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Inside the Numbers

Inside the Numbers Round 11 Wrap

Pete from aflratings.com.au takes a look inside the fantasy numbers.

Gold Coast are remaining completely under the radar for fantasy options this year, the Suns have averaged 429.1 Disposals from their last 8 games (Season Ave: 416.8, Rank 1). Gary Ablett has averaged 35.0 Disposals from his last 7 games and has averaged 125.9pts over that period (8% Owned), Aaron Hall has averaged 30.3 Disposals from his last 4 games and has averaged 128.3pts over that period (5% Owned).

Coming off a career high 133pts in Round 11 Jarryd Lyons is also doing some nice work scoring 96pts or more in 6 of his last 7 games averaging 25.3 Disposals this season, whilst not a top ranked MID prospect it might be wise to keep an eye on him especially in Draft and shorter formats. After a slow start to the year Michael Barlow has been putting up decent numbers and could be a top ranked FWD at the end of the year, he has averaged 28.7 Disposals from his last 6 games and has averaged 102.7pts over that period.

Geelong have conceded 341.0 Disposals at Simonds Stadium in 3 games this year (All other games: 394.1), it is important to note that the Cats play 3 of their last 4 games (AFL Fantasy Finals) at Simonds Stadium this season against Sydney in R20, Richmond in R21 & GWS in R23 (AFL Fantasy Grand Final).


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Collingwood have been ranked in the top 2 for fantasy team points for 3 straight weeks, the Magpies have averaged 1896.3pts over this period and are currently the top ranked team this season averaging 1733.0 fantasy team points per game. Since returning from injury Adam Treloar has averaged 33.0 Disposals and 118.3pts from 3 games, after a somewhat quiet start to the year Steele Sidebottom has averaged 119.5pts from his last 4 games.

Nth Melbourne have conceded 400+ Disposals in 3 of their last 4 games, the Kangaroos have generally been known for not giving up big fantasy numbers but recent numbers are clearly noteworthy. Nth Melbourne plays Brisbane at the GABBA in Round 23, just another reason to target Tom Rockliff.

West Coast have conceded 5 straight 400+ Disposal games (Last 5 Ave AGA: 421.0, Rank 18), those Rory Sloane owners will be glad to know he is matched up against the Eagles in Round 23 at Domain Stadium.

Round 11 Highest Team Score

1. Collingwood 1911
2. Richmond 1874
3. Gold Coast 1856

Round 11 Lowest Team Score

18. Fremantle 1367
17. Adelaide 1411
16. Nth Melbourne 1424

2017 Highest Team Ave

1. Collingwood 1733.0
2. Melbourne 1713.7
3. Gold Coast 1693.0

2017 Lowest Team Ave

18. Brisbane 1494.7
17. Richmond 1524.3
16. Fremantle 1546.1

2017 Highest Team Ave AGA

18. Hawthorn 1715.3
17. Sydney 1696.0
16. St Kilda 1689.9

2017 Lowest Team Ave AGA

1. Melbourne 1559.1
2. GWS Giants 1567.7
3. Adelaide 1590.5
Brad Ebert scored a game high 142pts in R11, he has scored 100pts or more in 7 of 10 games this year (Season Ave: 111.5)
Ryan Burton scored a career high 118pts in R11, he is averaging 88.7pts this season (Hawthorn Rank: 6)
Patrick Dangerfield scored a game high 131pts in R11, he has averaged 137.3pts from his last 3 games (Season Ave: 116.3)
Brad Crouch scored a team high 101pts in R11, that is his 3rd consecutive 100pt game (Season Ave: 93.4)
Jarryd Lyons scored a career high 133pts in Round 11, he has scored 100pts or more in 3 of 10 games this season
Dom Sheed scored a career high 126pts in Round 11, he has averaged 99.3pts from his last 4 games
Josh Kelly scored a game high 159pts in Round 11, he has averaged 129.8pts from his last 5 games
Jobe Watson scored an equal season high 122pts in Round 11, he has scored 100pts or more in 3 of his last 4 games
Dustin Martin scored a career high 164pts in Round 11, he has averaged 139.7pts from his last 3 games (Season Ave: 116.7)
Sam Gibson scored a team high 93pts in Round 11, he has scored fewer than 100pts in 9 of 11 games this year
Lachie Neale scored a team high 104pts in R11, he has scored 100pts or more in 5 of 11 games this year (Season Ave: 100.0)
Taylor Adams scored a game high 127pts in R11, he has averaged 120.0 form his last 6 games (Season Ave: 118.4)

Who Am I?

  • I have scored 100pts or more in only 20% of games this season
  • In 2016, I scored 100pts or more in 45.5% of games (Including Finals)
  • Also in 2016, I scored 120pts or more in 13.6% of games (Including Finals)
  • Out of my Top 5 career scores, 3 of them have been against Melbourne (including 1 of those scores this year)
  • My jumper number consists of 2 numbers equalling 4
  • I made my debut in 2008
  • Including Finals, I have averaged 100pts or more in only 1 season back in 2015
  • I am currently owned by more than 9% of teams
  • I have also lost more than $25K from my starting price this year

Answer: Place your best guess in the comments below

Good Luck for Round 12

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Pete is our numbers man. Covering all things Fantasy, DFS and betting through his website and social platforms, at aflratings.com.au, knowledge is everything.




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