Roys Real Estate: Round 13

Posted by Roy on 18/6/10 • Categorised as Trade Talk

Hey, welcome to Roy’s Real Estate, in the “unlucky for some” round 13. Well all I can say is that if round 13 is any unluckier than round 12, I’m in a world of hurt! This week I am going to talk about a few players of interest that will hit the ground this weekend (or at least we expect them too, ala Didak and Brown).

Unique + good form:

Michael (Teac) Riskytelly- Ive spent weeks looking at Riskytelly and it is fair to say he is far more reliable than his old mate Teac. In the last month he has averaged 103 which has caused his BE to drop to a very low 41. As he is surrounded by some classy midfielders, copping a tag is the last thing on any coaches mind who would consider picking him up. Still priced at a bargain $367,700, he may be the right man to round out a midfield in what could potentially be a straight swap (with bank assistance).

Jarrod (All Australian) Waite-I have been a huge fan of Waitey for years, hence the All Australian tag I like to give him. If I decide to cover one of my forward or back line 0′s this week, Waite must be considered. Yes to some extent my season is so far gone I might as well get some players I love, however in this case, the numbers back me up. Since returning for injury and suspension, the big fella hasn’t missed a beat pumping out 119 and 104 taking his BE down to a low 54. Priced at $371,300 he is an absolute steal! albeit a risky one.

Jack Riewoldt- Last weeks awesome 150 was no fluke by Tassie’s own Jack. Before that outburst, Jacks last 3 games were very good posting 128, 86 and 105 for a monthly average of 117. Yes, that is a better average than everybody’s favourite forward Paul Chapman. One thing I like about Jack is that if he isn’t getting a look at goals, he is willing to run up the field to take a mark, kick 6 pointer. Priced at $395,300 and a BE of 40. So before you make a decision you must consider whether is better to have Jack on, or Jack off your team.

If only we had trades left…………Coiya:

Nick Naitanui- As much as I love Nick Nat, he just isn’t converting his freakish ability into dream team scores. In the last month, Nick has only produced one respectable score (79) which helped his average over that time reach just 66. If you are in a position where you where you need to keep starting him in the ruck, these are disappointing numbers! He has a questionable BE of 59 and is priced at $249,200.

Andrew Carrazzo- Carrots was one of the picks of the season, starting in a blaze of glory and averaging 100 or so after the first handful of games. Now, a starving rabbit would not want to take a nibble of our old mate Carrot, leaving his seemingly worthless. For some unknown reason, Ratten has been playing him as a tagger and it has absolutely ruined his DT scores. The worst thing a good player can do is actually tag well if they are ever asked to do it. Down to a price of $337,000 and his BE is and out of reach 117 (unless he is allowed to play properly this week).

Hamish McIntosh- Old H-Mac has 1 thing in his favour…… he is playing. I think many owners would have fingers crossed for an excuse to give him the chop! Once again at this stage of the year it is hard to justify a trade based purely on bad form but Hamish is pushing his luck. All indicators suggested that Mac was set of a 90+ average minimum this year, however has scored just 69 points per game in the last month. He is priced at $299,100 which with some bank assistance is within range of some big dawgs like Cox and Sandi.

Week one guns:

Luke Hodge- DTTALK’s own Luke Hodge has to be favourite for the Brownlow. As a matter of fact he would be neck and neck with Barlow for the DT Brownlow as well. If there is a back man you want week one of the split round it’s Hodgey and his whopping 121 average over the last month. This year Hodgey seems to laugh off attempted tags and has put an end to the boring Judd vs Hodge dispute, with the final answer being…… they are both bloody awesome. Priced at $437,300 as a mid/def he is still a bargain.

Michael Barlow- Speaking of the devil I mean God, Barlow is no longer just a gun for a rookie, he is an out and out champion! The last month he has put seasoned DT veterans to shame with a month average of 118 including score of 118 and 138. This week he plays the blues where he will make Carrots wish he was back chasing the pill, not arse.

Matthew Boyd-There is no player I wish I had more than Matty Boyd. To understand what a compliment that is, you just have to look at my team and see that I am basically missing all the guns….. so yeah, its a fair pat on the back. The last month Boyd has averaged 111 and rarely lets his coaches down. He is priced at $427,200 and is set to rise this week with another big ton vs the struggling Eagles.

Well guys (and girl) assuming at least one girl will read this, there are a few names to chat about as you consider a week 1 trade. Good luck with it, I hope you are having more than me! Yeew, new week… BRING IT.

717 Comments

Swannies
June 18, 2010 • 6:15 am

Traded Hille to Cox but still have Brown donut with no cover. I have 3 trades left. Should I trade a bench player to Henderson (or others playing this round) or cop it?
- :P
  June 18, 2010 • 6:31 am
  
  Y TRADE HILLE?????
  he will only miss one more game
  not worth one of your valuable trades
  - Kevinf21
    June 18, 2010 • 2:30 pm
    
    Yea that’s what trengove from port is 4
    - JungleMuffin
      June 18, 2010 • 11:50 pm
      
      Take out that massive 150+ and Hille’s form has been shit lately.
      
      Take a look at the numbers.
      - Max Power
        June 18, 2010 • 11:58 pm
        
        OK..but let’s also take out the game where he was injured.
        
        71,97,57,113,87,114
        
        Anyone who wouldn’t take that return must have a ruck combo of Sandilands and Sandilands.
Mucho-grande
June 18, 2010 • 7:57 am

I had 3 donuts last week – FMDT

Glad to say things looking better for Rd 13

Why is Webberley not getting a game this week?!
- Sammy H
  June 18, 2010 • 8:21 am
  
  Fuck there are some muppets who post on this site.
  
  How many times do you see selection committees voluntarily changing their side after a 50-point win? Use your head, you goose.
  - orbs
    June 18, 2010 • 8:30 am
    
    Fuck me that was a bit uncalled for. Pretty normal question if you ask me.
  - jimbarts
    June 18, 2010 • 10:53 am
    
    Agree. Webberley was no chance to come back, stupid ignorant question
LG
June 18, 2010 • 8:43 am

Can anyone explain why Barlow hasn’t got a Rising Star nomination yet? I reckon he’d could go the double (Brownlow and Rising Star) this year.
- tkol
  June 18, 2010 • 8:46 am
  
  Age… He doesnt qualify
- Blue boys
  June 18, 2010 • 9:01 am
  
  And just to prove how stupid the rules of the “Rising Star” are, Ben Reid from Collingwood get his nomination this week in his 4th year of playing AFL (debuted Rnd 13 2007).
tkol
June 18, 2010 • 8:44 am

Nice post Roy.

Jack Reiwoldt going forward could be a lock at round 1.

Great call on Boyd, i have him locked in as VC. I always dreamed of owning him and his first week in the side(last round) he didnt dissapoint.
orbs
June 18, 2010 • 8:47 am

Would love peoples thoughts on this!!

I want to trade Brown to Henderson which will net me 210k. I then have 30k in the bank, so im sitting on 240k. With that money i then want to upgrade Bastinac to either Swan OR Boyd but im totally torn between the two of them.

If i go to Swan im getting a better DT player (8 points average). A more reliable captain, capable of bigger points. Reliable and lots of league opponents have him so it will cancel him out, good for me sitting 2nd on the ladder and also 1008th overall. It will however only leave me with 29k in the bank.

If i go Boyd, im also getting an absolute jet, i also have ablett which is my natural captain but he is a great backup! I guess the most appealing thing is if i get him ill have 90k in the bank which in a few weeks time i can turn hitchock into a brown replacement.

Im leaning towards Boyd but am keen to hear otherwise.
- tkol
  June 18, 2010 • 8:55 am
  
  I have them both but if i had to choose one it would be Swan EASILLLLYYY!
  
  He is at a different level in DT!
  - orbs
    June 18, 2010 • 9:27 am
    
    Definitely agree but is he a 60k better player? I totally hear ya but im just thinking business end when i want to upgrade hitchcock to a premium. That 60k extra could be huge!!
    
    Say in 4 weeks time hitchock is worth 250k. With the boyd trade im on 340k. Then i can do something like downgarde warnock to a 77k making me 75k so im on 415k with my pick of say Didak, Pav. If i go swan ill be on 355k. What will that give me? Not much??
    - Maches
      June 18, 2010 • 9:40 am
      
      The question I ask is do you want Henderson. He is not guaranteed a game as when O’Halpin comes back he will probably go. I would say possibly pick up Gumby instead. Guaranteed a game and averages the same as Hendo. And I would take the 60k and Boyd over Swan. The 60k could come in very handy.
      - Donk
        June 18, 2010 • 10:09 am
        
        I would say he’s talking about Ricky Henderson… Who’s job security is probably also questionable.
      - Maches
        June 18, 2010 • 10:13 am
        
        In that case I would say maybe look at Griffiths as well. He hasnt scored much so far but the coach seems to like him.
      - orbs
        June 18, 2010 • 10:31 am
        
        Yeah talking about Ricky Henderson.
        I know his job security is questionable but he will become my 9th forward with Rockliffe being my 8th. whilst ideally we would all love two backups in each position, im a but of a realist and realise i have to sacrifice that security for bigger scores.
        
        In a perfect world every cash caw you downgraded would be a michael barlow on 2 games but lets be honest from here on in anyone you downgrade to is going to be a risk. I like henderson because he is playing in a team who cant make finals and will be looking to blood players (especially considering how old their list is!)
      - Donk
        June 18, 2010 • 12:49 pm
        
        In that case I like the trade. I can’t take these sort of risks with Relton hanging around on my bench :s
tkol
June 18, 2010 • 9:35 am

Prices change all the time. Some become unreachable and others drop.

The fact of the matter is, Swanny will win you more matches than anyone! You want him in your side! Especially in a finals campaign. You dont want to play the guy with Swanny ‘C’

He is worth every cent! Thats the reason he is $60 k more
leegend
June 18, 2010 • 10:10 am

7 trades left, Maguire and Brown out. Scarce cover.

Trade or hold?
- Maches
  June 18, 2010 • 10:14 am
  
  How much cash do you have in the bank?
  - leegend
    June 18, 2010 • 10:23 am
    
    50k. I’m thinking of taking a punt on Bower and Brennan
    - tkol
      June 18, 2010 • 11:43 am
      
      Nooo… He is a Spud!
      - leegend
        June 18, 2010 • 11:46 am
        
        Brennan or Bower?
        
        I guess it’s 2 questions.
        1. Is it worth trading them (one or both) at this point of the season?
        2. If so, who’s worthwhile?
Danger
June 18, 2010 • 10:12 am

Is it worth trading Brown out? I don’t have many trades and only have 65k in the bank so can’t get anyone elite i guess.

Doing a striaght swap, i can get Goodes, Brennan, Byrnes, Boomer Harvey.

Thoughts?
- Maches
  June 18, 2010 • 10:15 am
  
  I would also look at Gia or ROK if you dont have them. Are much cheaper and both are capable of good scores, Gia being a little inconsistant at stages.
- Danger
  June 18, 2010 • 10:47 am
  
  Yeh got them already.
- tkol
  June 18, 2010 • 11:44 am
  
  Goodes will fly once Bradshaw is back!
  
  Every year he finishes off DT seasons better than anyone else!
- Monks
  June 18, 2010 • 11:46 am
  
  I’ve already got Goodes, ROK and Gia in my side and am bringing in Harvey this week for Brown. He’s only got three scores below 80 this year and with North’s form improving I think his scores may do too
- Danger
  June 18, 2010 • 12:11 pm
  
  Yeh, i’ve narrowed it down to Harvey or Goodes. I am leaning towards Goodes. When is Bradshaw back? He did average 99 last year.
Young GUNS
June 18, 2010 • 11:42 am

Great Post Roy.
Great recognition of Boyd… really like him as a player.
Had him from the start and even with the Hand injury he has been a legend and your right he doesn’t let you down.

I am out of the hunt so I am going to pick players I like …..alla kick out Heath Shaw.

Players I like as players and not just DT that I have:

Hodge, Goddard, Goodes, ROK, Sandi, Cox, Boyd, Barlow
conquest
June 18, 2010 • 12:11 pm

i have broughton as a 0 in the back, with webberly and C heath emg. + 100g in the bank. and 7 trades left.

unsure on what to do??? should i wait it out? or? hopefully broughton is back soonish.
- conquest
  June 18, 2010 • 12:19 pm
  
  would trading webberly > H grundy be a stupid trade? would be a solid bench? (but would probably fight heath shaw for senior selection) he could also DPP with phil davis in my fwd line. hmmm averaging 78. thoughts?
- Morts
  June 18, 2010 • 12:19 pm
  
  Broughton was a chance to come back this week according to Harvey. I think they just gave him an extra game off with the spilt round so that he will be 100% in two weeks for round 14. I’ve got him sitting on my bench at the moment. He is a gun and is reasonably unique if you look at how many people have him.
  - conquest
    June 18, 2010 • 12:26 pm
    
    so do i want to cop another zero for a week, that is the question???
    - LG
      June 18, 2010 • 1:02 pm
      
      that really depends on who you’re playing and what they’re likely to score and if you can beat it with a 0.
    - danno
      June 18, 2010 • 1:08 pm
      
      mite as well….. its only 1 more week, grundy is a bit of a gamble, the dpp with davis could pay off tho, davis will play as long as hes fit for the rest of the year. so dpp with grundy into ur fwd line and sit davis on ur bench in the back could be the way to go…. play grundy on the field in ur fwd line then and accept a score of 60-70 as ur 7th fwd hopefully
danno
June 18, 2010 • 1:20 pm

Nice roy…. good calls on all of them, bloody if only we knew jack was gunna be a gun in such a shit team!
i brought in Waite last week and he netted me 104 on his debut thank you. risky trade but with my lack of trades i needed a dpp player and hes a gun.

i have hodge, barlow and boyd….. like quite a few people i guess. boyd is a jet, had him from the start and even when he took time off for his hand i didnt mind, just now hes come back bigger and better! he just racks it up and im expecting a massive score this week V west coast at the wide open spaces of subi.

if it wasn’t for gibbs’ 2 x 140+ scores V the dockers last year, boyd would have the VC this week.
maddux91
June 18, 2010 • 1:32 pm

Taylor Hunt, is he gonna play this week? I need a downgrade option fro Maguire… any other choices?
- Maches
  June 18, 2010 • 1:45 pm
  
  You could go Strijk from the Eagles or Roberton from the dockers. I would be wary of Hunt with a few players to return soon from the cats as well as a few for freo. So I think that Strijk would be the best option and he is a rookie price.
air_nitta
June 18, 2010 • 1:39 pm

thinking of brown – r henderson, then jaensch – rok – thoughts?
- air_nitta
  June 18, 2010 • 1:40 pm
  
  i cant do a straight brown – rok swap, not enough $
  - tkol
    June 18, 2010 • 1:49 pm
    
    ROK scored 140 against the pies in the same game last year!
Funny Rooster
June 18, 2010 • 1:59 pm

Regarding the ‘Should I trade or not’ question that we see every single week in response to every single topic, every DTer is in a different position, so you just have to ask, what am I trying to achieve?
Are you trying to:
– win the whole DT comp.. fat f**kn chance
– win your league
– win eliminator or league match any given week
– get the highest score for any one week/year
– have the best team that you can

If you are trying to win the main comp or your league comp you’ll likely need trades at the end when players are rested/injured coming into finals, so if you get a donut and lose a couple of points one week it doesn’t really matter as long as your team is strong when it counts, at the end.

If you are stil in Eliminator, every week will be harder since we all improve (hopefully) over the season, so maybe its best to trade now to ensure that extra 40 points or whatever makes the difference this week so you live to fight another day

If you’re me and you are the coach of OMGWTFBBQ, then since things have not panned out the way I like, but I have always had a good team that can’t get everyone firing in one week, then I want my team pretty much maxed so I can sit on it and save my last trades for LTI’s since I have ok bench cover.

I’m confidant in a league comp win and I’m out of eliminator so I live in hope that I can steal the $1000 one week.
- steakandbeeers
  June 18, 2010 • 2:29 pm
  
  this is true, if you just want to win your league and you’re up against someone shithouse you can always hold off on trades
baconb
June 18, 2010 • 2:01 pm

280 in the bank 8 trades

Pissed off at getting Brown last week and trading Balla both had like 30 be’s so figured it was time with Brown at 305k anyways

Need one more backman and dont have the cash to get the best available plus ablett next week.

So going to downgrade Silvani to Henderson and make a lazy 155k

Still will have hunt on my bench so all is good.

7 trades and bit over 400k

Cheers
Funny Rooster
June 18, 2010 • 2:02 pm

Correction, OMGWTFBBQ is my SC, my mighty DT team is none other than ‘Dreamteam FAIL’ :)
Simo
June 18, 2010 • 2:17 pm

Is Ryan Hargrave a certain starter for the Dogs????
Bit of a worry he is not named on the field and on the extended bench
- Danger
  June 18, 2010 • 3:05 pm
  
  No, he’s not a certainty. I can’t remember exactly what eade said but be a liitle wary.
- Lenny
  June 18, 2010 • 3:06 pm
  
  He is named on the interchange bench in the Courier Mail paper.. but its from: Eagleton, Everitt, Hargrave, Stack, Minson, Moles, Reid
Shaun Dawgs
June 18, 2010 • 2:44 pm

I think i will be holding my trades this week and going Maguire—>Strijk next week and hopefully upgrading Hitchcock or Hall to Chappy
- tkol
  June 18, 2010 • 2:50 pm
  
  Hall is going real well at the moment.
  
  I wish i had of held onto him early in the season instead of jumping onto J Brown!
  - Lenny
    June 18, 2010 • 3:10 pm
    
    I think everyone was a bit worried, as I was, that he would lose his cool and deck someone through the season. I traded him a while ago.. but was nervous every week. But, he is going strong! Go Bazza!
  - Shaun Dawgs
    June 18, 2010 • 3:11 pm
    
    Yeah i kno looking at FF Genie though..he is expected to peak in price not next round but the round after.
    Then in that round (round 15) I will go:
    Maguire—>Strijk
    Hall—> Chappy + what is expected to be 126 700
    Then Round 16:
    Hithcock (because he is on my ground atm)—>Sylvia
    
    Team complete! with 3 trades left haha.
    - magic34
      June 18, 2010 • 4:58 pm
      
      I think FF Genie’s projected prices are based on the player scoring their average each game for the next three weeks. But a player like Hall normally scores 60s and 70s amongst 100s and 110s. So his average might be around 80 but it’s hard to predict his price fluctuations because he’s less consistent.
      Doesn’t make THAT much difference but just food for thought when dealing with FF genie
ARRunner
June 18, 2010 • 3:42 pm

I need help

I got 7 trades left and 60k in the bank

Maguire and Browny aren’t playing and i have decided to ditch Brown.
Who should i swap him for, im thinking either Ryan O’keefe or Brent Harvey. Harveys record seems a bit beat up by that 18 and 39 but looks consistant. ROK however had that purple patch but last 2 weeks have been good.

WHO DO I GET?

fwd line: Pods, Gia, Hall, Buddy, Pav, Goodes and (brown right now)
- GWillows
  June 18, 2010 • 5:01 pm
  
  easiest question on this post by a mile!
  O’Keefe any day mate
corbulo87
June 18, 2010 • 5:25 pm

I’ve got 382,700… who should I get?

Hodge, Goddard, Fisher, Hunt, Kennelly, INSERT HERE, (Webberley, Maguire)
GWillows
June 18, 2010 • 5:27 pm

Kelly or Duffield
- GWillows
  June 18, 2010 • 5:28 pm
  
  @ corbulo87
Wimpey
June 18, 2010 • 6:09 pm

Hi guys is it worth going
Luke Ball or Sam Mitchell to Swan this week or Ablett next week ?

or none….

currently have Bartel, Hayes, Pendlebury, Barlow, Ball, Mitchell – Martin & Shuey

230k & 10 trades…
- Patto.
  June 18, 2010 • 6:22 pm
  
  Swan this week. Ablett will miss another game atleast, Swanny is locked in for 22.
  - Wimpey
    June 18, 2010 • 6:33 pm
    
    Would you trade ball or Mitchell for swan then ? I’m leaning towards Ball mainly on his injury history..
    - Patto.
      June 18, 2010 • 6:34 pm
      
      Ball, Mitchell is just out of form. Ball’s injury is concerning.
      - Wimpey
        June 18, 2010 • 6:39 pm
        
        cheers Patto, up against top guy in my league this week already done Balla to Pav so with swan in will hopefully be 2 decent scoring trades !!

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