Roy’s Real Estate: Round 13

Posted by on 25/6/10 • Categorised as Trade Talk

Hi team, welcome to RRE part two. I’m sorry in advance about the quality and size this week but I’m sick as a dog, and don’t mistake that for sick like a Warne Dawg, because he is fully sick as in cool. Ah it seems I spend my whole life apologising about size and quality… dammit. Anyway there are only a couple of games left this round but lots of our go to players are yet to come.

Quietly Dominating:

Sam Gilbert: Sam just seems to fly under the radar, not only by DT coaches, but often opposition coaches. He is one of those reliable defenders that will give you his averaged of 90-100 each week. His last three weeks consist of 111, 96 and 95. Not too bad for a back priced at $394,500 and a BE of 104.

Scott Pendlebury: For a player that oozes class, Scotty has been getting off the hard tag hook lately, rare for a player that is so damaging with each possession. Not only are his touches damaging in a footy sense, but he has been DT damaging of late to the point where he is crying for captaincy. His last three weeks have produced 119, 136 and 136. Priced at a premium $446,200 and a low BE of 61. WARNING: Sydney is one team that tends to pay him the honour of a tag.

Farren Ray: Lots of Saints seem to be getting the hang of playing without Nick. It would be interesting to see what happened to each individuals scores for the first month without him but I’m guessing that almost everybody’s priced dropped. With alot of their players now realising they can still play, plus Nicks return getting closer by the week, further improvement can be expected. Farren is in hot form with 91, 100 and 111 in his last three and costs only $364,200. His BE is only 61 and he would probably be the most unique pick in your league.

Ok, I’m stuffed. What I would like people to do is select players that are on this week and do a little spread in the comments as I have above. Team effort this week and I’ll be back next week bigger, better and full of antibiotics.

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679 Comments

  1. Avatar of tkol
    tkol
    June 25, 2010 • 7:58 am

    Great Post… Farren Ray is too scary to buy!

    • Avatar of Warnie
      Warnie
      June 25, 2010 • 8:15 am

      FRay is a great bloke to bet on. Cleaned up on him a few times as he is quite often under odds. Look out for it!

      • Avatar of Ike
        Ike
        June 25, 2010 • 3:21 pm

        Had the Fray last year, but there was upside last year as he started was a real low price, too many -’ves to start with this year but is a solid DT’r for the most part!

  2. Avatar of tkol
    tkol
    June 25, 2010 • 8:01 am

    A Smokey who quietly domintated for one week is Tarkyn Lockyer (116).
    If this bloke has ever been hungrier to keep his spot in the side then now is the time to buy the little man!
    A) Never before in his career did he have such a long sting in the 2′s
    B) A proven DT Champ!

    • Avatar of JungleMuffin
      JungleMuffin
      June 25, 2010 • 8:17 am

      Alot to pay for a bloke who has a big question mark over wether or not he’s best 22.

      Ball coming back certainly puts a bit of pressure on his spot.

    • Avatar of McScoundrel
      McScoundrel
      June 25, 2010 • 8:27 am

      I think its a classic case of: Scored well in dt but did nothing. I distinctly remember thinking after the game that he looked past it and that Mick Malthouse had been right all along to marginalise him from the best 22. Imo a terrible buy at any price over $250k.

  3. Avatar of JungleMuffin
    JungleMuffin
    June 25, 2010 • 8:08 am

    For those of you needing to replace Kreuzer next week, big Hamish McIntosh might be worth taking a look at. Missed a few weeks a month back with a shoulder injury, but has played 4 straight now, so should be coming good.

    The past 2 weeks he’s hit 82 and 90, after having the two mandatory shit games after coming back from a layoff, one of them being against 211, which you would forgive him for. BE is 50.

    He was hitting a bit of form prior to round 7 also, which is when he did his shoulder.

    If you don’t wan’t to go all out on Sandi/Cox as a replacement, or can’t afford to, it might be worth a look at, up to you.

    Anyways, good luck with the rest of the round fellas, and get well soon Roy.

    <3 JungleMuffin

    • Avatar of Hurl_the_Pears
      Hurl_the_Pears
      June 25, 2010 • 11:55 am

      O man, had just narrowed it down to Cox or Clark and now you bring up another name to consider…

      • Avatar of fishsticks
        fishsticks
        June 25, 2010 • 2:44 pm

        i wouldn’t go mitch clark. i’ve had him all year and all he seems to do is find a way to lose money each and every week. i can’t see him getting any 100+ scores this year, 90 seems to be his max when he isnt the only brisbane ruckman on the park

        • Avatar of Ike
          Ike
          June 25, 2010 • 3:24 pm

          Clark will do a lot better 2nd half of the year, but yes, he has been disappointing this year. A couple of weeks ago I did a comparison b/w first half last year and first half this year for him and he is actually about where he was last year – we know how he finished off last year! But is a risk!

  4. Avatar of tkol
    tkol
    June 25, 2010 • 8:50 am

    Just off the topic for a sec…

    Im in a tight Eliminator match, If i trade Chapman to Didak i will be ensured a win which would put me through to the last 500. If i dont im in a dog fight…. would you risk it?

  5. Avatar of orbs
    orbs
    June 25, 2010 • 9:21 am

    Also I need to get this off my chest now.

    All you DICKHEADS! that are cheering because Chapman has missed his first week with hamstring injury, pull your heads in! Fair dinkum! Your not a good DT coach because you didnt grab him because u knew this was going to happen. ALL OF US WHO GOT HIM KNEW HE WOULD MISS AT SOME POINT!

    But put it into perspective u wankers. The guy has got under 100, one time and that was a 99. He is the second best scorer only behind the Great Dane Swan. Has close to a massive 20 point better average than the next best forward in Pav. Not to mention scoring more than 200 points better, even if he misses 2 he will still probably have a higher score than all forwards.

    Most importantly check every person ranked in the top 100 and they will have him. Almost in every GOOD league across the country the top 3 people will have him. In my league (currently ranked 25th) all the people are coming out to say “suckj it chapmsn hahaha knew this was going to happen”. You know where all these people are dont ya? Yeah bottom 8.

    Chappy is going to miss 1 week and even if he does it at the business end, people smart enough will have left a trade for it. I know im leaving 2. If chappy goes down i go to pav or didak and with the extra 100k upgrade elsewhere. The fact of the matter is, chapman alone would have won me 4 games against u idiots wihtout him of his own boot.

    Thankyou and that is all.

    P.S – If anyone in the op 1000 can prove me wrong and has never had chappy would love to see your team.

    • Avatar of Mumbles
      Mumbles
      June 25, 2010 • 9:45 am

      I hope he’s out for a month, you fkn DT genius.

      • Avatar of Dildo
        Dildo
        June 25, 2010 • 9:50 am

        haha mumbles doesnt have chappie 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        • Avatar of Mumbles
          Mumbles
          June 25, 2010 • 10:10 am

          No I don’t , but I also don’t pretend to be a Dt whizkid When there’s so much info out there these days
          that it basically comes down to luck.You take a risk on an injury prone player and sometimes it pays off.

    • Avatar of snappychappy
      snappychappy
      June 25, 2010 • 9:47 am

      Anyone that thinks he will only miss one is a moron…..they will take a zero risk policy with him given his importance to them winning the flag

      • Avatar of orbs
        orbs
        June 25, 2010 • 10:14 am

        I agree they have a no risk policy but thats with all there players. Surely Ablett sits in the same category as Chapman? If Ablett goes down u dont hear anyone say “hahaha told ya, suck shit, blah blah f**king blah” Ablett is as much (f**king if not more these days) risk than chapman of being rested.

        We are halfway through the season and both have now missed 1 game and yeah both of them will probably miss again but the whole idea of this game is to try and get to number 1. When the season ends these guys will be in the top 5 scoring players. To not get them because they miss a couple of weeks is ludicrous because when they do play they make up for it.

    • Avatar of McScoundrel
      McScoundrel
      June 25, 2010 • 10:05 am

      “People smart enough” are leaving at least one trade for Chappy. In your case, you’re leaving two. No doubt the Grand Masters are also leaving one trade, if not two, for Ablett. So there’s four trades. Let me posit this argument: Only a few years ago, to “rest” players prior to finals was regarded with disdain. “Flirting with form” upset the momentum of the side. In the past couple of years, Geelong have rested players. St Kilda did so last year. This year, “resting” players will be regarded as “best practise” and once teams in the top 8 have achieved their highest attainable position, key players will be rested left, right and centre. All top 1000 players should have the majority of their players from these sides. Whether having both Chapman and Ablett is a good idea this year, only time will tell.

    • Avatar of Sammy H
      Sammy H
      June 25, 2010 • 10:06 am

      I thought you had a good comment, and then you cam out with that dribble.

      First of all, no one should celebrate a fu*king injury full-stop. We all love the AFL, who wants to see the great man get injured? No one I’d consider a decent bloke, that’s for sure.

      Secondly, there are a ridiculous number of teams in the top 1000 that don’t have him. Just doing a quick scan I saw ten in the top 100 (and probably only reviewed twenty).

      Pull your head in, dickface.

      • Avatar of orbs
        orbs
        June 25, 2010 • 10:22 am

        Probably should have done my research before making that last comment!
        6 guys in the top 10 have him whilst 4 dont including the leader who will probably kick away a little because of this.

        So im man enough to admit i came out a little strong and was wrong but as u said it f**king shits me when everyone starts laughing and saying i told ya so.

        • Avatar of Pugsiadly
          Pugsiadly
          June 25, 2010 • 11:31 am

          I agree with some of what you’re saying, certainly the part about anyone being happy that a great player is injured is a shit bloke. Regardless of whether they’re in your team or not, real footy fans should never wish this upon anyone!

          On the other hand though, I deliberately did not select Chapman at the start of the year for this exact reason and have been doubting my decision ever since. People with him can pat themselves on the back for making an awesome call, but for the rest of us who were worried about his hammy’s this is almost some form of justification of our thought process in not getting him in.

          I’m not screaming “I told you so” because Chappy has been the most consistent player this year and by far the best forward. Guess we’ll only really know at the end of the season

    • Avatar of Nothing
      Nothing
      June 25, 2010 • 11:35 am

      Orbs,

      Whilst Chappy has been the one of the best scorers you also paid top dollar for him at the start.

      Of the top 7 scorers by total points after this weekend he will likely be less value (money spent per point gained) than Hodge, Goddard, Bartel and Swan. Slightly ahead of Monty and Ablett.

      • Avatar of Blue boys
        Blue boys
        June 25, 2010 • 12:16 pm

        Could have done worse than having Chapman…………….could have had Brown, N.Riewoldt, Franklin, Higgins, Brennan, Bradshaw, Fevola, Sylvia, Gray Roughead etc etc.
        1st year i have had Chappy (avoided him previous year due to hammies), i am happy to take his season to date. Will use bench to cover him this week, and the next time he misses too.

        • Avatar of Ike
          Ike
          June 25, 2010 • 3:34 pm

          Other thing I was considering, who knows what extent his hammies are sore, he has a serious history – noone is denying that, but it could have just been tight after training and they will take a no risk policy on that. My thoughts, and I’m only guessing, but a lot of other people ‘might’ have played with hamstring tightness, but with someone with Chappy’s history – why risk it?!

          Anyway, thats what I’m hoping for anyway. I must admit this year was the first year I went with Chapman, and only because Riewoldt was injured. I agree with you Orbs for the majority of your comments, you did go OTT, but hell thats DT and it brings it outta ya!! I’m not regretting having Chappy, as he has been as consistant as they come.

          How many people selected Higgins this year? Even Brown has history of niggles, Ablett always gets rested for a week or two during the year. Chappy just seems to be the player who everyone likes to focus on.

          So be it, I’m happy with my selection of Chappy and I’m confident number 1 draft pick Jack Watts will score a massive ton to make up for Chappy not playing! haha OK, that last sentence is taking the piss!

  6. Avatar of hatters
    hatters
    June 25, 2010 • 10:38 am

    Anyone planning to win their league final should have at least 2 trades or good bench cover
    for the grand final as it’s monty that Geelong will rest players in rd 22 , they are home to West Coast.
    Scary thought is the Saints have the Crows as well !

    • Avatar of fishsticks
      fishsticks
      June 25, 2010 • 10:42 am

      nah i disagree, nothing helps confidence like a 100 point win going into the finals. They’ll rest someone, but who rests all their best players in one week?

    • Avatar of Blue boys
      Blue boys
      June 25, 2010 • 12:02 pm

      Hatters,
      No way they will just rest players in round 22, round 18, 19 & 20 yes…………but very unlikely round 21 & 22.
      If any guns miss round 22 it will be with a genuine injury!!!!

      • Avatar of hatters
        hatters
        June 25, 2010 • 12:13 pm

        I hope your right because i haven’t learnt my lesson and have plenty of these players again this year, however i am going to save a couple of trades just in case. Once bitten !

        • Avatar of Blue boys
          Blue boys
          June 25, 2010 • 12:18 pm

          Yeah its hard because they are the best player during the year and you need them to get to finals. Much more of a fight for top 4 spots this year so less chance to rest multiple players imo.
          Need trades or solid bench cover just in case…………and some luck. :-)

  7. Avatar of fishsticks
    fishsticks
    June 25, 2010 • 10:40 am

    good call on gilbert roy. a similar option to him would be J Kelly, priced about 35 grand cheaper with a BE of 92, but he’s losing two 60-ish scores and still with an average of 93. He’ll be coming off a great score of 120 and i’ve got a suspicion that he will play a fair bit in the midfield this week as those getting tagged might be told to take their man out of the play a bit, bomber telling ablett to play out of the goal square and the like. if he gets 100+ score this week. gilbert’s probably the more consistent, but with 3 120+ scores this year and having rested with injury earlier in the year, i’m hoping he’ll play through to round 22, or miss 1 game max

    • Avatar of Ike
      Ike
      June 25, 2010 • 3:38 pm

      I’m hoping he can pull out another 60 or 70 so his score will drop under 350k – need a straight swap for Goose and he is on my radar!!

  8. Avatar of Pugsiadly
    Pugsiadly
    June 25, 2010 • 11:44 am

    Another player who most people will have already but worth looking at if you don’t is Ryan O’keefe. The guy is a proven DT jet but has had a crap patch in the middle of this year which means he is currently priced at $339k. His last 2 scores have been 102 and 110 which suggests he may be back to his best.

    Also, the Swans should be in the mix for finals which means he’ll be playing every week in DT finals and slogging his guts out. If you don’t have him there aren’t many better bargains!

    On a seperate note, I know Chook will cover this but Strijk from West Coast is an absolute jet. His first game was serviceable, but he has been elevated by the Eagles and in the WAFL this year he smashed it.. Keep an eye on him next week

    • Avatar of Blues_FC
      Blues_FC
      June 25, 2010 • 12:43 pm

      lol, i like your name/sig

    • Avatar of Gazinator
      Gazinator
      June 25, 2010 • 12:57 pm

      Yeah I traded in Strijk as soon as he was named. Great player and with the shuffling of the eagles side at the moment there is plenty of room for him to make a name for himself.

    • Avatar of Superted
      Superted
      June 25, 2010 • 1:05 pm

      From about this time on last year (probably a couple of weeks earlier) o’keefe was one of the best dters in the game constatntly putting up 120′s. I also believe that he will do this from now on and woul be a great buy for any team especially with the lack of fwd premiums

      • Avatar of Blue boys
        Blue boys
        June 25, 2010 • 1:08 pm

        Also amongst his poor scores earlier this year was 2 or 3 big hits to the head over 4 or 5 weeks, which affected his game time/scores.

        • Avatar of Ike
          Ike
          June 25, 2010 • 3:39 pm

          Good call, he just kept getting smashed week after week! Wish I didn’t have him as he is a bargain but paid full price from round 1. Get on him!

  9. Avatar of Hook
    Hook
    June 25, 2010 • 12:54 pm

    One player that burnt a lot of people at the beginning of the year was Tippet. I started with him then traded him after 2 games becuase he looked shocking.

    I think he has great potential for some big scores though and he has had 2 80′s in his last three games. At 248K Could be a cheap (but risky) 7th forward option (or second ruck)for a sideways trade from a rookie such as Rohan or Peterson.

  10. Avatar of :P
    :P
    June 25, 2010 • 1:21 pm

    KENNELLY OUT ROHAN IN

    bad news for some goodfor others

    in know a few people were going to use rohan as CAPTAIN andtake their VC
    Many will need his points because of people like brown and Higgins

    • Avatar of magic34
      magic34
      June 25, 2010 • 1:52 pm

      Sucks I’ve got Kennelly (although on the pine) and my opponent was looking at a zero but now has Rohan. Hope the dirty redhead scores single figures, although he might be inspired by a fellow red-head’s performance this week!

  11. Avatar of Jakey Cakes
    Jakey Cakes
    June 25, 2010 • 3:33 pm

    kennelly to henderson or hunt?
    both 95k hunt better average but im guessing worse job security

    do u guys reckon hunt is straight out when chappy comes back?
    what about henderson? he is named on field but still extended bench

  12. Avatar of Spector
    Spector
    June 25, 2010 • 3:35 pm

    Just plugged Gilbert into my backline… three Sainters back there now haha.

    Three upgrade positions remaining with 7 trades and 124k.

    Nason
    Martin
    Hitchcock

    (Though I have Chappy and Brown on my fwds bench grrr).

    Next week is Nason to Enright. (BE 122 and price at 370k odd)

    Other two I am going to sit tight on for a while. However likely to be Martin -> Ablett/Swan and maybe a punt on Riewoldt for Hitchcock.

    • Avatar of Ike
      Ike
      June 25, 2010 • 4:18 pm

      I’d be keeping an eye on Gram in coming weeks so you might have 4 saints backs (!), ok, about a month. He is only a week or two away and with a massive BE, will be a bargain for the last 6 or so weeks!!

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