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Inside the Numbers

Inside the Numbers Round 20 Wrap

You have the opportunity to make some good calls amongst the carnage this week.

Many fantasy coaches will again be scrambling to maintain a full team for Round 21, with injuries and suspensions hitting the fantasy community hard again there may be an opportunity to jump on over to favourable situations this week.

5 Players to consider this week

Scott Selwood $500K MID (5.36% Owned)

With firstly the absence of Mark Blicavs in Round 19 & secondly Patrick Dangerfield in Round 20 the numbers for Scooter have been solid averaging 118.5pts from both games, furthermore in 5 games this year at Simonds Stadium he has scored 100pts or more 4 times averaging a healthy 115.6pts. Geelong play at Simonds Stadium in Rounds 21 & 23, his injury history should be taken in to consideration.

Stephen Coniglio $587K MID (0.54% Owned)

Having played only 4 games this year Coniglio has little to no ownership and could be a very good unique play this week, he has scored 100pts or more in 3 of his 4 games this season on the back of scoring 100pts or more in 60.9% of games & 120pts or more in 26.1% of games in 2016 (Including Finals). It should be noted that the Bulldogs have conceded 358.4 Disposals per game since Round 14 (AFL Rank 2), however optimal conditions under the roof at Etihad Stadium could prove to be beneficial (115pts vs St Kilda R7, 2017).

Lachie Neale $598K MID (6.14% Owned)

On the back of a season high 152pts in Round 20 Neale has been quietly going about his work averaging 110.2pts from his last 9 games, he has recorded 30 Disposals or more in 3 of his last 4 games (4 Game Disposal Ave: 30.8). The small confines of the SCG could suit the tackling game of Neale coming off a game in which he recorded 10 Tackles for his 152pts, when he records 8 Tackles or more he is averaging 137.1pts over his career.

Dayne Zorko $623K MID (9.68% Owned)

No team has given up more fantasy points in the last 5 weeks than Gold Coast and Zorko should be a very good play this week, yes owning Zorko in the last few games has been a rollercoaster of a ride but considering his extremely high ceiling he should be worthy of consideration. Brisbane are favourites against Gold Coast this week, Zorko has averaged 122.5pts in winning games this season.

Dawson Simpson $212k RUCK (5.55% Owned)

If you are in the boat of already owning Simpson, owning Mumford or have Grundy there are many ways to slot Simpson in to your starting 22 without emptying your account, the match-up for Simpson this week is ideal against the Bulldogs (Jordan Roughead) and considering his 98pts in Round 19 against Fremantle (Sean Darcy) the return on investment should be significant. Take note of how you are rostering Simpson this week and the impact long term as Mumford is on a 1 week suspension only, Simpson will unlikely play in Round 22.

Round 20 Highest Scoring Teams

1. St Kilda 1884
2. Collingwood 1867
3. Adelaide 1807

Round 20 Lowest Scoring Teams

18. Port Adelaide 1280
17. West Coast 1391
16. Essendon 1472

Season Highest Ave Teams

1. Collingwood 1731.9
2. Adelaide 1678.2
3. Essendon 1671.8

Season Lowest Ave Teams

18. Richmond 1534.4
17. Nth Melbourne 1542.8
16. Brisbane 1547.2


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Last 4 Weeks Highest Ave Teams

1. Collingwood 1737.3
2. Hawthorn 1675.5
3. Adelaide 1650.3

Last 4 Weeks Lowest Ave Teams

18. Carlton 1453.3
17. Gold Coast 1477.0
16. Sydney 1500.5

Season Lowest Ave Teams AGA

1. GWS Giants 1550.2
2. Adelaide 1578.6
3. Geelong 1579.7

Season Highest Ave Teams AGA

18. Hawthorn 1689.1
17. Fremantle 1686.8
16. St Kilda 1646.5

Last 4 Weeks Lowest Ave Teams AGA

1. Geelong 1487.8
2. Adelaide 1503.5
3. Richmond 1523.5

Last 4 Weeks Highest Ave Teams AGA

18. Gold Coast 1692.8
17. Fremantle 1688.8
16. West Coast 1685.0

Scott Selwood scored a season high 131pts in Round 20, he has averaged 118.5pts from his last 2 games

Luke Parker scored a team high 116pts in Round 20, he has averaged 105.3pts from his last 3 games

Josh Kelly scored a team high 131pts in Round 20, he has averaged 117.9pts from his last 12 games

Max Gawn scored a season high 140pts in Round 20, he has averaged 52 Hit Outs & 126.5pts from his last 2 games

Dyson Heppell scored a game high 138pts in Round 20, he has averaged 114.7pts from his last 3 games

Bryce Gibbs scored a team high 125pts in Round 20, he has scored 100pts or more in 73.7% of games this season

Daniel Rich scored a team high 101pts in Round 20, he has averaged 102.0pts from his last 2 games

Jack Macrae scored a game high 126pts in Round 20, he has averaged 111.3pts from his last 7 games

Jack Ziebell scored a season high 130pts in Round 20, he has averaged 108.8pts from his last 4 games

Taylor Adams scored a team high 124pts in Round 20, he has averaged 121.5pts from his last 4 games

Matt Rosa scored a team high 100pts in Round 20, he has scored 100pts or more in 2 of 16 games this season

Lachie Neale scored a season high 152pts in Round 20, he has averaged 110.2pts from his last 9 games

Jack Steele scored a career high 124pts in Round 20, he has averaged 93.7pts from his last 15 games

Shannon Hurn scored a team high 100pts in Round 20, he has scored 100pts or more in 3 of his last 4 games

Josh Caddy scored a season high 142pts in Round 20, that is his first 100pt game of the season

Jarryd Roughead scored a team high 119pts in Round 20, he has averaged 116pts from his last 2 games

Brad Crouch scored a game high 129pts in Round 20, he has averaged 110.0pts from his last 10 games

Robbie Gray scored a team high 112pts in Round 20, he has averaged 103.7pts from from his last 3 games

 

Who Am I?

I posted my best score for the year in Round 20

Since getting the call from my coach to return to the midfield in Round 16 I have averaged 112.6pts

I have averaged 29.2 Disposals from my last 5 games

I have kicked 14 Goals this season

The last time I averaged over 100.0pts (Incl. Finals) in a season was back in 2015

My jumper number equals a combined total of 7

 

Answer: Place your best guess in the comments below

Good Luck for Round 21

Pete is our numbers man. Covering all things Fantasy, DFS and betting through his website and social platforms, at aflratings.com.au, knowledge is everything.




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