
If i get Volt I have some extra cash in reserves if things go wrong.
But Chapman is basically a very handy asset.

Thoughts?
- Superted
  August 6, 2010 • 1:04 pm
  
  Don’t be surprised if Chappy is a late withdrawl
Nails
August 6, 2010 • 1:12 pm

I’ve nearly spent an hour thinking of possible trades…

Right now with J Brown and Pods the weakest points in my team, bar the sandi (warnock) link…

My opponent in my main league doesn’t have sandi, has clark instead.

Therefore I think a trade of

Sandi > Paddy would be best (was tossing up Mitch Clark, but nah)
and then I thought Gumbleton > Nick Voldt.

Anyone else thought something like that? I’d then be able to throw Podsiadly on the forward bench, leaving me with 2x cover in Nat Fyfe and Podsiadly.

I’ve also tinkered with upgrading L. Ball > legend or dpp so I could use the 3-4 DPP fwd players I have incase they get rested…

However I think it’s more important to get rid of Pods than Ball…
thoughts? Anyone doing similar?
- Hook
  August 6, 2010 • 1:34 pm
  
  The pods to Roo trade is the most common trade this week and a good one
  
  I would do it too but I only have 3 trades left and I am saving them for the prelim/grand final
  
  If you have plenty of trades left I would do it becuase Fyfe is good enough bench cover and you’d have to be unlucky to need both of them.
  
  I would keep Sandi though otherwise you may be disadvantaged going into the next round if you don’t have him and your opponent does
Hook
August 6, 2010 • 1:29 pm

How does this work?

I just scraped into 4th place and I am stoked that I’m playing the top team. I’m ranked 40,000 spots higher then him in the overall rankings, I finished 1st in the league ranking for points and they finished 12th!

How do you finish 12th in the league in points and end up top of the ladder? that is some good defence they got going there.

It’s not like its a crap league either, ranked in the top 800
- Gazinator
  August 6, 2010 • 1:33 pm
  
  I would suspect they have a few uniques? Usually they some how manage to perform well against the good teams and lose to the crap ones… Hence their rankings are down but still maintain a good league ranking.
  - Hook
    August 6, 2010 • 1:39 pm
    
    Yeah the team is definetely unique but not a good unique
    
    They have, Goodwin, Harry taylor, Chaplin, Simon Black, Varcoe, Wellingham
    
    I’m amazed they beat me the first time round, I did get one of my lowest scores for the season though.
    
    I’m pretty confident I’ll smash them by at least 100 this week though (I’m guaranteed to lose now)
ProudLion1991
August 6, 2010 • 1:32 pm

Being a lions supporter i’ve got a feeling we are going to have a very good last 3 or 4 weeks. Hence i think JBrown & Mitch Clark could both be pivotal weapons in the DT finals. Clark’s 118 last week indicates he is about to go bang, and Browny always plays well against the eagles.
- Coasters
  August 6, 2010 • 1:45 pm
  
  I dont really agree, he’s still injured.
  
  I have him and im tempted to pop him on the bench this week. If it was normal Browny then i would play him but hes still injured and is struggling
baconb
August 6, 2010 • 1:48 pm

Played Henderson or Betts this week up forward? Pods may or may not play which makes it hard again. Looking at Henderson who has had some good scores lately.

Other one im upgrading Martin.

Boyd or Montagna?

Cheers
LefLeg
August 6, 2010 • 1:49 pm

Please help… doing my head in!

Pav or voldt
Scotland or Gilbee

Was thinking Scotland for sure but a bit scared off by his last score and the fact carlton are struggling
- Nails
  August 6, 2010 • 2:28 pm
  
  Voldt and Scotland all the way.
  
  If your league has a final and you’re in it, those two will have you laughing all the way to the bank.
  - LefLeg
    August 6, 2010 • 2:47 pm
    
    Thanks. Was thinking the same but just needed to hear it.
gambler
August 6, 2010 • 2:59 pm

In a HUGE dilemma need some help guys. 3 trades left, no cover for Sandi. Got the double chance but don’t want to be taking a donut in a final.

A) Pods > Tippett and sub tippet into rucks for Lobbe

B) Sandi > Mumford/Ryder/Jamar

I dont want to trade Sandi out, but Pods might come back firing. If i trade hitchcock or jaensch for tippett, then im left with no bench cover this week. Im leaning towards option A, any help?
- Hook
  August 6, 2010 • 3:14 pm
  
  Yeah option A sounds like a good idea, then you’ve got good cover for both your rucks and forwards when Sandi is back
- CJ is JC
  August 6, 2010 • 3:14 pm
  
  Nah mate dont get tippet he is a crab
  i listerned to dt talk this year to get tippet and porplizia and that was a waist of money and a trades
  - gambler
    August 6, 2010 • 3:33 pm
    
    jPod is not 100% and although he might play rounds 20-22 he probably will not do a lot better than Tippett. Plus i can’t see myself trading Sandi, and i like the flexibility tippett will give me when Sandi returns. mmm i think i talked myself into A)
    - CJ is JC
      August 6, 2010 • 3:39 pm
      
      mmmmmmmm yer its your trade not mine
      tippet was showing some form in rnd 12-15 but he average rnd16-18 is 41
      but yer youll get some money from the trade
    - CreamersDreamers
      August 6, 2010 • 3:40 pm
      
      J-Pod could be a late inclusion!
CreamersDreamers
August 6, 2010 • 3:29 pm

Consider these trades for a must win final, 3 trades left:

I’m getting sick of Carrots so wanna demote him to the bench….

Banner + 50K cash to get Gram in. Swap Carrots with Gram (DPP), Carrots on the midfiled bench, also possible DPP swap with Goddard or Hodge.

Or should I go Carrots+50K to Duffield/Broughton or +100K to Kelly?
thomasgreen1994
August 6, 2010 • 4:02 pm

1st in all 3 leagues (none of them are from DT Dtalk). Have three trades left, im not going to trade this week. Putting jono brown for pods and warnock on for the big fella
sinclair39
August 6, 2010 • 7:11 pm

Pods to Riewoldt

or

Fyfe to Riewoldt

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