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Deck of Dream Team

Jack Redden – Deck of Dream Team 2013

Jack Redden could be on his way to being one of our must have premium players in AFL Dream Team. See what Rainmain has to say about him and whether he should be in your starting side in 2013.

DeckofDTRedden

Name: Jack Redden
Club: Brisbane
Position: Midfield
Assistant Coach 2013 Price: $531,100
Bye Round: 11
2012 Average: 103.1
2012 Games Played: 22
Predicted Average: 115+

Why should I pick him?

Jack Redden is a class act, and will only get better.

In 2011, Jack and Tom Rockliff set the world on fire and became known as the “RedRock” Combo. Jack in particular really showed the positive impact of a tackling machine on DT scoring.

Jack finished out the 2011 season with an average of a massive 109.2. Many thought that he would not be able to back it up in 2012…and for the start of the year, it looked like they may be right. After 5 rounds in 2012, Jack was averaging a paltry 84.4…. but then somebody must have reminded him that he was Jack Redden and better pick up his game… and he did.

His stats for the first 5 rounds as opposed to the rest of the year make for some interesting reading:

2012

Ave Kicks Ave Hball Ave Tackle DT Ave
First 5 rounds

9.8

12.6 4.6

84.4

Post first 5 rounds

12.5

12.4

7

108.5

He remembered to kick the ball, tackle when he didn’t have it and also snuck forward for the odd goal or two.

Whilst his RedRock counterpart suffered from Vossy thinking that he was a full forward, Jack had the freedom to do what he does best, attack the pill or the guy holding it.

He is a guy that doesn’t get a lot of kudos, but his numbers over the last 2 years are simply salivating.

Out of 44 matches across 2 years, he has scored over 100 29 times (66%) Compare this to say Trent Cotchin @ 26 out of 44 or (59%).

He doesn’t have an enormous ceiling, 138 in 2011 and 127 in 2012, but what he has is a very low standard deviation…non nerd speak. He is very consistent. Again if we compare his consistency to Cotchin

The lower the number the better:

 Year Redden Cotchin

2011

19.06

18.5

2012

18.39

20.57

I think the thing I like most about Redden is that when he scores a ton, 84% of the time that becomes over 110, and 38% over 120.

I can only see him getting better.

Why shouldn’t I pick him?

He has some competition for midfield spots in your team given the number of spots available this year and how you want to structure your team.

He does traditionally finish better than he starts the year (10 points higher in 2011, 3 points higher in 2012) so may look at as an upgrade target.

What will crazy old Voss do with him? I cant see his role changing, but Vossy…hmmm..who knows (Is he becoming the new Ross Lyon?)

With the recruitment of Moloney, Rocky back into the mids and the continued development of some of the youngsters, will there be enough points to go around?

Not very convincing arguments I know, and I may be a little biased cause I think he is a dead set jet.

Deck of DT Rating.

ACE – I really cannot see any down side in picking up Jack. He has averaged over 100 for the past 2 seasons. I really like the Lions draw and I think that the recruitment of Moloney will really help Redden’s game. He is only 22 years of age, so I see a lot of years of DT goodness left in Jack.

FOLLOW ME ON TWITTER: @RainmanDT for all things DT (and more). Got something to say about the deck? Use the hashtag… #DeckofDT.

 

Rainman, like the DT Talk boys, hails from Tasmania. Not only does he love his kids, but he loves a stat... almost as much as he loves a hashtag! Follow him on Twitter: @RainmanDT.




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