Fry’s Forgotten Few – Round 17

Good news fans! Now that my team is officially in the toilet I can focus on providing you with the best possible advice, without the rabble that is the Large Fry’s & Coke distracting me. Bad news after bringing in Dusty over Zorko last week do you really want my advice? I’m giving serious thought to just trading in Luke Hodge as a tribute to the great warrior over the final seven rounds #dummyspit.

POD’S

DEFENCE

Shaun Burgoyne ($498K, 69 BE, 2.42% ownership)

It took the Hawthorn legend until Round 10 to chalk up his first 100 for the season, but he has continued to build from there. Burgoyne averaged under 80 for the first five weeks of the season but has gone at an average over 95 in his last five matches. With big scores against big foes (114 vs. the Crows and 107 against the Giants), Burgoyne’s form might be peaking at the right time of year for us.

Jack Martin ($447K, 48 BE, 4.92% ownership)

Image result for jack martin gold coast 320One of my mates has owned Jack Martin all year and with the exception of some big games early I have been laughing at him ever since. However, as Matin’s last few games suggest, I might be one who is a laughing stock should these scores continue. 92, 117 and 101 in his last three have him poised as one of the form players in the competition and with FWD/DEF dual positioning he adds a string to your bow that very few players do.

MIDFIELD

Callan Ward ($559K, 58 BE, 1.89% ownership)

I have owned Callan Ward in one of my Draft teams all year long and it’s fair to say he’s been duking it out with Travis Boak for a spot on my bench. In his first nine rounds, he was averaging 75 which saw him drop over $130K in price. SEVENTY-FIVE! Since then Ward has woken up from his Fantasy spud coma, with a six round average over 110. A 138 on the weekend was his way of apologising to the football community. Lock and load.

Luke Parker ($565K, 72 BE, 7.45% ownership)

Last week I addressed Parker as a potential second-half stud and after putting another 117 on the board expect his ownership to skyrocket. He does face a toughish draw in the future with the Giants @Spotless and Cats @Simonds in the next month, but with a low BE and the form to match, Parker is a viable option for less than what you’d pay for ‘The Bont’ or Aaron Hall.



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RUCK

Rhys Stanley ($409K, 52 BE, 2.36% ownership)

We live in a world were Rhys Stanley outscored Stef Martin, Sam Jacobs, Todd Goldstein, Brodie Grundy AND Max Gawn last week. His 104 was easily his best output of the season, so it may be foolish to expect the same numbers from Stanley, but then again logic has gone out the window this year in the ruck department.

FORWARD

Toby McLean ($459K, 48 BE, 0.41% ownership)

Image result for toby mclean afl.com.auF U Toby McLean. Not only are you stealing Dahlhaus’ midfield minutes, but now I face the realistic prospect of trading you in and him out (a move that would save you $18K). Now that I’ve had my rant, his 127 on the weekend was the second highest score from a forward (if you count Ryder as a FWD), giving him a three-round average of 105. Now’s the time to jump on the boat.

Josh Jenkins ($505K, 54 BE, 0.95% ownership)

I’m always reluctant to trade in key forwards, especially those who have big scores that directly coincide with a bag of goals. That being said Jenkins is getting it done from all areas of the ground right now with 11 marks on the weekend and 13 tackles the weekend before that. Those 13 tackles were part of a 126 point outburst, the second highest score of Jenkins career. At a shade over $500K you could certainly do worse.

The Three Big Questions Of Round 17

Jelwood Or Beamer?

At this point of the year, getting the right fallen premo could see you surge up the rankings and/or win your league if you get lucky. With plenty on offer two of the most popular trade targets this week are Joel Selwood ($486K, 131 BE) and Dayne Beams ($510K, 168 BE). Both of them still have high breakevens after injury interrupted games saw them register single-digit scores in the past. If I was a betting man I would get all aboard the Dayne Beams train, with his output more consistent than Joel’s throughout 2017.

How Much Does The Run Home Matter?

As season 2017 gets closer to the end and the Fantasy finals just around the corner it’s important to think about who you are trading in. It may be unwise to target say Gary Ablett for example, due to the fact that the Suns may wrap up his 2017 campaign early if the ‘Little Master’ is still in any pain. Stay tuned to the website for Calvin’s highly anticipated spreadsheet in the coming weeks to determine who your trade targets are playing, as this will play a massive factor in their scoring output.

Is Mid-Priced Mayhem A Possibility?

If you find yourself in the same position as me, the season is almost lost. Therefore to salvage some respectability is it worth taking a gamble at some mid-priced players in the hope some of them hit? Coaches that started with the likes of Will Hoskin-Elliott, Ryan Burton or Matt Kruezer for example, would be quite happy with their investments, so is it time to look at someone like Brayden Maynard, Sam Kerridge or Darcy Parish (all under $450K)? Personally I don’t think times are that dire, but I could understand you taking the plunge.

Image result for darcy parish

Back From The Dead

There weren’t as many big scores from those who returned from an injury/suspension layoff, but there are some relevant names mixed in this bunch.

Blakely, Dockers (135) – Blakely should miss training to go surfing more often! Elevating his game into the ‘premium’ category with every week that passes.

Selwood, Cats (113) – These are the scores we expect from Joel Selwood moving forward, hence the reason he is one of the most traded in players this week.

Cunnington, Roos (94) – Never a Fantasy mainstay, but you wouldn’t be complaining about a score in the 90’s from the North hard nut.

Priddis, Eagles (74) – Has looked out of sorts with Mitchell running around alongside him, equating to his lowest season average since 2012. Invest elsewhere.

Beams, Lions (71) – Don’t expect these types of ‘shallow’ point totals from Beams moving forward. He’s ready to go off!

Hill, Dockers (71) – A disappointing return, given his mammoth start to the year. Trade his brother in instead.

Liberatore, Crows (59) – A year to forget for the Bulldogs cult hero, dishing out his 4th score below 60 for the year.

Hogan, Demons (49) – 1.1 wasn’t a great return, but everyone was just happy to see Hogan back out on the park.

Cameron, Crows (33) – Has shown flashes of Fantasy potential, but until he can score consistently he remains a non-factor.

Got a question that needs answering? Feel free to leave a comment below or message me on Twitter @_alexfry6) and I’ll get back to you!

Peace 

39 Comments

  • Who wins this trade in draft league?

    Toby McLean or de goey?

  • Rank Gaff, Ross, Parker and Rocky. Need to play 3 for my draft league

    • Great question! I think it comes down to Gaff and Rocky, with Ross Mr Consistent and Parker one of the form players in the comp. You kind of have to go with Rocky based on his reputation and the fact that Gaff averages just 77 against the Dockers in 9 career games

  • Thoughts on Fyfe?? Looked like he might be back to his best last week. Under 500k and a 77 BE makes him too tempting

    • He did look good, I wouldn’t blame you for jumping on. It might be worth considering waiting a week and grabbing Beamer for a similar price, he has a higher ceiling than Fyfe and plays 100% MID. Can’t go wrong with either imo.

    • I need to see one more week from him before he’s on my radar. Definitely back in the fold after last week though

  • High chances Blakely will get DPP back or not??

    • It’s really hard to judge, champion data work in mysterious ways. Considering Mundy didn’t get FWD status I’m inclined to say no.

    • It’s tough to gauge if I was a betting man I’d say no though. I have a hunch the third instalment of DPP’s will disappoint.

  • Great write up Fry, as a current owner of Jenkins, Blakely and McLean I can vouch for their relevance; particularly in draft leagues.

    I have a question regarding my draft team, any feedback from you and the DT talk community would be greatly appreciated. I’m considering dropping Caleb Daniel or Jordan De Goey for Tom Phillips (if named). Which two of these players would you want in your draft team for the rest of the season?

    • Cheers mate appreciate it.

      Back when Daniel was ripping off 100’s I was seriously considering him. I think his low scores are a result of the Dogs losses though, so I’d back him in with a good run coming up.
      De Goey is an interesting one as his form has been tough to read since he has come back into the team. Phillips has been more consistent with his scores, especially in his last four before being dumped.

      In the end, I would rank the three of them: Daniel, Phillips (if named) and De Goey.

  • Who wins this trade in draft league?

    Brad Crouch and Isaac smith or McLean and Callan Ward

    • I would take Crouch and Smith for consistency.

    • Jeez, that’s a tough one. Out of those four, I think B.Crouch is the best player and Smith has shown he can score earlier in the year. Option 1

  • Carried Ward for most the season and then dropped him right before he remembered how to play footy.

    • I traded out Billings, Newman and Beams before their big scores too. I know the pain!

      • In draft dropped Wingard just before his run, Papley and Walters cos of the byes and McLean after the 2nd Swans game

  • Cheers for the article, Love it!
    I was wondering whether I may please have some help with my draft league?
    Would you be able to rank the following players for what they could score on the weekend? As depending on teams tonight, I have to select 2 to not play.

    -Tom cutler
    -James sicily
    -Jack Crisp
    -Touk Miller
    -Jordan De Goey
    -Ryan Burton

    • If it’s just for this weekend and obviously pending selection I would go:
      T.Miller
      Crisp
      Burton
      Sicily
      Cutler
      De Goey

  • Hey Fry, amazing article, love ur work mate. Could I please have some help above?
    Thanks heaps brother.

  • Who would you trade out in order to get Doch out of Newnes and Newman?

    Also what do you make of the thought that increased midfield time due to Cripps injury could actually reduce Docherty’s scoring potential because he will get less easy marks down back?

    • Tough one, firstly I think that you may be right and his scoring will be slightly hampered. However, the way that Doc has been playing even if he’s 30 points off his best he’s still going 110/120+ making him a must have DEF!
      I think it’s a flip of a type decision with Newnes the more consistent option and Newman’s ceiling higher. I would advise trading Newman, but regardless of which one make sure you get Doc!!

  • Yes abletts playing

  • Hey Fry, great article!
    How will touk miller fair with ablett and hall both back in the side?
    I see someone above asked u to rank some players and you placed miller at #1. Just curious whether you took into consideration the ins of ablett and hall to the gc team.

    • It may impact his scoring your right, but out of those guys above, I still think he will outscore the bunch. Maybe push him down to 2nd, but he’ll be OK…..I think haha.

  • Hey Fry… what should I do with Isaac Smith… trade to who?

    • Depends a bit on your cash flow mate. Obviously, if you have a bit in the bank maybe look at going up to someone who will be a top 6 FWD (Heeney, Menegola, Yeo) or if you are stuck you could consider a guy a little cheaper with a low BE and good form McLean, J. Martin or maybe even Kieran Jack are your best bets

  • anyone know ??? im in a 18 team league where we all play each other once (meaning our fixtures finish in round 18) – jus wondering does anyone know whether we start finals in round 19 with gf in round 22 or if round 19 is a bye n we start in round 20 with gf in round 23. cant find anything on it anywhere. cheers legends :)

  • Trades this week boil down to who would you prefer to have out of:

    SPP, Zorko and McLean
    vs
    Jelwood, Rocky and Dahlhaus

    Thoughts welcomed please.

  • Field SPP or Greenwood?

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