The Friday Scramble: Round 15

Well wasn’t that a fun week of fantasy.  A couple of guys go down in the first minute, some players didn’t even make the starting line and then some just failed all together!  What is going on! This is the time of the year that we need to exercise some patience and some thought to our teams.

What are your plans? What should we be thinking about now? Finals?  Are you in contention?

Oh, and no loop hole to worry about this week, so that could be good or bad depending on how you have been going with it.  I know it made my Thursday afternoon/night a bit easier without having to worry about getting my team sorted in the short time between getting home from work and the game starting.

Trade Plans

There are a couple of issues that we need to address this week.  Now I could look at each player that is out and look at trade ins for them, but really that will mean that I would need to know how much cash people have and which players they have.  So I am going to give some random thoughts here and see how we go.

The issue that you are going to have is that there is going to be carnage still to come this year as the General will start to make his visits to your team. So whatever you are doing you need to make sure that you are setting up your team ready for carnage.  This means that one of the things that I would be doing is being careful as to who you trade out of your team. Just consider what you are going to do for bench cover going forward.  You could try and trust one of the guys that you bring in now as a downgrade or you can stick with the guys that you know and have been using all along so far this year on your field.  So guys like a Marchbank, Newman, Greenwood or a Powell-Pepper.  These guys have been pretty reliable during the year and if you can afford to keep them it would be worth using them rather than taking a punt on a guy that has taken 15 weeks to get a game for his team.  The tough bit is that we have been planning to use these guys to generate cash.

Image result for caleb marchbank carlton

Whilst I refer to the generation of cash, there will be a huge temptation for people to jump back on Max Gawn this week now that he has had a good first game back.  But just beware that he is still going to drop in value with his high break even.  This year playing the break even game is more important than any other.  We have been struggling this year to generate cash with not many great cash cows, and this means we have to squeeze every ounce of value out of every dollar we have.

Now, just a couple of thoughts on some of the big players out. Beamer simply isn’t having the best of luck and with the news that he will be out for 3-4 he is a certain trade in all forms of the game.  As for who to take, look for value.  Bontempelli is probably one of the best value pickups this week.  In the next week or so Joel Selwood will become cheap thanks to his low score this week.
Tom Stewart has been good for us and many would have been considering keeping him as bench cover, unfortunately he is now out for an extended period of time and is a must trade.  If you still happen to have Tim Taranto he is basically gone for the rest of the season also so move him on.

One of the big questions we get at this stage of the season is, how many trades should you have left. This is going to obviously only apply to those in RDT and SC.  For me it isn’t about how many you should have left, but when should you stop.  Let’s face it, there is no point saving trades for the finals if you aren’t going to make it.  So for me it is keep trading to get your team in good shape to ensure that you will make it to the finals. But if you get down to 6 or so trades left, then that is where I would stop about now.

Selection Table

Other than the changes above there were a few fantasy relevant issues this week.

The General has already claimed a victim this week with Priddis out with General Soreness, hopefully you have some backup for him. We also see that Petrevski-Seton is also out but his excuse is “managed”, that is just another term for the General.

Image result for andy otten s.afl.com.auIf poor scoring wasn’t enough to get rid of Otten he has now been omitted, that should be more than enough to get rid of him.

On the positive side of the ledger, Ablett has returned.  I would still be concerned ongoing, but if you have him it is great that he is back. Similarly Josh Kelly is back too.

We finally see the return of Mitchell Hibberd for the Kangaroos.  So for those that have held him all this time we may finally get some return for our investment! Speaking of returns we get Oleg Markov back in, but Shai Bolton comes out of that side at the same time.  Scooter has finally succumbed to his Hammy injury a week later than we thought.

In the last game of the round we see Sandi and Fyfe named.  But just make sure you keep an eye on the final teams to make sure they both make it to the final team.  Similarly Jack Steele has also been named again for the Saints.

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#AskDunny

I didn’t ask for questions this week, but I did get a good one that I thought I would answer here.

This is a good question, From what I can tell here you have Nank in the forward lines as you only have listed forward players there.  So you must have some guys in the ruck covering.  And you must have some DPP action going on aswell.  For me, the one that I go for is Lloyd.  This is because he has the better record this week.  He has only had one bad week and that was when he had the 2 point game.  With 8 scores of 100 or more he is a great option.  My next choice would be Macrae, he has hit some form lately and has 7 games over 100.  The main issue is that he is in a Bulldogs team that are struggling a bit.  Menegola is the worry.  With his last two being 65 and 124 I think he is a bit unreliable, but just remember that the Cats have three of the four weeks of finals at home at Skilled.

The other question is do you need to trade Nank?  If you have plenty of trades left then you can certainly do it, but in RDT and SC if you are under 10 I would probably consider seriously holding him for now, particularly if he is F6.

Things to Remember

  • Only a few weeks to finals, get your team in order.
  • Make sure you can get into the finals before you worry about having trades for the finals.
  • Think long and hard about sideswapping premiums at this stage of the season.  Unless they are out for 3+ weeks I would seriously consider holding.

Let’s hope we aren’t hit with so many late outs and other issues this weekend and we can just sit back and enjoy watching our teams score!  All the best and I will catch you all next Friday!  @pkd73

196 Comments

  • Which option should I run with (second named player on field):

    A) Stewart & Ainsworth -> Witherden & R Gray

    B) Stewart & Ainsworth -> Hibberd & Franklin

    C) Stewart & Marchbank -> B Cox & Roberton

    D) Stewart & Marchbank -> Witherden & Touhy

  • Which is the better option guys:
    Stewart- Witherden
    Cousins via Hibberd- Cox +144K

    Black (in and will earn $ this week)- Cox
    Stewart- Vince +5K

    • Vince is rubbish over-rated

      • Agreed. Don’t fall in that trap after one good game.

        • Yeah, he was on my never again list after last year’s yo-yo scores to be honest.
          But, with Jones out he may get more mid minutes so it’s perked my interest.
          Think I have changed though and would prefer to have cash this time of year.
          Have plenty of cash to upgrade in the coming weeks.
          Maybe go Z. Guthrie instead of Cox for a bit more of a cash strategy.

          • About 5 teams in my league have Vince, and every time I play them I win. Put another way, I don’t shit myself every time I face up to Vince as a unique… really no need to

          • Yeah I guess when he was scoring in the range of 40-60 as he was earlier in the year you wouldn’t have been worried.. But if he smashes out scores like he did on the weekend then am sure you’d be a little more nervous.
            Reckon I’ll stick with the cash option anyway hombrè

          • My unique going up against Vince would be one of Docherty, Adams, Laird, Lloyd, Newman or Simpson. Bring it on!;)

          • Haha solid mate. Looks like my Backs besides Simmo.. Think you’d have the upper hand there 😜

  • Rucking Serious

    DEF; Adams, Laird, Newnes, Newman, Z.Jones, Marchbank (Stewart, Ryan)
    MID: Zerrett, Titchell, Dangerfield, Shuey, Gaff, Wines, Oliver, Scooter (Mountford, Willis)
    RUC:Grundy, Martin (English, Cameron)
    FWD: Yeo, Macrae, Heeney, Riewoldt, Dahlhaus, Greenwood (Polson, D.Lloyd)

    195k remaining.

    Options

    1) Stewart & Scooter > Docherty & Z.Guthrie/Hibberd 79k remaining
    2) Marchbank & Scooter > J.Lloyd & Bontempelli 40k remaining
    3) Marchbank & Scooter > J.Lloyd & JPK/ Sloane roughly 30k

    Or anything else?

    Cheers guys

  • Anyone tempted to captain Rocky?

  • dahlhaus, steele or wallis? don’t have the cash to get anyone else

  • What’s Doc’s B/E in RDT??

  • Thoughts on best of these:
    Trading out Barrett and Marchbank and bring in Menegola and Witherden? Or any other forward premo (other than Dahl, Heen, Macrae and Sheed) or back rookie?

  • Trade out Andy Otten for Macrae, Sheed or Koby Stevens??

  • whats up with merrett dose any one know anything have selwood 2 to trade need greenwood for back up for merret or play greeny fwd and play JB

  • Only Jack Steele and Ben Long, of the potential St Kilda ins, are travelling to Perth. No Daniel McKenzie

  • Treloar or Rocky in for Scooter?

    • Treloar. Look to get Rocky in a few weeks when his price bottoms out: his current BE is 171. I could see him getting down to $620k in 2-3 weeks; that’ll be the time to buy.

  • Question – my 2nd trade, should I bring in Yeo or Robbie Gray??

    I know it’s a silly question but if I bring in Yeo I’ll only end up with $17k for next round (not completely ideal for upgrading).

    If I bring in Robbie, I’ll end up with $165k for next round. Should risk it and save my money???

    • Do you have a genuine plan for next week? What is it? If you can’t answer, get Yeo. If you have a good upgrade *planned* get Robbie.

  • is putting the C on merret still good idea
    when you got danger JPK Hanner JK dusty Ollie greenwood on the farm
    Feather’s

  • Must field one: Beech, Hibberd, Mountford, Ryan, Stengle, Cox, Guthrie, Sheehan. Leaning towards Beech, but would love some opinions.

  • who to play out of Hannan or barret and maybe beech just one

  • Marchbank to Vince an option? Actually makes 15k

    • Definitely an option. However I’m not going near Vince after owning him last season.

    • Don’t really understand the moistening of loins over Vince… maybe I’ll understand later tonight?

      • last 5 scores (going backwards) – 113,67,59,68,55,59… you aren’t missing anything, he aint the B vince of the last 3 years who’s averaged over 90 each year =( it’s just people jumping on after one good score. Even his BE of 59 aint that comfortable looking at those scores…

      • When a ‘ton’ goes up the crowd cheers. That I think is the cause for the moistening and the remedy is to sprinkle baby powder straight away.

        However, with just 5 rounds before our finals start, people can get up a sweat in the midst of the hard decision making yakka and strategic jockeying, to get points, money making trades and, in the end the best team their efforts and accumulated cash can purchase. I wouldn’t put the baby powder on that kind of moisture. There are reasons for sweating over a Vince inclusion.

        I don’t have so much strategic pressure on me this week, that I can’t go Treloar, over Vince. But that will leave me 220k less in the bank next week, though. And, I would think Vince will rise in value more than Treloar over the next few weeks with some useful scoring while Jones is out of the Demon’s midfield. Those conjectures, and the corresponding enthusiastic consideration of a Vince inclusion, do not represent moisture in the loins, I think, so much as sweat on the marathon track.

        Anyway, as you say, some resolving hindsight after tonight.

  • who to play out of Hannan or barret and maybe beech just one every time I chose one its the lowest score cost me around 500 pts this year

  • This is the first time in like ever that Dunny disagrees with Jeppa. What is more i think i am siding with Dunny and play the break even game.

  • Can upgarde Barrett to a player priced at 610k or less. Can’t split the following 3:

    Viney – Melbourne on fire and he’s the main guy in the middle without Jones. Also has Gawn back tapping the ball to him.

    Shiel – Gun player, great to watch and in form. Potential second half of the season breakout. However he generally spends limited time on the ground (usually below 75%).

    Macrae – Very likely to be among the top scoring forwards and had a huge game last week. But besides that anomaly against North he’s been underwhelming.

    • I would go Macrae probably for the vanilla reason that I’m most confident of him being a top 6 forward…put it this way if money wasn’t an issue and you were looking for a midfielder would Viney & Shiel be on your shortlist…

  • Who should I get for Scooter?? Treloar or Sidey?

    • Treloar for ‘Vanilla’ and Sidebottom for ‘Rum & Raison’.

      I like ’em both, but for different reasons, and wouldn’t mind whichever I ended up with for dessert.

      That said, just now, for preference, I would have Vanilla as a set and forget. On some occasions Rum & Raison might just catch my fantasy hiatus hernia unawares and I don’t want to operate on such a malady if, at the same time, I am in the midst of dealing with other carnage on the eve of finals.

  • Thoughts on rookies Sheehan & Stengle?

    • Bolton has only been rested so I’d expect him back in next week. Unless Richmond are going to rotate it’s small forwards Stengle might not stay in the team for long. Rioli, Bolton, Castagna and Butler would have to be ahead of him. Sheehen just coming back from injury. Carlton will probably give him an extended run. The issue here is he is injury prone.

  • Which option should I run with:

    A) Stewart & Ainsworth -> Witherden & R Gray (Marchbank on field)

    B) Stewart & Ainsworth -> Hibberd & Franklin (Marchbank on field)

    C) Stewart & Marchbank -> B Cox & Roberton (Ainsworth on field)

    D) Stewart & Marchbank -> Witherden & Touhy (Ainsworth on field)

  • field ryan or barrett this round?

  • Guys just wondering your thoughts on these 2 trade options.

    A. Barrett & Newman OUT Witherton & Toby Greene IN
    This option leaves me with Witherton on my ground in place of Newman but gets me Barrett upgraded to Greene.

    B. Bolten & Willis OUT Witherton & Brennan Cox IN
    This option yields me virtually no cash so not even a traditional double downgrade and both would be on the bench this week but hopefully generates some cash and steadies up a very ordinary looking bench

    • I’d go B. Still need cash generation. Have you thought of Sheehan or Guthrie instead of Witherden? Give you some cash for future upgrades.

  • Thoughts on Mitch Wallis?

  • Not sure I ceiling is high enough personally

  • What’s anyones thoughts on Jack Steven. At 540k does anyone think he can get back to his form of a couple of years ago

  • Nic Newman or Michael Hibberd? Need a defender under 493k

  • Finlayson vs Witherden?

  • Is Nankervis – Robbie gray a good trade or would you keep Nankervis? ( he is in my forward line at F5 )
    Greenwood F6

  • Hi Guys suggestions

    Need to correct my forward line start finals next week. ( McCrae, Dahl, heeney, nank, greenwood,beech) bench Boyd/polston

    Planned trade
    Scooter> menegola over Yeo
    Otter>Hibbard cash grab.

    Leave Yeo/Franklin/laird (via DPP until next week) believe all will drop $10k this week.

    Any negative thoughts on leaving Yeo for a week?

  • Whose best for F5
    Toby Nankervis
    Devon smith
    Robbie gray
    Jamie Elliot
    Michael walters

  • Hurley, Ellis or vince?

  • Trade out Barret or Scooter?

  • Who would you take out of Menegola and Sheed?

  • Scooter and Marchbank to:

    1. JPK and Ellis or Harbrow

    OR

    2. Bont and Touhy

  • Which one to field out of Luke Ryan and Mitch Hibberd?

  • Rucking hell…
    1st trade is Barlow to Sheed.
    2nd trade is either
    a) Marchbank to Treloar
    b) Nank to Gawn
    Leaning to a then doing b next week but worried Nank will get smashed by Ryder and get 60, say Treloar gets 115 that’s 175.
    Whereas March should be ok for 75 and I can see Max going 120+ So he’ll end up losing less cash than Nank will…

    Help!

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