Fry’s Forgotten Few – Round 10

I’ve started my climb back to the top! I’m still an obscene way away from the top of the table, but nonetheless, I’m moving in the right direction. I have a handful of trade ideas and bye structure will be a priority for me over the next few weeks. That and of course bringing the reborn Tommy Rockliff back into the side, like tens of thousands of us around the globe! Let’s dive into the players for Round 10.

DEFENCE

Jeremy Howe, Magpies ($644K, 55 BE, 3.13% ownership)
Collingwood has been a fantasy factory this season. They are the only team averaging over 400 disposals a game which has translated to a bunch of players score HUGE totals. Jeremey Howe has benefited greatly with 30 touches in three of his last four games leading to an average over 115 in the last month. This is no accident, he is serious fantasy talent. Get him.

Bailey Williams, Bulldogs ($515K, 72 BE, 0.43% ownership)
He won’t win you your weekly matchup, but Williams has the consistency to be a solid contributor. The Dogs backman had a coming out party with his first career ton in Round 3 but has been relatively quiet since then. A three-round average above 80 has me convinced his second career ton isn’t too far away.

Draft Sleeper – Brad Sheppard, Eagles ($452K, 45 BE, 0.62% ownership)
West Coast defender Brad Sheppard hasn’t had a glittering AFL Fantasy career. In saying that he is on the verge of having a career season, with back-to-back high 80’s over the last fortnight. He offers sneaky upside if you have a throwaway space on your bench.

MIDFIELD

Ed Curnow, Blues ($776K, 99 BE, 8.05% ownership)
After his one-week absence, there is no reason not to consider Blues star Ed Curnow. In case you forgot his last two scores were 137 and 142! If you don’t have the $$$ to get your hands on Macrae then Curnow should be your next target.

David Zaharakis, Bombers ($700K, 89 BE, 0.71% ownership)
I wasn’t shocked to find Zaharakis’ low ownership. What did shock me though was his recent scores. Even though the Bombers have struggled, Zaha has just one score below 108 in his last five games. He has been ultra consistent and the Dons midfielder has a season average sitting over 105 and it’s showing no sign of slowing down.

Draft Sleeper – Hugh Greenwood, Crows ($589K, 68 BE, 1.35% ownership)
Speaking of ultra consistent, Hugh Greenwood has BALLED out in the Crows last three outings, with three straight scores over 100. If he is on the waiver wire stop what you are doing and add him to your midfield. I’m serious.

Image result for hugh greenwood 2018

RUCK

Shaun McKernan, Bombers ($433K, 17 BE, 4.92% ownership)
Despite the small sample size, there is only one guy that can claim this slot this week. Shaun McKernan has two straight 100’s in his only two games of 2018, starting his AFL season off perfectly. Those such game have come against solid opponents to in Matthew Kreuzer and Zac Smith. Worth keeping an eye on.

Draft Sleeper – Oscar McInerney, Lions ($290K, 5 BE, 22.13% ownership)
Despite his high ownership in classic, McInerney will still be available on plenty of draft scrap heaps. He might only get you 40-50 points, but if you need a safety blanket he might be the best available option.

FORWARD

Dale Thomas, Blues ($612K, 67 BE, 6.78% ownership)
Fresh off consecutive scores above 125 a lot of eyes were on Daisy against the Demons. Despite his team getting walloped he managed to score a solid 86, tempting coaches around the league. I still have my doubts, but the numbers speak for themselves at the moment.

Ed Langdon, Dockers ($624K, 33 BE, 2.21% ownership)
For weeks people have been asking about my opinion on Ed Langdon. I expected the Dockers mid to see his scores return to normal when the Hill brothers came back into the best 22. Instead, the pair has remained sidelined and Langdon has gone off. Even if they rejoin the fray now I have faith Langdon’s scores will keep on flowing. Worth the punt.

Draft Sleeper – Ben Ronke, Swans ($368K, -2 BE, 17.31% ownership)
Similarly with McInerney, Ronke is ripe for the picking in draft leagues while becoming a classic favourite. His now infamous performance a fortnight ago has him on the radar of every decent coach, so be sure to make the move before someone else does.

The Three Big Questions Of Round 10

Is It A Smart Move To Upgrade Tim Kelly?
In a perfect world, the Cat’s rookie would stay in our team over the bye period, scoring us a decent amount of points and continuing to go up in value. Instead at $489K a lot of owners find themselves able to upgrade Geelong’s mature ager and get a big name into their midfield. If you are in this scenario, don’t hesitate for a moment and make the move.

How Can I Start Preparing For The Byes Now?
When Round 12 begins the three dreaded bye weeks commence and preparing well for them can make or break your season. There might not be a ‘perfect’ way to prepare, but a general rule is you want to try and trade players into your team after they have had their rest. 8 players on the Round 12 bye, 10 in Round 13 and 12 from Round 14 (8/10/12) is as close to the best structure your team can get. Don’t fall into the trap of having all your players in one position owning the same bye as well.

Is Macrae Worth Spending The Big Bucks For?
As someone considering this move myself I thought that getting a guy who averages over 130 for the season was a must. To be sure I asked the Twitter community their thoughts, prompting this…

In the words of @Ham_Man01 I don’t think there’s even a question here.

Back From The Dead

Lance Franklin, Swans (112) – Return of the Bud. Top-6 FWD?

Marc Murphy, Blues (106) – I really want healthy Marc Murphy in my team.

Scott Pendlebury, Pies (103) – Reasonable from Dependlebury.

Michael Walters, Dockers (99) – Score could have been much bigger if he converted early chances.

Nic Naitanui, Eagles (90) – Those who opted to bench Naitanui for one week, well played.

Dan Hannebery, Swans (63) – Serious fall from grace from Hanners. Sad.

Peace ✌

Got a question that needs answering? Feel free to leave a comment below or message me on Twitter @alexgfry_ and I’ll get back to you!

36 Comments

  • Great write up mate helps me with my team.
    Trade
    1 Finlayson- rice or Ridley
    Doedee – Howe or Brayshaw to save $$$
    2 Finlayson- rice or Ridley
    Billing- Franklin
    How’s has a low BE and will he go up a lot?
    Can get Franklin in next week but will he go big his week?

  • My bye structure at the moment is 8-9-11, is that good & i would say R14 it might even be as low as 9 with the right moves

  • Thanka again for the write up fry. I’m bringing in walters this week as he’s underpriced for billings. Already have curnow and macrae. Zaka is on the watchlist as I brought him in at the back end of last year.

    • Not a problem mate, glad you enjoyed it! Yeah it’ll feel nice to see the back of Billings. Zaka, very interesting, on my radar now

  • M. Walters is the man this week with a handy R14 bye.

  • got 1.02 million and need 2 defenders and yes i only have just started.

    one of these 5 defenders i want but not sure. simpson , hurn, yeo , sicily or seedsman?

    • If healthy Yeo is at the top of the pile IMO. If not, then I like the looks of Sicily then Simpson. If Simpson had shown more throughout the season I’d be all over him, but not 100% sold

  • Correction – Ben Ronke’s price is $368K

  • When did Bailey Williams start playing for the Demons?

  • Currently ranked 10,464 and trying a very different strategy this year. Initially picked a good lot of premos/key players – Lloyd. Laird, Savage, Macrae, Mitchell, Fyfe, Coniglio, Steven, Merrett, Gawn, Martin, Greene, Heeney & Taranto – went top heavy with mids and got lucky with some picks. Then 5 rookie defenders – 4 rookie mids – English & Cameron rucks – 5 rookie fwds. Ditched Greene for another rookie when his injury became long term.

    Now my strategy – as a rookie gets close to his peek price I trade them out to another rookie and bank the money. At this point in time I have $1.49M in the bank. I have kept the likes of Kelly, Doedee, Murray & Fritsch. My plan is over the bye period to have enough money to bring in 9 premos. Plan to bring in Rocky next week. I should have round $2M in the bank by Rd 12 and 25/26 players playing. My targets Rd 12 – Curnow, McLean & Darling even though they have the bye.

    What worries me now is should I be jumping on cheap fallen premos such as Danger, Gibbs, Simpson, etc. OR keep going and see how it all pans out. Peoples thoughts or an I just a nut case – lol

    • 1.49mil = 2 premos, at the moment. With two weeks before the byes, I don’t think you’ll save enough (for 7 more premos) to simply bring in 3 premos in each of the bye weeks (9 total), unless you trade out non-rookies over the course.

      • I dont believe you are on the same page as me – come the bye rounds $2M in the bank trade out say Kelly $500K trade in say Danger $700K = $200K off my $2M bank. The average up grade will cost me round $250 to $300K from my “Bank” Therefore say 9 premos @ $300K differential – $2.1M but obviously some will be slightly more and some less. Now you one the same page J?

        • No I’m not on the same page. I’ve been there in previous seasons (lowly ranked) and have tried similar moves that could be possible shark moves in order to get a leg up, but because they are roll of the dice moves they don’t work out in general. The best laid plans in this game almost always never gets the chance of being executed that many weeks out in advance.

    • If it was your 2nd team, it was worth trying something different but given your down in 10,464th it looks to have been a disaster so i hope it wasn’t your main team.

      Your needing to trade in 9 premos over the next 4 rounds, most people would only have 5 or 6 non premos on field at present.

    • Always good to try something new and different. Never know if it will pay off or not if you don’t give it a crack! I think now you have managed to save some $$$ and your rank isn’t miserable it’ll be smart to start upgrading guys to try and climb back up the ranks

      • Cheers Fry – my train of thought was by the end of the byes I will have 22 premos on the ground way ahead of most teams. Therefore what I am currently behind I may be able to come home with a wet sail. Probably not win but hoping to get up to the top 1000. You will never go unless you give it a go :)

  • My original plan was
    Doedee to Ridley
    Kelly to Cogs
    Takes one rookie off the ground
    Now only way i can get Macrae is
    Hibbered to Ridley
    Dusty to Macrae

    Is that worth it?

    • I think getting rid of the rookies on your field is still priority over getting rid of failing premos, even if it’s Hibberd and Dusty

  • Ben Ronke price is $368k not $554k be nice but…

  • Howe or Whitfield?

  • so i was originally going to go kelly to curnow but that chaned as soon as murray got dropped so is it a good idea to go murray to yeo and save 173k

  • or should i take a punt on lachlan murphy and bench murray so i can still go to curnow

    • Tough one, I think Murray will be back next week, but it’s risky. Especially given Yeo’s injury concern, I like getting Curnow while you can

  • Gray to curnow or murray to howe/crisp

    • I don’t know why a lot of people are jumping off Gray? I’d keep him, therefore I’d say Murray to Howe

  • Coffield to Yeo or T.Kelly to Ed Curnow

  • Hi Fry..Looking for a M-7…Can get Greenwood is he the best choice out of Redden..Daisy…JP Kennedy..Taranto(Just don’t want to be too Vanilla plus with Kelly back not sure what this does to his scoring).

    • Do you have to bring one of those guys in this week? If I had to choose I’d have JPK, Daisy and then Taranto

  • My side at the Moment

    DEF Laird,Simpson,Seedsman,Murray,Doedee,Mirra(Pearce,Naughton)

    MIDS Macrae,Mitchell,Danger,Gibbs,Dusty,Conig,Dow,Phillips(Crowden,Mutch)

    RUCKS Gawn,Martin(Cameron,Flynn)

    FWDS McLean,Heeney,Smith,Christensen,Ronke,Guelfi(Waterman,Venables)

    Cash 2k Hate having dow on field..was going to go Murray to Ridley Dow to Jpk as you suggested

    • Love it, lock it in. If it gets rid of Dow I like it. To be honest, I’d take a look at bye structure too, see if you are heave one a certain round in your MID’s

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