Touk Miller – Deck of DT 2017

Image result for touk miller s.afl.com.auName: Touk Miller
Team: Gold Coast Suns
Position: MID/FWD
AFL Fantasy: $493,000
Bye Round: 9
2016 Average: 81.6
2016 Games Played: 18
Predicted Average: 92

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Why should I pick him?

One of few players to wear his socks up, Gold Coast rising star Touk Miller caught our attention towards the back end of last year when he posted scores of 135, 111, 139 and 105. Having played his junior footy at Maribyrnong Park in Victoria, Touk made his AFL debut in 2015, going on to play all 22 games that year and finish with a Fantasy average of 70. He backed this up with an average of 81 in 2016. At 178cm, Miller isn’t blessed with great height but he is strongly built (81kg), wins his fair share of the contested ball, makes good decisions with ball in hand and is able to hit targets by hand and foot. The former pick 29 is also a tackling machine, managing hauls of 10, 11 and 9 during last season.

Miller was able to claim a full-time midfield role in the last six weeks of the year with Rodney Eade later proceeding to declare that Touk would feature in the midfield come round one. Yes, Rodney, we will be quoting you on that one! But personally, I question whether he will play 100% in the midfield given new additions, Barlow, Brodie, Lyons, Hanley, Ainsworth, Bowes and to a slightly lesser extend Scrimshaw are all able to rotate through. However expect to see him spend more time in the centre then what we’ve seen over the coarse of his first two seasons. Moving away from the high half forward role can only be a good thing for his Fantasy output.

Miller is priced at $493,000 in 2017, making him significantly cheaper than prominent premium forwards Jack Macrae, Luke Dahlhaus and Toby Greene. At the time of writing, Miller is owned by 6.2% of the 41,000 strong competition. This figure surprises me a little, considering how many coaches pencilled him in at the end of last season. Perhaps the expected rise of Isaac Heeney has led coaches to select him as their mid-priced forward over Miller. I’m not as keen on Heeney as many others seem to be and believe Miller will score just as well, if not better than Heeney this year. Both are expected to lift their outputs with added midfield minutes.

Image result for touk miller s.afl.com.au

Why shouldn’t I pick him?

Thanks to David Koch and the Port Adelaide footy club, Gold Coast and the Power will battle it out for premiership points in China. Obviously they weren’t really thinking about how it would affect Fantasy coaches when it was scheduled for round eight – meaning the two participating clubs take their byes the following week. I personally am a bit undecided as to what sort of tactic I will use when it comes to picking Power and Suns players. They may need to be covered or traded in order to field 22 players but will be a real wildcard during the normal bye rounds. It would make sense if you just pick the player if you want them without going crazy.

 

Deck of DT Rating

Queen– Fresh off signing a new two-year contract extension with on the Gold Coast, a queen seems like the appropriate rating to hand Miller. Although he has the potential to become a Fantasy gun, as he has shown since his debut, Miller is yet to really break out. Many guns have broken out in their third years in the system, so here’s hoping 2017 proves to be year of the Touk. I can see him lifting his average to around 92.

Will Touk Miller average more this year with his supposed extra midfield time?

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19 Comments

  • All your headings say why shouldn’t I pick him. That a hint not to pick him? Well guess what he is a lock in my time

  • Team I meant ;)

  • 81km would suggest he’s going ok in the height department….

    Currently my F2.

  • He is certainly on the radar, eade has said he will still be in the midfield. Will he get as much of the ball with the likes of Barlow, hanley, Ablett and Hall coming back into the team?

  • I can’t believe the hype on this bloke. He averaged 82 last year! Yes he had a good run of 5 games at the end but that’s when eade gave up on the season and played the kids (Fiorini). With all the midfield additions I can’t see his role changing too much. Remember prestia, abblett and swallow were out most of last year and he only averaged 82 with those opportunities
    I would love to hear a rebuttle

  • I trust eade as far as I can throw him, basically the only reason I’m missing the boat here.

  • Yeah I don’t trust Eade. Like the other replier said, he was thrown in there when the Suns had given up.

  • Cheers for the article mate…Miller is in my fwd line at present but has a lot of questions surrounding what role he will actually play..
    I agree with alot of the people who have commented he was only chucked in the guts when the cue had gone back in the rack but surely that’s when you discover which young blokes can handle it in there and who can’t…. Touk appeared to thrive in there…On top of that he improved his average quite respectably last year after a good debut season….I can see him averaging 95+ if given the opportunity this season.

  • Is it worth just picking 4 rookies on field in the forward line? Like honestly hardly any premos and available mid pricers are shaky at best. I’m considering Billings, Hrovat, Roughy and Heeney, but will any of them be close to top 6 by the end of the season with added dpp’s during the season? May as well save the cash, go big elsewhere and upgrade the forward line when more options become available. Seems like the forward rookies look strong compared to everywhere else.

    • At present that’s the way I’m looking at going in the fwd line which looks like Macrae,Touk, Knight, Hoskin-Elliott, Turner and McCarthy…I cringe everytime I look at it but really think it’s the season to stack the mids with known set and forget guns and wait for the forwards to sort themselves out…

  • The forward line this year has a big drop off after the first few premiums, thats where players like Touk come into the mix. the top 5 to 15 fwd will probably be around the same scoring points so you might as well save 100k and give Touk a go. When his bye comes in round 9 there would have been the first DPP additions which hopefully give a few more top line premiums (fingers crossed for Ablett) so you would have a better idea of the top 6 forwards by then and if Touk is going alright say a 85 avg you can then use him as a stepping stone.

    Currently i’m struggling to see a solid top 6 and the addition of DPP will surely add players that easily are in the best 6, so why not save the money and go for the stepping stones be that Touk or the mid priced Roughy, Hrovat, CEY etc. Big fan of Touk and can see him averaging around the 88-98 mark

  • Average of 70 then 82 is a pretty good basis and he’s got the vice captaincy too. Hasnt done too much wrong and he’s on the way up. Might not be this year but those who got in early on Zac Merrett last year and Macrae in year two would be looking to punt on him I reckon

  • The Fan Footy site has produced for the Ultimate Footy draft league site a 2017 Draft Kit which assesses all 815 AFL players. They recommend Touk Miller to be drafted with pick number 543 (not a typo)!!! What else could you expect from a publication that lists Adelaide’s Reilly O’Brien as number 14 in the list of the AFL’s top 20 ruckmen?

  • Thanks for the article Cricketmad787, i have Touk at the moment i love the little man and have owned him in one format or another every year since he has been in the AFL. On another note as a crows fan like me what do you see Matt Crouch averaging i see 105 and am very tempted to start with him

  • How many players do you see go from a debut average of 70 to a 2nd year average of 82 (with scores like 139 and 135) and in their 3rd year push the 100 average or even reach it ?
    He will be in my side for sure.
    95-102 average for me.

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