Fry’s Forgotten Few – Round 13

We’re nearly there everyone, the byes are almost over. This week may be the worst of all, with most our ‘pre-determined’ master plans currently in ruins. There are some players who are coming off their bye, who will be trade targets and support moving forward, but I know I’m not alone when I say fielding 18 this week may not happen. Brace for impact.

POD’S

DEFENCE

Tom Cutler ($401K, 64 BE, 0.27% ownership)

Image result for tom cutler s.afl.com.auWait, here me out. 99.73% of the comp missed out on Cutler’s 112 last week, which was the 2nd highest score of his career. Taking away his score of 3 (injured), Cutler would have an average of 87.5 and seems to have finally shook off those nagging injury issues that disrupted his start. I know last weeks score came in their flogging of Freo and this week he faces a tougher task against the Power in Adelaide, but keep an eye on him, especially in your Draft leagues.

Bacher Houli ($502K, 52 BE, 7.08% ownership)

A bigger name who has shaken off a slow start to the year is Bacher Houli. A borderline top 8 defender, Houli has gone 123 and 129 in his past two and owns a 5 round average of 101.2. Houli’s value is almost too good to pass up and should Richmond keep performing, at a discounted rate, the time to jump aboard is now!

MIDFIELD

Sebastian Ross ($610K, 106 BE, 0.55% ownership)

Seb Ross is the real deal ladies and gentlemen. The Saints midfielder’s price tag illustrates how well his 2017 season has been to date, costing you the same as bigger names Luke Shuey and Aaron Hall. It is criminal that Ross’ ownership is so low, considering he has cleared 100 nine times this season with a top score of 135. He costs, but he is a perfect unpopular pick that could prove to be a difference maker.

Joel Selwood ($586K, 96 BE, 5.08% ownership)

116, 122, 117. Those are Selwood’s last three scores before his bye. But all three of those games were at Simmonds Stadium you say? Have no fear he has shown he score away from home blasting out a 175 at Etihad earlier this year. Name the sub 600K midfielder that has done that before. I’ll wait.

Image result for joel selwood 2017

RUCK

Matthew Kreuzer ($592K, 63 BE, 11.24% ownership)

Four scores over 120 has only been beaten by Stef Martin in the ruck department. His 3 round average is the 4th highest in the comp. Currently he is averaging more than Elliot Yeo, Clayton Oliver and Rory Laird. Yep, Matthew Kreuzer is the real deal.

FORWARD

Dom Sheed ($449K, 40 BE, 1.81% ownership)

Four of Dom Sheed’s next five games are at home at Domain Stadium. His last three scores at the venue read 98, 103 & 99, throw in the fact he had a career high 126 in Gold Coast before his bye. Low BE, string of home games, underpriced, unique. Need I say more?

Sam Menegola ($539K, 115 BE, 2.29% ownership)

Why is it that we feel Menegola’s place in the team isn’t safe? It’s the Tom Mitchell crisis all over again! Now with added FWD flexibility I can guarantee you in the coming weeks more than 2% of coaches will be listening closely to the murmurs every Thursday night, with Menegola a realistic possibility to finish as a top 6 forward.

The Three Big Questions Of Round 12

When Is The Right Time For Max Gawn?

If you are like me, you find yourself in the boat of owning just one of either Stef Martin and Brodie Grundy. Enter Max Gawn, who seems poised to be snapped up by copious fantasy coaches upon his return, which could very be this weekend. With the highest BE (177) in the competition it may be wise to wait a week or two, although big scores are definitely in Gawn’s repertoire (eight scores of 120+ last season). We can’t wait too long if we are serious about adding Gawn, so let’s cross our collective fingers our replacement (Nank, Ryder, Witts) can put together two or three more decent games over the coming fortnight-ish.

How Should I Approach The Last 3 Trade Round?

Heading into Round 13 my team isn’t looking too crash hot. I am taking solace in knowing I’m not alone, as social media floods with depressed coaches hanging out for the end of the byes. However, as you will all know, Round 13 is just another chance to better your team. Personally I may be taking a donut this week to build for the future rounds ahead. Look at the big picture and trade with the future in mind, rather than scrounging together a full list of 18 that will make you look for a delete team button in a months time.

Will Merrett Be Inducted By The End Of The Season?

The pig label isn’t thrown around willy-nilly, but we would be doing Zach Merrett a disservice if we didn’t at least include him in the conversation. The argument against him, when Mitchell was inducted, was he didn’t possess the same ceiling, a more than fair criticism. Another 150+ on the weekend though from Zerrett put us all on notice. If he puts more scores like that onto his resume in the 2nd half of the year, The Traders may have some serious thinking to do.

Back Form The Dead

King pig Rocky headlined the players returning from injury/suspension in Round 12. Bad news? Most of them failed to wow. Why do we play this game?

Rockliff, Lions (95) – Not exactly what we were seeking from the king of the pen. I hope it’s not a sign that he has come back too soon and is still sore. Who am I kidding, doubt him at your own peril.

Salem, Demons (95) – Those 2.94% of you who own Salem would have been pretty happy with his 95. The other 97%+ of us are quite content leaving him out of our teams moving forward.

M. Boyd, Bulldogs (86) – Mr. Consistent last year hasn’t exactly towelled it up in his 2017 campaign. It seems like Father Time is catching up to the 34 year old, but you could have worse options in your backline at just $450K.

J. Kelly, Bombers (84) – Another former great who is slowly losing fantasy relevance, James Kelly will probably average around 90 from this point forward. Unfortunately for him we are all focused on another J. Kelly.

S. Johnson, Giants (73) – Goals haven’t flowed as regularly as Stevie J would have liked, which is impacting his scores. That being said even with a snag or two he still remains a fringe Draft option, fringe being the optimal word.

Wingard, Power (71) – After I saw Wingard named last week I was rubbing my hands together. He was due to come in for the Taranto this week on the back of his big Round 12 score. Oh.

Fasolo, Pies (68) – Great to see Fas back on the park on Monday, but he has never really been a relevant fantasy player. Things didn’t change last week.

Naismith, Swans (67) – I know things are dire in the ruck department for some, but spare a thought for anyone who owns Sam Naismith and his questionable haircut.

K. Jack, Swans (54) – Jack has averaged over 90 every year since 2012. This season he averages 61. Yuk.

Got a question you need answered? Feel free to leave a comment below or message me on Twitter @_alexfry6) and I’ll get back to you!

Peace.

54 Comments

  • Top article Fry!
    You’re making Sheed look awfully tempting!

    • Thanks mate!
      If he performs tonight against the Cats, he’s going to be hard to ignore!

    • Back him in as a potential top 6 fwd from here on in imo. Belter of a game again last night was everywhere

  • J.Selwood or Scott and save 100k?

  • Great article fry!

    Menegola or Buddy? Feel like scooter may be impacting menegola’s scoring a bit.

    • With S. Selwood in the team Menegola has scores of 92, 99 and 86 so that claim is definitely warranted. I still back Menegola to outscore Buddy from this point forward though

  • Would you bring in sheed for j. Barret? I know he’s coming off a tonne, but his price will only go up about 20k or so. Would sheed score more over the next few weeks? Obviously either one is just a stepping stone to get a premium in a few weeks from now.

    Great article buddy.

  • Anyone brave enough to go super early on Gawn if he’s named and English stays in the Dogs side?

    • They say it’s a fine line between bravery and stupidity, and I believe that trading in somebody with a 177BE lies pretty far to one side of that line

      • so you wouldn’t take 140+ points if it came with a 25k price drop?

        The last 2 games the dogs have lost HOs 58 to 29 and 65 to 16, with Longer scoring 125 while solo and Sinclair getting 89 while Naismith got 67.

        • 140 from a ruck who hasn’t played in 3 months is pie in the sky dreaming. Rocky missed 3 weeks and didn’t ton up. Maxy is good, but he’s gonna be a lot closer to 500K than 600K next week IF he plays.

    • I think we wait a week minimum if Gawn is named, but he could still score huge in his first game back

  • So Richo gives Steele 66% & 64% TOG in the last 2 games and then drops him. I think Richo is the one that needs to be dropped for that decision. As a Steele owner, I may be a bit bitter of course!

  • Anyone thinking of offloading Rocky this week! The bloke didn’t want to go near the contest last week and definitely didnt want to lay a tackle which would have given an extra 30 points which would have made his score more respectable. In a time where there aren’t many downgrade rookie options, my trades sit at –
    Rocky > Martin
    Oliver > Scooter
    Butler > Sheed
    Are these trades madness?
    Ranked 5k and will have 18/19 on the field after these moves

    • Chris Fagan said Rocky was still sore last week but is good to go this week. Take from that what you will.

      Do you have any other mid options to trade to Scooter rather than Oliver?

      Butler out is OK if he is not playing. Don’t you have any bye round options to trade this week?

      • No trade options with rookies still to be fattened and a couple of premo’s that I don’t want to move.
        In regards to Rocky to Martin, it is a massive call obviously. With what I saw from Rocky last week, I do worry he may re-injure or get put out early if he does need an op. Still not convinced I’ll have the guts to make the move though!

    • Love the 2nd and 3rd trades, but by no means should you be dumping Rocky. Given his reputation he will bounce back with a 150 this week! Word on the street is he was still ginger last week, but this week is running at 100%

      • Don’t understand why they would risk him if he was sore last week. Not like Brisbane are playing to win the flag this year. Or were they just using last week as a warm up game for the pig. Fingers crossed he bounches back this week.

  • Thoughts on Mitch Wallis? 3.18% ownership, $30k more expensive than Sheed (+3 pt ave), but more upside for my likening…?

    • I rabbed him after much deliberation on having macca, dahl and him all in fwd line

    • Have been looking at him ever since his return. I need to see another big-ish score before he comes into calculations though. Has a BE of 99 and hasn’t gone over that this season….yet.

      • Great write up BTW. Always appreciate the insights and amount of time you guys at DT Talk put into these weekly articles. Helps us hacks out enormously!

  • Surely taking the piss w/ rocky>martin

    • +1
      Doc -> Dawson is a better trade (he’s gone down in price – value! cheap as chips, plus the 10 game layoff and he’ll be primed coming off his bye this week)

    • What are you expecting Rocky to get this week?

  • Should i seek professional help as thoughts of bringing in Liam Jones have surfaced.
    I need a downgrade and if he becomes a dud can still downgrade him to Beech or Brown the following week

    • Change of role and is going OK. Bit of a punt but if current form continues will pay handsomely.

    • Depends on what else it lets you do. Personally I’ll be steering clear, but I can definitely see the temptation. Remember sh*t may hit the fan in other areas which could mean you’re stuck with him

    • The brown acid is bad! forget liam

    • I’m gonna risk it and bring him in. Like I said if he spuds it He will turn into Beech or Brown (sounds like i’m selling timber furniture) and 100k the following week

  • Great write up mate, was just wondering if I could get some thoughts on these trades please ?

    Steele – Sheed
    Sloane – S Selwood
    Mumford – Kreuzer

    Have very little cash, is this too sideways ?

    • Very similar trades I’m contemplating:
      Sloane -> Beams
      McEvoy -> Kreuzer
      Steele -> Wallis or Sheed

      Currently going Wallis for keeper potential, but only leaves me with $2k. Touch and go whether I’ll be able to go Williamson -> Ryan & Z.Jones -> Llyod next week.

      Given Fry’s remarks above about BE, rethinking the Sheed / Wallis choice….

    • Very sideways but your team is better for it.

    • You want to avoid going sideways, although considering the lack of Juniors, those trades are bang on

  • Thoughts on Branden Ellis? 2 tons, similar to Houli, 50k cheaper.

  • Very informative article Fry,

    Thoughts on these trades, is there a more opportunistic forward than that of menegola?

    Taylor Adams > Scott Selwood
    Andy Otten > Jack Newnes
    Jack Steele > Sam Menegola

    If I don’t bring in menegola I will have a total of $583,000 to spend on A forward.

    • Right move to grab Menegola and Newnes, but don’t part ways with Adams. He’ll probably be the best defender when the season is done and dusted

  • What’s your rank?

    • Not what I want been fluctuating in and out of the top 7,000. Looking good for the 2nd half of the year though

  • Thoughts on Zorko? i reakon hes a top 6 mid imo, could be a little underpriced and lowkey rate so high, thoughts?

  • Well took the advice and risk on Sheed and that definitely paid off:) Traded Steele for him and saved myself some nice money for next weeks kitty:) And also managed to get Dusty in the same trade:)

    • Kudos! Fingers crossed you didn’t copy me and trade in Scott Selwood as well :/

      • lol, nope, had him since he was named weeks ago and rode the highs and picked him up cheap. Cheers mate:)

      • plus he still had 8 tackles and the 2 frees against. Few more disposals and take them frees away and he would have had around a respectable 75-80 IMO. Still plenty of value to be had plus we know he has the potential to good scores:)

    • Sheed 112 off 88min game time, come on Simmo. And Jetta stole a goal off him too!

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