Jeppa’s Juniors – Round 3

Every upgrade needs a downgrade and if you’ve planned well then this is the first week for a Fantasy upgrade. For me, I’ve got in excess of $180,000 in the bank and Roughy is on my chopping block. The midfield rooks are lacking so with some DPP action it’s Gawn and Roughy to Murphy and Hanners. Lock and load.

Round 3 was a trying week for many Fantasy coaches after plenty of under performing rooks. Patience is going to be a virtue this season and I think it definitely pays to spend that little bit more on quality youngsters.

THOSE THAT MATTER

Nic Newman (Def. $223,000, -31 be AF. $132,400, -99 be DT) is looking sensational. Playing his customary half back role, Newman is heavily involved in the Swans structures and his left foot kicks are like darts. He finished with 23 possessions, 4 marks, 4 tackles, 1 goal, 93 Fantasy points against the Pies and is an absolute must have. The non-owners should not waste any time bringing him in. Make sure he’s starting on your field.

Tackling machine Robbie Fox (Mid. $179,000, -5 be AF. $109,300, -47 be DT) had a decent game for the Swans last Friday night. He plays like an old fashioned, inside mid and had a notable 7 tackles to go with 69 Fantasy points. He’s still cheap enough to trade in but proceed with caution because there are no guarantees with his job security and he’ll hit a sub 50 score quite often. Bench back up at best.

Will Hayward, 51 (Fwd. $246,000, 14 be AF. $129,800, -55 be DT) is the only one you could trade in from the balance of the Swans rooks but it’s a risk given his price. Jordan Foote, 52 (Mid. $223,000, 14 be AF. $204,000, 0 be DT), Harrison Marsh, 49 (Def. $244,000, 34 be AF. $240,900, 66 be DT), Jordan Dawson, 48 (Fwd/Mid. $160,000, 11 be AF. $132,400 DT) and Oliver Florent, 46 (Fwd/Mid. $231,000, 31 be AF. $190,300, 8 be DT) lack the scoring punch needed for Fantasy where Hayward has more of a ceiling and I love the way he attacks the footy.

Will Hoskin-Elliott, 94 (Fwd. $374,000, -11 be AF. $343,200, -33 be DT) is hitting premo like scores and it’s enjoyable to watch as a Fantasy coach. Is it too late to trade him in? Absolutely not especially with the lack of cashcows available. WHE has a negative breakeven and is full of confidence.

Big unit Braydon Preuss (Ruc. $273,000, -38 be AF. $224,100, -89 be DT) has been North’s main man in the middle for the past two rounds and he’s tonned up both weeks. Goldstein is clearly playing injured but when he shakes the problem then Preuss’s scoring ability will be hindered severely. In the short term, I reckon Preuss scores 75 plus Fantasy points per game so feel free to start him on your field if that’s your strategy with Gawn out.

A score of 37 Fantasy points from Sam Durdin (Fwd. $154,000, 17 be AF. $132,400 DT) will be the norm. He’s a lockdown, key defender and he aint scoring more than 50 Fantasy points per game. He might lose his spot too with Scott Thompson returning from suspension. Pass.

Daniel Butler, 65 (Fwd. $238,000, -4 be AF. $193,000, -20 be DT) did his job again as an F7 and he’ll still be earning a bit of coin for a few weeks yet. The Tim Taranto, 51 (Fwd/Mid. $255,000, 32 be AF. $228,400, 18 be DT) experiment however, has come to an end. He’s just not getting enough of the footy to warrant him in your starting 22. I apologise that it didn’t work out but you can still trade him and cash in. 

Curtly Hampton, 90 (Def. $283,000, -5 be AF. $234,500, -30 be DT) and Andy Otten, 74 (Def. $227,000, -15 be AF. $191,000, -52 be DT) were both great role players for the Crows in Showdown #42. Hampton had 18 touches as a mid and kept the pressure on with a whopping 9 tackles. Otten was one of Adelaide’s best players in his new role up forward a (kicked 2 goals) while pinch-hitting in the ruck also. Both should be great again versus the Bombers this weekend.

Riley Knight (Fwd. $308,000, 12 be AF. $251,300, -13 be DT) is someone I should have mentioned in previous weeks. Knight qualifies as a rook given he started under $250k in Dreamteam. I thought he was great against the Power with his gut running and 80 Fantasy points and he’s been very consistent across the first three rounds. Decent job security is a big plus too but given his price, Knight is Dreamteam relevant only this week.

Brandan Parfitt (Fwd/Mid. $244,000, -2 be AF. $180,000, -44 be DT) clearly had his best game of the season. Having won 13 contested possessions from 23 total is a great sign from a first year player and he goes up a couple of ladder rungs for job security at Geelong as a result. Scoring 90 Fantasy points for his owners comes at a handy time and against an indifferent Hawthorn team this Monday he could produce another decent game. I’m trading him into my Dreamteam this week.

James Parsons (Fwd. $167,000, 2 be AF. $125,300 DT) is some fresh meat to take note of after scoring 62 Fantasy points from 18 possessions, 3 marks and 2 tackles. Active for the Cats up forward early on, Parsons looks a likely type but the problem for us is that he has no assured job security. I worry that Lang or Horlin-Smith will take his spot but in saying that, there are few cheap options available this week. A risky pick.

I thought he’d miss the Lions 22 last week but Jake Barrett (Mid. $241,000, -20 be AF. $202,600, -47 be DT) played as if his spot was on the line. Busy from start to finish, Barrett had 16 possessions, 5 marks, a whopping 10 tackles (team high) and 91 Fantasy points. I made the mistake of benching him ahead of Balic in Fantasy last weekend and it cost me dearly! Live and learn.

Hugh McCluggage, 56 (Fwd/Mid. $251,000, 32 be AF. $210,800 DT) and Jarrod Berry, 36 (Def/Mid. $216,000, 38 be AF. $147,800 DT) had modest debuts for the Lions. There were plenty of errors from McCluggage and Berry looked lost. With their prices and breakevens, the advice from me is to wait one more week to see if they improve before trading in either. It’s too risky at the moment.

Jesse Hogan’s fill in Tim Smith (Fwd. $157,000, 13 be AF. $109,300 DT) was serviceable for the Dees. He kicked a goal and scored 43 Fantasy points in a decent first up effort but knowing he’ll be dropped when Jesse comes back in Round 5 is disheartening. Todd Elton, 52 (Fwd. $212,000, 24 be AF. $211,200 DT) is in the same boat as Smith, playing for injured teammate Ben Griffiths. Elton failed to impress me and I suspect he’ll be back out of the Tigers senior side soon so don’t waste your time.

Popular Power rooks in Dan Houston, 73 (Fwd. $263,000, -18 be AF. $205,700, -61 be DT) and Sam Powell-Pepper, 68 (Mid. $299,000, 9 be AF. $214,200, -37 be DT) have continued to provide owners with solid scores. Jasper-Pittard played in the SANFL last weekend and will stake a claim for senior footy so just be aware that Houston could be dropped.

Carlton ‘junior’ squad leader Sam Petrevski-Seton, 93 (Mid. $304,000, 5 be AF. $253,500, -20 be DT) was firing against the Bombers. SPS’s tackle numbers were up due to the wet weather and he did plenty to keep the ball moving forward for Carlton from the stoppages. He’s growing in confidence every single week but is out of reach due to price in Fantasy. I got lucky and picked him up in Dreamteam last week purely for his job security. Caleb Marchbank (Def. $295,000, 7 be AF. $284,700, 7 be DT) had a tough outing as a tall defender in the wet but he still managed to reach a respectable 67 Fantasy points. He’ll go pretty well against the Suns under the roof at Etihad this week!

Tom Williamson, 67 (Def. $169,000, -2 be AF. $125,300 DT) didn’t die wondering in his AFL debut. The athletically gifted rook looked super comfortable both on the flanks and in the midfield for the Blues. He finished with a respectable 15 touches, 2 marks, 5 tackles and 67 Fantasy points. We need to take advantage of a rookie listed Fantasy defender who is playing in the midfield. I don’t think he’ll be a huge scorer but he’ll have the opportunities at Carlton and that’s pretty important considering the lack of cheap options available.

A quick shout out to Cam McCarthy, 63 (Fwd. $243,000, 18 be AF. $230,000, 18 be DT), Kayne Turner, 61 (Fwd. $268,000, 13 be AF. $223,900, -18 be DT), Jake Kelly, 60 (Def. $218,000, 24 be AF. $214,400, 36 be DT), Jack Bowes, 59 (Fwd/Mid. $246,000, 27 be AF. $202,800, 10 be DT) and Andrew McGrath, 55 (Def/Mid. $322,000, 31 be AF. $267,200, 24 be DT) whose high price tags and inconsistent performances aren’t seeing them earn cash quickly. If you have a luxury trade then consider offloading one of them.

Poor Fantasy scores from Mitch Hannan, 45 (Fwd. $228,000, 17 be AF. $172,600, 16 be DT), Jarrod Pickett, 43 (Fwd/Mid. $180,000, 10 be AF. $157,000, -7 be DT), Griffin Logue, 43 (Def. $235,000, 37 be AF. $188,300 DT), Harrison Macreadie, 36 (Def. $188,000, 16 be AF. $151,800 -5 be DT), Tom Stewart, 35 (Def. $196,000, 22 be AF. $150,800, 3 be DT), Brett Eddy, 35 (Fwd. $179,000, 10 be AF. $139,000, -28 be DT), Harley Balic, 35 (Fwd/Mid. $153,000, 18 be AF. $132,400 DT), Teia Miles, 29 (Fwd/Mid. $173,000, 14 be AF. $132,400, -12 be DT) and Sam Weideman, 14 (Fwd. $184,000, 26 be AF. $202,300, 41 be DT) will have owners seething. I’d still persist with all of them on your bench for this round. Get ready to cull them soon though.

KEEP YOUR EYE ON

Cameron Polson (Fwd. $150,000, 25 be AF. $125,300 DT) – Cheap as chips Polson could get a run for Carlton in the coming weeks. He’s coming off a 27 possession and 90 point Fantasy game in the VFL and would provide the Blues with some great tackling pressure in the forward half. He might come in at the expense of Pickett though so stay tuned.

Harry Perryman (Def/Mid. $224,000, 38 be AF. $161,300 DT) – A little pricey sure but the ball magnet has the tools to be a handy cashcow. His stat line in the NEAFL last weekend read 16 kicks, 14 handballs, 3 marks, 11 tackles, 1 goal and 133 Fantasy points! As a dual position, defender / mid we have more options but keep in mind that he’ll have a reduced role at AFL level. Keep your eye on him.

TOP 5 LISTS

Considering price, scoring potential and job security, here’s my Top 5 rookie options for Round 4:

Fantasy

1   Nic Newman

2   Tom Williamson

3   Harrison Wigg (if named)

4   James Parsons

5   Will Hoskin-Elliott

Dreamteam

1   Nic Newman

2   Sam Powell-Pepper

3   Curtly Hampton

4   Will Hoskin-Elliott

5   Brandon Parfitt

Twitter Q&A

I like him but there will be some rollercoaster scores. We should be bringing in players with healthy job security, which he has playing for Carlton.

Eddy can go if it’s a luxury trade but I’d hold Miles for a bit longer.

I would love Petrevski-Seton in my Fantasy team but my strategy wont allow me to.

If you traded him in last round then you must persist with him this week.

True. Yes chase BE’s and cash!

No mate, not yet. They’re gona earn plenty more cash.

 

Feel free to ask me a question below and don’t forget to add me on Twitter @JeppaDT for all things Fantasy and more. Happy trading!

110 Comments

  • Houston v Williamson +100k?

    • Houston has hung on to his spot much longer than I thought… just be aware that Pittard (and Matt White) are definite inclusions this week and Eddy is at least gone. Houston could be the traveling emergency… could be gone any week.

  • Thanks for the great read, Jeppa. Am I too late to hop on the Houston (if selected) and SPP bandwagons (for Taranto and WHE)? Or would I be better tackling other problems, like Jaeger and Stewart? $65k in the bank.

  • Thanks Jeppa!
    What do you think of a double downgrade of JOM and Roughead to SPS and ANB?

    • If Hawthorn starts winning games it’ll be because these 2 guys improve. Can’t see Hawthorn going 0-22 so I wouldn’t be in a rush to trade them out. Having said that, Fantasy has evolved into a game requiring you to chase BEs and cash… maybe it’s not such a bad idea.

    • Hold Rough, ditch JOM

  • I’m considering ditching Callum Mills for Newman and then upgrading Taranto to WHE? Any thoughts?

  • Great article, thanks Jeppa.

    I’ve got Gawn out, and already have Stef. Thinking of taking a look at Preuss’ score at R2 this week. I have Nank in the forward line so can sub him in there next when if it doesn’t work out. With that in mind, what do you think of getting in Spencer (already have Cameron), or otherwise, who is the next rookie ruck likely to get a game? Soldo?

    (This allows me to get Dusty in midfield).

  • Ghs gonna play this week?

  • Looking to bring in ANB or Burton this week into the forward line… but which one gurus?

  • Field which of the following:

    1. Newman, JOM, butler/M Kennedy

    or

    2. Mcgrath, Barrett, Taranto

  • great article as always jep!

    can anyone offer advice on the following –

    trades –
    1 mountford to fox

    or

    2 stewart to williamson

    and then which one for the bench out of hampton, otten, marchbank?

  • really stuck was to what to do with touhy this week?

    keep? downgrade? sideways to salem?

    have already traded JOM > ANE.

    HELP!

    • Got the same issue as you…
      At this stage I’m upgrading him to Laird, however if you don’t have one of Hampton, Marchbank, Newman or Otten I would be going down to one of them. Not big on the sideways trade. IMO you either want to be getting a keeper for him a good scoring rook

  • So let me get this straight Jeppa. Last week Berry was in your Top 5 selections and this week he is a watch and wait. Hindsight is a wonderful thing isn’t it?

    • Suddenly not singing the praises of Balic any more either…

      • Looking forward to reading your detailed analysis of 2017 AFL rookies, gentleman. It must be pretty good, seeing as you’re taking shots at the guy who finished 13th overall last year.

        Perhaps you’re new to Fantasy? Otherwise you’d know that, deep into the season when shit hits the fan, Jeppa’s weekly article is the most important read.

        But please, let us know where we can catch your hot take on rookies.

      • A week’s a long time in footy amigos

    • It would help if you knew what players would score week to week, yes.

      Using available information (preseason scoring = tick, previous comps = tick, team position and need for youth = tick) Balic and Berry were praiseworthy and top 5 for potential.

  • Bring in Parfitt or Houston for Taranto? (AF)

    • Too much risk involved with Houston so not him, and Parfitt is pretty expensive.. I’d go Parfitt out of the two but have you got any other options?

      • It was mostly for chasing the low breakevens and cash generation. I’ve held off Houston for this long due to JS, but he keeps getting picked despite all the injured players returning.

        I’m happy with JOM > ANB as a first trade, and that leaves me with $280k once I dump Taranto. I have a DPP link to the MIDs if required.

        Current team:
        Adams, Laird, Salem, Newman, Marchbank, Hampton (Stewart, Otten)
        Treloar, Danger, Tmitch, Rockliff, Beams, Fyfe, ANB, SPP (Balic, Barrett)
        Grundy, Nankervis (Preuss, Cameron)
        Macrae, Dahlhaus, WHE, Roughead, Butler, TARANTO (Miles, Pickett)

        Options I can see are:
        FWD
        – Turner ($268k) [BE +13]
        – Houston ($263k) [BE -18]
        – McLuggage ($251k) [BE +32]
        – Hayward ($246k) [BE +14]
        – Bowes ($246k) [BE +27]
        – Parfitt ($244k) [BE -2]
        – Parsons ($167k) [BE +2]

        MID
        – Foote ($223k) [BE +14]
        – Berry ($216k) [BE +38]
        – Fox ($179k) [BE -5]
        – Wigg ($150k) [BE +25]

        The only ones of those that appeal are Houston or Parfitt. Maybe Fox or Parsons at a pinch. Or Wigg if selected…

        • Fox maybe has the best JS of that bunch, McCluggage should get a good run too as a high pick but no guarantee he will increase in value that much (Taranto didn’t).
          Would be great to see Wigg picked but unless he sets the world on fire he probably won’t be in the team for long.

    • Probably parfitt, Houston could lose his spot this week or next. Plus you’ll bank some coin

  • Laird, Lloyd, Marchbank
    Hampton, Otten, Newman (T Stewart, Hibberd)
    Danger, Rocky, Titch, Gaff
    Fyfe, Murphy, Beams, Barrett (SPP, Fox)
    Martin, Kruz (Preuss, Cameron)
    Macrae, Dailhause, Nank
    R’head, WHE, Parfitt (Balic, Eddy)

    The week just gone I traded out Miles and Taranto and brought in WHE and Fox and now have 29K’s left in the bank so after this weekend I am thinking if Preuss scores ok I might bring him onto the field trade Kruz to Spencer and Trade Hibberd to Williamson and that should give me around 200K in bank.

  • Who’s the most likely 150k ruck to get a game soon? (Already have Cameron)

  • Zak jones to Newman? Similar output and only way I can think of generating some coin, thoughts?

  • I’m probably missing something really simple but I’m trying to trade out O’Meara (mid) and trade in Newman (def) via Adams (def/mid). How do I do this in one trade? The only way that I can figure out at the moment is by using two trades.

    • You’ll have to do it though the advanced trades function. Trade out O’Meara, move Adams to mids, then trade in Newman.

    • Assuming you’re playing fantasy, there’s an advanced trades tab (above your trades counter) where you can trade one or two players out and switch around your remaining players to your hearts content before trading new players in.

    • If you can’t manage it on the website then use the app, makes DPP trades extremely easy

  • IN Alex Neal-Bullen $377,000
    OUT Andrew McGrath $322,000
    IN Sam Petrevski-Seton $304,000
    OUT Jaeger O’Meara $380,000

    22k left, thoughts?

  • With Max going to Grundy (not budging on this I’m not sold on Preuss long term) my two options seem to be

    McGrath to Newman

    or

    Nank to Neal-Bullen

    The first is the safer, longer-term option but Neal-Bullen’s ceiling is super tempting, and leaving McGrath on the bench could mean $200k if I downgrade to a new rook next week. Thoughts?

  • I have made my trades but it’s saying 41 trades to use and not 40??

    Max Gawn to Stef Martin
    JOM – Hosk via Pickett DPP

    Can anybody help? Scared it won’t work even though it’s saved on the app and website.

  • DEF: Adams, Laird, Jones, Marchbank, Hampton, Newman (Otten, Stewart)
    MID: Danger, Titch, Heppell, Fyfe, Beams, Watson, JOM, Barrett (Miles, Balic)
    RUC: Gawn, Martin (Preuss, Cameron)
    FWD: Dahlhaus, Miller, Steele, Nankervis, Roughead, WHE (Butler, Eddy)
    20k in the bank

    A) Gawn and Stewart -> Grundy and Williamson
    B) Gawn and JOM -> Neal-Bullen and Macrae/Murphy (Nank into rucks)

  • Thoughts on Neal-Bullen? Worth bringing in?

  • Who to start on field from the DEF rookies?
    I have Marchbank, Newman, Hampton, Otten, Stewart for three spots.

    Would normally have Marchbank, Newman and Hampton, but worried about GC restricting the Blues, so Otten instead on field?

  • O’meara to ANB or Oliver

    • Are you thinking Oliver for the season?
      If not, then I would suggest D.Swallow or ANB – much cheaper (so more cash now), similar scoring, and lower breakevens (so more cash in coming weeks).

      But if you think Oliver will be in your final team then now is a good time to get him, as he will continue to appreciate, whilst JOM will not!

  • Hi there SOgnenis if I was in you position I would be going either Hampton or Marchbank.

  • Option 1:
    Stewart and Pickett out — williamson and neal-bullen in (33k bank)

    Option 2:
    Stewart and Pickett out — williamson and 150ker in (260k bank)

    • I reckon get ANB, he will go up another $50k or so this week and be an easy stepping stone to a premo even if he doesn’t pump out any more 140s.

  • Which one out of Pickett, Miles or Balic to play on field in fwd line.
    Not really keen on all 3 but need to play of them on field. Thinking Pickett as they are playing GCS.

    • Wouldn’t be surprised if Miles is dropped. Pickett doesn’t seem likely to go over 50, maybe take a punt on Balic? He has to be better than he was on debut, he’s a ball winner at WAFL level.

      • GCS is one of hardest to score against over three rounds, and Melbourne is the hardest.
        Based on that get Miles. But if he is dropped, or stinks then not worth it.
        I’m going Balic > Pickett as my bench emergency – have confidence he will get 50+. (Don’t have Miles).

    • Either Pickett or Balic. I feel Pickett is a safe 4-50, but Balic supposedly has a higher, yet-to-be-proven ceiling.

  • Swallow / Oliver or go risky with hanners?

  • Is it too late to get someone like SPS in RDT? He has amazing JS and I see him going up another 150k which is similar to the cash that someone like Hayward would make. Or would you just bank the cash and get Hayward instead?

  • Play Houston vs GWS or Butler vs Lions?

    Leaning towards Butler because of opposition…

  • great article as always!

    which trade should i do?
    1. taranto to neal bullen
    2. tom stewart to williamson
    3.taranto to parsons
    4. pickett to fox/wigg

  • Otten or Williamson. Who to field?

  • Eddy’s been named in the SANFL side, so he won’t play this week and, unless he kicks a couple of massive bags (think 8+ goals), doubt he’ll be back any time soon.

    Good to see you finally giving Otten the recognition he deserves, Jepp. His JS is rock solid and getting stronger every week.

    So did you pick up that doobie I dropped for you OdisCrows? Or do you still think Otten is the ‘perfect man’ to be ousted? LOFL!

  • Does anyone think Tim Broomhead is relevant either in Fantasy or RDT?

  • Great read jeppa, always love your threads.

    Wondering if this will work though
    Thinking of trading Nank out and playing Preuss as R2. Am i able to wait unitl after North Melbournes game friday night before i make the decsion? Worst case i play Pruess on the bench BUT chuck the E on him and if Pruess drops a 100 ill just downgrade Nank to a 150k ruck and upgrade a premo else where in my team???

  • Marchbank or Otten on the field this week?

  • Getting rid of Gawn and Tarranto.

    With some DPP action do I get in:

    Murphy & Nic Newman

    Or

    D Swallow & Masten

    Thoughts appreciated :)

  • i can bring in any midfielder, should i go for Rocky/Zerrett(and have no money left over) Murphy or gaff ( and have over 100k left over)

    • If you can – pick a keeper. Do you think you’ll keep Murphy/Gaff?
      I would go Zerrett if given the choice of those (I have Rocky, Zerrett, Gaff FWIW).

  • Simpson for Salem and JOM for Yeo? Then have a bit left over

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